EXCAVO

Sometimes, the market forces you to take a pause. The last few weeks have been exactly that for me. Health issues knocked me off my game, and my first thought, of course, was that it was due to the nerves and immense responsibility of this public #AltsznLive experiment. But after some self-reflection, I realized - it's not the trading stress. I've been in this game for 11 years and learned how to handle the pressure long ago. This experience only reminded me of the most important rule in our profession: the ability to take a step back. To step away from the charts, to rethink your strategy, to do something completely different. Over the years, I've taken such breaks many times, and each time I returned stronger, with a clearer vision. And this latest pause has led me to some profound thoughts that I simply must share with you. Everyone is searching for a Holy Grail in indicators, signals, and other people's opinions. But the only true grail is found within yourself. Success in trading is a direct consequence of deep and brutally honest self-analysis. In February of this year, I decided to tackle a big task: completely updating my educational Academy. This has always been a point of growth for me - structuring knowledge, learning new things. I created a detailed course plan, wrote down all the current relevant topics, and when I got to the section on "AI Agents," I stopped. And I disappeared. I went down that rabbit hole for four months, completely absorbed. I realized that the old format of education no longer works. It doesn't even inspire me anymore. So, I postponed the Academy update indefinitely. Instead, I focused on AI Agents. I saw in them not just a topic for a lesson, but the future - an army of personal assistants that can radically improve efficiency. I started creating them for myself, for my tasks, for my analysis. And I don't plan on stopping. In the coming bear market, I will dedicate even more time to this. Perhaps, a completely new, previously unimaginable format for the Academy will be born from this. I won't be publishing detailed content about the development process, but I will certainly share the most interesting developments with my community. Why I Still Believe in September This final push, which I've called "Altszn Live," fits perfectly into the market vision I formed long before it began. My core thesis remains unchanged: I believe the current growth cycle will end in September 2025. As in, next month. Right now, amidst the rally, I'm getting a flood of messages telling me I'm wrong, that the real altseason will be pushed to Q4, that everything is just getting started. And you know what? Maybe they're right. I fully admit that I could be wrong. I'm not trying to win a prediction contest. I won't get a medal for being right, and I won't be devastated if I'm mistaken - in 11 years, I've been wrong thousands of times, and there's nothing terrible about it. But I trust my system and my analysis more than the market noise. I will exit my positions in September and I will not re-enter the market until the end of the year, even if it goes to the moon. This site is called TradingView. A place where people share their vision. And this is my vision. The market is a living, pulsating organism. And I am here to study it, not to prove that I am right. A Deep Dive into Aptos ( APT ) So why am I betting on it again, on the supposed "loser"? Let's break it down. - The Counter-Argument and My Rebuttal: Yes, in the L1 narrative war, Aptos lost to SUI. Yes, it has complex tokenomics with constant unlocks that put pressure on the price. I see all of this. I am not betting on the obvious favorite. I am betting on market inefficiency. – The Entry Point: In trading, what matters is not just being right, but the price at which you enter. And right now, the entry point for Aptos looks far more attractive and safer to me than many other "overheated" projects that are already on everyone's lips. – The Behavioral Pattern: Aptos is slow. It's always late to the party. It doesn't lead the charge. BUT. When it starts to move, its growth becomes abnormally strong. Every single correction, no matter how small, is bought up instantly and aggressively. It just goes up, and up, and up. That's how it was last time. I am betting that the psychology of major players and the behavior of this asset have not changed. – The RWA Conviction: I will be blunt. I am deeply disappointed in 99% of altcoins. The more I research, the more I understand that most of these tokens are useless and provide no real value. My long-term conviction lies in the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). And Aptos is one of the TOP 3 blockchains leading this narrative. Technically - Unverified SFP - APTBTC potential reversal - APTETH I don't see any signs of a reversal - APTUSD in my area of interest - after the 6.25 break a rally should start Fundamental: Aptos is a project with extremely high potential but with corresponding risks. It can be described as a "blue-chip venture bet." The technology, team, and investors are top-tier (10/10). However, the weak and initially non-transparent tokenomics (4/10) is a major deterrent. The project is fairly valued by the market as a high-risk, high-reward asset. It is not a "hidden gem" due to its fame, nor is it a "scam," given its strong fundamentals. It is recommended for consideration as part of a diversified portfolio for investors with a high risk tolerance who are betting on the team and the long-term adoption of the Move technology. I plan to hold all my spot and futures positions until September 13th. Let's see together how it plays out. What's Next? Many of the coins I've mentioned before - LINK, ETH, and others-have already taken off. I am intentionally not publishing a flood of ideas this season. As I said, I'm disappointed with most of the market. After September, when I close this challenge, I will report back on the results - both the wins and the losses. And I will be sure to share my plans for what I'll be doing with my stablecoins next. I'm not the kind of author who publishes ten posts a day. I only share my thoughts when I truly have something to say. If you're interested in my journey, my approach, and my ideas - just leave a like on this post. Follow me if you want, don't if you don't. I am here to share my analysis; that's just how it's been since the beginning of my journey on TradingView. Much love to you all. With love, your EXCAVO.

This experience is built on analyzing every previous altseason. And here is the main takeaway: altseasons are always short, but incredibly rapid. In this chaos, most people, driven by emotion, make the same mistakes: - They open too many trades. -They close a position on the first small move, hoping to "re-enter" another project that's "about to explode." -They shift capital from a growing asset to one that hasn't moved yet. And it still doesn't move. The problem is the mindset. You don't invest in what's falling or bet on "dark horses." You invest in what is already growing. This might sound new to some, but the most important principle in trading, and in life, is to REINFORCE STRENGTH. This is an attention market. And attention is captured by the speed and power of growth. Everyone is looking at what's pumping. That's where the money flows. Your job is to be in that flow, not to try and catch a falling knife. And one more thing, the most critical rule for the next two months. I AM BEGGING YOU, DO NOT OPEN SHORT POSITIONS. Any 15-25% correction on a strong project is not a reason to short; it is your buying opportunity. Measure from the peak, and you will see these entry points. The strongest projects will correct even less. This system works. Of course, this doesn't mean blindly buying everything that's green. You need to understand the narratives. But if your project is old and showing weakness while others are flying, maybe it's time to switch to a leader. As a subscriber wrote in the comments of my last post: in the previous cycle, SUI did a 10x, while APTOS did a 4x. This clearly shows where the market's attention was focused, and consequently, where the results were. Best regards EXCAVO

Greetings to everyone reading these lines! Today, I want to share with you not just an analysis, but my personal reflections and feelings about the current situation in the financial and cryptocurrency markets, especially regarding Bitcoin. Many of you already know that I have always been a firm believer in Bitcoin’s market cycles. Right now, we are approaching the final stage of another such cycle-the distribution phase. The past few months have seen considerable turmoil: Trump's election, escalating conflicts between India and Pakistan, Israel and Iran, rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and not to mention China’s increasingly assertive geopolitical moves. I can't shake the feeling that the world stands on the threshold of something significant, perhaps serious. I sincerely hope I'm mistaken, but signs of a global conflict or a substantial reset in the world order are undeniably in the air. History shows us that after major upheavals and wars, the world undergoes profound changes. It seems we are nearing such a pivotal moment within the next couple of months. For a long time, I've highlighted September 2025 as a critical point in the current market cycle, and now everything confirms this scenario. In these unstable times, participants in the financial markets face both risks and tremendous opportunities. The distinguishing factor today is the rapid integration of artificial intelligence into all areas of life. I firmly believe that if you don't begin incorporating AI into your activities now, you risk being left behind. Personally, I'm actively integrating artificial intelligence into my professional processes and everyday life, as I see it as inevitable in our near future. Regarding the cryptocurrency market, I'll be frank: the past couple of years have significantly changed it and even somewhat disappointed me. Liquidity has become diluted, and the market has clearly become seasonal, with brief periods of explosive growth followed by long downturns. This has led me to return to trading Forex and gold, where the market is more transparent and predictable. Many crypto projects that seemed promising in 2017 are now nearly forgotten and stagnating. Think of Dash, EOS, Litecoin, ZCash, and others-they haven't disappeared entirely, but they no longer play significant roles in the market. The battle for user attention has become overly aggressive, and competition has devolved into chasing short-lived hype. Nevertheless, there are exceptions, such as Solana—a project that achieved success thanks to a fortunate combination of factors. Yet such projects remain exceedingly rare. Today, I see the most promising and powerful trend as the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). It doesn’t matter so much which blockchain will be used-the concept itself has already proven effective. While this journey won't be easy, the involvement of giants like BlackRock indicates the trend is sustainable and promising in the long run. Overall, I am confident that financial markets and digital currencies will continue to evolve and grow. However, in about two months, I plan to adopt a bearish stance. Unfortunately, there are few signs of a quick global economic recovery. The world needs significant restructuring and changes-new rules and agreements are inevitable, and the coming year promises many notable events. Ask yourself: Are you ready for these changes? Are you prepared to adapt to new conditions, technologies, and realities? Personally, I'm fully ready, which is why I remain active in the market, continuing to share my thoughts, assist, and engage with each of you. If you have questions, ideas, or proposals for collaboration, I am always open to dialogue and eager for any interaction. I sincerely thank each of you for your support, comments, and attention to my posts. I stay here because I believe in the enormous opportunities available even in the most uncertain times. We have an exciting journey ahead, and I invite you to travel it together with me. Wishing you success, profits, and above all, peace and kindness on our planet. The time of change is already here. Let’s meet it together. Warm regards, Your EXCAVO.Easy money

Just update of this idea Best regards EXCAVO

You're probably wondering why I'm talking about the dollar on the Bitcoin chart. It's because I want you to look a few steps ahead. That's why this post is for people like that. 1. Global Economic Transformations: Collapse of the Jamaican Monetary System Insights and Logic: We are witnessing the end of the Jamaican monetary system, established in 1976 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. The Jamaican system's key feature is free (yet conditionally market-driven) exchange rates and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. For decades, the U.S. utilized the dollar's reserve currency status to finance budget and trade deficits without equivalent value returns—a beneficial "global tax." Facts: Currently, over 60% of global reserves are denominated in dollars (IMF data), but diversification is accelerating. The U.S. is facing a "liquidity trap": to sustain markets, the Fed must print money, exacerbating inflation and weakening the dollar's global effectiveness. Analogy: Just as Nixon abolished the gold standard in 1971, we are now witnessing the abolition of the dollar's global standard—not abandoning the dollar as a reserve currency, but its monopoly. 2. Political Environment in the U.S.: Trump, Tariffs, and Managed Uncertainty Insights: Court decisions against Trump's tariffs are political tools, especially prior to congressional elections. Democrats aren't just fighting for power—they systematically undermine Trump's economic policies in voters' eyes. Systematic Explanation: Virtually any presidential decree in the U.S. can be challenged legally. Lower-court decisions rarely withstand appeals, yet they create temporary buffers allowing policy adjustments. This enables Trump to recalibrate his trade model systematically without losing face. Conclusion: The U.S. operates under "managed uncertainty," where seemingly chaotic political behaviors are structured adaptation mechanisms to global changes. 3. Mass Market and Sixth Technological Paradigm: NBIC as Foundation for Future Growth Insights: The future mass market will be built around NBIC technologies: * Nano—new materials and sensors; * Bio—biotech, genetic engineering, life extension; * Info—digital platforms, neural networks, blockchain; * Cogno—cognitive interfaces, AI, neural interfaces. Historical Analogy: Just as cars and mobile phones defined the mass market of the 20th century, longevity treatments, AI services, and neural devices will define the 21st century. Facts: Examples of current "false starts": Nvidia, Palantir, OpenAI—stock price volatility relates not to technology failures but premature valuation. Forecast: The next 20 years will see growth in new sectors, dominated by those capturing mass consumers, not just investors. 4. Digitalization and Geo-economics: Telegram, AI, and Control Facts: Telegram plans to integrate Grok neural network—a signal of the digital merger of communication, payment platforms, and behavioral analytics. Insight: Telegram as a future super-app: messaging, finance, AI assistance—all-in-one. This is a media reset: traditional platforms like Bloomberg and CNBC lose influence to those controlling data flows directly. Conclusion: Information landscapes become automated—algorithms, not journalists, manage narratives. 5. **Europe: From "Progress Locomotive" to Stagnation and Subcontracting** Facts: Germany has been in recession for three consecutive years. The average age is 46. Pension burdens and social standards make the economic model (Rhineland capitalism) unsustainable. Ideological Crisis: Europe is split into "transhumanist" (West) and "neoconservative" (East) factions. The neoconservative revolution is gaining ground in Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, and even eastern Germany. Conclusion: Europe is skipping the sixth technological paradigm, becoming a "comfortable but uncompetitive" zone. Europe's "Japanification"—a path without acute crises but also without growth. 6. Future Growth Centers: Asia and the Global South with Risks Facts and Locations: Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand—dynamic economies with high ROI and moderate political risks. Philippines, Taiwan—potential proxy-conflict zones between the U.S. and China. Logic: Global capital moves towards higher returns rather than better living standards. Asia becomes a new economic and geopolitical battleground similar to 20th-century Europe. 7. Role of Cryptocurrencies and USDT, USDC: Transition to Digital Dollar Facts: U.S. authorities view cryptocurrencies, especially USDT, as tools to reboot the dollar model. USDT effectively integrates the dollar into the crypto economy, maintaining Treasury demand and allowing dollar exports outside the U.S. Insights: Unlike CBDCs, the U.S. digital dollar (via stablecoins) enables global expansion rather than local control. The U.S. aims to lead the new monetary evolution—digital dominance instead of fiat. 8. Prospects in Latin America: Argentina, Mexico, and Risks Argentina Analysis: President Milei implements neoliberal reforms akin to Ukraine's: reduced state role and deregulation. Possible outcomes: deindustrialization, increased poverty, export dependency. Positives: No war risks, resource-rich (oil, wine, food), good medicine and education standards (legacy). Mexico: High growth yet severe crime levels—excellent for business, risky for life. 9. Global Hybrid War Instead of a Third World War Concept: Not a "world war" but a global hybrid war: multiple power centers, proxy conflicts, shifting alliances. Theaters of conflict: Asia (especially the South China Sea), potentially the Middle East and Africa. Strategic Conclusion: Avoid proxy countries; prefer "neutral dynamic" regions like Indonesia, Vietnam. About DXY I have been talking about the fall of the dollar index for a very long time. September is coming soon Best regards EXCAVO

💥 "One Last Leap of Faith?" - What Bitcoin Might Be Hiding Before September The world’s on fire: Israel, Iran, Strait of Hormuz, oil, elections, the dollar, rates, black swan whispers. And someone’s out here saying Bitcoin might still go up? Yes. We are. Not because we believe - but because we see. 📉 Everyone’s afraid. The whales aren’t. When the crowd goes into survival mode, the real game begins. Whales aren’t exiting - they’re accumulating. ETFs aren’t pausing - they’re inflowing. The technical setup isn’t breaking - it’s compressing like a spring. $104,000. Coil building. If we break out - targets at $132K–$140K are absolutely in play. 👉 But that’s not the point. The point is why this is happening while the world is burning. 🧠 The idea: Bitcoin isn’t a safe haven. It’s a distribution machine. Gold is for panic. Bitcoin is for structure. Institutions don’t ask “is it scary?” - they ask “where’s liquidity?” Everything is aligning for one last upside move. Until September. After that - chaos is back on the table. 💣 The Global Playbook: Now (Summer) - Consolidation, ETF flows, geopolitical fear- Strategic entries, low exposure Breakout - FOMO panic, retail rushes in - Profit-taking via options September–Fall - Macro/geopolitical shock - Already in cash or hedged 📌 Bottom Line Yes, Bitcoin might pump. Not because the world is fine - but because someone needs to exit beautifully. If you're reading this - you're early enough to think. Markets don’t reward justice. They reward positioning. 🛠 What to do right now: Watch the $104,000 level - it's the pivot Breakout = final upside push to $132K–140K Keep your eyes on September - reversal zone Think in scenarios: entry, exit, protection Follow EXCAVO - we don’t guess, we read the game I've been talking about this scenario for a long timeIf you have any question feel free to askThe chart looks dirty, but you can clean it up and check out the new Tradingview feature A few months ago, I published a private chart. And I talked about 5 scenarios The yellow scenario is happening now You can click on "Grab this chart" and remove all unnecessary things and only what you see now in this post will remainfollow the plan

Price isn’t the goal. Price is the side effect. Meanwhile, BlackRock - a black hole with a trust-backed logo - just absorbed 42,000 ETH more. Yesterday, you may have read this "regular" headline: BlackRock increases its Ethereum exposure to $4 billion, adding $109.5 million via ETFs. But here’s what you missed: there are no random numbers on the market. When a player like this moves - it’s not hype. It’s a blueprint for the future. Ethereum is no longer an altcoin. It’s no longer speculation. It’s a financial infrastructure, already recognized by law, exchanges, and institutions. What does this mean? 💡 Ethereum is now a digital bond - with yield flowing from blocks. Profit is no longer built on promises, but on the structure of the chain itself. Trust lies not in faces, but in code. Growth is not artificial — it’s architectural. And here’s why this is terrifyingly beautiful: While you sleep, they are building an era. Each ETF purchase removes ETH from circulation - permanently. Because: ✅ This ETH is gone from the open market ✅ It won’t be panic-sold ✅ It becomes income-bearing collateral, not a speculative asset Still waiting for an entry signal? The big players are already in. This is no longer crypto - this is cash flow infrastructure, embedded into the digital economy. And when pension funds, insurers, and sovereign investors move into Ethereum - they will come via ETFs. Not because it’s trendy, but because it’s regulated, stable, and profitable. 📉 When institutional demand meets vanishing supply - the price won’t simply rise. It will explode, not as growth, but as a structural liquidity shift. Ethereum is: 💸 Staking = passive yield 🔗 Backbone of DeFi 🖼 Fuel for NFTs ⚙️ Millions of transactions per second ⚖️ A regulated ETF asset This is the new digital bond system, where the bet isn’t on the dollar - it’s on ETH as an income-producing asset. 💥 While you're reading this, the game is already on. ETFs are rewriting the rules of time-ownership. No hype. Just filings. Just intention. Best regards EXCAVONothing NEW soon 4100

Massive Reload: Brand, Token, Architecture In May, the migration from MPL - SYRUP was completed, with the final 48-hour window taking place from May 19-21, 2025. All products (syrupUSDC, syrupUSDT, etc.) have been integrated into the Maple ecosystem. The Syrup.fi platform has been shut down. Unclaimed MPL tokens were redirected to the Syrup Strategic Fund (SSF) to support ecosystem liquidity and growth. Key Developments & Growing Institutional Trust Cantor Fitzgerald launched a $2B BTC lending program in partnership with Maple and FalconX (May 27) - a clear vote of confidence from the institutional world. TVL has exceeded $1.6B, with nearly $1B in active loans - a significant milestone in the DeFi space. Maple is expanding into Solana, launching syrupUSD: Over $30M deployed already. Additional $500K in incentives announced. Chainlink CCIP is used for cross-chain communication between EVM and Solana ecosystems. Analysis & Outlook: What the Structure Tells Us Financial Infrastructure Strong fundamentals: massive TVL growth and deep institutional participation. Diversified architecture: Ethereum, Solana, and CEX liquidity all integrated into one unified system. Behavioral & Market Signals Despite temporary drops in on-chain activity and reduced whale holdings, the system’s DeFi structure remains robust and functional. A short-term correction may occur due to whale profit-taking — potentially a great entry point. What’s Next? The launch of lstBTC — a compliant BTC yield solution — could be the next big catalyst. Deeper Solana integration is likely to unlock new liquidity and broader user adoption. Right now, we’re in the quiet build-up phase — when markets are silent, but infrastructure is forming. These are the moments where the best positions are taken. I expect 1-1.4$ for 1 SYRUP Best regards EXCAVO0.55

Hello everyone, many of you asked me to publish my vision for ETH. Here you go! I believe that the previous impulse movement was only the first upward movement, and now we are in a sideways correction movement — call it what you will, but the fact is that the exit from this flat will be upward. 1. End of the year 2. ETH is accumulating on the Onchain 3. Liquidity overflow from BTC can be seen on the ETHBTC chart, and the overflow began at the very bottom 4. What else can large conservative players accumulate? 5. We are going after liquidity from above and should break 4100 by September Best Regards EXCAVO

I don't think I need to explain what APTOS is here. Right now, it's a good point for a swing position, which is why you're seeing this post. Best regards EXCAVO