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Technical analysis by candle_crafts about Symbol BTC on 10/10/2025

https://sahmeto.com/message/3827787
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Rank: 34010
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ساختار بازار بیت کوین: تحلیل چند زمانیه و سطوح کلیدی حمله و دفاع

:Neutral
Price at Publish Time:
$122,067.13
،Technical،candle_crafts

BTC is pausing mid-trend after a clean reclaim of ≈118 k. Structure remains impulsive (HH–HL). We map the path, mark the sweep zones, and let price confirm. 1W • Near 121.4 k after reclaim of ≈118 k (old supply → support). • Weekly close > 122 k opens 128–130 k liquidity shelf. • Lose 118 k → 112–113 k retest window. 2D • Displacement ≈114 k → 124 k, now mid-range consolidation. • Breakout base 117.8–118.5 k respected. • Acceptance > 123 k resumes markup; volume taper = cool-off, not distribution. 12H • Micro pullback after 125 k sweep. • 120–118 k OB = primary defense. • Close < 118 k → corrective leg toward 114–115 k. • POC ≈ 120.7 k (Binance perp) acts as a magnet. 📈 Orderflow / Derivatives (Binance + Bybit snapshot) • POC: ≈ 120.7 k (Binance Perp) • OI: ≈ $38 B, stable — no forced unwind • Funding: +0.01–0.02 % (neutral / slightly positive) • CVD: flat — spot buyers absorbing perp selling • Liquidations: cluster below 118 k (≈ $220 M) • 3-mo basis: 8 % → 7 % drift — cool-off, not risk-off ⸻ ⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes 🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — 123.8 k → 125.4 k Why: equal-highs on 12H + September wick cluster; last pockets of short liquidity. Inside-box note: • 12H close > 125.5 k with OI > $38 B and funding > 0.03 % → expansion to 128–130 k. • Rejection + OI drop → short-term top → reversion to 120 k POC. Execution bias: • Swept + rejected → look for LTF BOS under 124 k → short to 120 k. • Accepted → continuation leg to 128–130 k. 🟩 Support Sweep Zone — 118.2 k → 119.8 k Why: last breakout base + weekly demand flip + 12H OB body alignment. Inside-box note: • 12H close < 118 k with rising OI and funding neutral / negative → shorts push → 114–115 k rebuild. • Hold + delta absorption → reload → 123–125 k retest. Execution bias: • Delta absorption or reclaim of 120 k = safer long to 124–125 k. • Break < 118 k → bearish expansion → 114–115 k liquidity shelf. ⚫ Optional Deep Sweep Zone — 113.5 k → 115.2 k Why: prior liquidity shelf + weekly imbalance fill. Inside-box note: Final demand defense; failure here risks 111–112 k HTF retest. ⸻ 🔭 Summary Logic • 125 k sweep → possible top unless clean 12H close above. • 118 k sweep → reload if defended with absorption. • 114–115 k = last liquidity shelf before weekly structure cracks. Signals are posted only when triggers actually fire to keep execution reliable and precise.

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