BTC

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week on strong bullish fashion as it completed a formidable green 1W candle following a technical bounce on its 1D MA50 (red trend-line). This is a strong bullish signal as every time the (orange) Fibonacci Channel rebounded on its 1D MA50 after a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, BTC extended the uptrend towards a new technical Higher High. Based on the 1W LMACD, we could be roughly half-way (blue circle) through such a Bullish Leg. As you can see, those Bullish Legs have typically made rounded Tops (red Arcs), with the last two both breaking above the Fib Channel's 0.236 level. At the same time, on the horizontal Fib level, the sequence has applied significant importance to every .618 and .0 interval, with peaks on the 0.618, 1.0, 1.618, 2.0, 2.618. Now what's left realistically before the end of the Cycle at the end of the year are 3.0 and 3.618. As a result, a rather modest potential Top projection is $160000, which is even conveniently placed just below the 0.236 Channel Fib from late October onwards. Do you think that could be a potential Cycle Top candidate? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇

From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin is currently unfolding a Cycle degree Wave C, which at the Primary degree is forming Wave A. At both the Intermediate and Minor degrees, price is also in Wave A. The minimum downside target for this structure lies at the 1.0 Fibonacci extension near $112K. Additional targets include the 1.236 extension at roughly $110K and the 1.618 extension near $106K. Liquidity mapping reveals notable clusters at key levels. The $115.5K zone, highlighted by the red box on the chart, contains significant liquidity according to the heatmap. Additionally, order book data shows heavy bid accumulation around the $110K level — an area that also coincides with a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Point of Control (POC) from the previous wave lies just below the red box, further reinforcing the bearish confluence. From a derivatives standpoint, the recent impulsive rally in Wave b appears to have been largely driven by leveraged positions. Funding rates have started to decline from high positive levels, while open interest — after a brief surge — is now dropping, suggesting traders are unwinding positions rather than adding fresh exposure. Spot ETF flows continue to show net inflows, but closer inspection reveals that these have been more FOMO-driven than strategic accumulation. Outflows were recorded at the local low of Wave a, while inflows spiked during the impulsive rise of Wave b — behaviour that often reverses as the market corrects. This increases the likelihood of inflows slowing or reversing during the expected downward leg. The primary scenario anticipates that Bitcoin will continue lower. At the Primary degree, Wave A could terminate within the red liquidity box, where the liquidity cluster might act as a temporary buy wall. This could then lead to a corrective Wave B before a final Wave C to complete the larger structure. However, making precise forecasts beyond Wave A would be speculative at this stage.

reaction is the area of rise. Long scalp can be taken with Max 5x leverage. Stop zone risk management is recommended. YTD. I do not have an expectation of an abundant earning rise.

summery We will analyze Bitcoin on the daily timeframe regarding this critical week Analysis A daily candle that has drilled through the heavy resistance level of 120,000 up to around 123,000 can only mean one thing: if the candle closes in this manner, I anticipate a healthy bullish move in the lower timeframes this week . However, we must remember that today’s candle needs to close green, and tomorrow’s candle should never be a weak or small one. Trade Plan You should be ready to open positions in the lower timeframes tomorrow, but never forget risk and capital management! Disclaimer This content is purely analytical in nature and should not be interpreted as financial advice or a trading signal. All trading decisions and their outcomes are entirely the responsibility of the trader. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and may lead to the loss of part or all of your capital. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk and capital management before entering any trade. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TradingPlan #PriceAction #CryptoMarket #CryptoStrategy #RiskManagement #Altcoins #CryptoSignals #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading

Technical Analysis - Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical description: Bitcoin has been moving inside a clear rising channel since mid -April 2025, as the price recently wore the bottom of the channel near the axial support 115,708, reflecting the return of the purchasing momentum. The most prominent resistance is located at 125,932, which represents an important summit and an important barrier before targeting higher levels. Important technical levels: Resistance: 125,932 - 135,000 - 145,000 Call: 115,708 - 105,224 - 100,792 Positive scenario (rise): In the event of persistence above the level of 115,708 and the continued movement within the emerging channel, it is expected to target: 🎯 First goal: 125,932 🎯 The second goal: 135,000 📌 Stopping loss: daily closure under 115,708 Negative scenario (landing): In the event that the level of 115,708 is broken with a daily closure, we may witness a descending correction towards: 🎯 First goal: 105,224 🎯 The second goal: 100,792 📌 Stop loss: Return and closure above 118,000 Conclusion: The general trend of bitcoin is rising in the medium term, with the possibility of continuing to rise towards new peaks if the resistance exceeds 125,932, while breaking the support remains 115,708 indications of a temporary shift towards a deeper correction. 📍 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not considered a direct recommendation for sale or purchase.

Another btc bullish trade set up buy from 118200/188000 Tp-1 - 122k tp2- 124k tp3- 126k

The long-term cup & handle pattern has played out, completing wave (3) around the $122K zone. According to Elliott Wave structure, BTC is now likely to enter wave (4), which could mean a deeper correction toward the $60K–$70K range before the final wave (5) push. Wave 5 could target new all-time highs later, but for now, caution is key — this phase may shake out weak hands before the next rally. Key Points: Cup & handle breakout already done. Wave 3 peak in place. Wave 4 correction expected before Wave 5 to ATH. Not financial advice.

import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd import talib import matplotlib.pyplot as plt # دانلود داده 6 ماه اخیر بیت کوین 1 ساعته data = yf.download("BTC-USD", period="6mo", interval="1h") # محاسبه EMA50 و EMA200 روزانه برای روند daily = data.resample('1D').agg({'Open':'first', 'High':'max', 'Low':'min', 'Close':'last'}) daily ['EMA50'] = talib.EMA(daily ['Close'], timeperiod=50) daily ['EMA200'] = talib.EMA(daily ['Close'], timeperiod=200) # تابع روند روزانه def get_trend(date): if date not in daily.index: return 0 row = daily.loc [date] if row ['EMA50'] > row ['EMA200']: return 1 elif row ['EMA50'] < row ['EMA200']: return -1 return 0 # اضافه کردن ستون روند به دیتای 1 ساعته data ['date'] = data.index.floor('D') data ['trend'] = data ['date'].apply(get_trend) # محاسبه EMA50 و RSI ساعتی data ['EMA50'] = talib.EMA(data ['Close'], timeperiod=50) data ['RSI'] = talib.RSI(data ['Close'], timeperiod=14) balance = 10000 position = 0 # 1=خرید، -1=فروش، 0=خالی entry_price = 0 stop_loss_pct = 0.01 risk_reward = 2 trades = [] for i in range(1, len(data)): row = data.iloc prev = data.iloc [i-1] if position == 0: if row ['trend'] == 1: # روند صعودی if prev ['RSI'] < 50 and row ['RSI'] >= 35 and abs(row ['Close'] - row ['EMA50'])/row ['EMA50'] < 0.01: position = 1 entry_price = row ['Close'] stop_loss = entry_price * (1 - stop_loss_pct) take_profit = entry_price + (entry_price - stop_loss)*risk_reward trades.append(('buy', row.name, entry_price)) elif row ['trend'] == -1: # روند نزولی if prev ['RSI'] > 50 and row ['RSI'] <= 65 and abs(row ['Close'] - row ['EMA50'])/row ['EMA50'] < 0.01: position = -1 entry_price = row ['Close'] stop_loss = entry_price * (1 + stop_loss_pct) take_profit = entry_price - (stop_loss - entry_price)*risk_reward trades.append(('sell', row.name, entry_price)) else: if position == 1: if row ['Low'] <= stop_loss: balance -= (entry_price - stop_loss) trades.append(('stop_loss', row.name, stop_loss)) position = 0 elif row ['High'] >= take_profit: balance += (take_profit - entry_price) trades.append(('take_profit', row.name, take_profit)) position = 0 elif position == -1: if row ['High'] >= stop_loss: balance -= (stop_loss - entry_price) trades.append(('stop_loss', row.name, stop_loss)) position = 0 elif row ['Low'] <= take_profit: balance += (entry_price - take_profit) trades.append(('take_profit', row.name, take_profit)) position = 0 print(f"Final balance: {balance}") print("Trades:") for t in trades: print(t) # نمودار ساده plt.figure(figsize=(15,7)) plt.plot(data.index, data ['Close'], label='Price') for t in trades: if t [0] == 'buy': plt.scatter(t [1], t [2], marker='^', color='green') elif t [0] == 'sell': plt.scatter(t [1], t [2], marker='v', color='red') plt.legend() plt.show()

We see here the chart, i dont recommed to short btc, but still i think we can expect a short down swing where we could buy some spot positions or call options to sizen up our position. My data and chartbased analytics about this week: 110-112k - lower support 115-118k - medium support I'm not lookout for new ATH this month such as 124-126k but its possible. I do look more for longterm ATH in oct. / nov. 2025 by around 145-180k Feel free to share your opinion in the comments below!

Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered an upward pennant and then at once rebounded up from the support line. Then it reached support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and some time traded near this level, after which it made a small correction. Later it grew higher to 107800 level, breaking it and then made a retest. After this movement, BTC made an impulse up from the support level and rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area and soon broke it. Later, it BTC rose to the resistance line of the pennant and then made a correction to the support area and started to trades inside. But later it made a fake breakout of the current support level and then tried to back up, but failed and dropped to the support line of support line of upward pennant. Then BTC turned around and started to grow, and soon broke the 116500 level one more time. After this, it reached the resistance line of the pennant, and it turned around and started to decline. In my mind, BTC will grow to the resistance line and then continue to decline 116500 support level. That's why it's my current TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.