Technical analysis by Henrybillion about Symbol PAXG on 7/24/2025

1. Price Overview & Trendline Context Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,369.67 USD after a notable pullback from the recent high near 3,428. A clear descending channel has formed, marking a short-term corrective move within a larger bullish trend. Price action suggests a potential reversal setup as price approaches a strong support zone around 3,340 – 3,350 USD, previously acted as demand in the breakout on July 22. 2. Fibonacci & Structure Analysis The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low to the top at ~3,428 reveals that the pullback has reached the 0.9 level, often seen as an exhaustion point for corrections in strong bullish trends. This area aligns with: Key horizontal support: 3,340 – 3,350 Previous breakout zone Volume spike at base (20.6K vs avg.) This convergence suggests a high-probability bullish reversal setup. 3. EMA & Momentum Indicators Although the chart primarily uses SMA 9, the structure suggests price is extended from shorter EMAs. A break above the upper boundary of the falling channel may trigger EMA crossovers, further confirming reversal momentum. 4. Trading Strategy Suggestion Setup Description Buy Zone: 3,350 – 3,365 USD Take Profit 1: 3,385 USD (short-term supply zone) Take Profit 2: 3,428 USD (recent swing high) Stop Loss: Below 3,340 USD This trade follows the "Buy the Dip in Uptrend" strategy, aligning with trendline, fib support, and volume confirmation. 5. Key Resistance & Support Levels Resistance: 3,385 – 3,428 USD Support: 3,340 – 3,350 USD Breakout Confirmation Level: 3,375 (channel breakout) 6. Final Insights Gold remains in a broader bullish structure. Today’s chart shows strong technical confluence for a short-term reversal. Traders should monitor closely for breakout candles from the falling wedge/channel, preferably with volume confirmation.