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Henrybillion

Gold XAUUSD has experienced rapid and intense volatility but overall remains stable, as investors weigh the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran while focusing on this week’s U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting.At the time of reporting, spot gold GOLD remains steady at $3,380/oz, down from yesterday’s (Tuesday) high of $3,403/oz.Israel and Iran continued exchanging fire into a fifth day on Tuesday, as U.S. President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital, Tehran, and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada. Reports claim he had instructed the National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room.According to Reuters, Tehran has requested Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel toward a ceasefire in exchange for Iran’s willingness to show flexibility in nuclear negotiations.Trump’s latest post on Truth Social stated: "I have had ZERO communication with Iran in any way, shape, or form regarding (peace talks). It’s fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to contact me. They should take the deal on the table—it will save many lives!!!"Forexlive commented that anyone familiar with Trump knows he will definitely wait for Iran to approach him. Reports suggest Iran is attempting to negotiate a ceasefire, but no substantive developments have emerged yet.Gold, a non-yielding asset, is widely seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it tends to perform well in low interest rate environments. Therefore, fundamentally, gold should maintain a positive outlook in the current market context—even though sudden pullbacks can unsettle new traders. Personally, I’ve had many moments this year when I doubted myself and didn’t trust the uptrend—only to suffer bad outcomes… sigh.The Fed’s interest rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s speech are scheduled for today (Wednesday). Traders currently expect the Fed to cut rates twice by year-end.According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Watch” on June 18:There is a 97.3% chance the Fed will keep rates unchanged in June, and a 2.7% chance of a 25bps rate cut.In July, there is an 85.3% chance of holding rates steady, a 14.4% chance of a cumulative 25bps cut, and a 0.3% chance of a 50bps cut.Technical Outlook for Gold (XAUUSD)On the daily chart, gold has been oscillating around the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the psychological price of $3,400—previously highlighted as key support/resistance in our earlier analysis.However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged, with the dominant trend still bullish. The 21-day EMA continues to act as a crucial support line, and trendline (a) remains the primary trend direction. Meanwhile, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement serves as the nearest support, with price channel (b) defining the short-term trend.In terms of momentum, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) remains above 50, which is also acting as a support level in this case. The distance from the overbought zone suggests further upside potential remains.Intraday, a breakout above the psychological $3,400 level would provide a bullish signal, with the next target seen around $3,435 in the short term.Key Levels to Watch:Support: $3,371 – $3,350Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435

Henrybillion

In the early trading session on Tuesday (June 10th), the price of gold XAUUSD dropped sharply from around 3,328 USD/ounce to about 3,305 USD/ounce.Bloomberg pointed out that the price of gold decreased during the early Asian trading session on Tuesday when both sides in the US-China trade talks hinted at a willingness to make concessions.The easing of tensions between Washington and Beijing could reduce the appeal of gold. Senior officials from the US and China initiated the second round of trade talks in London, the first since the Geneva meeting in early May.On the afternoon of June 9th, local time, the first meeting of the China-US Economic and Trade Consultation Mechanism was held in London, UK. The meeting will continue on June 10th, local time.The US delegation, led by Treasury Secretary Benjamin Bessant, also included Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Greer. Bessant told reporters in London that they had a "good meeting," while Lutnick called the discussions "effective."Bloomberg reported that the US hinted at the possibility of lifting export controls on certain technologies in exchange for China easing restrictions on rare earth exports.The easing of tensions in the US-China trade war is a key factor currently creating downward pressure on gold, which has already risen more than 26% this year.Gold traders are also awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data this week to assess the "health" of the US economy and predict the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut trajectory.Technical Outlook for XAUUSD GOLD After recovering in yesterday's trading session, supported by the confluence of the EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement at 0.382%, gold has dropped back to test this area at the start of today's trading session.Gold may continue to face selling pressure in the short term once the price breaks below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, with the short-term target at around 3,250 USD, followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.However, as of now, the technical positions still show potential for price increase, as the support from EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement has not been broken. The short-term recovery target remains at 3,350 USD, followed by the key resistance level at 3,371 USD, which is also the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement.Considering the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook, with the potential for a price drop mentioned earlier. The key levels to watch are as follows:Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD

Henrybillion

Identify strategies through this video: Key Support and Resistance Levels of XAUUSDSupport Levels: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USDResistance Levels: 3,336 – 3,346 USDWith the current technical backdrop, gold still has short-term bullish potential, but it is essential to closely monitor key support and resistance levels. The gold market remains full of potential, but also presents challenges. Wishing you successful and effective trading!"

Henrybillion

XAUUSD trading (Gold vs. US Dollar) is a popular choice among global traders due to its high liquidity, strong volatility, and profit potential. One of the tools that help traders amplify their returns is financial leverage. However, using leverage also carries significant risks if not managed properly. So, what exactly is leverage in XAUUSD trading? Should you use it? Let’s explore the advantages and disadvantages below.1. What is Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?Leverage is a financial tool that allows traders to control a larger position in the market than the capital they actually own. For example, with 1:100 leverage, you only need $1,000 to trade a position worth $100,000.In the XAUUSD market, brokers often offer leverage ranging from 1:50 to 1:500, or even up to 1:2000—depending on their risk policies and regulations.2. Pros of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading🔹 Amplifies Potential ProfitsLeverage allows traders to maximize profits with a relatively small amount of capital. When the market moves in the expected direction, the gains can be multiplied significantly.🔹 Lower Capital RequirementInstead of needing $10,000 to trade 1 lot of gold, a trader may only need $100–$500 depending on the leverage. This lowers the entry barrier and offers greater flexibility in capital management.🔹 Enables Strategy DiversificationWith the same amount of capital, traders can open multiple positions across different timeframes or strategies. Leverage allows for broader portfolio diversification while still maintaining control over total risk.🔹 Takes Advantage of Short-Term OpportunitiesGold markets often react strongly to news and economic data. Leverage lets traders capitalize on short-term price swings, enabling faster profits without needing to hold positions long-term.3. Cons and Risks of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading Risk of Account BlowoutThe higher the leverage, the lower the safety margin. A small market move against the position can trigger a margin call or stop-out, resulting in a full loss of the initial capital. Emotional and Psychological StressHigh leverage often leads traders to gamble instead of follow a strategy, increasing the likelihood of emotional decisions and impulsive trading behaviors. Difficult to Manage During VolatilityXAUUSD is a highly volatile asset, especially during U.S. sessions or major news releases (like CPI, Fed announcements, NFP). Over-leveraging can lead to rapid losses in seconds during sudden price spikes. Increased Emotional PressureWhen using high leverage, every small fluctuation feels significant, causing stress and encouraging poor decisions—like exiting too early or revenge trading.4. Conclusion: Should You Use Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?Yes, but only with a disciplined and strategic approach. Use moderate leverage (e.g. 1:100 or lower if you're a beginner) Always set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels Risk no more than 2% of your account per trade Avoid “all-in” trades and don’t let emotions dictate position sizeIn SummaryLeverage in XAUUSD trading is a double-edged sword. Used wisely, it accelerates your profit potential. Used recklessly, it can wipe out your account in moments. The key is to trade with discipline, knowledge, and a solid plan to harness the power of leverage without falling into its traps.

Henrybillion

How to Use Fibonacci Extension for Effective Profit-Taking in Forex.Fibonacci Extension is a powerful tool for identifying profit-taking levels in Forex, including XAU/USD trading. Here’s a concise, SEO-optimized guide to maximize your gains:1. Understand Fibonacci Extension LevelsThe 127.2%, 161.8%, and 261.8% extension levels predict price targets after a breakout, making them ideal for setting profit goals.2. Identify Key Price SwingsSelect swing low (e.g., 3.300 USD), swing high (e.g., 3.344.70 USD), and retracement low (e.g., 3.312.570 USD) on the chart.3. Apply Fibonacci ExtensionDraw from swing low to high, then extend from the retracement low. For example, 161.8% may project to approximately 3.360 USD.4. Set Profit-Taking TargetsConservative: Target 127.2% (e.g., 3.350 USD).Aggressive: Aim for 161.8% (e.g., 3.360 USD), aligning with resistance levels.5. Manage RiskPlace a stop-loss below the retracement low (e.g., 3.300 USD) and aim for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.6. Pro TipsCombine with resistance, RSI, or volume; exit early if momentum fades. Update levels with new swings.Leverage this strategy to optimize profits in volatile Forex markets like XAU/USD!

Henrybillion

What is a Fibonacci Sequence?The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, typically starting with 0 and 1 (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, ...). In trading, the Fibonacci retracement levels are derived from key ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%) based on this sequence. These levels are used to identify potential support and resistance zones where price reversals or continuations may occur.Application in ForexIn Forex trading, Fibonacci retracement is a popular technical analysis tool applied to chart price movements to predict future price action:- Identifying Support and Resistance**: Traders draw Fibonacci levels between a significant high and low on a chart. For example, after a price drop, the 61.8% retracement level often acts as support where the price might bounce back.- Entry and Exit Points**: Forex traders use these levels to determine optimal entry points (e.g., buying near a 50% retracement) or exit points (e.g., taking profit near a 23.6% retracement after a rally).- Stop-Loss and Take-Profit**: Fibonacci levels help set stop-loss orders below support (e.g., below 61.8%) or take-profit targets near resistance (e.g., 38.2% or 50%).- Trend Confirmation**: In a downtrend, if the price retraces to the 38.2% level and resumes falling, it confirms the bearish trend. Conversely, a break above this level in an uptrend may signal bullish momentum.Example in PracticeOn the XAU/USD chart, if the price drops from 3.344.70 USD to 3.312.570 USD, Fibonacci levels can be plotted. The 38.2% retracement might fall around 3.330 USD, serving as a potential support zone for traders to watch.

Henrybillion

Gold XAUUSD Price XAU/USD Analysis Today: Downtrend Signals, What Opportunities for Investors? Updated at 13:57 on 09/06/2025 (+07) - The 1-hour trading view chart for the XAU/USD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) pair indicates that gold prices are experiencing a significant decline, drawing attention from investors. Let’s dive into a detailed analysis of the current trend and short-term outlook based on the latest data.Current Gold Price and Recent Movements According to the chart, the spot gold price is currently fluctuating around 3.322.44 USD/ounce, down 0.24% in the latest trading session (as of 13:56 UTC-7). The highest point in the past hour reached 3.323.020 USD, while the lowest was 3.312.570 USD. A clear downtrend began from a local peak near 3.344.70 USD, with dominant red candlesticks reflecting strong selling pressure.Technical Analysis Support and Resistance: The nearest support level is around 3.300 USD, where the price may find buying interest to rebound. The next key resistance level is 3.350 USD, a threshold that the price has failed to break in the recent session. If selling pressure persists, a deeper support level could be 3.280 USD. Trading Volume: Trading volume spiked during the decline, particularly between 6 AM and 7 AM (UTC), indicating significant participation from investors offloading their positions. Market Momentum: The price is currently below the short-term moving average, signaling a bearish trend in the short term. However, if the price holds above 3.300 USD, it could open opportunities for a recovery toward 3.330-3.350 USD. Factors Influencing Gold Prices Recent U.S. economic data, particularly the non-farm payrolls report, may be the primary driver behind the pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields have reduced gold’s appeal. Additionally, global market sentiment, including geopolitical factors and the upcoming CPI data release on June 11, 2025, will also impact the next trend.Outlook and Investment Suggestions Short-Term: With the current decline, investors might consider buying in the support zone of 3.300 USD if reversal signals appear (e.g., a strong bullish candlestick or increased buying volume). However, caution is advised if the price breaks below 3.280 USD. Long-Term: The bullish trend for gold remains intact due to demand from central banks and its role as a safe-haven asset. This could be an opportunity to accumulate if the price corrects further. Conclusion The XAU/USD gold price is facing downward pressure in today’s trading session, but the 3.300 USD support level is a critical point to watch closely. Investors should combine technical analysis with economic news to make informed decisions. Stay updated regularly to seize opportunities in this volatile market!SEO Keywords: Gold price today, XAU/USD analysis, gold price forecast 2025, gold investment, gold support and resistance, latest gold news.

Henrybillion

On Friday, gold edged up slightly ahead of key US jobs data (NFP). Optimism over a US-China deal and USD profit-taking are capping gold’s gains. A weak NFP (<100,000) would bolster expectations of a Fed rate cut (54% chance in September), supporting gold, while a strong NFP (>200,000) would pressure it downward.Technically, the market is bullish, with prices consolidating in the 3300-3340 range after breaking resistance. A shakeout at support is possible before the trend resumes.Resistance: 3375, 3391, 3414Support: 3339, 3331Forecasting prices before NFP is tough, so it’s best to wait for the data and monitor price reactions. Prices may stay range-bound until next week, depending on fundamentals.Best regards,

Henrybillion

The Harmonic AB=CD pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool used to predict price reversals in financial markets. Based on Fibonacci ratios, it helps traders identify high-probability entry and exit points. This concise guide is designed for TradingView users to apply the pattern effectively.Pattern Overview- Structure: Four points (A, B, C, D). AB and CD legs are equal in length or follow Fibonacci ratios.- Fibonacci Ratios: - BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB. - CD equals AB (1:1) or extends 1.272/1.618 of BC.- Types: - Bullish: Signals a buy at point D (price rises). - Bearish: Signals a sell at point D (price falls).How to Identify and Trade1. Spot AB: Find a clear price swing from A to B.2. Measure BC: Use TradingView’s Fibonacci Retracement tool to confirm BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB.3. Project CD: Use Fibonacci Extension to project CD, matching AB’s length or extending 1.272/1.618 of BC.4. Confirm D: Check for confluence with support/resistance, candlestick patterns (e.g., doji), or indicators (e.g., RSI divergence).5. Trade Execution: - Bullish: Buy at D, set stop-loss below D, target point C or A. - Bearish: Sell at D, set stop-loss above D, target point C or A.Tips for TradingView- Use TradingView’s Fib tools for precision.- Confirm signals with additional indicators (e.g., MACD, volume).- Avoid choppy markets; focus on trending or range-bound charts.The AB=CD pattern is a reliable method for spotting reversals when used with proper confirmation. By mastering Fibonacci tools on TradingView and combining the pattern with other signals, traders can enhance their decision-making and improve trade outcomes. Practice on historical charts to build confidence.

Henrybillion

Harmonic price patterns are chart patterns based on Fibonacci ratios and market geometry, used to identify potential reversal points in Forex. They rely on Fibonacci levels (e.g., 0.618, 0.786, 1.618) to measure price structures, predicting reversal zones (PRZ - Potential Reversal Zone).Key Features:- Based on Fibonacci ratios.- Geometric structure with 4-5 points (X, A, B, C, D).- Identifies PRZ for buy/sell opportunities.- Symmetrical, reflecting market psychology.Key Harmonic Patterns in Forex:1. Gartley: - AB retraces 61.8% of XA. - D at 78.6% of XA. - Buy/sell at D.2. Bat: - AB retraces 38.2-50% of XA. - D at 88.6% of XA. - High-precision at D.3. Crab: - CD extends 161.8% of XA. - D at extreme levels. - Suited for strong volatility.4. Butterfly: - AB retraces 78.6% of XA. - D extends 127-161.8% of XA. - End of strong trends.5. Shark: - AB retraces 113-161.8% of XA. - D at 88.6-113% of XA. - Volatile markets.6. Cypher: - CD retraces 78.6% of XC. - Short-term timeframes.How to Use:1. Measure Fibonacci ratios to identify the pattern.2. Locate PRZ at D, combine with support/resistance, RSI, or candlestick patterns.3. Set stop-loss beyond PRZ, aim for risk/reward ≥ 1:2.4. Enter trades at D after price/indicator confirmation.Notes:- Requires precise measurements.- Combine with other tools for reliability.- Practice on a demo account first.- Avoid during high-volatility events (e.g., news releases).Let me know if you need details on a specific pattern!
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Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.