alirezak

Dear Traders, appears to be a corrective bullish channel within a larger downtrend. This channel likely represents a pullback, increasing the probability of a downside continuation. The 94,500 – 98,500 zone is a major supply area that has acted as resistance multiple times and may trigger another rejection or fake breakout if retested. Should the price get rejected from this zone, the potential downside targets are 83,000, followed by 78,000 and 75,000. A bullish scenario becomes valid only if BTC closes a daily candle above 100,000, which could open the path toward the 105,000 – 110,000 resistance range. This is a market outlook and not financial advice — proper stop-loss and risk management are strongly recommended. If this post helped you, consider boosting and sharing it. Thank you for the support. Alireza!

Dear Traders, Ethereum is currently in a corrective phase after a significant rally and repeated rejections from major resistance levels. The structure suggests price is approaching a critical zone that could determine ETH’s medium- to long-term direction. Below is a full technical + fundamental + scenario-based analysis based on your chart. 🟦 1. Technical Analysis 🔹 Market Structure In the daily timeframe, Ethereum has rejected the major resistance area at $3,950 – $4,200, which previously acted as a local top. After failing to break above it twice, the market shifted into correction mode. Price is now heading toward a major support zone around $1,890 – $2,150, which includes: A strong historical demand zone A previous accumulation area A key horizontal support level The region that initiated the previous uptrend This is a macro support, tested multiple times. 🔹 Repeated Tops (Distribution Zones) ETH formed two distribution structures around $4,100, indicating strong sell pressure. Your marked ellipses correctly highlight areas where large players likely distributed positions. 🔹 Likely Path of Price The chart structure suggests a high-probability scenario: Retracement into $1,890–$2,150 Reaction or short-term bounce Retest of broken structure or mid-range resistance Potential start of a new upward leg This follows the classic pattern: correction → accumulation → impulse. 🔹 Bullish Scenario If Ethereum finds support and confirms reversal signals such as: Bullish engulfing candles Higher lows Bullish BOS (Break of Structure) RSI divergence then a strong rally is likely. Targets: Target 1: $2,800 – $3,000 Target 2: ~$3,500 Target 3 (mid-term): $4,100 – $4,300 Breaking above $4,300 could open the door for a new long-term bullish cycle. 🔹 Bearish Scenario (Low Probability but Important) If ETH loses the major support at $1,890 with strong volume: Next support: $1,650 Deep correction target: $1,450 This scenario becomes more likely if Bitcoin enters a heavy sell-off or if macroeconomic risk increases. 🟦 2. Fundamental Analysis Ethereum remains one of the strongest assets fundamentally, supported by real-world usage, developer activity, and network economics. 🔹 Network Upgrades (Ethereum Roadmap) After the full transition to Proof-of-Stake and subsequent upgrades, Ethereum benefits from: Lower issuance (near-deflationary supply) Lower energy consumption Higher performance Better scalability Upcoming improvements focus on data availability and rollup efficiency, which reduces gas fees and boosts ecosystem growth. 🔹 Growth of Layer 2 Networks L2 ecosystems like: Arbitrum Optimism Base zkSync Starknet are driving massive transaction volume into Ethereum. More L2 usage → more ETH burned → stronger long-term value. 🔹 Dominance in DeFi Ethereum still leads the DeFi sector: Highest TVL (Total Value Locked) Most active protocols Largest developer community This creates continuous, organic demand for ETH in: Transactions Staking Collateral Smart contract execution 🔹 Staking Demand Over 25% of Ethereum’s total supply is staked. This reduces circulating supply, lowers sell pressure, and supports long-term price appreciation. Institutional interest in staking continues to grow, further strengthening fundamentals. 🔹 Key Risks Despite strong fundamentals, ETH faces these challenges: Regulatory pressure on staking services Correlation with Bitcoin in macro downtrends Competition from fast L1 networks (Solana, Avalanche, Sui, etc.) Still, Ethereum remains ahead in ecosystem maturity and security. 🟦 3. Final Summary Ethereum is approaching one of its most important supports in the last two years. If buyers defend the $1,890–$2,150 region, a multi-month bullish wave could begin. 🔥 Key Points ETH is correcting into major support Technical structure is still bullish in the bigger picture Fundamentals remain extremely strong L2 growth, staking, and DeFi support long-term appreciation The main scenario is: correction → accumulation → upward continuation Targets remain $3,000 → $3,500 → $4,300 if the support holds.

Dear Traders, Bitcoin on the daily chart has recently broken down from a long consolidation range between $90,000 and $106,000, entering a mid-term correction. Price is now approaching a major technical support area where horizontal demand, long-term trendline support, and a historical accumulation zone overlap. This level acts as a critical decision point for the coming months. Technical Analysis 1. Corrective Structure BTC is pulling back toward the strong support zone at $76,000–$82,000, which has historically produced strong bullish reactions. 2. Major Trendline Support Price is heading directly into the primary ascending trendline drawn from last year’s key lows. This confluence significantly increases the probability of a bullish reversal. 3. Bullish Scenario (Primary Outlook) If bullish reversal candles form within 76–82k, BTC could launch a new rally. Key targets: First resistance: $95,000 Higher targets: $106,000 – $113,000 4. Bearish Scenario If price breaks below both the horizontal support and the trendline, a drop toward $67,000–$70,000 becomes likely. This scenario is weaker but cannot be ignored. Fundamental Analysis 1. Post-Halving Supply Reduction The 2024 halving reduced new BTC issuance, historically leading to higher mid-term prices. Recent data confirms a decline in sell-side pressure—supportive for long-term growth. 2. Institutional Inflows & Bitcoin ETFs Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract fresh capital throughout 2025. Institutional adoption remains one of the strongest long-term bullish catalysts. 3. Global Macro Conditions Bitcoin is heavily influenced by: Interest rate policy Inflation trends U.S. Treasury yields Any shift toward monetary easing could push more liquidity into BTC. 4. Long-Term Holder Behavior On-chain metrics show continuous accumulation by LTHs. This decreases circulating supply and builds the foundation for large future rallies. 5. Regulatory Risks New regulations or political pressure can introduce temporary volatility. Still, the global regulatory trajectory appears increasingly favorable toward digital assets. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently sitting at a pivotal zone where technical and fundamental forces meet. The confluence of: Major support Trendline structure Halving-driven supply reduction Growing institutional demand creates a strong bullish bias — unless the 76–82k range breaks decisively. A reversal from this level could mark the beginning of a major upward cycle.

Dear Traders, 👉 **“The market is still ranging between 4000 and 4060. The price will likely drop to the channel bottom around 3950–3970, and from there move up toward the 4180–4200 target.”** Regards, Alireza!

Dear Traders, 👉 **“The crypto market is currently under heavy selling pressure. We have several resistance zones: the first one is the psychological level at 100,000, the second is 103,000, and the third is 110,000. The price will at least reach the first two zones, and considering the large amount of liquidity in the 92–94 area, we can expect a pullback toward those upper zones.”** Regards, Alireza!

Dear Traders, After touching the 0.618 Fibonacci level, gold made a downward correction. I still believe the price has the potential to reach higher levels before the main drop. The 4130 zone is a very attractive area for a price reversal, and the next level is 4150.” Regards, Alireza!

Dear traders, Gold continues its corrective upward movement, and I expect it to resume its bullish move from the 4200 area toward the initial target of 4275. Regards, Alireza!

Dear Traders, Gold will continue its bullish trend within the corrective phase. The 4150–4160 zone is very important — if it breaks strongly, I expect the price to move toward the 4190–4200 area. Regards, Alireza!

Dear Traders, Gold has entered the 50% Fibonacci retracement range, and due to bank holidays, price movements are expected to be limited and range-bound. I expect a breakout of the 4160 zone, followed by a downward correction to gather momentum toward the 4200 area. Regards, Alireza!

Dear Traders, During the Asian session, the price broke out of the multi-day range. I expect it to pull back to the range area and then make a 1,000-pip upward move in gold. Regards, alireza!