John_Isige

Pair: ETH/USD Current Price: 4,440–4,605 Trend: Consolidation within long-term uptrend ⸻ 🔵 Market Overview Ethereum briefly hit a new ATH at $4,958 before correcting to the 20-day EMA near $4,400. From there, ETH rebounded to resistance at $4,605, but buyers failed to secure a close above this level. •Spot ETH ETF inflows remain strong, supporting institutional demand. •ETH continues to outperform BTC in 2025, partly due to rising adoption of real-world assets (RWA). •Open interest on CME and exchanges remains elevated, confirming speculative activity. As long as ETH trades above the green uptrend line at $4,440, focus stays on reclaiming $4,605 and retesting last week’s highs. ⸻ 📊 Bullish Targets •$4,605 (key resistance) •$4,782–$4,865 (major breakout zone) •$5,135 (138% Fib projection) •$5,444 •$5,769–$5,948 (maximum bullish target) 📉 Bearish Targets •$4,388–$4,349 (38% Fib retracement) •$4,229 •$4,074 •$4,023–$3,945 (blue support zone) •$3,875–$3,849 •$3,723 •$3,549–$3,500 (max bearish target) ⸻ 🔎 Indicators •RSI (daily): Above neutral, technical buy intact, but momentum capped without reclaiming 60. •MACD: Weakening, still in positive territory. •Trendline: Long-term uptrend intact above $4,440. ⸻ 📈 Trading Scenarios Scenario (Bullish Continuation) •Recommendation: BUY STOP •Entry Point: 4,610 •Take Profit: 4,865, 5,135, 5,444 •Stop Loss: 4,440 Alternative (Bearish Breakdown) •Recommendation: SELL STOP •Entry Point: 4,349 •Take Profit: 4,229, 4,074, 3,945 •Stop Loss: 4,470

Pair: BTC/USD Current Price: 109,000 Trend: Corrective downtrend, testing support ⸻ 🔵 Market Overview Bitcoin fell to 109,000, triggering liquidations worth $900M in a single day. Analysts point to elevated volatility (daily BTC vol surged from 15% → 38%) and higher-than-expected U.S. PPI data as the main drivers. Traders hedge risks ahead of U.S. GDP (Aug 28) and NFP data (early September). Derivatives market shows bearish positioning: 25-delta skew turned negative as investors buy put options. Glassnode data: •Open interest in BTC futures –2.6% •Funding payments for longs +29% ($2.8M → $3.6M) This raises risks of cascading liquidations if the price fails to recover. On-chain activity is mixed: daily active addresses declined, while transaction volumes rose, suggesting dominance of short-term speculators. ⸻ 📊 Key Support Levels •110,000 — average cost basis for short-term holders; critical for stability •103,700 — first deeper support •100,800 — major level; breakdown risks invalidating bullish trend Resistance remains near 115,000–118,000, with ATH retest dependent on macro news. ⸻ 🟢 Positive Drivers •Institutional buying: Strategy acquired 3,081 BTC ($357M) on Aug 25. •ETF inflows: Spot BTC ETFs attracted $219M after a $1.1B weekly outflow. •ETH inflows: Ethereum ETFs recorded $444M, signaling broader market demand. Despite corrections, large investors see opportunity to accumulate. ⸻ 🔎 Technical Setup •Bollinger Bands: widening, reflecting volatility •MACD: decreasing momentum but still above zero •Stochastic: near oversold, possible rebound ⸻ 📈 Trading Scenarios Scenario (Bullish Recovery) •Recommendation: BUY LIMIT •Entry Point: 110,000 •Take Profit: 115,000, 118,000 •Stop Loss: 103,500 Alternative (Bearish Breakdown) •Recommendation: SELL STOP •Entry Point: 103,700 •Take Profit: 100,800, 97,500 •Stop Loss: 106,500

Pair: ETH/USD Current Price: 4375.00 Trend: Uptrend correction near Murray [6/8] ⸻ 🔵 Bullish Scenario •Entry: BUY STOP 4570.00 •Targets: 5000.00, 5625.00 •Stop-Loss: 4320.00 🟢 Alternative Bullish Scenario •Entry: BUY LIMIT 3750.00 •Targets: 5000.00, 5625.00 •Stop-Loss: 3400.00 ⸻ 📊 Key Levels •Resistance: 5000.00, 5625.00 •Support: 4375.00, 3750.00 ⸻ 📈 Technical Picture •Bollinger Bands: directed upward, middle band supports 4375.00 •MACD: still positive, though momentum is slowing •Stochastic: turned down, signaling limited correction before potential rebound ⸻ 📌 As long as ETH stays above 4375.00, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakout above 5000.00 would reopen the path toward 5625.00.

Trend: Consolidation below 2021 ATH (4864). Current price: 4275 (recovered from 4084 low). Key factor: ETF outflows (–866M this week), CME shorts, Fed uncertainty. ⸻ Bullish scenario •Break above EMA9 (4275) and resistance 4373–4464 → target 4586. •Next levels: 4782–4864 (ATH test) → 5135 → 5444 → 5769/5948. Bearish scenario •Failure at EMA9 / 4373–4464 → drop to 4182. •Below 4074 → test 4012–3945 support zone. •Next supports: 3875/3849 → 3757 → 3609 → 3521/3473 → 3365 → 3140/3032. ⸻ Indicators •RSI daily: neutral (45–55), room to move higher. •Weekly RSI: no longer overbought, space for continuation. •Monthly RSI: bullish bias (63, pointing up). ⸻ Key levels to watch: Support – 4182, 4074, 4012–3945, 3875. Resistance – 4373–4464, 4586, 4782–4864, 5135. ⸻ 📌 ETH consolidating before Fed Powell’s speech. Breakout above 4464 → bullish continuation; rejection → correction to 4012–3945.

Current Setup ETH dropped from $4,750 → $4,200 and is consolidating near $4,222 support. On-chain data shows long-term holders (LTH) sitting on high unrealized profits, increasing risk of profit-taking. If selling pressure rises, ETH could retest lower supports. Key Levels •Resistance: $4,222 / $4,500 / $4,750 •Support: $4,000 / $3,000 / $2,800 Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario •Recommendation: SELL STOP •Entry: $3,990 •Take Profit: $3,000 / $2,800 •Stop Loss: $4,300 •Timeframe: 7–10 days Alternative Scenario •Recommendation: BUY STOP •Entry: $4,250 •Take Profit: $4,500 / $4,750 •Stop Loss: $4,050 •Timeframe: 7–10 days

Daily Chart •Price leaning on 50-day EMA (critical support). •Holding → could evolve into symmetrical triangle → bullish breakout potential. •Breakdown → targets $0.35 (confluence of liquidity zone + 200-day EMA). •Indicators: RSI < 50 (weak momentum), MACD negative. •Bias: Neutral, dependent on BTC trend. 4H Chart •Price broke below 50 EMA & 200 EMA → now resistance. •Rejection at retest = confirms bearish structure. •Relief signs: RSI oversold, MACD negative momentum fading → possible short-term bounce. •Bullish condition: reclaim 50 & 200 EMA as support. •Bearish condition: failure = continued downside toward $0.35. Key Levels •Resistance: $0.39 / $0.42 •Support: $0.35 / $0.32

Market Context: •Recent high: 4789.00 → profit-taking + Fed uncertainty. •Price testing 4062.50 (Murray [5/8] / Bollinger midline). •Key bullish trigger: breakout above 4687.50 (Murray [7/8]). Key Levels: •Resistance: 4687.50 / 5000.00 / 5625.00 •Support: 4062.50 / 3335.00 (Fib 61.8%) / 2812.50 (Fib 50%) Indicators: •Bollinger Bands → uptrend intact •Stochastics → near oversold, potential reversal •MACD → declining but still negative Scenarios: •BUY STOP → Entry: 4690 | TP: 5000 / 5625 | SL: 4470 •BUY LIMIT → Entry: 4062.50 | TP: 5000 / 5625 | SL: 3700

Price: 4062.50 | Trend: Medium-term uptrend | Timeframe: Weekly Market Context: •ETH pulled back after yearly high at 4789.00. •Current price testing 4062.50 (Murray [5/8], mid Bollinger Band). •Below this → risk of deeper correction: 3335.00 (Fib 61.8%), 2812.50 (Murray [2/8], Fib 50%). •Above 4687.50 → opens path to 5000.00 (Murray [8/8]) and 5625.00 (Murray [+2/8]). Indicators: •Bollinger Bands: upward sloping. •Stochastic: heading down, nearing oversold → possible bounce. •MACD: negative, but momentum fading. Key Levels: •Support: 4062.50 / 3335.00 / 2812.50 •Resistance: 4687.50 / 5000.00 / 5625.00 Scenarios: •BUY STOP: 4690.00 → TP 5000.00 / 5625.00 | SL 4470.00 •BUY LIMIT: 4062.50 → TP 5000.00 / 5625.00 | SL 3700.00

KAS is stuck in a sideways grind just above its 200-day SMA. $0.10 remains the wall to beat — can bulls break through or will $0.085 give way first? Kaspa (KAS) price remains trapped in a tight range, holding just above the 200-day SMA... Kaspa (KAS) price remains trapped in a tight range, holding just above the 200-day SMA but repeatedly failing to clear the $0.10–$0.105 resistance zone. Since peaking at $0.118 in July, KAS has been stuck between key support and resistance levels, now trading at $0.08956 (-9.37% in the last 24h). The descending trendline from April’s $0.125 high, connecting to July’s $0.118 peak, is still capping upside moves. Support at $0.085 has held multiple times since late July; losing it could bring $0.080 back into play. ⸻ Daily Overview (August 15): • Current Price: $0.08956 • RSI (14): 48.70 – neutral • MACD: mild bullish momentum • ADX: 29.07 – strong but bearish trend • CCI: 61.90 – leaning bullish • ROC: 2.664 – positive change • Bull/Bear Power: 0.0028 – slight buyer edge ⸻ Bullish scenario: A breakout above $0.10 could target $0.105–$0.110, with a possible extension to $0.118–$0.120 if momentum accelerates. Neutral scenario: Price stays between $0.085 and $0.10 until a catalyst sparks a move. Bearish scenario: A daily close under $0.087 could lead to $0.084–$0.085, with $0.080 as the next support. ⸻ Chart Notes: • Resistance: $0.10, $0.105, $0.110 • Support: $0.085, $0.080 • Descending trendline from April high still in control. • 200-day SMA acting as a critical floor for buyers.

Bitcoin’s volatility has kicked into high gear. A fresh all-time high at $124,533 was followed by a sharp pullback below the $120K threshold. Worse-than-expected U.S. PPI data sparked profit-taking, with roughly $100M in leveraged longs liquidated within minutes. Price found support at the 20-day EMA and reclaimed the EMA9, keeping the short-term structure alive. Near term, bulls must reclaim $120,113 to re-engage the key resistance band at $122,783–$123,568. A daily close below $117,462 risks opening a deeper pullback toward $116,322–$115,769 and potentially lower. ⸻ Bullish scenario (next few weeks): • $118,319 / $118,932 – stabilization zone • $120,113 – must reclaim for upside • $122,783 / $123,568 – make-or-break resistance • $124,533 – ATH • $126,839 – 150% Fib projection • $130,964 – 161% Fib extension (medium-term target) ⸻ Bearish scenario (next few weeks): • $117,462 – decision point • $116,322 / $115,769 – key support • $114,477 – 38% retracement • $112,067 / $110,300 – deeper support • $108,267 / $107,425 – Golden Pocket • $106,472 / $105,697 – last-ditch area ⸻ Indicators: • 4H RSI – near sell trigger, needs quick recovery to neutral. • Daily RSI – back to neutral; stabilization would allow another breakout attempt. • Weekly RSI – early signs of fatigue but still above neutral.