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BTC - Alternate
Alternate idea. Just like the first one (linked below), it can go much deeper, and in fact, it can still get to the primary target to make things more complicated, as both will be valid.
My other alternate idea is linked as well and playing perfectly since September. Tho, it's not my primary anymore.Comment:
First leg down seems complete or close. I think this will keep just chopping for another 1-2 months.
ق.ظ 01:15 1402/02/22

CRV - Swing Long
I got myself some bags from the blue box, but if they're kind enough to offer the green box as well with nice bull divs, I will return the favour and sit on my hands for a few weeks/months.Comment:
Still waiting for this one patiently but feels like it won't come at the right place and time. I'll keep updating as the PA develops.Comment:
Sigh.
static01.nyt.co...-superJumbo.jpg?quality=75...Comment:
With todayd PA, this is getting very interesting. I won't set limit orders yet because target looks too close compared to what I expect for BTC. I'll watch closely.Comment:
Getting close. It can go a bit lower than i expected but I'll be very interested in longs soon.
ق.ظ 01:13 1402/02/22

BTC - Primary
Sorry for the terrible-looking chart earlier, I thought publishing on mobile would somehow generate a meaningful chart, but that wasn't the case.
This idea from Apr 21 has been removed by TV twice for breaking house rules, first for sharing a link to another social media website, then for only mentioning the name of it. (You can actually copy-paste links from that website on a chart, tho).
Anyway, maybe third time has the charm.
This is my primary for now.
I'm not too interested in how the structure will look like, but I particularly like this one because it front runs 25.2 S/R flip and keeps trapping both sides for weeks.
The pullback can be much deeper, but this is what I like for now.
My initial idea from October (linked on this chart) is still valid IMO, but not keeping it as an alternate for now.Trade active:
Taking it's sweet time but still is my primary
ق.ظ 01:12 1402/02/22

IMX - Swing Long
There is a scenario why a new low can be made before a new high, or other bullish scenarios where it goes down to lower green box, but that's for another day.
IMX is one of my favourite assets for the new bull cycle (whether we're in it or not). I don't use hard stops for this asset. If things look terrible after the buy area arrives, then I will cut it partially.
The black scenario is obviously mega-bullish, but that's not my primary and the marked resistance zone will give a hard rejection as per my system.
My bags are already filled and at worst case, I'm looking at a 150%~ move from my first area of interest.Trade active:
Filling my first bids, lower box still possible but I'm sticking to plan and cutting the losses if it loses the box.Comment:
We held the box. Stop is now at breakeven. If I get stopped, I'll long deviation of the box, or the lower one.Comment:
It scam wicked below the stops on Binance perps but i am still in the position.Trade closed manually:
So yeah i got stopped at the end when we lost that first green box. I've very mixed thoughts about it, but will update in a different chart.
ق.ظ 01:11 1402/02/22

DYDX - Long into Short
So, as expected in the previous idea (see linked ideas), I think we're approaching to a reaction zone to offer a decent bounce for a lower high. Although the technicals are there for it, be aware that it's not the "most probable set-up" kind of trade because there are good reasons for buyers to step in at lower prices. The target is also unclear due to the nature of the structure, but I'll give it a shot and eat the loss if i get stopped.
ق.ظ 09:15 1402/02/19

WOO - Swing Short (Hedge)
If you'd look at my profile you'd see me trying to short WOO couple of times (and also been long for a few months now). All of the shorts gave good reactions but the beast is not giving up, and there are quite valid reasons to believe that it can pull a massive move to the upside soon. Hence, this is only a hedge for me and I'll take my time to fill full position, especially going into the weekend.
ب.ظ 03:57 1402/02/15

WOO - Hedge Short
I've been long AF on WOO and expect at least 50%, potentially 2x move from here if we break the resistance with volume, but also starting to build a short position in this area because:
- it's packed with resistance: Downtrend VAH, cluster VAs, untapped daily pivots and TR Extension.
- As per my previous ideas, there are key levels to the downside which will work as a magnet at probably in the next 3 months.
There is a slim chance that I already got front-runne as it hit golden pocket on log scale, but I don't trust golden pocket when trading alts.
I'll stop the trade manually as we'll probably have a daily bearish div we get a daily close above the daily resistance.Order cancelled:
I missed the move, cancelling the idea.
ق.ظ 12:17 1402/02/13

DYDX HTF Idea
DYDX HTF Idea One of my favourite assets as it respects my strategies very well. I could be completely wrong with this one and as usual I'm playing level by level.
DYDX HTF Idea One of my favourite assets as it respects my strategies very well. I could be completely wrong with this one and as usual I'm playing level by level.
DYDX HTF Idea One of my favourite assets as it respects my strategies very well. I could be completely wrong with this one and as usual I'm playing level by level.
The substructure is very difficult to outline for now, but I'm watching 4h and daily charts in the interim areas marked on the chart for potential internal trend reversals. I'm aware of the bullish scenarios, but this makes the most sense to me. It'll be a fun ride if the lower levels come on time.
ق.ظ 02:28 1402/02/10

SOL - Short into longI have a short running from almost the pico top, but looking to compound my position in the coming days.
This analysis is mainly based on PA and supported by EW - which is not my biggest strength.
Please read to understand my thought process.
1 - Range play. If it bounces from the deviation fib and gets accepted in the range, 70% of the time it goes to mid-range and then the expansion of the range on the other side becomes the highest target. Since we front-runned it by a few cents, i consider it has hit. A big reason to think the top is in and we're going to make a new low, or at least that we're still in a correction.
2- Price gets rejected hard from VAH of the PA since the proposed A pivot. Oddly, it didn't reach VAL of the May-November range, especially when BTC reached to VAH of the same range, which is around 38 for SOL, with a lot of confluence: Untapped OB, quarterly and monthly vwaps. Putting a macro high and leaving this area untapped is very uncommon; hence I'm open to any ideas that push the price to this zone. But is it going to be from here or lower?
3- This green box has monthly, quarterly and yearly vwaps, and it took two weeks to break above it. I expect this box to hold at least a week, so any touch in the box or liquidity hunt below it is a buy for me. Whether this is 1 or A, we'll see that in the coming days.
4- We'll need to check this in the coming days, but if the price move as expected (the red line), 1:1 target of the move will be aligned with this old range; however, I doubt it'd hold. I prefer the 1.272 level, confluent with the 0.5 (and POC) of the untapped OB and the deviation fib. But good to note it down.
5 - This green box has untapped OB, and the quarterly vwap inside it will act as a magnet in Q2, so I'm favouring shorts over longs for the coming days.
6 - Same deviation fib strategy as mentioned in the 1st note. If it holds and price gets accepted above HKEX:16 , minimum target will be 20.83, but my main expectation will be 37-39 for the reasons mentioned before. My long won't have a hard stoploss and will exit manually depending on the PA, but basically, you'd not want to see a candle close below it.Comment: I took the long from that green box as a protection to the short. I'm not too keen to take the short going into the weekend and monthly close, but will watch the PA to see if it gives any bear divs.
ب.ظ 09:25 1402/02/08
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