BTC

While September is the worst month in terms of performance statistics for the S&P 500 index, and BTC has been developing a positive correlation with the S&P 500, can the price of bitcoin avoid a correction scenario this September 2025? And in the event that this September turns out to be corrective for BTC, could this open the door for a year-end rebound starting in October, which benefits from much stronger seasonality? In this article, we will address these two questions. 1.September is the weakest month for the S&P 500 in terms of seasonality, and the same applies to bitcoin I invite you first to revisit our analysis of S&P 500 seasonality by clicking on the performance table below: September is therefore the worst month for the S&P 500 in terms of seasonality, and investors fear a decline in the US stock market this September, especially as fundamental challenges are numerous (the Fed meeting on Wednesday, September 17) and the S&P 500 is as expensive as it was at the end of 2021 in terms of valuation. Is this bearish consensus a trap? At first glance, no, because September has also been the month with the worst average performance and the worst median performance for bitcoin since 2009. The table below, sourced from Coinglass, shows the month-by-month seasonality of bitcoin since 2013: 2.But in the bitcoin bull cycle that began in autumn 2022, linked to the 2024 halving, September was not negative and even marked the start of a year-end bullish impulse There are nevertheless reasons to hope that September 2025—perhaps stormy in its first part—could end on a more favorable note. Moreover, when looking at September 2023 and September 2024 (the Septembers of our cycle, the one that began in autumn 2022 after the end of the bear market), we can see that they triggered (from the second half of the month) a strong bullish impulse. The chart below shows bitcoin’s weekly candlesticks since the start of the current cycle, which began in autumn 2022. Ultimately, the final trend of bitcoin this September 2025 will not be determined by cyclical or chart analysis, but by the monetary policy decision that the Fed will unveil on Wednesday, September 17. 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After bitcoin broke above $107,400 the former local top, never retested that, now its very typical to see this area get supported and rally comes to bitcoin for last time in this cycle

📊#BTC Beware of a Weekly Pullback⚠️ 🧠From a structural perspective, the market is bullish, and the broader trend remains bullish. The ideal target range of 134.8k-175.5k remains achievable, so we need to look for lower levels to participate. ➡️Currently, the weekly closing price is below the weekly support and resistance lines and has fallen below the July low. Therefore, I believe it's too early to be bullish at this point, and we should be wary of a deeper correction. ➡️In addition, we've always seen a surge after a drop of around 30% from a high. Starting in March 2024, BTC fell 24.77% before surging. Starting in January 2025, BTC fell 32% before touching the rising channel and surging. Starting in August 2025... ??? ⚠️I believe a new buying opportunity will be located in the yellow support zone below, around 87k-96k. Let's see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BTCUSDT

Bitcoin is currently undergoing a healthy and beautiful correction.

📊 BTC/USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook 🔎 Monthly (1M) Bitcoin has broken out of a bullish wedge pattern and is now consolidating above previous breakout levels. Long-term structure still favors upside continuation with a target towards 150K if momentum resumes. Key structural support sits near 76K – 80K (prior breakout zone). 🕰 Weekly (1W) Clear Elliott Wave count: Wave (3) peaked ~135K, now correcting into Wave (4). Price retracing into a major support/demand zone around 105K – 110K. The liquidity trendline from earlier cycles still holds, making this a critical inflection point. Next move higher (Wave (5)) projects towards 135K – 150K. ⏱ Daily (1D) Market is testing major support aligned with 0.618 retracement + demand/FVG zone. Bullish reaction here could ignite the start of Wave (5). If broken, deeper retracement into the psychological 100K handle may occur before continuation. ⏳ 8H Short-term bearish momentum pushing into demand. Liquidity building below, stops resting around 105K – 107K. A bullish reaction from this zone would confirm Wave (4) completion and set up the impulse higher into Wave (5). 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bullish from demand (Wave 4 → Wave 5) Entry Zone: 105K – 110K demand region Targets: 135K short-term, 150K long-term Invalidation: Clean break & weekly close below 100K

🟢 DCA strategy on BTCUSD for a month 9-2025 1. Principle: Each head of the owner of a batch of unit. Divide the amount to 4-5 batches and distribute them at gradient support levels. Everything that comes down the price adds a quantity, so that your average purchase remains close to the bottom. 2. The proposed levels of assembly: The batch is 1️⃣: 107,000 - 108,000 (current level). The batch is 2️⃣: 103,000 Batch 3️⃣: 100,000 The batch 4️⃣: 98,200 (the most powerful support in Chardat). (Optional) Patch 5️⃣: Any price tail below 98K if it becomes an imaginary fracture. 3. Exit / targets plan: The first partial sale area: 113,000 - 117,000 Main Sale: 124,500 Keep (20-30%) for the long term if it becomes a penetration of about 130k+. 4. Implementation tips: Do not enter the full quantity at 107K, consider it only a first batch. If the price is bounced before it connects you to the lower levels → You have a medium for reasonable purchase and profit from the first resistance. If the price is broken and descended → You have liquidity adding in the bottoms without fear. Conclusion: With DCA, you are safe, whether the price is 98K or bounce of 107K. Your profit comes from patience and division, not from trying to accurately hunt the bottom. ⚠️ This analysis does not represent an investment recommendation or an invitation for sale or purchase. Rather, it is a technical opinion and educational content only.

This is a follow-up to my previous post. The key question now is whether BTC gets pushed below the Point of Control (POC) and reaches Support 2 at the weekly pivot to complete the diagonal.Hello, dear trader The NFP will be released This week, which means there will be huge volatility in the market. Of course, it's also a great opportunity for us to make money because I have friends who work at the Federal Reserve and I will know a lot of inside information in advance, including some trends in gold, bitcoin and forex. I'm also good at big data trading. You can see that I have made huge profits by trading during the recent volatility, if your account is losing money, or your account is locked, or you are a new trader, you can contact me and no matter how much money you have, you can get my help!

This declined was extremely disappointing for altcoins because its shows weakness in altcoins Now as bitcoin will explode 💥 upside buying limit around 106200 area towards new ATH my 1st TP 138200 tgen story goes on and towards final destination 260500 end of the year to complete it finally wave count

Bitcoin will either start its upward move from the current price or from the range of 104,638.9 – 102,864.5, aiming for targets between 118,000 and 124,535. BTCUSDT

Hello everyone In this idea, I want to share the process of verifying and deeply optimizing the grid strategy for BTCUSDT.P on the OKX exchange. The main task is not just to adjust the parameters to the current chart history (which many strategies fail to do), but to find a truly stable configuration that can make a profit over the entire trading history starting in 2019. The optimization process consists of three key steps: Stage 1: Wide search based on the current chart history To begin with, I performed an initial optimization on the last 20,000 bars. At this stage, I used the widest possible ranges for all key parameters (grid pitch, volume multiplier, profit targets, etc.). The task is to "scan" the market and identify common areas in which the strategy basically shows profitability, eliminating obviously failed combinations. 5,000 combinations were tested. Stage 2: Spot adjustment and tightening of filters Based on the best results from the first stage, I launched a second, more targeted optimization. The ranges of parameters have been significantly narrowed around the most promising values. At the same time, I tightened the selection filters: now I was interested not just in profitable, but in the most stable results with a minimum distance to liquidation of more than 60%. It was at this stage that the "golden" combination was found. 8000 combinations were tested. Stage 3: The final stress test for the whole story The most important exam. I took the best configuration from the second stage and applied it to the full historical period from December 2019 to the present day. This period includes the euphoria of a bull market, the panic of a bear market, and a debilitating flat. And the most amazing thing is that nothing had to be changed. The combination selected at the second stage perfectly covered the entire distance without additional adjustment. Proof of universality To demonstrate how finely balanced the strategy is, I conducted an experiment: I changed only one parameter — the percentage of the first order from the deposit — by only 0.1%. This seemingly insignificant change led to the complete liquidation of the deposit on the historical test. This proves that the result obtained is not an accident, but the result of precise and universal tuning, sensitive to the slightest deviations. In the video on my profile, I show in detail every step of this process: from the initial selection of the grid to the final test, which confirmed its effectiveness over a long distance. Disclaimer This idea is purely research in nature, it is a demonstration of an optimization method and is not an investment or financial recommendation. Past results do not guarantee future returns. Always do your own analysis.