Henrybillion

1. Technical Overview (15m timeframe): Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,342.80, showing signs of continued downward momentum after forming a bearish reversal pattern from the 3,404–3,410 USD resistance area. The price action has now developed into a clear descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows forming in a structured manner. 2. Key Price Levels to Watch: Immediate Support Zone: 🔹 3,335 – 3,330 USD – This zone aligns with previous structure and the lower bound of the descending channel. A break below this area could accelerate selling pressure toward deeper Fibonacci zones. Next Major Support (Medium-term): 🔹 3,310 USD – A critical zone where price reacted strongly during the last pullback. A breakdown here would shift sentiment fully bearish in the short-term. Resistance Levels: 🔹 3,358 – 3,360 USD: Minor intraday resistance near the upper bound of the descending channel. 🔹 3,375 USD: EMA21 and previous structure level. 🔹 3,404 – 3,410 USD: Major confluence resistance from recent highs. 3. Price Action and Indicators: Descending Channel: Price is respecting the upper and lower trendlines of the bearish channel. No bullish breakout signal confirmed. Volume: Decreasing on the bounce, rising on the decline – a bearish volume structure. RSI: Near oversold (not shown, but implied from price exhaustion), could suggest a bounce, but no divergence confirmation yet. EMA Trend: EMA21 and EMA50 (not shown but assumed from price slope) are likely crossing downward on higher timeframes, reinforcing bearish pressure. 4. Strategy Suggestion – Scenarios for Intraday Traders: 🔻 Scenario A – Continuation Short (Sell on Retracement) Entry: Around 3,358–3,360 (upper bound of descending channel). SL: Above 3,365. TP1: 3,335 TP2: 3,310 Confirmation: Look for bearish engulfing or pin bar rejections on the 5m–15m timeframe. 🔺 Scenario B – Countertrend Long (Bounce from Channel Base) Entry: Near 3,330–3,335 (support zone). SL: Below 3,325. TP1: 3,350 TP2: 3,360 Note: This is a riskier trade and should only be taken with bullish reversal confirmation (hammer, bullish divergence on RSI, or break of structure on LTF). 5. Summary: Gold is currently in a short-term bearish correction, respecting a well-defined descending channel. Price is approaching a critical support zone (3,330–3,335), where a potential intraday bounce may occur, but trend remains bearish unless a clear break

On the 15-minute chart (M15), XAUUSD is showing early signs of recovery after a sharp decline that found support around the key 3,350 USD level. This area has been tested multiple times with increasing volume, suggesting potential buyer accumulation. Technical Analysis: Downtrend Line: A descending trendline (yellow) from the July 23 high has acted as dynamic resistance. Price is now approaching this line again. Fibonacci Retracement: The recent rebound from 3,350.11 to 3,373.52 shows key resistance zones at the 0.5 (3,361.82) and 0.618 (3,364.58) Fibonacci levels. Volume Spike: Notable volume surges at the bottom suggest increased buyer interest near support. Key Price Levels for Today: Technical ZoneRole 3,350 – 3,353 Strong short-term support 3,361 – 3,365 Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 resistance 3,373.5 Previous swing high 3,400 – 3,434 Fibonacci 3.618 extension target Trading Strategies: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above Trendline Entry: Buy stop above 3,366 with increasing volume. TP1: 3,373.5 TP2: 3,400 TP3: 3,434 (Fibonacci 3.618 extension) SL: 3,348 (below recent low) Scenario 2: Trendline Rejection – Bearish Continuation Entry: Sell limit at 3,364–3,366 if bearish pin bar / engulfing pattern appears TP1: 3,350 TP2: 3,338 SL: 3,375 Additional Confirmation Signals: Closely watch price action near the trendline and Fibonacci zone (3,361–3,364). RSI is not yet oversold, so a short-term technical rebound remains possible. Conclusion: Gold is currently testing a significant support zone around 3,350 USD. If price successfully breaks above the descending trendline and holds, we may see a bullish impulse targeting as high as 3,434 USD. However, failure at this resistance may trigger another leg down.Save this strategy if you find it useful, and stay tuned for more daily insights!

1. Price Overview & Trendline Context Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,369.67 USD after a notable pullback from the recent high near 3,428. A clear descending channel has formed, marking a short-term corrective move within a larger bullish trend. Price action suggests a potential reversal setup as price approaches a strong support zone around 3,340 – 3,350 USD, previously acted as demand in the breakout on July 22. 2. Fibonacci & Structure Analysis The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low to the top at ~3,428 reveals that the pullback has reached the 0.9 level, often seen as an exhaustion point for corrections in strong bullish trends. This area aligns with: Key horizontal support: 3,340 – 3,350 Previous breakout zone Volume spike at base (20.6K vs avg.) This convergence suggests a high-probability bullish reversal setup. 3. EMA & Momentum Indicators Although the chart primarily uses SMA 9, the structure suggests price is extended from shorter EMAs. A break above the upper boundary of the falling channel may trigger EMA crossovers, further confirming reversal momentum. 4. Trading Strategy Suggestion Setup Description Buy Zone: 3,350 – 3,365 USD Take Profit 1: 3,385 USD (short-term supply zone) Take Profit 2: 3,428 USD (recent swing high) Stop Loss: Below 3,340 USD This trade follows the "Buy the Dip in Uptrend" strategy, aligning with trendline, fib support, and volume confirmation. 5. Key Resistance & Support Levels Resistance: 3,385 – 3,428 USD Support: 3,340 – 3,350 USD Breakout Confirmation Level: 3,375 (channel breakout) 6. Final Insights Gold remains in a broader bullish structure. Today’s chart shows strong technical confluence for a short-term reversal. Traders should monitor closely for breakout candles from the falling wedge/channel, preferably with volume confirmation.

1. Fibonacci Levels The chart uses a Fibonacci range from 0 to 1, likely drawn from a significant low to a recent high. The 0.5 Fibonacci level (around $3,360) is acting as a major support zone and price is currently testing this level. 2. Short-term Trend Price broke above the previous high and formed a new high near $3,440, but then reversed sharply. Now it’s pulling back toward a key support zone between $3,360 – $3,380. 3. Volume Analysis Volume spiked at the top near $3,440, suggesting strong selling pressure or profit-taking. Volume slightly increases again as price reaches support → possible buying interest at the current level. 4. Trendline (Yellow Line) The ascending yellow trendline has been broken to the downside, signaling a break in short-term bullish momentum. Possible Scenarios Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebound from Support: If price holds above the $3,360 zone and forms bullish candles, we could see a recovery toward $3,400–$3,420. That area can act as a short-term profit-taking zone. Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown Below 0.5 Level: If price breaks below the $3,360 support with strong bearish candles, it may drop further toward the Fibonacci 0 level (~$3,280). Conclusion Gold is at a critical decision point. Holding the $3,360 support could lead to a bullish bounce. Breaking it would likely confirm a short-term downtrend. Monitor the next few candles closely for confirmation. Would you like a trade plan or entry/exit suggestion based on this chart?

On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is clearly moving inside a well-defined ascending price channel, with price respecting both the channel boundaries and the midline as dynamic support/resistance. The pair continues to print higher highs and higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure. Trend Channel: Since July 18, gold has been steadily climbing within an ascending channel, bouncing off the lower boundary and riding above the midline. EMA Support: The 10-period EMA (purple) has been acting as a dynamic support. Price has yet to close below it during this bullish swing. Candle Behavior: Recent bullish candles with strong bodies show that buyers still have control, although price is stalling near the upper boundary of the channel. Technical Level 3,459 USD. Major Resistance. Top of the channel – potential reversal or take-profit zone 3,423 USD.Immediate Support. EMA10 and current consolidation area 3,400 USD. Mid-Channel Support. Key pullback zone if price rejects near highs 3,360 – 3,365 USD. Major Support. Bottom of the ascending channel – break may invalidate bullish setup Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (trend continuation): Wait for price to retest the 3,400 – 3,410 USD area or EMA10. Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing). Target: 3,445 – 3,459 USD Stop loss: below 3,395 USD Scenario 2 – Short at Channel Top (mean-reversion setup): Monitor price behavior near 3,455 – 3,459 USD resistance. If bearish reversal candles appear (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing), consider shorting. Target: 3,420 – 3,410 USD Stop loss: above 3,465 USD As long as price remains inside the rising channel, buying pullbacks is the preferred strategy. Stay alert to macroeconomic catalysts (Fed comments, PMI data, labor market releases) that could increase volatility. Gold remains in a strong short-term uptrend on the 1H chart. Trading in the direction of the trend with proper risk management continues to offer the best opportunities for intraday traders. If you found this analysis useful, don’t forget to follow for more trading strategies and ideas!

Trend Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish structure, with a clear series of higher highs and higher lows. However, price action shows signs of hesitation near a critical Fibonacci extension zone. Key Resistance Zone: $3,428 – $3,438: This area aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at 3,428.59 and the 0.0 level at 3,438.56, forming a confluence resistance zone that has started to trigger selling pressure. Immediate Support Levels: $3,422.62: The 1.0 Fibonacci extension, serving as the first support on a minor pullback. $3,408 – $3,410: A potential bounce zone combining short-term trendline support and prior consolidation structure. Fibonacci & Price Waves: The recent bullish leg from $3,330 to $3,438 has completed a 3.618 extension (noted at $3,330.91 on the purple projection). This increases the probability of a corrective retracement. EMA & RSI (suggested for confirmation): EMA20 (not shown) should act as a dynamic support. Watch RSI for potential overbought signals or bearish divergence if it crosses above 70. Trade Setups to Watch: Scenario 1 – Short Setup at Fibonacci Resistance Entry: $3,428 – $3,432, only if price action confirms rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar) Stop Loss: Above $3,438 Take Profit 1: $3,422 Take Profit 2: $3,410 (if trendline breaks) Scenario 2 – Buy Setup on Pullback Entry: Around $3,408 – $3,410 upon bullish price action confirmation Stop Loss: Below $3,400 Target: $3,428 Final Thoughts: Gold is approaching a strong resistance zone, and short-term pullback is likely unless bulls break through $3,438 with momentum. Traders should stay patient and wait for confirmation signals before entering. Remember: discipline beats impulse. Follow for more updated strategies during the US session. Save this idea if you find it helpful! Let’s discuss your view in the comments below.

[XAUUSD – July 22] Gold Consolidates Before Breakout – A Prime Buy-the-Dip Opportunity On the 1H chart, XAUUSD continues to display a bullish market structure with a series of higher highs and higher lows. After a strong rally from the 3.618 Fibonacci extension zone at 3,340.71, price reached a local high at 3,398.36 and is now undergoing a sideways consolidation just below resistance. Technical Breakdown: Price Structure: Gold remains within a bullish trend. The current pullback appears healthy and corrective, forming a potential launchpad for the next leg higher. Fibonacci Retracement: Price is hovering around the 0.618 (3,388.39) and 0.786 (3,390.49) retracement zones of the previous bullish leg. This area acts as a strong short-term support zone – if held, it may trigger a continuation move. Key Support Levels: Short-term: 3,382.42 (Fibonacci 1.0) Medium-term: 3,340.71 (Fibonacci extension 3.618) Long-term: 3,321.58 (major swing low) Key Resistance Levels: Immediate: 3,398.36 (recent local top) If broken, potential targets lie around 3,420–3,430 based on projected trendline extensions. EMA & RSI: Although not displayed here, price action suggests that gold is trading above both the EMA20 and EMA50 – a bullish sign. If RSI forms a mild bearish divergence in the overbought zone, a short-term dip to test Fibonacci support is likely before continuation. Trading Strategy: Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Setup): Wait for price to pull back toward 3,382 – 3,385 (Fibonacci 1.0). Set buy limit entries, SL below 3,375, TP1 at 3,398, TP2 at 3,420. Scenario 2 – Breakout Trade: If price breaks and closes above 3,398 with strong volume, consider a breakout buy. SL below 3,385, target 3,420–3,430. Scenario 3 – Bearish Reversal (Low Probability): If price decisively breaks below 3,380, gold may retest the 3,340–3,350 support zone. Only consider short positions with confirmation from volume or reversal patterns. Conclusion: The trend remains bullish. The current pullback offers a favorable opportunity to rejoin the uptrend. Watch the 3,382–3,385 area closely as it may serve as the next springboard higher. If you found this strategy useful, be sure to follow for more trade setups and save this post for your watchlist. What are your thoughts on today’s gold setup? Let’s discuss in the comments below.

Technical Outlook – 22/07/2025 On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is maintaining a clear bullish market structure with a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The projected price path drawn on the chart suggests a potential retracement before a continuation toward the 3,420 USD region. Let’s break down the key technical zones and strategies for today: Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: 3,390 – 3,400 USD This is the recent high. A breakout above this area could trigger momentum toward the projected 3,420 USD extension. Support Zone: 3,345 – 3,350 USD This zone aligns with the potential pullback as illustrated on the chart, offering a high-probability buy-the-dip opportunity. It coincides with previous structure resistance now turned support. Trendline Support: The ascending yellow trendline has been respected multiple times and should act as dynamic support on any intraday retracements. Indicators & Tools Used EMA: Price is currently trading above the short-term EMA (not shown), suggesting intraday bullish bias remains intact. RSI (Recommended Use): Look for RSI near 40–50 on the pullback for confluence at support. Fibonacci Tool (suggested): If measuring from the swing low near 3,320 to the high of 3,390, the 0.618 Fib lies close to 3,345 – an ideal area to look for long entries. Suggested Trading Strategies 🔹 Buy the Dip Strategy: Wait for a corrective move into the 3,345–3,350 area. Confirm with bullish reversal candles or RSI support, then enter long targeting 3,400–3,420. Stop-loss ideally below 3,335 (structure break). 🔹 Breakout Continuation Strategy: If price breaks cleanly above 3,390 with volume, a momentum trade toward 3,410–3,420 is viable. Use tight trailing stops to protect gains. 🔹 Avoid chasing highs – Patience at support zones or confirmation above resistance will offer better reward/risk setups. Conclusion Gold is respecting bullish market behavior on the 1H chart, and while a short-term correction is expected, the broader trend favors upside continuation. The 3,345–3,350 area will be critical for today's trading decisions. Remember to follow for more updates and strategy insights. Save this post if you find it useful. If you’d like, I can also add a version using RSI or Fib levels directly plotted. Let me know.

In the July 21st trading session, gold (XAUUSD) on the H1 timeframe continues to push higher and is now testing a key resistance zone around 3,370 USD, which aligns with the 3.618 Fibonacci extension level. This zone is considered a high-probability area for profit-taking after a strong rally from the 3,308–3,310 USD support zone (aligned with the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels). The short-term bullish structure remains intact as long as price stays above the rising trendline from July 18th, with dynamic support currently sitting near 3,350 USD. From a price action perspective, the latest candles are showing upper wicks near the 3,370 resistance, suggesting early signs of selling pressure. If combined with an overbought RSI condition (often seen in such extended moves), this increases the probability of a short-term retracement. Key intraday levels to watch: – Resistance: 3,370.43 (Fibonacci 3.618 extension) – Dynamic Support: 3,350 (ascending trendline) – Major Support: 3,310 – 3,308 (Fibonacci 0.618 – 0.5) – Trend Reversal Level: 3,298.21 (recent swing low) XAUUSD Trading Strategy for Today: Primary Scenario – Short Setup near 3,370 if bearish confirmation appears: Entry: 3,370 – 3,372 Stop Loss: 3,378 Take Profit: 3,350 → 3,330 → 3,310 Alternative Scenario – Buy the dip at trendline support if bullish price action confirms: Entry: 3,350 Stop Loss: 3,340 Take Profit: 3,370 → 3,380+ In summary, gold is trading at a critical short-term resistance zone. A rejection from 3,370 could trigger a healthy correction toward support zones, while a clean breakout above it would signal strength and open the path toward 3,380–3,390. Traders should stay alert and wait for clear confirmation before entering positions. Follow for daily gold strategies and save this post if you found it useful for your trading setup.If you’d like, I can also add a version using RSI or Fib levels directly plotted. Let me know.

In today’s session (July 21), the 1H chart of XAUUSD shows a confirmed breakout above the medium-term descending trendline. The bullish momentum originated from a strong rebound at the confluence zone of support, EMA, and ascending trendline — suggesting a high-probability continuation setup for the short term. Technical Analysis Overview: 🔹 Price Action Structure: Price broke out of a falling wedge / descending triangle with a strong bullish Marubozu candle, confirming the breakout move. Breakout was supported by increased volume, indicating strong institutional buying near 3,346–3,350. 🔹 Trendlines and EMA Outlook: Price is currently holding above the ascending yellow trendline. Short-term EMAs (e.g., EMA20/50, not shown) are likely sloping upwards and sitting below price, confirming bullish market structure. 🔹 Key Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: 3,370 USD – recently tested previous swing high. Major Resistance: 3,378 – 3,385 USD – Fibonacci projection and previous supply zone. Short-term Support: 3,359 USD – minor pullback zone and EMA alignment. Major Support: 3,346 USD – the breakout retest zone and price structure support. Suggested Trading Strategies: Scenario 1: Buy the Dip Entry: Near 3,359 – 3,346 USD (on minor retracement) Stop Loss: Below 3,338 USD (to invalidate the breakout zone) Target 1: 3,370 USD Target 2: 3,378 – 3,385 USD Scenario 2: Breakout Continuation Buy If price breaks above 3,370 with strong candle + volume: Entry: Around 3,372 – 3,374 USD Stop Loss: 3,359 USD Target: 3,385 – 3,392 USD Additional Indicators to Watch: RSI (not shown): If approaching 70+, watch for bearish divergence or exhaustion signals. Volume: Sustained or increasing volume will confirm strength of the uptrend. Conclusion: XAUUSD is showing strong bullish technical signals after breaking the descending trendline and successfully retesting the breakout level. As long as price holds above 3,346 – 3,350, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. - Follow for more high-quality trading strategies and daily gold analysis. Save this idea if you find it useful for your trading setup! What’s your view on this analysis? Let’s discuss more in the comments below!