
Hhan44
@t_Hhan44
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Hhan44

vs selected ETF top performers, dip LYM9 and BTCUSD index ytdPepe Index - WeeklyNo Pepe but with ETHUSD index Only BTCUSD vs. global trackersDecade vwap Moneroyear vwap binance decade vwap binance

Hhan44

4h tales of future expectations Orbital price ping pong in bearish fractal reversal. Accelerating to the path of least resistance. We gotta fuel high to go to where no man every bought the top before us and beyond. Related idea:First acceleration success, broke the upside on 4h and 8h. Means Daily, 8h and 4h in uptrend atm.15m snap 1h snap - confirmed top fractal1h dip or rip at vwap4h +3h till close snap. Bulls slightly leading1h bottom fractal confirmed, bounce from vwap15m vwap ping pong 1h +17m till close15m pong1h broke down, decreasing momentum at lower vwap band4h above critical support1h snap 4h +3h till close - unconfirmed bottom fractal 8h +3h till close - unconfirmed top fractal and momentum decreasingtight 4h defense close 8h close decreasing momentum and unconfirmed bottom fractal1h snap4h +2 till close snap4h +3h till close snap4h snap 1h snap15m snap4h snap 8h +4h till close snap4h daily close unconfirmed low fractal1h snap confirmed low fractal4h +3h snap zoomed in4h close with confirmed low fractal and 4h fractal break testing 8h +4h till close in breakout testing4h close unconfirmed high fractal Daily close unconfirmed low fractal4h close15m snap weekly vwap4h +3h till close snap with quarter vwap4h +3h snap unconfirmed high fractal

Hhan44

ema, macd and rsi pov Related to4h4h Chart1h snapWeekly Resistance Retest ChartMonthly Snap +5d till closeDaily closeDaily snap +15h till closeDaily +21h till closeDaily closeDaily closeDaily close Weekly close'Timing the market' and 'volume pattern' ideas are still in play but see update comment of related idea. Daily close New Weekly New Monthly

Hhan44

Megaphone of Expectations Adding Monthly and Weekly pov.Weekly Zoom Out +1d till close Weekly Zoom In +1d till close Monthly +6d till closeDaily with grey/red candles Weekly with grey/red candles4h +2h till close1h trending at weekly vwapDaily Different Chart View8h +4h till close still trending bearish 4h trending bullish with tight fractal trend reversal 1h ping pong4h bull lfg4h ping pong4h +1h till close bulls in defense4h Discovery Mission chartDaily snap8h +4h till close next to ETHUSDT 8h8h confirmed low fractal - zoom out 8h tight range - zoom in3D snap with yearly vwap on index chart 3D snap with yearly vwap on okx btcusdt perp chart8h close at daily close with monthly vwapDaily close yearly vwap8h +3h till close with quarter vwap8h close broke low fractalDaily +6h Quarter vwap on index chartMonthly close decade vwap Monthly close year vwapWeekly Decade vwapDaily snap8h +6h till close with quarter vwapDaily close8h close confirmed high fractal8h close in bearish fractal and confirmed low fractalDaily closeDaily closeDaily close with year vwapDaily close OKX BTCUSDT chart year vwap Daily close Index chart year vwapDaily snap +15h till close (I have to snap it premature because I'm currently not available at daily close) Weekly broke low fractal, often results in a retest bounce of the alligator, %R chop meter seems alright for such a scenario but it's unconfirmed data, careful. Weekly snap +2d16h till closefeasting15m = 1WDaily close with new unconfirmed high fractal, the confirmed at 63866 is still of most relevance till potential confirmation in a day. Daily snap with regression channel 8h closeDaily close in log, adjusted Regression TrendDaily close, tricky top fractal break8h at daily close Daily closeDaily close Weekly closeDaily close, low confirmed, fractal risk from 11.48% to 0.68% reducedDaily close at monthly close Weekly +4d till close Monthly closeA bit late daily close snap, low fractal breakHuge break down to the bottom of the Regression Channel, yet still no markdown on Weekly and Monthly. It was a good run, ggs for me here. Bitcoin 100k I don't care, Bitcoin 30k I don't care neither. Cashed out from the 'Strategic Reserve Asset. I consider myself satisfied with the current crypto market wealth extraction and turn myself to what I can best: doing nothing and not caring. Daily close New Weekly New Monthly with nana memeBTC to USD and CHF weekly chart: BTCCHF prints it a bit more clearly. BTCUSD up held by current DXY down momentum while printing funny divergences.Weekly snap (Crypto-margined) 2-Weekly

Hhan44

The original idea was made in the first half of the year downtrend. I decided to continue this ridiculously simple idea because it was definitely quite accurate and helpful in maintaining self-confidence during the depression phase. Hope and optimism bring their own challenges. Orignal idea: Dated new All-Time-High @ Mon 11 Nov 2024On the one year candle chart we can count one year red and three years green (white here). From this simple perspective, Bitcoin has entered the second of three positive years. This will probably either be my worst or best idea ever.Technically it broke All-Time-High yesterday, it was a lot faster than expected and therefore a success in what this idea was meant for: maintaining mental stability for holding a market position. Daily: Weekly: Somethings to look out for: - close to a new potential price discovery - current high funding rates, open interest - technical indicator resets even though price discovery is mostly psychological -- concerning 4h, Daily and Weekly timeframes. Higher timeframes like the Monthly, Three Monthly and Yearly are mostly still green light. - Moms, dads, uncles and their dogs buying or not. Listen around. High Volatility is to be expected.Updated Volume Pattern idea chart as the date comes closer and it may or may not be of importance. Weekly +5d till close snap with updated chart and set dateDaily +6h till close Weekly +2D till close Monthly +13D till closeYearly +2M 14D till close with volume patternDaily with new red D below resistance *changed signal ema value from 5/30 to 3/12Daily - Hit the long term curved resistance lineATH on 2024-11-06 03:05:00 UTC Four(4) days before dated target of 2024-11-11. Ain't that something! Weekly +5D till closeToday is the day. It indeed is ATH. Weekly DailyOriginal Idea snap around two weeks later: Is it luck? Or at what point is it no longer luck? Well, it doesn't matter to me. It's the second time that 'timing the market' in a public idea callout worked and that so with no false calls in between. The first time was the 'Buy in Apr'20' from the idea of Dec 3, 2018. Whatever it is, don’t let anyone or everyone tell you that we can’t do it. Everything is possible. Want it enough, be stubborn and do it anyway. See you next time. p.s. The new idea update system of Tradingview is more annoying than helpful. Worst kind of childish then-and-there thinking. And please, add a damn edit function for updates.Updated volume pattern on the 3M. The previous posted volume pattern snap is kinda flawed, it moved drawings because of the higher timeframe. Added the blue curved lines, removed the yellow curved lines and some other drawings.Half-Yearly snaps 1M close No actual value ATH since start of 2025, easy to see by comparing the USD and CHF charts. 1 Year +6M till close The original idea of the 3 positive years is made of the USD chart. The price has more room to make it true on it. A red close may be likely on the CHF chart, means if true, then the hodl buying power of btc went down.

Hhan44

Weekly Heikin Ashi EMA Golden Cross 5 Days till Weekly close, it means go and/or stay long if the Heikin Ashi Candle stays white. If so then a Weekly EMA Golden Cross confirmation is very likely within one week or two. The monthly supports a long idea with many technicals and beyond. Private Published Chart:Comment: The EMAs are much smoother with more Data, yet the Golden Cross works with less too. Private Published Chart:Comment: Lower timeframes for more insight: 4h Chart 4h SnapshotComment: Daily snapshot - left normal Candles | right Heikin Ashi Bullish: above green EMA support and above EMA 300 Bearish: MACD and RSI, Red Daily Heikin Ashi 4h snapshot Bullish: above EMA 50 & 100, Heikin Ashi Bearish: below red EMA resistance, Adam & Eve pattern, RSIComment: Potential Chart Pattern Weekly Bullish: RSI , MACD , Heikin Ashi, Trendline Support and Resistance break Potential Bullish: unconfirmed EMA Golden Cross Bearish: Below strong Resistance level Potential Bearish: unconfirmed MACD HistoComment: 3 days till Weekly close With a rating example for trade decision making: Weekly snapshot: Weekly Long when (max:7): 4pts RSI out of Red_x MACD Histo rising_/ MACD Torys Trendzone red_x Heikin Ashi confirmed_x support price level_ EMA support_/ No EMA Resistance_ Daily snapshot: Daily Long when (max:7): 2pts RSI out of Red_ MACD Histo rising_ MACD Torys Trendzone red_ Heikin Ashi confirmed_ support price level_x EMA support_x No EMA Resistance_ 4h snapshot 4h Long when (max:7): 2.5pts RSI out of Red_ MACD Histo rising_x MACD Torys Trendzone red_ Heikin Ashi confirmed_ support price level_x EMA support_/ No EMA Resistance_Comment: 2 days till Weekly close Daily snapshot: Daily Long when (max:7): 2.5 RSI out of Red_/ MACD Histo rising_ MACD Torys Trendzone red_ Heikin Ashi confirmed_ support price level_x EMA support_x No EMA Resistance_ 4h snapshot: 4h Long when (max:7): 2.5 RSI out of Red_/ MACD Histo rising_ MACD Torys Trendzone red_/ Heikin Ashi confirmed_ support price level_x EMA support_/ No EMA Resistance_Comment: 1 day till Weekly close Daily snapshot: Daily Long when (max:7): 2.5pts RSI out of Red_/ MACD Histo rising_ MACD Torys Trendzone red_ Heikin Ashi confirmed_ support price level_x EMA support_x No EMA Resistance_ 4h snapshot: 4h Long when (max:7): 4pts RSI out of Red_x MACD Histo rising_x MACD Torys Trendzone red_/ Heikin Ashi confirmed_ support price level_x EMA support_/ No EMA Resistance_Comment: Weekly closed: Weekly Long when (max:7): 4.5pts RSI out of Red_x MACD Histo rising_ MACD Torys Trendzone red_x Heikin Ashi confirmed_x support price level_x EMA support_/ No EMA Resistance_ Daily snapshot: Daily Long when (max:7): 2pts RSI out of Red_ MACD Histo rising_ MACD Torys Trendzone red_ Heikin Ashi confirmed_ support price level_x EMA support_x No EMA Resistance_ 4h snapshot: 4h Long when (max:7): 4.5pts RSI out of Red_/ MACD Histo rising_x MACD Torys Trendzone red_x Heikin Ashi confirmed_x support price level_/ EMA support_/ No EMA Resistance_Comment: 6 days till next Weekly close Daily snapshot: Daily Long when (max:7): 3pts 4h snapshot: 4h Long when (max:7): 3ptsComment: 5 days till next Weekly close *added Higher Low and Higher High to the rating. Maximum points is 9 Daily snapshot(3 pts): 4h snapshot (3 pts):Comment: 4 days till next Weekly close Max. 9 pts Daily snap 5 pts: 4h snap 6 pts with a potential bearish flag:Comment: 3 days till next Weekly close Daily snap 5.5 of 9 pts: 4h snap 6 of 9pts:Comment: 2 days till next Weekly close Daily snap 1.5 of 9 pts: 4h snap 4 of 9pts:Comment: 1 day till next Weekly close Support retest of 19k price range seems likely if rejected from the EMA resistance. If so then the Weekly golden cross will not confirm. Daily snap 1.5 of 9 pts: 4h snap 4.5 of 9 pts: Flag pattern (chart):Comment: 2nd Weekly close It's all about the next higher low on the weekly, the daily and 4h timeframes help to identify when price forms itself. Weekly snap 5.5 of 9: Daily snap 2.5 of 9: 4h snap 6.5 of 9:Comment: 6 days till 3rd next Weekly close All EMAs act as much as support as resistance, like a magnet that either pushes or pulls the price. Once Markprice and EMA price have met again, the polarity of the magnet often changes. To spot a change in trend, a reversal in a market, it's important to keep all timeframes in correlation. Higher timeframes usually have a higher magnetism and are in calculation to have a time confirmation. Daily snap 3 of 9: The small EMAs on the daily changed to red, it's a bearish signal. But it helps us to spot and confirm a potential low. Before we can spot it on the daily, it's idealy already confirmed on the 4h timeframe. 4h snap 4.5 of 9:Comment: It did test the 19k price and got a strong support move back into the long term resistance trendline. Idea updates on this chart:Comment: Indicators update. Form of it after 14 weeks:

Hhan44

Position Size Calculation with Fees - Handle any LeverageExample: The account size is $4500. We risk 2%, 90 cash, for this 2R trade. If the trade idea is a success we would now have 4678 cash in our account a profit of: 178 cash And if loss, a total of 4410 cash, 90 cash loss) Is this correct? Explanation: The example seems correct but only without the fees in calculation. Even small fees like e.g. 0.04% Taker (market orders) and 0.02% Maker (limit orders) add up a lot. A lot! The example does need a position size of $56250, which would be $22.5 in fees just to open the position and the same amount again when the stop loss (market order) triggers or $11.25 when exit with a limit order. The example does clearly need a leverage of 15 or higher to open that position size. - Tradeable balance with 15x leverage: 4500 * 15 = 67500 - And to get a loss of 90 cash within 0.16 %: 56250 / 100 * 0.16 = 90 See Image on Chart: Calculation without fees We will be fine with any kind of Leverage if we calculate it like that on every trade. The PnL is calculated from the real account balance. So we are on the right track to not blow our account. If we calculate it with the Fees in mind, the example with 0.04% fees for open and close, then the position size would be $28125 See Image on Chart: Calculation with fees The calculations show, even when it hits the Profit Target, the real Risk Reward lowers by a large amount. (The Example uses the same taker fee for open and close) I personally recommend to automate those ever recurring calculations and set the orders via an API. Relative easy to code in e.g. Python. I'm not allowed to link any external links here but some tools can be found on my Twitter (I'm not really active there otherwise): - Some link to a Microsoft Excel sheet, which was used for the calculation images. It may be useful for some, just make a copy. - And a public open source API Trade App can be found on my GitHub, link in the same Twitter feed. No other funny links else. And as last goodie: A small snippet example used in my automated strategies in PineScript, strategy.equity represents the account balance: //Example 0.001 is minumum order varip input_mathround = input(3, 'Decimal Math Round Size') varip pnllosspercent = input(2, 'Dynamic PnL Loss - Percent of Balance') getLongSizeDynamic(_entry, _sl) => pnl = strategy.equity / 100 * pnllosspercent sl_percent = (_entry - _sl)/_entry size_cash = pnl / (sl_percent*100) * 100 size_r = 1 / _entry * size_cash size = math.round(size_r, input_mathround) size There are for sure different ways to optimise the math for the own liking. This 'tutorial' is meant to give small insight into a proper position sizing, that you may too will not fear the leverage as useful tool when used correct. With the calculations above, no matter if 10, 50, 100 or even crazy 1000x Leverage shall not blow our accounts! Still always keep the fees in mind, they take our money!

Hhan44

Similar MACD
[TORYS] TrendZone bottom pattern.
Will it repeat itself? It's Bitcoins first test against a global inflation, something something doom everything.
Not much confirmation yet to call it a long with confidence. But it sits just above the monthly EMA 100 aswell.Daily structureThe Weekly Candle looks good for the possible bullish reversal case, so far it's not closed yet.Monthly MACD, will it stay white or does it turn deep red till the candle close in 9 days?How the pattern formed itself after a few weeksMade the Expanding Triangle a bit more visible, the red dashed lines.
In my means Bitcoin is in recovery phase by now, as long as the price pattern stays above the top red dashed line. Even if it goes back down to the bottom yellow line.
So if you are not already long since 24 Dec., be patient, most are sick of the market by now. This is when we enter the market.Same idea as above but different chartMonthly Linear to Log Scale Side by Side:

Hhan44

A bit premature to publish it already because 1d16h till weekly candle close but the general idea should stay the same (unless some crazy apeish price action happens).Fear&Greed Index 18 (Extreme Fear) Daily resistance trendlines after a confirmed 20/50 and soon 20/100 SMA death cross, together with bad weekly macdOnly one up-trendline changes on the linear scale, from where it crashed down on the log scale chart.Friendly reminder to sometimes watch at the linear scale chart.Fear&Greed Index 16 (Extreme Fear)Fear&Greed Index 25 (Extreme Fear)Weekly on Linear Scale (not the full history index chart)A possible buy date rangeUpdated Volume Pattern For me it's a no-buy till we go below that middle orange trendline.Some bearish flag. Don't be Korean meme guy.New bearish trendline shapes a new potential patternin weeklyBeautiful but weekly not closed yet.Retesting the bullish mean price trendlineRetesting in 15m tf'it is what it is'Weekly pattern updateIt is what it is. Daily +6h till close

Hhan44
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