cryptokebab

I sold every single FET I had at around 2.50s in May 24 and I've not been really interested in it since then, apart from a few short term traders. It's always been a terrible asset to trade frequently, a pain to wait for it to do its thing and then everything happens in a matter of few weeks. As if it's not enough, the merger made it even less attactive. Anyway, this chart is from December and finally it's in my buy zone. If the qFVG doesn't hold, then i think it'll go down to htf golden pocket for a 98% retrace from ATH. The team behind is relentlessly building and making partnerships, so i think its time can come again.90% move since i shared this post. I've secured some profits, for the rest I'll wait for $1.26 at least .

Chart from end of Dec/early Jan. Idea back then was that the top is in, and we'll revisit at least 51.5 levels. IMO low will be between 41.5-32.5, with potential to reach 23s. However, it won't happen in one day and it's finally at prices i want to scale in and hold for the next weeks/months incase i'm wrong with the macro idea.I'm a buyer between 74-62, levels in between are 72, 69, 65 and 62.This post happened to mark the bottom - a 48% move and a new ATH for #bitcoin. A great example of why you should counter trade yourself when certain conditions are met. PS: Despite a new ATH and my expectation of higher prices, I'm not disregarding the original idea you can understand from the chart, hence closing most of my bitcoin positions here. It feels like a good time to chart ETH and altcoins.

Ok, although i'm super cautious at the current levels (and have been like that since ath) and think that we've been distributing, i don't want to be biased to the one side blindly as nothing is clear yet and bitty has been strong in this range.Here is the most bullish idea that makes sense to me (as in, going higher without any significant low). If things doesn't look good at the levels above, I'm going to exit the market fully.

Yes, the market structure isn't really broken and it hasn't lost any major supportYes, it can go higher, a lot higher,and yes it's been one of the best performers of this cycle.Which makes it rather risky to short it. But it doesn't change the fact that it:- Failed to beat critical levels- By being one of the best performers, retail is loving it.- Everyone is too comfy in longs.The level i had for SOL back in last year happened to be the exact bottom, so I'm being cautious here.If only someone has warned you. Oh wait...

Ok, maxis can start making fun of it because 10k is shown on the chart, but I'm a trader and I trade probabilities. Even if the idea is correct, it won't get there straight and it won't get there in one month. We have three untapped yearly vwaps since 2016, both identified on the chart. I think the first one (at 28k) will come between march and july.The second one is at 1:1 extension of the ATH-15k-48k move, as well as TR pocket - which gave me to the dollar low entries across all markets. It's extension aligns with 1.272 of ATH-15k-48k move, which gives us 7800-7055 area.Invalidation if this idea is above 125k so it doesn't really make sense in that regard, but a 2W close above 56k or a new ATH without a HTF bear divs will make it a very low probability.I'll share a lower time frame idea for long trades, but the areas I'm looking at right now is 38-35, 32-27, 20-16.

DYDX - Make or break I've been suggesting further upside on DYDXUSDT.P and for alts in general for a long time, but dydx has been one of assets I traded best, feel free to check the charts below for how HTF ideas played out since march/january. At the moment it's approaching to a big resistance area I highlighted before and already looks like a deviation of the range (at least at the time of this analysis) even before clearing some of those OBs. It still makes more sense to me for another push up into 2.59-2.78 before a 20-30% pullback. Unlike almost every market participant right now, some charts (including dydx) makes me think it may not be a good idea to buy those pullbacks - but the analysis has been spot on so far, so if it looks ready for a bounce, I'll take that long.

DOT - This time is different? DOT is another asset I trade maybe once or twice a year - I gave up trading it after the 2021 top and I saw many people got burnt trying to long it over the past few months since bitcoin's 15k bottom. I still prefer lower targets, but time is at an important place so I might be too greedy to wait for it. Still, if lower targets comes within this week and the next, it can be a good buy hodl for mid to long term.

CAKE - Bottom is in? Same fib play that I used to point many HTF reversals such as: I never traded CAKE and not trading now either because I prefer fresh narratives - but a good RR trade is there if you're interested.

BTC - HTF View (Up only scenario) In my last BTC idea i said it wasn't a good idea to be bearish and it turned out, indeed it wasn't. Idea here is self-explanatory but it can look more cluttered when shared so a little explanation. The whole thinking is shaped around the Nasdaq fractal and an up only scenario, which is unlikely IMO. Between the three, blue option is my favourite as it'll stop enough people and make many others short, but it'll be hard to predict where it reverses as well. I'll share more ideas, which are more bearish at first but bullish later, but there are good reasons (FVGs, OBs, Harmonics and more) to push to 32 - 34s and even 36s and reverse from there.

BTC - Not the time to be bearish As you'll see from my previous charts, I've been bearish since the 31s and been waiting for the current levels for reversal (the internal pullbacks didn't exactly happen as I thought, but bounce levels gave good reactions for smaller time frame trades). Most alts already have hit my targets or are about to hit, and Bitcoin is approaching an area full of support. Now, one can say there are good reasons to go down till the 18s and I wouldn't disagree, but IMO, these levels will give a good reaction, or at least will hold for some time to reevaluate the idea. As I mentioned over and over, EW is not my strongest skill set but I combine it with volume and price action and these are the levels I see that should hold if we're going to have a new high in the coming months. The move down looks like a 3-wave move than an impulse, which means it can be a WXY (for 2/B), or it can just be W (of WXY, WXYXZ). Hence, the targets are unclear to me: We can do LH (28-29s)>HL (18s)>New Highs, LH into new lows, or a new high. Either case, I'm expecting choppy PA as we have done since 15k and will play it level to level till 28-29 and will see what happens there.