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Welcome to Ethereum’s Maturity Phase As we move through this bull market, Ethereum is no longer defined by its aspirations but by its quiet transformation into infrastructure grade technology. recently Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin outlined a vision of the protocol’s current state that traders and allocators should not ignore. After years of volatility, congestion, and uncertainty, Ethereum now appears poised to support large scale economic activity, not as an experiment but as a foundational layer for global digital markets. What was once speculative scaling, security, composability is rapidly being operationalized. Ethereum today can support roughly 250 transactions per second via Layer 2s, a throughput that will double with the upcoming Pectra upgrade. This hard fork introduces enhanced data availability mechanisms (blobs), moving the network toward a future where 5,000 TPS is not aspirational but plausible within 12 to 18 months plus EIPs scheduled for 2026 suggest a tenfold increase in L1 gas limit. These upgrades are not abstract milestones; they directly impact slippage, latency, and execution depth across all DeFi protocols, this means tighter spreads, more active liquidity pairs, and higher volume ceilings for systematic strategies. Security long a barrier to adoption is no longer a structural weakness. As Buterin noted, while DeFi once carried existential smart contract risk, data now shows that aggregate protocol based losses sit below 0.53% of total value locked. For mature projects, this risk approaches statistical insignificance. personal security once dependent on individual key custody discipline is being mitigated through emerging standards like account abstraction and multi-signature wallets. The 2017 era of hack prone smart contract wallets has quietly given way to battle-tested infrastructure that, while not immune, is increasingly resilient. This de-risking lowers the premium required by investors and allows capital to flow into DeFi not purely for yield, but for strategic positioning. Another underappreciated development is the rise of Ethereum as the composable financial substrate of the internet. With the maturation of Uniswap, stablecoins, and automated market makers, virtually any tokenized asset can be priced, swapped, or rebalanced in real time. Ethereum enables a digital liquidity matrix across fiat, crypto, NFTs, RWAs, and emerging asset classes. Stablecoins alone are now being used more than Visa and Mastercard in some emerging markets. Traders operating on Ethereum are no longer confined to isolated token pairs but instead access a continuously evolving market layer that is responsive, programmable, and frictionless. Beyond its technical evolution, Ethereum is also consolidating a distinct socio-political identity. As traditional institutions face declining trust and increased instability, Ethereum positions itself as a platform for rule-of-law, transparency, and digital equality. Far from the libertarian minimalism of Bitcoin, Ethereum’s community increasingly aligns with a technocratic worldview that values governance experimentation, startup societies, and public goods Privacy tools are also gaining traction. Zero knowledge applications, once academically obscure, are becoming viable in practice. Protocols like Privacy Pools, and platforms like Railway, are introducing privacy-preserving mechanisms that are both compliant and decentralized. This creates a more robust trading environment where capital can move without compromising regulatory alignment or user identity In parallel, Ethereum’s composability is bleeding into entirely new verticals. From decentralized social platforms like Farcaster to the integration of LLM native payment rails in apps like OpenRouter, the network is extending beyond finance into application infrastructure. The implications are profound. Ethereum is no longer merely a ledger , it is becoming an operating system for the decentralized internet. Ethereum’s current position is thus not just technological it is narrative. It represents a viable alternative to traditional finance not only because it works, but because it reflects the desires of a generation looking for opt in systems that prioritize transparency, sovereignty, and composability. That vision is increasingly matched by execution. When parts of TradFi operate under implicit political risk or custodial uncertainty, Ethereum's neutral, programmable ledger becomes more than a tool it becomes a hedge. The infrastructure is live. The security model is hardened. The liquidity is thickening and the onchain velocity is approaching escape. Ethereum is no longer waiting on scalability. It has it. No longer hoping for security. It’s delivering it. No longer relying on hypothetical use cases. They’re already being used. Eth in 2025 is a fundamentally different asset than it was in prior cycles. It is no longer a speculative bet on future infrastructure it is infrastructure. With throughput, security, privacy, and cultural legitimacy maturing in tandem, the asymmetric upside lies not in waiting for Ethereum to “arrive” but in recognizing that it already has For those trading on technicals alone, ignoring these fundamentals could mean missing the structural drivers of the next phase. And for those who understand Ethereum’s layered transformation, now may be the moment to position accordingly. Eth next targets are 3700 and 3900$ so enjoy the alt sznEver fought your little brother over the last peanut butter cup? Then you already get what a supply crunch feels like! But in crypto, when supply runs low, it’s not fists that fly, it’s prices. And all signs are pointing to a potential Ethereum supply crunch right around the corner. Here's what’s happening: 1. OTC Desks Are Running Dry OTC (Over The Counter) trades let institutions buy large amounts of crypto without affecting public market prices. But even these private markets aren’t endless. When demand spikes, OTC liquidity starts drying up and when that happens, things get “crunchy” To put it in perspective: Wintermute, one of the biggest market makers in crypto, is seeing strain. They’re a major liquidity provider if they're running low, that’s a red flag. 2. Coinbase ETH Premium Is Rising Coinbase is a key entry point for U.S. (especially institutional) investors. When demand outpaces supply on Coinbase, it pushes ETH prices higher than on other exchanges creating what's called a “Coinbase premium.” A rising premium means the buying pressure is intense and local supply is falling behind. 3. Institutions Are Gobbling Up ETH Like Crazy SharpLink Gaming ( SBET ) recently bought $100M worth of ETH and now they’re planning to buy another $5 billion. Meanwhile: - BlackRock’s ETH ETF took in another $500M yesterday that’s $1B in just two days - Bitmine ( BMNR ) still has a $1B ETH buy on the table -BlackRock also plans to introduce staking for its ETH ETF, which could drive even more institutional interest -BitDigital ( BTBT ) just added 20,000 ETH (~$72M) to its books -And SBET alone has soaked up all the new ETH supply from the past month In short? Demand is skyrocketing. Supply is thinning and if this keeps up, an ETH price explosion might be closer than you think. we hitting our targets one by one and the game is ON

Bitcoin Went to the Moon, and Took Your Sanity With It Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery territory, surging past $118,000 and setting a new all time high. This breakout isn’t just technical it’s fundamentally driven. Behind the scenes, macroeconomic dynamics, institutional demand, and a unique fiscal environment are all aligning to create the perfect storm for crypto bulls. The move feels more structural than speculative, supported by both liquidity conditions and real-world economic activity One of the clearest macro tailwinds comes from renewed global trade activity in response to the return of tariff threats under former President Trump. Global manufacturers are frontloading accelerating imports and production to preempt potential tariff implementation. This has led to a significant rise in trade and manufacturing credit, echoing past cycles of uncertainty driven expansion. A key leading indicator here is copper. Often referred to as “Doctor Copper” due to its macro predictive power, copper prices are rising alongside industrial demand offering a clear pro-risk signal that extends to assets like Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is operating under a regime of fiscal dominance. Despite high Fed policy rates, financial conditions remain loose. Why? Because higher rates mean higher interest payments from the U.S. Treasury, which are being recycled into household and corporate balance sheets. These flows are fueling consumption, investment, and asset prices. Treasury Secretary Bessant’s "Activist Issuance Strategy" favoring short term bills and buying back longer-dated bonds is helping suppress volatility in rates markets and indirectly supporting long-duration assets like Bitcoin. From a market structure standpoint, Bitcoin’s price action is clean and convincing. The $105K–$110K range has flipped from resistance to support, and on-chain data shows that long-term holders are not distributing. ETF inflows continue to outpace token issuance and miner selling, creating a strong structural bid. Key players like STRK and SharpLink are absorbing supply and reinforcing bullish momentum. With the MOVE index (bond market volatility) low and credit spreads tight, the broader environment is ripe for continued upward movement. While some may view this rally as excessive or frothy, it’s important to recognize that many signs of "froth" are also signs of early-stage mass adoption. Bitcoin is now behaving more like a macro hedge alongside gold and copper than a purely speculative asset. As long as fiscal flows remain high, liquidity stays supportive, and ETFs trade at a premium, the path of least resistance appears to be up. In this cycle, froth might not signal a top it might be signaling Bitcoin’s new role in global finance. so its time to Tweet Like a Genius now.. go on don't be shy!Simon Gerovich, CEO of Japan listed company Metaplanet has purchased an additional 797 BTC for approximately $93.6 million at an average price of around $117,451. As of July 14, 2025, Metaplanet holds a total of 16,352 BTC at an average purchase price of about $100,191Crypto Market: The Real Heat Is Yet to Come Bitcoin has recently surged past its previous all time high, entering a fresh upward phase. But unlike the overheated conditions seen in March and December 2024, current onchain indicators show the market isn’t yet in a state of excessive speculation. Even as prices climb, the cooling of overheating metrics compared to earlier short-term peaks suggests Bitcoin may have more room to rally. This points to a strong possibility of continued all-time highs and substantial growth in the latter half of 2025.

WHAT TO LOOK OUT FOR THIS WEEK 📊 Macro This week’s macro focus? US treasury auctions 10 Year Treasury Note Auction – Wednesday The US government raises funds by selling debt to investors, promising to repay it over 10 years with a fixed interest rate. Fed Meeting Minutes – Wednesday The Federal Reserve releases notes from its June meeting. These minutes offer a glimpse into the Fed’s current economic stance and how they’re thinking about interest rates going forward. Initial Jobless Claims – Thursday This weekly data sheds light on the health of the labor market. A rise in claims could signal rising unemployment a key variable that might push the Fed toward rate cuts. 30 Year Treasury Bond Auction – Thursday Similar to the 10 year auction, but the debt here matures over 30 years offering a longer term view of investor confidence. Why Do Yields Rise? When investors grow uncertain about the long-term strength of a country's economy or currency, they’ll demand higher interest in exchange for lending their money to protect their purchasing power. Impact on Crypto! If government bonds offer high, low risk returns, they become more attractive than speculative assets like stocks or crypto. So, rising yields can pull capital out of risk assets. What Can We Learn From Treasury Auctions? These auctions give us a real time pulse on investor sentiment. Bidders tell the U.S government what interest rates they expect in return for lending money. A flood of low-rate bids suggests investors see the U.S as a stable, low-risk borrower. High rate bids indicate doubt and demand for more compensation to take on long term exposure. 🏛️Government & ELON The deadline for the US tariff decision** has been pushed from Wednesday, July 9, to Friday, August 1. Markets may have already priced in the delay, but we’ll be watching how they react this week. Elon Musk has apparently launched a new political party, and it’s pro Bitcoin. While it’s way too early to know how real or impactful this will be, it’s worth monitoring. One thing’s for sure, fiat isn’t invited! yay 📈 Technicals Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio Bounces Off Key Support Let’s break it down: Market Value (MV) = current total value of all coins (price × supply) Realized Value (RV) = total value based on when coins were last moved SMA365 = simple moving average of BTC’s price over the past year The MVRV ratio (MV ÷ RV) just bounced off the 365day average a support level that’s historically signaled bull continuation But now, the two lines are starting to converge again and if MVRV drops below the SMA365, it could spell short term weakness Trump Shifts Focus to Trade as Tariff Risks Rise With his major bill stalled and tensions in the Middle East, Trump is now turning to trade. Only one deal has been finalized so far, but 14 new trade notices have gone out with a deadline of August 1. Japan and South Korea face a 25% tariff threat, echoing April's proposals and effectively restarting talks. Markets remain unfazed, used to Trump’s tariff threats but follow through would hit global growth. As the debt ceiling looms, Trump must assure Congress the deficit is under control. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Powell remains cautious, balancing low inflation with potential tariff related risks. QT continues, draining liquidity. Investors are watching three triggers: late July refunding plans, possible early August tariffs, and Jackson Hole in late August whats your opinion , Are you Moonish or Doomish ? and whyUntil recently, whales on the U.S based Coinbase exchange were driving the market, but today's surge was driven by a significant move from a major whale on the Binance exchangeThe U.S. reported a seasonally adjusted CPI MoM of 0.3% for June, in line with expectations and up from 0.1% previously. The unadjusted YoY CPI rose to 2.7%, matching forecasts and marking the highest level since February.

The goal is an endless war, not a successful war - Julian AssangeAsia woke up to a wave of geopolitical and digital disruption, Yesterday, Israel declared war on Iran and reportedly terrorized top Iranian scientists, generals and their families during the night. Meanwhile, U.S. media continues to label IRGC leaders as terrorists despite the fact that these same individuals were instrumental in the fight against ISIS (if you remember, even Trump once said that ISIS was created by Obama and the U.S. to control the Middle East which is right fact) The only country to ever use nuclear bombs killing in Hiroshima and Nagasaki is now pushing for another war, accusing Iran of having a non peaceful nuclear program! on the other hand,the country has committed a genocide in the recent Gaza war (just check some of Julian Assange’s posts on WikiLeaks) want to bring more peace to the world by start a new war!Netanyahu started the war with Iran and then fled to Greece like a classic politician, while Trump is trying to act like a peacemaker despite helping ignite the conflict in the first place!Sirens and explosions were heard over Jerusalem eight hours ago as Iran launched a fresh wave of missiles on IsraelS&P 500 futures broke back below the critical 5980 level, while crypto sold off in tandem. Bitcoin dropped 5%, with Ethereum taking a sharper ~9% hit. Volatility spiked, especially on the short end, as traders scrambled for gamma exposure ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.BTC risk reversals flipped decisively bearish front-end puts are now trading as much as 5 vols over calls, highlighting aggressive demand for downside protection. Meanwhile, WTI crude jumped as much as 11% intraday, as markets priced in potential disruptions to Iranian oil exports. A prolonged conflict could constrain global supply, amplify inflation pressures, and complicate the Fed’s rate path.Tensions have returned to levels not seen since April. Markets are stuck in limbo on edge for further escalation or sudden diplomatic cooling.Adding to the macro strain, a major internet outage hammered U.S. tech stocks. Cloudflare and Google Cloud disruptions took down key platforms like Spotify, Snap, Discord, and even some Google services. The event renewed concerns around the vulnerability of centralized infrastructure and worsened late-session equity declines.This tech-driven selloff aligned with a surge in crypto open interest setting off over $1 billion in long liquidations. Yet Bitcoin held up relatively well, reflecting ongoing institutional support.Backing that narrative, DeFi Development Corp announced a $ 5B equity line to accumulate Solana SOL) for its treasury a strong signal of conviction in core crypto assets amid the broader unwind.BTC looks strong so far and many hedge funds and even BlackRock loading the dips but if you are a future trader then be very careful about the recent geopolitical tension . btc can back to 103k and 102k levelsDigital asset investment products saw US$1.9bn in inflows last week, marking the 9th consecutive week and a record YTD total of US$13.2bn. Bitcoin rebounded with US$1.3bn in inflows, while Ethereum saw US$583m inflows, its strongest since FebruaryMetaplanet has acquired 2,205 BTC for approximately $238.7 million at an average price of $108,237 per BTC. This brings its year-to-date BTC yield to 416.6% as of July 7, 2025. The company now holds a total of 15,555 BTC, purchased for roughly $1.54 billion at an average cost of $99,307 per BTC.

U.S. markets held steady despite weaker than expected economic figures, including lower ADP employment numbers and a soft ISM report. Risk assets showed resilience, suggesting investor confidence remains intactFormer President Trump was quick to criticize Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting interest rates and claimed the Fed is lagging behind the European Central Bank. Later, Trump called for the permanent removal of the U.S. debt ceiling adding to a growing sentiment that fiscal policy is now driving market momentum.Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant introduced a new proposal, the “Big Beautiful Bill,” which includes full tax expensing for new U.S. manufacturing and R&D investments. Attention now shifts to the July 4 vote on the “One Big Beautiful Act” (OBBB), which will likely address the debt ceiling either through suspension or a limit increase by August.Institutional Interest in Crypto Continues to GrowInstitutional adoption of crypto assets is gaining traction. JPMorgan has approved the use of crypto ETFs as collateral across its lending, trading, and wealth management divisions, acknowledging digital assets as part of clients’ net worth.Public companies are also moving into crypto. K Wave Media and Treasure Global recently disclosed crypto treasury allocations, reinforcing the growing role of digital assets in corporate diversification strategiesCircle has filed for an IPO, targeting a valuation of $7.6 – $8.1 billion. At the same time, speculation is building around a token launch tied to a major Solana memecoin platform suggesting retail interest remains strongETF Flows Slow, But Outlook Remains PositiveAfter strong inflows in May, activity in spot ETFs cooled slightly. On June 4, BTC ETFs saw $87 million in inflows, while ETH ETFs brought in $57 million. Despite seasonal slowdowns, long-term fundamentals remain favorable. Both BTC and ETH issuance rates are now lower than global money supply growth, a supportive condition for price appreciationNew treasury demand is helping absorb supply. ETH is holding up well, repeatedly testing its 200 day moving average without breaking lower. The ETH/BTC ratio is stable near 0.025, indicating ETH is showing relative strengthBullish Positioning Builds Ahead of Potential BreakoutWith fiscal policies supporting risk assets, the environment remains favorable for a breakout in BTC. Structured products like bullish September ERKO Seagulls offer low cost exposure to upside moves.Some institutions are already positioning accordingly. Demand for September BTC call options at the $130,000 level is rising, signaling growing confidence in a possible rallyWe’ve recently seen a fresh buy signal from the Hash Ribbons indicator a tool that tracks stress levels within the Bitcoin mining sector. This signal comes as no surprise, given that Bitcoin’s hashrate has just hit new all-time highs. The Hash Ribbons compare the 30day and 60day moving averages of network hashrate to identify when miners are under financial pressureIn the short term, this pressure tends to be negative for price action. Why? cause wen mining becomes unprofitable for some operators, they often need to sell their Bitcoin holdings to cover operational costs. These forced sales can weigh on the market temporarilyWhat matters is the historical pattern: these miner driven sell-offs often mark strong long-term entry points for investors. Outside of the unusual 2021 China mining ban, this indicator has been consistently reliable. So Current conditions suggest that accumulating around current levels is a well-timed move.US China Trade Relations Show Thaw, But Tech Tensions PersistMarkets responded positively to signs of easing trade tensions between the US and China. President Trump announced a partial rollback of planned tariffs, resetting them to a composite 55% level: 10% mutual tariffs, 20% fentanyl-related duties, and a carryover 25% from his first term. The agreement is reportedly close to finalization, pending sign-off from both Trump and Xi.However, optimism is guarded. The US Commerce Secretary reiterated a firm stance on tech exports, making it clear that China will not receive top-tier semiconductors. This highlights the deepening fragmentation of global supply chains, increasingly reflected in asset pricing.Middle East Risks Dampen Asia Led Relief RallyTensions in the Middle East resurfaced, overshadowing trade-driven relief in Asia. The US began pulling diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear talks and reported warnings of a possible Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear infrastructure. Oil markets reacted sharply, with Brent crude jumping 7–9% intraday, while risk assets retreated as investors shifted into defensives.Bessent Signals Policy Flex, Hints at Broader RoleTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent, addressing lawmakers on trade and budget strategy, hinted at a potential delay to the July 8 tariff trigger, citing ongoing discussions with key trade partners. He also promoted the “Big Beautiful Bill,” a flagship initiative to boost US industrial competitiveness.Speculation about Bessent being positioned to replace Fed Chair Powell gained traction but was quickly dismissed. Bessent reaffirmed plans to remain at Treasury through 2029. Meanwhile, soft CPI data reignited pressure from Trump on the Fed to cut rates by a full percentage point, citing unsustainable debt service costs.Institutions Deepen Crypto ExposureInstitutional activity in crypto is gaining momentum:GameStop’s \$1.75B convertible note offering may include Bitcoin exposure, reflecting growing interest in crypto as a treasury asset.Ethereum ETFs logged 18 consecutive days of net inflows, with validator queue activity also climbing—signaling confidence in ETH’s yield profile.Solana ETF approvals may be imminent, as the SEC requests S-1 revisions.M\&A and IPO activity in the space is picking up, pointing to revived strategic interest.Despite recent price consolidation, the macro backdrop remains supportive for further institutional adoption and capital inflows into digital assets.The Israeli Air Force is attacking dozens of targets related to Iran's nuclear program and other military facilities, announcing that it will eliminate the Iranian nuclear threat. Affected by this, the capital market fluctuated for a short time, with Bitcoin falling 4% in 1 hour and Ethereum falling 9%

Bitcoin just hit new all time high $ 111,888 🚀 but your grandma hasn’t asked about it yet, so we’re safe!The trading volume of BTC was $ 74.5 billion dollar in the last 24 hours, which is 135% increase from one day ago! yup its time to respect the pumps. also On May 21, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $609 million, marking six consecutive days of net inflows. Spot Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of $587,100, with four consecutive days of inflowsBut something's off… usually ATHs come paired with : A Fear & Greed (F&G) Index that’s notched up to ‘Extreme Greed’ Funding rates that are telling us that ‘Markets are over heated right now!’ A boom in mindshare outside of crypto (like Uber drivers start giving crypto advice) But so far, this is what we’re seeing…1/ F&G is in the mid range of ‘Greed’Below 60 = Neutral. Above 80 = Extreme Greed2/ Funding rates are chillWhen funding rates move into the high positive region (0.05 – 0.08), it indicates that there’s an excess of leverage (loans) in the system and the risk of a pullback is increased…But right now, we’re sitting pretty at 0.0053/ Google search volume for Bitcoin is still in the gutterStill no significant change from last Wednesday. Bitcoin’s search interest is still stupidly low, given its price. Here’s why all of this is actually a good thing:As we said this time last week – the market could still turn from here…But if it decides it wants to keep running, it still has room to do so:Greed isn’t overblown, markets aren’t overheated with leverage (loans), and broad interest in BTC isn’t saturated by any means.just double check our Wen Sell analysis, I dunno why some of you panic sell or become drama queen, we are in middle of bull run and as I said before 30% corrections are normal Stablecoins = crypto’s killer use caseMinting = an expectation of future demand. Demand that’s likely only going to continue growing. The crazy part? The ‘big dogs’ (institutions) haven’t even entered the sector yet… at least not in any meaningful way. But that’s quickly changing, thanks to the following:1/ Stablecoins vs M2 Money SupplyThe amount of money held in cash, checking/savings deposits, time deposits, and retail money market mutual funds is called ‘M2’ – so when you hear M2, think: ‘US dollar supply’ 2/ The Genius Act is progressingThe Genius Act would set regulatory guidelines designed to support the growth/proliferation of stablecoins in the US and yesterday, the US Senate voted to continue voting on it. 3/ Stablecoin issuers = Top GainersThat forward movement on the Genius Act may seem like a nothing burger on the surface – but it seems to have had a tangible effect on the stablecoin market.4 of the top 7 gainers yesterday were issuers of yield bearing stablecoins (i.e. stablecoins that pay users interest simply for holding them.) 4/Trump family has entered the stablecoin spaceBinance will list World Liberty Financial USD (USD1) on May 22, 2025. USD1 is a digital asset backed by the US dollar, launched by World Liberty Financial (WLFI), and issued and managed by BitGo Trust Companylong story short demand for crypto assets, especially stablecoins, is building and institutional capital is just beginning to enter the space so dont fomo and focus on crypto gems because after BTC pump altcoins will pump one by one25,000 BTC options are set to expire with a Put/Call Ratio of 1.22, a max pain point at $104,000, and a notional value of $2.81 billion. Meanwhile, 202,000 ETH options will also expire with a Put/Call Ratio of 1.26, a max pain point at $2,450, and a notional value of $570 millionRisk sentiment remains unsettled. Following a steady rise in risk assets since late April—and with the S&P 500 approaching the psychologically important 6,000 level amid declining market volatility President Trump unexpectedly reignited trade tensions by proposing a significant hike in tariffs on EU imports, raising them from 20% to 50%. The timing raised eyebrows, given the market’s elevated position.Despite the shock, markets regained composure after Trump postponed the tariff implementation deadline to July 9. European stocks and U.S. futures opened higher today, though the episode serves as a stark reminder of how quickly political developments can upend market stability. The volatility spread between July and June BTC options, which had peaked at over 2 points last week, has now narrowed to under 1—possibly indicating the market is preparing for another shift in policy ahead of the new deadline.Inflation continues to shape the broader economic outlook. This Friday’s PCE report is under intense scrutiny, as it could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. Although oil prices have eased, growing port congestion in Europe is beginning to affect Asia and the U.S., potentially increasing shipping costs and introducing new inflationary pressures.Over the weekend, BTC briefly fell to $106K but rebounded to $110K, supported by sustained inflows into spot ETFs. Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT has seen 30 consecutive days of net inflows, highlighting the increasing institutional presence in the crypto space.One of the more interesting trends is the divergence between crypto and tech stocks. While digital assets remain resilient, consistent outflows from the TQQQ NASDAQ ETF since April suggest that investors may be shifting strategies—either rotating into other assets or hedging despite strength in the broader stock market.In an environment marked by unpredictable policymaking, crypto is starting to appear as the more disciplined player at the table.

We focus on projects with solid fundamentals typically those already generating revenue or on the verge of monetization or ones that could turn to lambos! Pendle, a yield derivatives platform, is doing just that raising its take rate from 3% to 5%. This move sends a strong signal. Wen a platform raises fees, it often reflects pricing power and underlying market strength. Still, before diving deeper, we look for signs that the project merits attention starting with current revenue performancePendle is currently pulling in around $ 20 million in annualized revenue. Honestly, that’s pretty solid. Numbers like that would easily rank it among the top 20 protocols in the entire crypto space. So, Pendle has quickly become a project that's too interesting and relevant for us to ignore any longer. Oh, and here’s one more thing that makes Pendle stand out…If you hold their token $ PENDLE and lock it up, you get a cut of the protocol’s revenue kind of like earning dividends. But don’t expect the usual boring 4-5% dividends you see with traditional stocks. In 2024, they’ve delivered a massive 40% payout. Yes, you read that right!And it gets better. They’ve recently made a smart move: rewards are now paid out in stablecoins instead of $ PENDLE tokens, which could mean less selling pressure on the token. When you see this many updates and bullish signals backed by solid fundamentals, there’s zero chance we’re not taking a closer look. But there's always more to the story. So let’s find out what’s really going on:We always start with the team because it’s one of the most crucial ingredients behind any successful startup.The team is the engine that drives the project forward, especially in the early days. You want to make sure they have the skills to actually pull it off and that they’re committed for the long run, not just here to cash out and vanishPendle launched in 2021, created by TN Lee, Vu Nguyen, and two anonymous developers known as GT and YK. Let’s quickly introduce the two known founders and take a look at their backgrounds. Before starting Pendle, TN Lee now the CEO was leading Business Development at Kyber Network, a decentralized exchange aggregator. His background in DeFi and blockchain from Kyber played a key role in building Pendle’s unique approach to yield tokenization and trading.Vu Nguyen, Pendle’s Chief Engineer, is a three-time Math Olympiad gold medalist who graduated with a degree in Computer Science from Singapore. He previously developed smart contracts at Digix, a project that focused on gold tokenization. Both founders have been active in the space for years, contributing to other projects long before launching Pendle, so they’re definitely not new to the game.What’s interesting is that one of them comes from a BD/Sales background something you don’t see often in crypto founders. And honestly, that’s an underrated skill when it comes to growing and scaling a product.True, they don’t come from the traditional finance (TradFi) world which some might expect for a project like this, but even without that we feel pretty good about what these two bring to the table.Plus as we’ll see later they don’t have any vested tokens left, yet they’re still here, building and shipping. That says a lot about their commitment. Alright, let’s take a look at the size of the market Pendle is going after.When it comes to traditional finance, interest rate derivatives are some of the biggest beasts in the game. And that’s exactly what Pendle is bringing onchain.This market is absolutely massive. It's estimated to see $400 to $500 trillion in trading volume every yearSo when you stack that next to Pendle’s $ 36B in 2024, it’s clear they’ve only scratched the surface. The upside here is huge. But it’s not just the volume that’s impressive it’s the growth that really stands out. In 2024, Pendle’s trading volume grew by a staggering 90x compared to 2023. That kind of explosive growth doesn’t happen by accident. It’s a strong signal that more users are using their products24 hour trading volume is $ 62 million dollar now and market cap of $ 635 million dollar. It has a circulating supply of 162,252,302 PENDLE coins . lets check the chart, as you seewe just broke super important 3.3$ resistance and looking at BTC mood to hit 4.3 and 4.7$

Global markets kicked off the week with renewed risk appetite after a major shift in US-China trade policy. Both nations agreed to temporarily roll back tariffs, marking a potential turning point in global commerce. U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports will be reduced from 145% to 30%, while China will cut duties on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%. The de-escalation triggered a strong relief rally, with U.S. equity markets opening 3% higher as investors priced in a resurgence in cross-border trade activitySafe haven assets retreated in response. Gold, often a hedge against macro uncertainty and trade friction, dropped nearly 3% before trimming losses. The macro landscape is reverting to a more traditional alignment — firmer U.S. dollar, higher Treasury yields, and weaker gold fueling renewed volatility selling across asset classes. The VIX has fallen to 18, and BTC short-dated implied volatility has compressed by over 5 pointsIn crypto, BTC and ETH saw an initial pullback following the announcement but have since stabilized near $104K and $2.4K, respectively. However, rotation within the digital asset space is becoming evident. BTC dominance has fallen below 63%, while alternative assets notably ETH are beginning to outperform.BTC remains caught between dual narratives: as a digital safe-haven and a high-beta risk asset. This identity conflict is contributing to its lack of directional clarity. With markets shifting from protectionism to a more trade-friendly backdrop, BTC could remain range-bound in the near term. That said, the macro pivot may influence options markets. A shift toward longer investment horizons typically supports demand for longer-dated options, reduces near-term put hedging needs, and steepens the volatility curve.ETH, in contrast, is exhibiting a more constructive trajectory. Funding rates remain neutral, and options skew continues to favor puts, suggesting the move is not driven by excessive speculation. The breakout above $2,400 aligns with momentum around the Pectra upgrade. We’re also seeing early signs of renewed interest in long dated ETH options, potentially positioning the asset as the next key allocation for institutional flows.On the macro front, the U.S. CPI print for April showed continued disinflation. Headline CPI rose 2.3% year-over-year, below expectations (2.4%) and the lowest since February 2021. Core CPI matched forecasts at 2.8%, also marking the slowest pace since March 2021. The softer inflation data further supports the current risk-on sentiment and underpins dovish policy expectations.Wait... what about DOGE? We’re meme degens, after allETH may have kicked off Alt Szn, but you already know memes are nextsit back and enjoy the showWith equities under pressure, a persistently cautious Fed, and the US credit rating highlighting Washington’s fiscal vulnerabilities, Trump appears to be feeling the heat. On Saturday, the president lashed out at Walmart for raising prices in response to tariffs and even signaled a willingness to travel to China to reignite trade talks.Bitcoin, however, is holding up comparatively well, briefly touching $107,000 on Sunday. The initial rally was likely sparked by Metaplanet’s $104 million BTC purchase, adding to Strategy Inc’s usual weekend accumulation. That said, the move, which also saw a jump in BTC perpetual funding rates, was short-lived. Dealers long gamma seized the opportunity to lock in profits, triggering liquidations in leveraged long positions.While BTC has since retraced its weekend gains during Asia trading, it remains firmly within its recent range, underpinned by a notable uptick in institutional demand. Spot ETFs continue to attract inflows, pointing to resilient underlying support.What’s particularly striking is BTC’s ability to rally over the weekend despite a risk-off tone in equities following the Moody’s US credit rating downgrade. This reinforces BTC’s positioning as a legitimate store of value, a narrative that continues to gather momentum and may serve as a long-term catalyst.Meanwhile, the broader crypto narrative is also gaining traction. Coinbase (COIN) is set to join the S&P 500 later tonight, a symbolic milestone that underscores growing mainstream acceptance and institutional credibility. The timing is fortuitous, following its strategic acquisition of Deribit.Volatility markets are reflecting this optimism. Despite spot prices chopping sideways and macro uncertainties lingering, crypto vols remain relatively elevated. Notably, BTC call skew remains intact across most tenors, suggesting a structurally bullish outlook.Bitcoin showed a muted response to last Friday’s macroeconomic developments, even as the stock market experienced a strong rally. Institutional interest in spot ETFs remained consistent, providing underlying support to BTC. However, front-end implied volatility stayed elevated, with Bitcoin trading within a narrow $107k to $110k range.The persistent high levels of short-term volatility indicate that traders are bracing for potential headline-driven moves leading up to the Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas, set to take place from May 27 to 29. Attention is already turning to the list of speakers, which includes JD Vance, Michael Saylor, Donald Trump Jr., and Eric Trump.A similar scenario unfolded during last July’s Bitcoin Conference in Nashville. Back then, a keynote by President Trump coincided with a sharp spike in 1-day implied volatility, which surged past 90, followed by a quick reversal and a nearly 30% drop in BTC within two days. That event continues to influence current market sentiment.Although a comparable drop seems unlikely now, market positioning reflects a cautious stance. Open interest in perpetual futures has declined, and funding rates have returned to normal over the past 24 hours. Some prominent retail traders, like James Wynn, have also reduced their positions. There remains strong interest in short-term downside protection.Amid this backdrop, reports—later denied—of Trump Media considering a $3 billion crypto fundraising round have further heightened market sensitivity to headlines. Given these dynamics, BTC is expected to remain within its current range in the near future. Once the conference concludes and the major speeches are delivered, front-end volatility is likely to decline as event-related risk premiums dissipate.

“ Pectra is for the people. for years, upgrades made Ethereum work better. Pectra makes Ethereum feel better ” -EthOrgIf you’re yet to explore the changes Pectra brought to Ethereum, lemme catch you upPectra means fewer clicks to get things done onchain, smarter wallets, cheaper transactions, cleaner staking and in practice, all of that looks a little something like this:1/ Less clicks per actionNo more double signing every time you want to take an action onchain, and no more of those dreaded "approve + confirm" loops that make you want to throw your phone at a wall.2/ All pre existing Ethereum wallets are now ‘Smart Wallets’That means you can now batch transactions, skip approval popups, pay fees in any ETH-based token, run conditional payments (e.g. “Pay only if X happens first”), and sponsored transactions (i.e. third-party apps can cover your gas fees).3/ Cheaper transactionsMore data storage is being made available for transaction records, which will result in better scaling for L2s, and lower costs for users (especially when there’s a lot of traffic onchain).4/ Cleaner stakingValidator caps just went from 32 to 2048 ETH (enabling reward compounding and more flexibility to stake larger amounts without needing multiple validator setups)Staking deposits just got quicker (meaning you start earning rewards sooner)The staking withdrawal process can now be managed by smart contracts (making the process more customizable and efficient) but honestly, why read about it when you can open up your Ethereum wallet and actively experience the changes! Burn the Boats Ethereum pumped over 20% since I said Burn the Boats and the 24h vol passed 50 billion dollar, so lets see whats going on with Eth and wen its time to buy a new Lambo! why we pump ? wellFirst, stablecoin supply is on the rise, which usually signals fresh capital flowing into crypto markets. It’s a bit like dry powder waiting to be deployed, and right now, ETH seems to be the target. Traders are rotating out of sidelines and back into risk on assets Ethereum being top of mind.Second, short sellers are getting squeezed. As ETH pushes higher, those who bet against it are being forced to buy back in, further accelerating the price move. It's the classic domino effect: one short covers, then another, and suddenly the momentum feeds on itself.Third, ETH is showing some serious resilience. Even with big wallets (whales) cashing out and whispers of coordinated selling attempts, the price is holding strong. That kind of bounce back speaks to solid underlying demand.Technical indicators are flashing green, too. MACD is hinting at bullish momentum, and CRSI shows things are a bit overheated which could mean short-term volatility, but also confirms that momentum is real.ETH is riding a combo of renewed investor interest, short squeezes, and hype around future catalysts. It's a bullish cocktail though it’s always smart to watch for pullbacks after big moves like thisAlt szn just got started, which coin you load now and why ?BlackRock files to allow in kind redemptions for its Ethereum Trust, enabling direct ETH buybacksOver the past month, more than 1 million ETH have been withdrawn from centralized exchanges, which accounts for approximately 5.5% of the total ETH held on these platforms. This trend suggests that users are increasingly choosing to accumulate Ethereum rather than trade it

Bull or Bear market? That is the question Today we sit in some of the most uncertain times we’ve seen in markets (and geopolitics) in many years.Trump vs Xi JinpingA global trade war, with a focus on the 2 most powerful economies in the world (USA & China), has put markets and global economies into a downward spiral of fear and confusion. What happens next is anyone's guess, considering everything can change on a whim from the decisions of two men: President Trump and President Xi Jinping.While I cannot predict the exact outcome, today I’m going to attempt to provide some clarity in all the chaos.Right now everyone else is focusing on tariffs and a trade war, but let’s not forget that the world continues to go round and economies still continue to function. What this means is that there is still data and charts that we can look at to understand where things are heading.Of course, the result of the trade negotiations will dictate the final outcome of markets, so we must weigh the various scenarios with our analysis But first, let’s forget about the trade war and the tariffs (I know it’s not easy to do), I will get to that at the end of the report. IRAN US DramaIran and the US just finished the second round of nuclear negotiations in Rome. It was constructive, and both sides seem ready for a third round and possibly reaching a dealWe know that the price of Bitcoin, crypto and most other assets, correlate along with the business cycle.If you want to understand the direction of markets, it’s imperative that you understand the direction of the business cycle. when the business cycle bottoms and begins to move upwards, Bitcoin and crypto assets begin to rise. When the ISM is rising but is below 50, Bitcoin outperforms. When the ISM passes 50, this is when altcoins historically start to outperform and finally, when the ISM tops and heads lower, we typically go into a +12-month bear market where both Bitcoin and altcoins pullback significantly. This bull market has been a unique one because it is now almost 2 years since the ISM bottomed out and we have yet to reach a sustained ISM above 50. Many people are saying: “the real bull market hasn’t started yet”, though I’m not sure most people realize it’s because the ISM has not sustained a break above 50 to the upside.Now, of course the current global trade war will impact the ISM, but setting that aside for a moment, the ISM has been in a sideways chop for 29 months now, starting well before the trade war started. This is very unusual and is what has been holding back crypto from having its typical fireworks style bull market. long story short BTC acting normal and most whales and bulls playing defensive thanks to Trump..everyone sick of winning these days!Bitcoin experienced a notable surge over Easter, climbing above 87K during early Asian trading hours, effectively reversing much of the losses triggered by former President Trump's unexpected “Liberation Day” announcement on April 2. While cryptocurrency markets often see sudden rallies during long weekends, this particular move stood in stark contrast to the more subdued December "Santa Rally." This time, Bitcoin made a strong showing.Bitcoin wasn't the only asset to see a boost gold also reached new all time highs, driven by escalating trade tensions and a weakening US dollar. With stocks closing in the red last week and extending their decline into April, the narrative of Bitcoin as a potential safe haven or inflation hedge is gaining momentum once again. If this trend continues, it could provide a significant boost to institutional Bitcoin investments.In fact, we're already seeing early signs of institutional confidence returning. Spot BTC ETF inflows turned positive last week, with net inflows of $13.4 million, a sharp contrast to the previous week's outflows of $708 million. In the options market, positioning has become more balanced, with risk reversals across different maturities flattening out, moving away from the persistent bias toward short-term puts seen in recent weeks.So, is this simultaneous rally in Bitcoin and gold just a holiday fluke, or does it signal a genuine shift toward Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset? A shift would represent a significant change in how traditional finance views Bitcoin. With Europe still on holiday, market confirmation may take a few more days. The correlation between Bitcoin, gold, and equities is definitely something to monitor closely.For now, we're focusing on the critical $88.8k resistance level. Until it breaks decisively, we remain cautious about drawing firm conclusions.cant wait for alt szn