candle_crafts

⚠️ BTC — Gravity Warning: 104k–100k is a live magnet before any “to the moon.” Hopium is not a hedge, Candle Crew. 12H still prints lower-high → lower-low, and the 110–111k reclaim failed. Under the hood, untapped liquidity at 104k → 100k screams classic flush-then-reclaim. Chart note (orange box): marks the last drop’s full range $117,395.8 → $108,566.9. Until we close back above the top of that box with authority, every bounce = suspect. HTF read • Price ≈ 108.5k; pressure persists while below 110–111k. • Equal lows + inefficiency funnel price into 104–100k = high-probability sweep zone. • Lose 100k on a daily close → risk opens to 96–98k. Base case = tap & reclaim, not trend failure. Orderflow + Derivs • OI elevated but off highs; CVD drifts down → spot isn’t chasing bounces. • Funding/basis compress → rallies fade until the below-liquidity is cleared. • Liq stacks sit under the lows → mechanical draw toward 104–100k first. Game plan (not a signal) 1.Wait for a wick through 104–100k with ≥1.5× 15m volume. 2.Only long after an immediate M15 BOS up. 3.Execute on the FVG/OB that breaks structure; scale at TP1, then trail. 4.Reclaim & hold 110–111k → 114–116k → 118–121k and sustain → opens path to 121–123k, then 130–150k into Q4. Bottom line: Do not over-commit to longs before the downside sweep. The A-grade entries likely come after the flush and reclaim. Manage risk like a professional, not like exit liquidity. ⚔️ Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

Hey Candle fam, Heads-up: PYTH loves stop-cleaners. We want the 0.182→0.176 flush, reclaim + BOS up, then enter on the fill. 🔴 Scalp Setup — PYTHUSDT 1) HTF/MTF Bias (12H/4H) • Price ≈ 0.186. • Trend: MTF up; consolidating after a vertical pump. • Sweep targets: below 0.182 → 0.176, above 0.195–0.205. 2) LTF Execution (15m) • Confirmation: BOS up right after a sub-0.182 sweep (close beyond prior 15m lower high). • OB/FVG: Enter on 50–100% fill of the displacement FVG created by the BOS leg; OB midpoint acceptable. • Liquidity: below 0.182 / 0.176, above 0.195 / 0.205. • Volume/Delta: Sweep candle ≥ 1.5× 20-bar average, or clear delta absorption at 0.178–0.182. 3) Derivatives • OI: Expanded sharply; slight fade on pullback. • Funding: Choppy, drifting toward neutral. • CVD: Strong since breakout; watch for a 15m higher low. • Resting liqs: 0.180 and 0.200–0.205. 4) Trade Map • Bias: Long after sweep + BOS up. • Sweep Zone: 0.182 → 0.176. • Entry: 0.183–0.186 limit (FVG/OB 50–100% fill of BOS leg; allow fib drift to 0.65 only if momentum is A-grade). • Stop: 0.1768. • TPs: 0.194 / 0.200 / 0.205 (opt). • RR: From 0.1845 fill → TP2 ≈ 3.2:1, TP3 ≈ 4.1:1. • Trust Meter: A+ (85%). 👉 PYTHUSDT = Scalp A. ⚔️ Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

Heads-up traders: LINK will likely steal stops 22.4–22.9. Let it. We act only after the grab + structure break. Calm hands get paid. 🔴 Scalp Setup — LINKUSDT 1) HTF/MTF Bias (12H/4H) • Price ≈ 23.85. • Trend: Uptrend; first clean pullback after a vertical leg, ranging 23.0–25.0. • Sweep targets: below 23.00 → 22.80 / 22.60; above 24.30–24.60. 2) LTF Execution (15m) • Confirmation: CHoCH/BOS up (change of character / break of structure) right after a sub-23 sweep — close beyond prior 15m lower high. • OB/FVG: Enter on 50–100% fill of the FVG/OB created by the BOS leg; prefer OB body or 0.50–0.618 fib of the impulse. • Liquidity: below 22.95 / 22.80 / 22.60, above 23.40 / 23.70 / 24.00. • Volume/Delta: Sweep candle ≥ 1.5× 20-bar average or clear delta absorption in the 22s. 3) Derivatives • OI: Stable-high; slight rises on dips. • Funding: Near flat (no crowding). • CVD: Attempting a higher low after a week-long drift. • Resting liqs: 22.8 and 23.6–23.8. 4) Trade Map • Bias: Long after downside sweep → BOS up. • Sweep Zone: 22.4–22.9. • Entry: 22.75–22.90 limit (refine to OB body / FVG 50–100% fill). • Stop: 22.55 (beyond sweep wick / opposite OB edge by ~0.15× ATR-15m). • TPs: 23.40, 23.70, 24.00 (opt). • RR: From 22.82 mid-fill → TP1 ≈ 2.1:1, TP2 ≈ 3.3:1, TP3 ≈ 4.4:1. • Trust Meter: A+ (88%). 👉 LINKUSDT = Scalp A. Rotation • Sector: Oracles (LINK). • Narrative: Trend pullback with calm derivatives; watch sweep → reclaim → continuation. ⚔️ Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

GM, Candle Crew ☕️ We don’t chase green; we set traps 🐺. 1) HTF (2D) 📊 •Price ≈ 3.12. Range above 2.90, capped by 3.45–3.60 supply. •Preferred script: wick <3.00 to cleanse → BOS up to prove rotation. 2) Orderflow / Derivs 🔍 •Value map: VAL ~3.02–3.05, POC 3.12–3.15, VAH ~3.28–3.30. •Tape: dips near 3.00 getting absorbed; need first impulsive M15 BOS with ≥1.5× 20-bar M15 volume. 3) Trade Map 🧭 •Bias: Long after stop-hunt <3.00 + M15 BOS up. •Entry: 2.98–3.03 (pullback into 4H OB / M15 FVG). •SL: 2.86 🛡️ •TPs: 3.28 / 3.48 / 3.70 🎯 •Mgmt: TP1 → BE+fees, then trail under 5m HLs. •Guards: Skip if BTC 15m range >1.25× avg or BTC.D rips. Summary: Let it sweep <3.00, wait for BOS, buy 2.98–3.03, scale at 3.28 / 3.48 / 3.70. No sweep = no trade. ⚔️ Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

We just dropped today’s precision scalp plan: let BTC run the lows, then ride the reclaim with structure + volume. Clean, systematic, zero hopium. Setup •Trigger: Fast wick through ~111.85k (ideal 110.8–111.2k) ➜ strong snapback with ≥1.5× 20-bar volume + 15m BOS up ✅ •Execution: Buy the pullback into displacement FVG/OB at 112.0–112.8k ↩️ •Invalidation: Just below the sweep low (~0.10–0.20× ATR(15m)) 🛑 •Targets: 113.9k → 115.2–115.6k → 116.92k → 120.25–120.99k → 123.10k 🎯 Context •Tape still favors deviation → reclaim over straight breakdowns. Let the liquidity get harvested first, then trade the confirmation, not the panic. •Heads-up: Powell speaks tomorrow — expect headline whipsaws. Keep it surgical into/around the window. ⏳🤖 Risk Checklist •Entry only after BOS + volume confirmation •Scale out on the way up; trail stops once TP1 tags •No revenge trades if the sweep fails — stand down and re-evaluate Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

Sweeping clustered lows for fuel, NEAR is lining up a textbook OB/FVG entry before pushing into 3.20–3.35 supply. 📊 NEARUSDT.P — Liquidity-Grab Pullback 🎯 Direction: Long (only after downside sweep confirmed) 📍 Entry Zone: 2.92 – 2.98 (15m bullish OB / 0.50–0.618 retrace of BOS leg) 🛑 Stop Loss: 2.86 (beyond sweep/OB edge; ATR buffer) 💰 Targets: • TP1 — 3.15 • TP2 — 3.28 • TP3 — 3.45 📐 RR Ratio: ~3.6 : 1 (to TP2) 🧠 Trust Meter: ████████▒▒ — 88% ⸻ 🔍 Why We Like It • HTF Bias (12H/4H): Higher-high/higher-low structure; price pressing toward prior supply at 3.20–3.35 with OI rising & CVD improving (Velo → increasing participation). • Sweep Trigger: Wick below 2.90–2.94 → close back inside = sell-side liquidity taken. • LTF Entry: After sweep → 15m BOS up (close >3.02) → buy pullback into 2.92–2.98 OB/FVG in fib pocket. • Participation Filter: Sweep candle vol ≥1.5× 20-bar avg; skip if delta keeps bleeding (no absorption). ⸻ 📏 Management • SL → BE+fees at TP1, trail under 5m HL ladder. • Time-stop: no new HH in 50m → cut 50% or exit. • Invalidate on clean 12H close < 2.86 or BTC.D spike up intraday. • No new positions ±30m major news. ⸻ 🚀 Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

A quick dip into 0.518–0.525 will be all it takes to fuel the next wave. BOS confirmation is the green light. 📊 JUPUSDT.P — Liquidity-Grab Pullback 🎯 Direction: Long (only after downside sweep confirmed) 📍 Entry Zone: 0.528 – 0.540 (15m bullish OB / 0.50–0.618 retrace of BOS leg) 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.512 (below sweep/OB edge; ATR buffer) 💰 Targets: • TP1 — 0.565 • TP2 — 0.605 • TP3 — 0.642 📐 RR Ratio: ~3.2 : 1 (to TP2) 🧠 Trust Meter: ████████▒▒ — 88% ⸻ 🔍 Why We Like It • HTF Bias (12H): Uptrend intact; pushing into prior supply after impulsive expansion. • Sweep Setup: Prefer wick through 0.518–0.525 → close back inside = liquidity taken. • LTF Trigger: After sweep → 15m BOS up (close above ~0.548–0.552) → pullback entry into 0.528–0.540 OB/FVG in fib pocket. • Participation Filter: Sweep candle vol ≥1.5× 20-bar avg; Velo = OI rising, funding neutral, CVD lagging → absorption setup if BOS prints. ⸻ 📏 Management • SL → BE+fees at TP1, trail under 5m HL ladder. • Time-stop: no new HH in 50m → cut 50% or exit. • Invalidate on 12H close < 0.512 or BTC.D spike intraday. • Avoid entry ±30m major news. ⸻ 🚀 Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

Holding higher lows, sweeping local liquidity, and prepping for a 0.305–0.322 extension. The HBAR ladder keeps climbing. 📊 HBARUSDT.P — Liquidity-Grab Pullback 🎯 Direction: Long (only after downside sweep confirmed) 📍 Entry Zone: 0.263 – 0.271 (refined bullish OB / 0.50–0.618 retrace of BOS leg) 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.255 (below sweep/OB edge; ATR buffer) 💰 Targets: • TP1 — 0.286 • TP2 — 0.305 • TP3 — 0.322 📐 RR Ratio: ~3.1 : 1 (to TP2) 🧠 Trust Meter: ████████▒▒ — 88% ⸻ 🔍 Why We Like It • HTF Bias (12H/4H): Uptrend intact; HL ladder pressing into prior supply. • Sweep Trigger: Prefer wick into 0.258–0.262 → close back inside range to take sell-side liquidity. • LTF Confirmation: After sweep → 15m BOS up (close above last LH) → pullback entry into 0.263–0.271 OB/FVG in fib pocket. • Participation Filter: Sweep candle vol ≥1.5× 20-bar avg or delta absorption on footprint. • Macro Context: OI rising, funding tame; BTC.D drifting down supports alt longs. ⸻ 📏 Management • SL → BE+fees at TP1, trail under 5m HL ladder. • Time-stop: no new HH in 50m → cut 50% or exit. • Invalidate on 12H close < 0.255 or BTC.D spike intraday. • Entry must trigger within 6×15m bars after BOS. ⸻ 🚀 Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

Shorts will think they’re in control — until they’re not. A clean sweep through 0.62 sets the stage for the real move. 📊 IMXUSDT.P — Liquidity-Grab Pullback 🎯 Direction: Long 📍 Entry Zone: 0.628 – 0.638 (15m bullish OB / 0.50–0.618 retrace of BOS leg after sell-side sweep) 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.612 (below sweep wick / OB edge; ATR buffer) 💰 Targets: • TP1 — 0.665 • TP2 — 0.695 • TP3 — 0.730 📐 RR Ratio: ~3.0 : 1 (to TP2) 🧠 Trust Meter: ████████▒▒ — 88% ⸻ 🔍 Why We Like It • HTF Bias (12H): Uptrend with higher highs/lows; pressing prior supply at 0.66–0.69. • Sweep Setup: Wick through 0.62 cluster lows → close back inside = sell-side liquidity grab. • LTF Confirmation: After sweep → 15m BOS up (close above last LH from drop) → buy pullback into 0.628–0.638 OB/FVG in fib pocket. • Participation Filter: Sweep candle vol ≥1.5× 20-bar avg. • Flow Context: OI rising, funding muted, CVD lagging → need BOS/volume absorption confirmation. • Macro: BTC.D drifting down supports alt longs; skip if BTC.D spikes up intraday. ⸻ 📏 Management • SL → BE+fees at TP1, trail under 5m HL ladder. • Time-stop: no new HH in 50m → cut 50% or exit. • Invalidate on 12H close < 0.612 or BTC sell-off + BTC.D breakout. • No entries ±30m major news. ⸻ 🚀 Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.

Volume concentration. Fib confluence. BTC.D drifting down. The SEI pullback is where precision meets probability. 📊 SEIUSDT.P — Liquidity-Grab Pullback 🎯 Direction: Long 📍 Entry Zone: 0.334 – 0.345 (15m bullish OB / 0.50–0.618 retrace of BOS leg) 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.322 (below sweep wick / OB edge; ATR buffer) 💰 Targets: • TP1 — 0.368 • TP2 — 0.392 • TP3 — 0.410 📐 RR Ratio: ~3.1 : 1 (to TP2) 🧠 Trust Meter: ████████▒▒ — 88% ⸻ 🔍 Why We Like It • HTF Bias (12H): Trend turning up, pushing into prior supply after strong impulse from ~0.31 → 0.36. • Sweep Setup: Prefer wick below 0.34 → 0.33, closing back inside to grab sell-side liquidity. • Structure Confirmation: Require 15m BOS up (close above last LH from pullback). • Confluence: Entry zone = 0.382–0.618 retrace of BOS displacement; volume POC near low-0.33s; OI rising, funding stable. • Macro Context: BTC.D drifting down — supportive for alt longs. Skip if BTC.D spikes up intraday. ⸻ 📏 Management • SL → BE+fees at TP1, trail under 5m HL ladder. • Time-stop: no new HH in 50m → cut 50% or exit. • Invalidate on 12H close < 0.322 or BTC sell-off + BTC.D breakout. • No new positions ±30m major news. ⸻ 🚀 Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.