SMC-Trading-Point

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 4H chart using SMC + EMA + HTF support logic. ⸻ Market Context (4H) • Primary bias: Bullish continuation (after correction) • Strong impulsive sell-off was corrective, not a trend change • Overall higher-timeframe structure is still bullish • Price is now reacting from a key HTF support zone ⸻ What Just Happened • Price swept sell-side liquidity aggressively • Immediate rejection from lows → strong bullish reaction • This indicates smart-money absorption at discount • Market is now in a recovery / rebalancing phase ⸻ Key Levels on Chart HTF Demand / Strong Support Zone ~4,285 – 4,325 • Labeled as key strong support level • Previous consolidation base • Where institutions previously accumulated • Area of highest-probability defense FVG / Re-entry Zone ~4,345 – 4,365 • Inefficiency left by impulsive drop • Ideal pullback / continuation zone • Price already reacting here (green arrow) ⸻ Trade Idea (Primary Scenario) BUY Setup (Continuation Play) • Entry: 4,345 – 4,365 • Stop Loss: Below 4,285 • Targets: • TP1: 4,403 (EMA 50 / mid-structure) • TP2: 4,480 • Final TP: 4,520 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Checklist Before committing size, look for: • Bullish engulfing from FVG • Strong rejection wicks • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Price holding above the strong support zone ⸻ Invalidation • 4H close below ~4,285 • Acceptance below HTF demand If that happens → bullish continuation is invalid, and deeper downside is possible. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup shows classic HTF liquidity grab → reaction → continuation: • Sell-side liquidity taken • Strong HTF demand respected • FVG acting as re-entry • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + trend-channel continuation. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Price is respecting a well-defined ascending channel • Market structure remains higher highs & higher lows • EMAs: • EMA 50 above EMA 200 • EMA 50 acting as dynamic support • Recent consolidation near highs = absorption, not reversal ⸻ What Price Is Doing • After the impulsive rally, price paused at internal resistance • This pause is forming a controlled pullback • The projected path shows a dip into discount → continuation higher This is classic trend continuation behavior. ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Lower Blue Area) ~4,475 – 4,495 Strong confluence here: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 50 support (~4,498) • Rising channel support • Clear reaction point (green arrow) This is the high-probability long zone, not the current price. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the impulse low → recent high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entry (OTE) Institutions typically rebalance longs here in an uptrend ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,475 – 4,495 • Stop Loss: Below demand & channel (~4,455) • Targets: • TP1: 4,535 (recent high) • TP2: 4,560 • Final TP: 4,575 – 4,580 (marked target / upper channel liquidity) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only execute if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from the zone • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,455 • Acceptance below channel support + EMA 50 If this occurs → bullish continuation idea is invalid, and price may rotate deeper. ⸻Mr smc Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • OTE + demand + EMA confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Key edge: wait for price to come discount and confirm buyers, don’t chase highs. Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSDT – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + EMA confluence. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Clear impulsive bullish displacement broke previous structure • Price is holding above EMA 50 & EMA 200 • Current move down is a controlled pullback, not a reversal ⸻ What the Market Is Doing • After the impulse, price retraced to rebalance inefficiency • Pullback is occurring into discount within an uptrend • Structure remains intact → buyers still in control ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~87,600 – 88,050 This zone is high-probability because of: • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • SMC demand / order block • EMA 50 support (~87,983) • Prior consolidation before impulse • Long lower wicks → sell-side liquidity taken This is where smart money typically reloads longs. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entr Ideal location for trend continuation setups ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 87,650 – 88,050 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~87,100) • Targets: • TP1: 88,900 (recent high) • TP2: 89,600 • Final TP: 90,360 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 to 1:4 ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only enter if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~87,100 • Acceptance below EMA 50 + demand If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek deeper liquidity. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This is a textbook bullish continuation setup: • Strong impulse • OTE + demand + EMA confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using trend structure + SMC + Fibonacci OTE. ⸻ Market Context • Overall bias: Bullish • Price is respecting a rising channel • Market structure still shows higher highs & higher lows • Recent drop is a healthy pullback, not a trend reversal ⸻ Why Price Is Pulling Back • Price reacted near short-term resistance (0 level) • Profit-taking + liquidity sweep caused a retracement • Pullback is heading into a discount zone within an uptrend ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~4,465 – 4,480 This zone has strong confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 50 support • Rising trendline support • Clear reaction level (green arrow) This is where buyers are expected to defend the trend. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the recent impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 → shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook area for trend continuation entries ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,465 – 4,480 • Stop Loss: Below demand & trendline (~4,450) • Targets: • TP1: 4,500 (internal structure high) • TP2: 4,525 • Final TP: 4,551 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only enter if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-TF CHoCH • Failure to close below the demand zone • Momentum expansion after tapping the zone ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,450 • Acceptance below trendline + EMA 50 If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek the lower support. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a high-probability bullish pullback: • Trend intact • Fib OTE + demand • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSD – intraday (likely 1H–4H) chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + mean-reversion logic. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation (corrective pullback) • Price sold off impulsively, then started to slow down into discount • The move down shows decreasing momentum, suggesting sell-side liquidity absorption, not continuation lower ⸻ Why Price Pulled Back • Liquidity was taken above the recent swing high • Price retraced into a deep discount area • This is a classic rebalancing move after an impulsive leg ⸻ Key Demand / Order Block Zone (Blue Area) ~85,800 – 86,700 Strong confluence: • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • Clearly marked order block (ob) • Prior reaction lows • Psychological support around 86k • Green arrow → first buyer response already visible This is the highest-probability long area on the chart. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from impulse low → swing high: • 0.62 → shallow reaction • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook location for trend continuation entries ⸻ Trade Idea (Example Plan) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 86,000 – 86,700 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~85,200) • Targets: • TP1: 88,050 (EMA / mid-range) • TP2: 89,800 – 90,000 • Final TP: 90,700+ (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: ~1:3 to 1:5 ⸻ Best Confirmation Signals Before entering, look for: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from the zone • Lower-TF CHoCH • Compression → expansion behavior • Failure of price to accept below the order block ⸻ Invalidation • Strong close below ~85,200 • Acceptance below the OB with momentum If that happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price likely seeks deeper HTF liquidity. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a classic BTC continuation play • Deep discount • OTE + order block • Liquidity above acting as magnet Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci + trend continuation. ⸻ Market Context • Overall bias: Bullish • Price is respecting an ascending trend structure • Higher highs & higher lows remain intact • Recent move down is a controlled pullback, not a reversal • EMA structure: • EMA 50 above EMA 200 • EMA 50 acting as dynamic support ⸻ Pullback Logic After the impulsive rally: • Price retraced into: • Trendline support • EMA 50 • Fib discount zone • This signals healthy consolidation before continuation ⸻ Key Demand Zone (Blue Area) ~4,455 – 4,465 Confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib 0.62 – 0.79 retracement • EMA 50 • Rising trendline support • Marked reaction (green arrow) → buyers stepping in This is the high-probability buy zone. ⸻ Fibonacci Insight Measured from the latest impulse low → high: • 0.5 → shallow reaction • 0.62 – 0.79 → optimal institutional rebalance zone (OTE) Price reacting here supports trend continuation ⸻ Trade Idea (Example Plan) Buy confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,455 – 4,465 • Stop Loss: Below demand & trendline (~4,440) • Targets: • TP1: 4,500 (range high) • TP2 / Final: 4,540 (marked target point) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Enter only if you see: • Bullish engulfing / strong rejection wick • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Momentum expansion from the zone ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,440 • Clean break and acceptance below EMA 50 + trendline If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek the lower FVG/demand. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • EMA + Fib + demand confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSD – Daily (1D) chart using SMC + Fibonacci + EMA mean-reversion logic. ⸻ Market Context • Higher-timeframe bias: Bullish (macro) • Long-term structure still intact despite the pullback • Current move down = deep corrective phase, not confirmed trend reversal yet • Price is trading below EMA 50, but reacting near EMA 200 + HTF support ⸻ What Happened (Why BTC Dropped) • Liquidity taken at the October high • Sharp impulsive sell-off → distribution + stop-hunt • Price retraced into a high-confluence discount zone ⸻ Key Demand / Accumulation Zone (Blue Area) ~85,000 – 92,000 This zone is important because it aligns with: • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • Previous daily demand • Range low support • Proximity to EMA 50 (93K) → mean reversion magnet • Multiple long lower wicks → absorption This suggests smart money accumulation, not panic selling. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from major swing low → all-time high • 0.5 & 0.62 → failed supports • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook location for trend continuation buys ⸻ Trade Idea (Swing Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 86,000 – 90,000 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~82,000) • Targets: • TP1: 93,000 (EMA 50) • TP2: 101,800 (EMA 200 / mid-range) • Final TP: 121,000+ (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: 1:4 to 1:6 (swing setup) ⸻ Confirmation Signals (Very Important on BTC) Wait for at least one: • Daily or 4H bullish engulfing • Strong rejection wick from demand • 4H CHoCH after sweep of lows • Compression → expansion behavior ⸻ Invalidation • Daily close below ~82,000 • Acceptance below demand with strong volume If that happens → bullish swing idea is invalid, and market likely seeks lower HTF liquidity. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This is a high-timeframe accumulation & continuation setup: • Deep discount • Fib OTE + demand • EMA mean reversion BTC rewards patience and HTF discipline — confirmation > prediction. If you want, I can: • Break this into a 4H / 1H execution plan • Help you build a BTC-specific SMC swing model • Or map bearish alternative scenarios for risk control Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point Update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + trend exhaustion logic. ⸻ Market Context • Strong impulsive bullish move into highs → signs of buy-side liquidity taken • Price is now stalling at resistance • Momentum is weakening after expansion → distribution phase ⸻ Key Area (Supply / Liquidity Zone) • Upper blue zone (~4490–4500) • Multiple rejections (red arrows) • Equal highs / liquidity pool • Classic SMC supply zone • Indicates smart money selling into late buyers ⸻ EMA Structure • EMA 50 far extended from price • Typical behavior after strong rallies: • Price returns to mean value • EMA acts as a magnet → correction likely ⸻ Bias Bearish retracement / reversal scenario This is not a trend change yet, but a high-probability corrective sell after liquidity grab. ⸻ Trade Idea (Example Plan) Sell from Supply • Entry: 4488 – 4500 (sell on rejection / confirmation) • Stop Loss: Above supply zone (~4510–4520) • Targets: • TP1: 4426 (EMA 50) • TP2: 4380–4365 (key support / demand zone) • Final target: ~4367 (marked target point) RR potential: 1:3 to 1:5 depending on entry ⸻ Best Confirmation Signals Wait for one of these at supply: • Bearish engulfing candle (1H or 15m) • Long upper wicks (failed breakout) • Lower-timeframe CHoCH / BOS • Decreasing bullish volume ⸻ Invalidation • Clean 1H close above 4500 • Acceptance above supply zone • Strong continuation with no rejection If that happens → bearish idea is invalid. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading Point Summary This setup is: • Liquidity grab at highs • Supply + overextension • Mean reversion toward EMA & demand Patience matters — wait for confirmation, don’t chase. If you want, I can: • Break this down into a 15m or 5m execution model • Or help you define partial profit & trailing logic Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading point update Technical of analysis depicts a bearish descending channel* on the BTC/USDT 4-hour chart with the following key elements: 1. Channel structure Price is moving within a clear descending channel (black parallel lines), indicating a sustained downtrend. 2. Breakout point: The black dot marks a recent break below the lower channel line, signaling potential continuation of the bearish momentum. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target: The projected downside target is ≈80,428.17 USDT, shown by the horizontal “target point” line. 4. EMA (200): The blue exponential moving average (200-period) is acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias. 5. Price action: The latest candle closes at 89,037.66 USDT down -0.36% for the session, with reduced volume (-1.33% Vol). The overall idea is that after the breakdown from the channel, the analyst expects BTC/USDT to head toward the 80.4k support zone. Please support boost this analysis

SMC Trading Point Technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) 1-hour chart shows a bullish "SMC" (Smart Money Concept) analysis with these key points: 1. Structure: Price breaks out of an ascending channel and forms a consolidation zone (blue shaded area). The breakout suggests potential continuation upward. 2. EMAs - EMA(200) is at 4,222.79. - EMA(50) is at 4,270.71. - Price (4,299.91) is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum. 3. Fibonacci levels: - 0.62, 0.705, and 0.79 retracement zones are marked for potential support. 4. Entry: Long position considered after breakout above the consolidation, with price aiming for the "target point" around 4,355.40. Mr SMC Trading Point 5. Target: Upside target set at ~4,355.40, offering roughly a 1.3% move from current price. 6. Stop Loss: Place below the support zone (near 4,270 or EMA 50) to manage risk. 7. Confirmation: Look for strong bullish candles or volume spike post-breakout to validate the move. Please support boost this analysis