PouyanFa

We’re analyzing on a very large cycle, and in this cycle the trend weakness is clearly visible. We can see that the number of days buyers have been in control has gradually decreased, and for several weeks now, Bitcoin has been indecisive and moving sideways. In my view, if Bitcoin truly aims to see prices above $130K, it needs a deeper correction down to the $110K–$100K range. These levels are completely normal in a large cycle—just as a $150K Bitcoin isn’t unrealistic in the big picture.

The low volume in Bitcoin and other coins suggests that the market is probably waiting for this afternoon’s news to find a reason to move. We have two plans with defined price levels, and once the direction becomes clear, we can follow the chart.

We’ve been saying for days that Ethereum’s been climbing for no clear reason despite strong trend weakness, and now we can see it’s turning bearish for the moment. If this drop continues a bit more, many traders might FOMO-sell to lock in profits, potentially pushing the price down to 4000. It’s also possible that it finds support above 4000 and resumes the uptrend.

In these three boxes, with the marked wicks, many traders definitely got stopped out. The best move in this kind of price action is to stay away from the chart and avoid forcing any trades. Just wait until the market decides to start a new trend.

This level has successfully supported the price four times, and each time it has pushed the price higher. Therefore, there’s no sign of weakness at this level, and we still expect the price to rise from here.

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Ethereum has been showing trend weakness for a long time, yet it keeps climbing. It’s not offering any entry points, and right now it’s at a very risky spot for buying, since a correction could happen at any moment.

The same pattern from the previous analysis has formed again for gold, and we’re seeing a compression. If it breaks downward, it could correct down to 3,309. After that, if we get a buy signal, it could be a great entry point. Overall, I think gold is giving us a steady opportunity to buy — and we should definitely take advantage of it

Bitcoin seems like it genuinely doesn’t want to go up, but it's being pushed upward by a small group of buyers. In my opinion, if the number of sellers increases even slightly, we’ll see a drop. For now, everyone’s waiting for something to happen, but the trend clearly shows there's no real desire to rise — it needs a break.

Gold is in the perfect spot for a move higher, and there’s a strong chance this area will turn into solid support. However, it’s the start of the week, and we have major news coming up that could completely invalidate our analysis. We need to be cautious with positions, as volatility is likely.