John_Isige

Ethereum is trading near $4308, consolidating just below heavy resistance at $4400–$4600. Order book heatmaps show massive liquidity stacked here, while support thins around $3800–$4000. A break above could trigger a large-scale short squeeze — nearly $13.22B in shorts sit at risk around $4700. Wave Structure •Wave iii peaked at $4612 (78.6% Fib). •Wave iv bottomed at $4061 (23.6% Fib). •Next extension targets: $5233, $5815, $6406. •Long-term Fibonacci extension: $6922. Funding & Sentiment Funding rates have normalized after swinging negative in September. Neutral positioning reflects market indecision: breakout or deeper retrace. Key Levels •Resistance: 4400–4600, 4700, 5233, 5815 •Support: 4061, 3800, 3665–3374 Trading Plan 📈 Long above 4600 → Targets: 4700 / 5233 / 5815 (SL 4300) 📉 Short below 4060 → Targets: 3800 / 3665 (SL 4220)

Shiba Inu burned 8.8M SHIB last week, while exchange reserves fell to their lowest since 2023. This suggests accumulation, reducing sell pressure. Price is testing support at 0.00001168. Key Levels •Resistance: 0.00001269, 0.00001278 (100MA), 0.00001295 (200MA) •Support: 0.00001168, 0.00001129 Indicators MACD still negative but shows narrowing gap → seller pressure weakening. Trading Scenarios 📈 Long above 0.00001269 → 0.00001295 (SL: 0.00001150) 📉 Short below 0.00001168 → 0.00001129 (SL: 0.00001220) ⸻

Hedera’s native token HBAR is under renewed bearish pressure, trading near $0.2127, down ~2% in 24h and 5% on the week. The decline has brought the price back into the critical $0.21–$0.20 support zone, which traders often view as a key battleground. Market cap dropped to $9.01B (–1.5% daily), while trading volume surged to $257.8M, highlighting intensified activity. Liquidations reached $137K, with long traders losing nearly 3x more than shorts — a sign of ongoing downside pressure. Despite the bearish tilt, on-chain developments added bullish undertones: contract addresses linked to BlackRock, State Street, Aberdeen, and Libre were spotted on RWA_xyz, suggesting Hedera could become a major hub for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs). Key Levels •Resistance: $0.22, $0.24–$0.25, $0.28, $0.30 •Support: $0.21–$0.20, $0.19, $0.17 Technical View •RSI: 40, bearish but rebounding from 34 → weakening selling pressure. •MACD: still negative, but narrowing gap and fading red histogram → possible shift in momentum. •Open Interest: flat at $365M, reflecting consolidation and trader caution. Trading Scenarios 📈 Bullish case: Holding $0.21–$0.20 could trigger a rebound → first target $0.22, then $0.24–$0.25. A breakout opens the way to $0.28–$0.30. 📉 Bearish case: Failure to hold above $0.20 risks renewed downside → targets at $0.19 and $0.17. Conclusion HBAR sits at a make-or-break zone. The next sessions will determine whether $0.20 holds as a launchpad for recovery or gives way to deeper losses. Traders should closely watch volume dynamics and RSI momentum for confirmation.

ETH/USD dropped to 3,824.90 last week, hitting a 2-month low after Fed officials signaled no rush for rate cuts. Strong U.S. GDP growth (+3.8% vs. 3.3% forecast) and sticky inflation reinforced caution, sparking $4B in liquidations and dragging the “fear & greed” index to 28. Despite this, ETH rebounded toward 4,200.00, supported by: •ETF inflows rising to $546.9M •Ethereum DEX volumes jumping from $22.9B → $33.9B •Token supply shrinking to 2016 lows on institutional accumulation This backdrop keeps recovery prospects intact. Support / Resistance •Resistance: 4,375 – 4,687 – 5,000 •Support: 3,750 – 3,125 – 2,812 Trading Plan 📈 Buy Stop: above 4,375 → TP 4,687 / 5,000, SL 4,130 📉 Sell Stop: below 3,750 → TP 3,125 / 2,812, SL 4,070 Bias: Sideways → bullish above 4,375. Risk of deeper correction if 3,750 fails.

BTC/USD remains under pressure after testing 109,375 (Murray [3/8]). The rebound toward 112,500 (Murray [4/8], Fib 23.6%) looks fragile. Fed’s cautious stance, strong U.S. GDP growth (+3.8%), and August core PCE at 2.9% keep dollar alternatives capped. Added pressure comes from $100k H-1B visa fee proposals and $4B in liquidations last week. Support / Resistance •Resistance: 114,000 – 118,750 – 121,875 •Support: 109,375 – 105,390 – 103,125 Trading Plan 📉 Sell Stop: below 109,375 → TP 105,390 / 103,125, SL 112,000 📈 Buy Stop: above 114,000 → TP 118,750 / 121,875, SL 110,800 Bias: Short-term bearish while under 112,500. Long-term trend intact above 103,000.

On August 24, 2025, Ethereum reached a new all-time high of $4,958, just below the $5,000 mark. The price is now about 10% lower but remains within striking distance. While investors are still hoping for further records, leading AI models warn that the next bear market could begin sooner than expected. Historical Patterns According to ChatGPT 5.0, Ethereum has historically shown sharper and faster corrections compared to Bitcoin: During the 2017–2018 cycle, after reaching an all-time high of around $1,430 in January 2018, the price collapsed to $85 by December the same year. This represented a decline of roughly –94%, lasting about 11 months. The next cycle in 2021–2022 followed a similar pattern, though less dramatic. ETH peaked at $4,870 in November 2021, but by June 2022 it had dropped to $880. The correction amounted to about –82% and took roughly 7 months. ETH losses were both deeper and faster than BTC during past downturns. ChatGPT 5.0 Forecast •Bull Market ATH (2025): conservative $8,000, optimistic $12,000–$15,000 •Bear Market Low: $1,200–$3,000 •Timeline: Q2–Q3 2026 Other AI Forecasts •Gemini 2.5 Pro (Google): ATH $10,000–$15,000, low $1,500–$3,000, bear market starting Q4 2025 •Claude 4 Sonnet: ATH up to $18,000, low $3,000–$4,500, possible bull run extension into Q1 2026 •Grok 4 (X/Elon Musk): ATH $15,000, low $2,400–$2,800 •Qwen 3 (Alibaba): ATH $11,500–$16,500, low $1,955–$3,630 •Kimi K2 (Moonshot AI): ATH up to $20,000, low $3,000–$5,000 •Llama 4 Maverick (Meta): ATH $12,000, low $1,800 •DeepSeek V3.1: ATH $18,000, low $2,500–$3,000 Conclusion All AI models expect the Ethereum bear market to start by late 2025, with only a few forecasting an extension into Q1 2026. Most projections anticipate new record highs before a steep correction. The consensus for ETH’s bear market bottom ranges between $2,000 and $3,000.

Pair: DOGE/USD Current Price: 0.308 Trend: Testing violet resistance zone ⸻ 🔵 Market Overview Dogecoin rebounded after a retest of the breakout area near 0.256, gaining momentum as the first Dogecoin ETF launched on Wall Street. A widening upper Bollinger Band supports the bullish outlook, with targets above 0.349 now in play. ⸻ 📊 Bullish Targets •0.286 / 0.310 •0.349 (golden pocket) •0.365 •0.410 / 0.435 •0.466 •0.480 / 0.500 📉 Bearish Targets •0.260 / 0.245 (20-day EMA) •0.237 •0.217 / 0.209 (23% Fib, 200-day EMA) •0.189 •0.177 / 0.170 •0.156 •0.143 / 0.131 ⸻ 🔎 Indicators •RSI (daily): 66, still room for gains. •RSI (weekly): Fresh buy signal supports bullish bias. •Trend: Above EMA cluster, buyers remain in control. ⸻ 📈 Trading Scenarios Scenario (Bullish Continuation) •Recommendation: BUY STOP •Entry Point: 0.310 •Take Profit: 0.349, 0.365, 0.410 •Stop Loss: 0.286 Alternative (Bearish Breakdown) •Recommendation: SELL STOP •Entry Point: 0.260 •Take Profit: 0.237, 0.217 •Stop Loss: 0.273

Pair: XRP/USD Current Price: 3.01 Trend: Testing key resistance cluster ⸻ 🔵 Market Overview Ripple rebounded from its monthly low near $2.70, gaining ~7% in the past week. The token is consolidating above the 20- and 50-day EMA (2.91) and is now testing the heavy resistance cluster at 3.00–3.07 (horizontal resistance + descending trendline + 38.2% Fib retracement). Investor sentiment improved on speculation of a potential SEC approval for Ripple Spot ETFs, which could drive demand. ⸻ 📊 Bullish Targets •$3.07 (breakout trigger) •$3.13 (Supertrend, key resistance) •$3.30–3.38 •$3.45 •$3.55–3.66 •$3.92 •$4.25 (161.8% Fib extension) •$4.50–4.67 (max bullish zone) 📉 Bearish Targets •$2.91 (EMA confluence) •$2.77–2.70 (200-day EMA support) •$2.58–2.53 •$2.43 •$2.33–2.26 •$2.17 •$2.08–1.96 (max bearish zone) ⸻ 🔎 Indicators •RSI (daily): Rebounded, close to buy signal. •RSI (weekly): Holding bullish setup. •Trend: Above EMA cluster keeps bullish bias, but failure under 2.70 reopens bearish case. ⸻ 📈 Trading Scenarios Scenario (Bullish Continuation) •Recommendation: BUY STOP •Entry Point: 3.07 •Take Profit: 3.30, 3.45, 3.66 •Stop Loss: 2.91 Alternative (Bearish Breakdown) •Recommendation: SELL STOP •Entry Point: 2.70 •Take Profit: 2.53, 2.43, 2.26 •Stop Loss: 2.91

Pair: ETH/USD Current Price: 4,440–4,605 Trend: Consolidation within long-term uptrend ⸻ 🔵 Market Overview Ethereum briefly hit a new ATH at $4,958 before correcting to the 20-day EMA near $4,400. From there, ETH rebounded to resistance at $4,605, but buyers failed to secure a close above this level. •Spot ETH ETF inflows remain strong, supporting institutional demand. •ETH continues to outperform BTC in 2025, partly due to rising adoption of real-world assets (RWA). •Open interest on CME and exchanges remains elevated, confirming speculative activity. As long as ETH trades above the green uptrend line at $4,440, focus stays on reclaiming $4,605 and retesting last week’s highs. ⸻ 📊 Bullish Targets •$4,605 (key resistance) •$4,782–$4,865 (major breakout zone) •$5,135 (138% Fib projection) •$5,444 •$5,769–$5,948 (maximum bullish target) 📉 Bearish Targets •$4,388–$4,349 (38% Fib retracement) •$4,229 •$4,074 •$4,023–$3,945 (blue support zone) •$3,875–$3,849 •$3,723 •$3,549–$3,500 (max bearish target) ⸻ 🔎 Indicators •RSI (daily): Above neutral, technical buy intact, but momentum capped without reclaiming 60. •MACD: Weakening, still in positive territory. •Trendline: Long-term uptrend intact above $4,440. ⸻ 📈 Trading Scenarios Scenario (Bullish Continuation) •Recommendation: BUY STOP •Entry Point: 4,610 •Take Profit: 4,865, 5,135, 5,444 •Stop Loss: 4,440 Alternative (Bearish Breakdown) •Recommendation: SELL STOP •Entry Point: 4,349 •Take Profit: 4,229, 4,074, 3,945 •Stop Loss: 4,470

Pair: BTC/USD Current Price: 109,000 Trend: Corrective downtrend, testing support ⸻ 🔵 Market Overview Bitcoin fell to 109,000, triggering liquidations worth $900M in a single day. Analysts point to elevated volatility (daily BTC vol surged from 15% → 38%) and higher-than-expected U.S. PPI data as the main drivers. Traders hedge risks ahead of U.S. GDP (Aug 28) and NFP data (early September). Derivatives market shows bearish positioning: 25-delta skew turned negative as investors buy put options. Glassnode data: •Open interest in BTC futures –2.6% •Funding payments for longs +29% ($2.8M → $3.6M) This raises risks of cascading liquidations if the price fails to recover. On-chain activity is mixed: daily active addresses declined, while transaction volumes rose, suggesting dominance of short-term speculators. ⸻ 📊 Key Support Levels •110,000 — average cost basis for short-term holders; critical for stability •103,700 — first deeper support •100,800 — major level; breakdown risks invalidating bullish trend Resistance remains near 115,000–118,000, with ATH retest dependent on macro news. ⸻ 🟢 Positive Drivers •Institutional buying: Strategy acquired 3,081 BTC ($357M) on Aug 25. •ETF inflows: Spot BTC ETFs attracted $219M after a $1.1B weekly outflow. •ETH inflows: Ethereum ETFs recorded $444M, signaling broader market demand. Despite corrections, large investors see opportunity to accumulate. ⸻ 🔎 Technical Setup •Bollinger Bands: widening, reflecting volatility •MACD: decreasing momentum but still above zero •Stochastic: near oversold, possible rebound ⸻ 📈 Trading Scenarios Scenario (Bullish Recovery) •Recommendation: BUY LIMIT •Entry Point: 110,000 •Take Profit: 115,000, 118,000 •Stop Loss: 103,500 Alternative (Bearish Breakdown) •Recommendation: SELL STOP •Entry Point: 103,700 •Take Profit: 100,800, 97,500 •Stop Loss: 106,500