Goldfinch_song

Despite a short-term relief bounce after Monday’s drop, BTC remains below the critical 1D MSS + S/R (red box). Structure is weak until this level is reclaimed. Bears remain in control as long as price can’t close above 115.7k. Plan: Maintain bearish bias while below the red box — expecting new lows, targeting the green demand/OB cluster around 108.3k. Flip the red box (close above 115.7k) and the outlook shifts to neutral or bullish.

Price is retesting a major support at $0.363. This level has acted as a strong pivot multiple times in the past, providing both support and resistance. Bulls need to hold this zone to avoid a deeper retrace. Below it, next support is down at $0.264. Plan: • Hold above $0.363 – could see a local bounce and retest of $0.44–0.50 resistance • Lose $0.363 – opens the way for a larger flush down toward $0.26 • No setup for longs if we close below support — would flip bias to short on breakdown

Price broke down instead of sweeping the range, leaving a new set of equal lows as liquidity targets. Structure now favors a patience play. Triggers for action: Monthly reclaim: Bullish trigger — reclaiming the M level signals strength, opens path for a trend reversal. Sweep of equal lows: If price dips and runs the new set of equal lows (gray box), look for signs of absorption or reversal for a long setup. No trade in the middle—waiting for either a proper liquidity sweep or a confirmed reclaim of the major level.

Price failed to break out above 1D supply and sharply rejected, losing key 4H demand at $117,300. HTF demand at $109,000 (1D FVG + BOS + S/R) is the next major area of interest—this is where I’ll look for fresh swing setups if the market flushes further. No need to rush new positions until a clean setup prints or levels are reclaimed. Plan: Wait for price to test $109,000 zone before considering a swing long. Only consider LTF scalp longs if we reclaim the 4H BOS at $118,300. Stay flat until high-probability entry, let the market show its hand.

Price has pulled back after a local top and is heading toward a clear demand zone. Key buy area sits around $3.12, aligned with 0.618 retracement and recent consolidation. Strong structure below—if majors keep retracing, this is where risk/reward for new spot buys becomes attractive. Plan: Waiting for price to reach the green zone to accumulate spot. Invalidation below $2.80, targeting a move back toward $4.45 and higher if momentum returns.

Price rejected perfectly off the 0.5 retracement and is now filling the previous imbalance. Yesterday's daily close was decisively bearish, confirming downside momentum. There’s a lack of convincing reversal signals at current levels. Plan: Main expectation is continued downside toward the $113k support. Not interested in longs until price stabilizes at or below that level.

Clear reclaim of the range low and a strong daily close confirm a bullish market structure shift. Printing a higher high signals potential for continuation. Dips toward the reclaimed range low are healthy, providing buy-the-dip opportunities. Accumulation at the range low with invalidation below keeps risk tight. Plan: Accumulate pullbacks toward the range low. Hold for midrange ($0.83) and upper range/major resistance.

No position yet—alerts are set for the FVG and HTF demand zone below. DOGE/BONK still showing relative strength, so patience here is warranted. Plan: Wait for price to tag HTF area of interest (FVG/demand). Look for LTF trigger for a long entry. Prefer clean sweep/reclaim for confirmation. Reasoning: BONK has strong momentum, but entry here is late after an extended run. Letting the setup come to me reduces risk of getting caught in a local top. DOGE/BONK relative strength signals not to rush.

Wait for a sweep of the range low (RL) into the Daily FVG (gray box). Look for a reclaim of RL as the trigger for a long. Reasoning: Sweep into FVG traps late sellers and sets up liquidity for a reversal. Reclaiming RL after the sweep signals strength and confirms a local bottom. No need to chase entries—best R:R is after liquidity is cleared and level is retaken.

Watching for price to drop into the blue demand zone while the daily RSI resets to the 50 level. If both conditions align, that's the next high-probability long setup. Reasoning: Strong rally has left RSI elevated, so a cool-down is likely. The blue zone lines up with the prior breakout and consolidation, so it's a logical area for buyers to step in. A confluence of demand and neutral RSI usually provides the best R:R for trend continuation.