Technical analysis by DanOxAm about Symbol ETH: Buy recommendation (6/29/2025)

Ethereum’s All-Time Schiff Pitchfork Points to $26,000 Top This CycleWhat if I told you Ethereum’s long-term trajectory already contains the roadmap to its next parabolic peak—and it's hiding in plain sight?By applying an all-time Schiff Pitchfork to ETH’s historical price action, we uncover a channel of truth that has guided Ethereum’s macro moves since its inception. And according to this structure, the upper bound this cycle sits around $26,000.Yes, $26K ETH is not only possible—it’s technically aligned.🧭 Schiff Pitchfork: A Forgotten Tool With Powerful InsightWhile traditional pitchforks center around initial anchor points, the Schiff Pitchfork adjusts the median line to better reflect price momentum and curvature over time. For Ethereum, it captures macro cycles and logarithmic price evolution with eerie accuracy.We anchor the pitchfork as follows:Point A: March 2020 COVID bottom (~$90)Point B: May 2021 cycle top (~$4,400)Point C: June 2022 bottom (~$880)This sets a median growth trajectory with upper and lower bounds that have so far contained all of Ethereum’s major rallies and retracements.📈 The Pitchfork Speaks: $26K = Upper Rail This CycleThe upper boundary of the pitchfork intersects around $26,000–$27,000 between November 2025 and January 2026This aligns with:Cycle timing: Ethereum typically peaks ~8 months after BitcoinMacro window: Projected end of global liquidity expansion before potential recessionETF catalyst: BlackRock’s staking ETF + TradFi inflows could supercharge final legETH/BTC breakout zone: Suggests ETH will outperform BTC in the late stage of the cycleIf Ethereum follows the historical path set by prior cycles (2017, 2021), and this channel remains valid, then $26K ETH becomes a technical magnet, not a fantasy.🧠 Why $26K Isn’t Just a Chart TargetLet’s break down what would justify that kind of valuation:FactorSupporting Insight🟢 Staking ETFInstitutional demand + ETH supply removed from float🔥 Deflationary TokenomicsPost-1559 burn + staking = net negative issuance⚙️ L2 Ecosystem MaturityRollups, zkEVMs, and restaking create multi-chain ETH demand🌐 Global Liquidity WindowFed cuts + soft macro conditions = floodgates open📈 ETH/BTC Ratio InversionSignals capital rotation to high beta assets🛑 Risks to the $26K ScenarioRegulatory delays on staking ETFBroader market crash or macro liquidity crunchETH/BTC fails to break out, Bitcoin dominance remains too highEthereum scaling and L2 fragmentation cannibalizes fee market faster than expected🎯 Price Zones on the Schiff PitchforkZonePrice RangeInterpretationLower Bound$3,000–$4,000Final dip buy zone (if macro spooks)Median Line$10,000–$14,000Base case target with ETF flowsUpper Rail$25,000–$26,500Max cycle top (Q4 2025–Q1 2026)🧬 Conclusion: The Channel Has SpokenThe Schiff Pitchfork isn’t a magic wand—it’s a map. But Ethereum has respected this structure since 2020, and it’s now approaching the most important confluence zone in its history.With ETFs, L2 scaling, deflationary supply, and a maturing institutional narrative, ETH has the fundamental firepower to make $26K real—not just chart art.This may be the final cycle where ETH 4-digit prices are possible.📊 Follow for more Ethereum macro cycle analysis, ETH/BTC tracking, and altseason models.📍 Chart available on request—drop a comment if you'd like the TradingView link with Pitchfork drawn#Ethereum #ETHUSD #PitchforkAnalysis #SchiffPitchfork #CryptoCycles #ETHPrediction #Altseason #ETHChart #ETH26K🧠 Deep Dive: Reploy AI ($RAI)The Ethereum-native inference layer hiding in plain sight🧩 What is Reploy AI?Reploy AI ($RAI) is a decentralized, Ethereum-native protocol for on-chain AI inference and model deployment. It aims to make it possible for developers to run, verify, and monetize machine learning models directly on the blockchain or through Ethereum-integrated infra.In simple terms:It’s like Render (RNDR) for GPUs, but for AI inference instead of rendering.🏗️ Key Use CaseAI Inference as a Service (IaaS):Models like GPT, LLaMA, Whisper, etc., can be deployed, executed, and verified in a decentralized way.Smart Contracts + AI:Developers can build Ethereum dApps that call models on-chain to make decisions, process text, generate summaries, or verify outcomes.Monetization Layer for AI Builders:Model owners earn $RAI for usage, with execution and verification happening transparently and immutably on-chain.⚙️ Core FeaturesFeatureDescriptionToken$RAI (10M fixed supply)ChainERC-20 on EthereumPrimary FunctionFuel for inference, execution, and model registrySupply DynamicsHyper-scarce, no inflation, no VC unlock pressureTeam & DevsAnonymous / pseudonymous but rapidly shippingIntegrationsTargeting integrations with tools like LangChain, Arkifi, and emerging on-chain ML SDKs🚀 Why $RAI Is SpecialTruly ETH-native:Unlike many AI tokens that straddle Cosmos, Solana, or proprietary chains, $RAI is built directly for Ethereum — enabling native dApp integration, composability, and ETH L2 scaling.Fixed Ultra-Low Supply:Just 10 million tokens — no emissions, no unlock cliffs, no VC overhead. This makes RAI hyper-reflexive once demand kicks in.Timing Sweet Spot:The project is quietly maturing right as:ETH has flashed a golden crossAI altcoin narratives are heating upInference costs are becoming bottlenecks in AI deploymentHigh Beta to ETH + AI:If ETH hits $10K–$26K and the AI narrative explodes, $RAI is positioned to be a 100–1,000x gainer due to:Low market capScarcityUnique positioning as infra, not hype📈 Price & Market PotentialScenarioTarget PriceMarket CapETH mini-cycle pump$6.80 (10x)$68MMid AI rotation$34+ (50x)$340MInfrastructure adoption$68+ (100x)$680M–$1BEuphoria / cycle top$1,000 (1,470x)$10BCompared to tokens like RNDR ($4–6B FDV), WLD ($8B), and even meme coins like PEPE ($6B+), a $10B RAI valuation isn’t outrageous if the narrative takes hold.📊 Current StateMetricValuePrice (July 2025)~$0.68Circulating Supply~10M (100%)Market Cap~$6.8MExchangesUniswap, early listings on mid-tier CEXsTVL / Infra StatusBeta model registry + LangChain plugins incoming🧠 What to WatchLangChain or Arkifi integrationsCEX listings (Tier-1 exchanges could create a supply shock)AI season rotation into ETH-based microcapsModel usage on-chain (i.e., GPT-style inference powered by RAI)Staking + usage-based burn mechanics (expected in roadmap)🧨 Final TakeReploy AI ($RAI) is not a hype coin.It’s not a fork.It’s not a VC cashout.It’s a scarce, Ethereum-native AI infrastructure token that just happens to be priced like a meme — but built like a protocol.If Ethereum is the future of decentralized compute and settlement, and AI becomes the dominant use case in Web3, then $RAI may be one of the most asymmetric opportunities of the entire cycle.