Technical analysis by SMC-Trading-Point about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (12/23/2025)

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSD – Daily (1D) chart using SMC + Fibonacci + EMA mean-reversion logic. ⸻ Market Context • Higher-timeframe bias: Bullish (macro) • Long-term structure still intact despite the pullback • Current move down = deep corrective phase, not confirmed trend reversal yet • Price is trading below EMA 50, but reacting near EMA 200 + HTF support ⸻ What Happened (Why BTC Dropped) • Liquidity taken at the October high • Sharp impulsive sell-off → distribution + stop-hunt • Price retraced into a high-confluence discount zone ⸻ Key Demand / Accumulation Zone (Blue Area) ~85,000 – 92,000 This zone is important because it aligns with: • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • Previous daily demand • Range low support • Proximity to EMA 50 (93K) → mean reversion magnet • Multiple long lower wicks → absorption This suggests smart money accumulation, not panic selling. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from major swing low → all-time high • 0.5 & 0.62 → failed supports • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook location for trend continuation buys ⸻ Trade Idea (Swing Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 86,000 – 90,000 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~82,000) • Targets: • TP1: 93,000 (EMA 50) • TP2: 101,800 (EMA 200 / mid-range) • Final TP: 121,000+ (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: 1:4 to 1:6 (swing setup) ⸻ Confirmation Signals (Very Important on BTC) Wait for at least one: • Daily or 4H bullish engulfing • Strong rejection wick from demand • 4H CHoCH after sweep of lows • Compression → expansion behavior ⸻ Invalidation • Daily close below ~82,000 • Acceptance below demand with strong volume If that happens → bullish swing idea is invalid, and market likely seeks lower HTF liquidity. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This is a high-timeframe accumulation & continuation setup: • Deep discount • Fib OTE + demand • EMA mean reversion BTC rewards patience and HTF discipline — confirmation > prediction. If you want, I can: • Break this into a 4H / 1H execution plan • Help you build a BTC-specific SMC swing model • Or map bearish alternative scenarios for risk control Please support boost this analysis