TON

I’m slightly adjusting my previous plan, as the current structure made me rethink the pattern. Earlier, I thought the ABCDE triangle was already complete, but now I’m starting to doubt that. At the moment, I believe wave E might still need to form — and I see two possible scenarios for how it could unfold: either along the green path or the purple one. I’m leaning more toward the purple scenario, but it’s also possible that what we’re seeing now is still part of wave D — meaning yesterday’s low at 2.0959 could be just a portion of that move. If that’s the case, Tone may first drop toward 1.96 to finish wave D, then rise again to complete wave E of the triangle before continuing downward. In that case, the decline could extend well below 1.96, possibly even toward 1.6.

TON is forming a clean descending wedge pattern, showing strong potential for an upside breakout. The measured target sits at $5.8, offering around 160% upside from current levels. Momentum is building, and this setup looks ready to play out soon.

TON/USDT is retesting the key confluence zone near 2.13, supported by multiple higher lows along the ascending trendline. Price is compressing within a narrowing structure, signaling potential breakout momentum. A confirmed bounce from this area could drive price toward 2.28, aligning with the upper boundary of the range. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the 2.10–2.13 support cluster continues to hold.

TON is now standing at a critical inflection point — the 2.20–1.92 zone (yellow block). This area isn’t just another support level — it’s the make-or-break zone that will decide whether TON will rebound for a macro reversal or collapse into a deeper downtrend. After a sharp fall from the 8.28 high, price has reached its historical demand base, showing a strong wick rejection below support — a classic sign of liquidity sweep or stop-hunt, often marking the final shakeout before larger players begin accumulating. However, without a clear structure break and volume confirmation, the risk of a fake bounce remains high. --- Structure & Pattern Analysis 1. Macro trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows since the 2024 peak. 2. The 2.20–1.92 zone represents a major accumulation range, also aligning with the previous breakout base from early 2023. 3. The deep wick indicates a potential spring phase in a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, where weak hands are flushed out. 4. A confirmed close above 2.65 would mark a structural shift — signaling a possible start of a new bullish leg. 5. On the other hand, a close below 1.92 would validate a macro breakdown, opening room for a prolonged bearish continuation. --- Bullish Scenario (Potential Reversal) Confirmation: A 4D candle close above 2.65, supported by increasing volume. Technical narrative: After a long liquidation event, price tends to form a V-shaped rebound or base breakout once smart money steps back in. 🎯 Upside Targets: Target 1 → 3.55 (local distribution zone) Target 2 → 4.60 (key structural pivot) Target 3 → 6.84 – 8.09 (major supply zone & prior 2024 top) 💡 If momentum builds, this could evolve into a multi-month recovery rally, similar to the early bull phase of 2024. --- Bearish Scenario (Continuation Risk) Confirmation: A 4D close below 1.92 confirms breakdown of the macro support. Technical narrative: Once this zone fails, buyer exhaustion could drive price toward 1.50–1.20, the next historical liquidity pool. 🎯 Downside Targets: Short-term support → 1.80 Extended range → 1.50 – 1.20 A proper reversal would then require a new long accumulation base forming at lower levels. --- Technical Summary TON is currently hovering within its largest accumulation zone in over a year. This yellow block (2.20–1.92) will determine the next major trend: Hold and reclaim 2.65 → bullish reversal confirmed. Fail and close below 1.92 → macro breakdown confirmed. At this stage, TON offers a high-risk, high-reward setup for swing traders — ideal for those waiting for clear structural confirmation before entry. #TON #TONUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TONCoin #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #BreakoutSetup #SupportAndResistance #Wyckoff #MarketStructure #AccumulationPhase #CryptoUpdate #PriceAction

TONCOIN (TON/USDT): Wave 5 or Impulse Failure 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: Price holds above ~$2.70 and breaks through ~$3.90 → start of wave (3) or (5) up → target ~$5.00+. Consolidation: Price remains in the ~$2.70-$3.90 range without a clear move, market paused. Bearish scenario: Price breaks below ~$2.60-$2.70 with volume confirmation → start of a corrective wave → possible move to ~$2.10-$2.20. ✅ Conclusion For the coming week, the technical picture for TON/USDT is on the verge of a reversal. Holding support at ~$2.60-$2.70 and breaking above ~$3.90 could activate upward momentum. A breakout below $2.60 is a signal for caution and a possible decline. The wave count is still unclear, so it's important to monitor the price reaction at key levels.

The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . TONUSDT is retesting the key confluence area near 2.13 after multiple higher lows formed along the ascending support trendline. Price action shows compression within a narrowing structure, hinting at potential breakout momentum building up. A confirmed bounce from this support may lift price toward 2.28, aligning with short-term resistance and the upper boundary of the range. Overall bias stays bullish as long as the 2.10–2.13 support cluster holds firm. ⚠️ Risks: Failure to hold the 2.10 support zone could invalidate the bullish scenario. Increased volatility ahead of macro data releases could cause short-term whipsaws. Weak momentum or low trading volume may limit the breakout’s sustainability. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!great relive of TON

Massive news for the TON ecosystem as Pavel Durov unveiled #COCOON. Let me start by saying that there are some massive red flags with this blockchain. Huge monthly unlocks began earlier this month (see attached info): 36.59 million tokens were released on 12 OCT, marking the first of 36 monthly unlocks scheduled over the next 36 months — roughly $80M worth. The next batch is due 11 NOV, two weeks from now. Another red flag is TON’s general performance this cycle — it has heavily underperformed compared to ETH , #DeFi tokens, and basically every major category. See the attached graphic in the comments (on X). Further, on-chain metrics — especially revenues and fees — are disappointing. You’d expect more adoption considering Telegram has nearly a billion users. Nope — the blockchain still struggles to generate meaningful revenue. Finally, on the weekly chart, TON remains in a steady downtrend this cycle, with a bearish pennant breakdown in place. It’s very oversold (RSI ≈ 20) and does show a bullish OBV divergence, though. The COCOON collaboration does sound exciting, and I’ll research it further — but there are still too many red flags surrounding this layer 1. Definitely not aping in yet. The charts have to convince me first, not Durov — so, not yet. 💙👽

We’re following one of the scenarios I shared earlier — the yellow path from my previous publication. At this stage, I expect further downside movement on $TON. 🎯 First target: 2.12 🎯 Global target: 1.98 - — and possibly even slightly lower 🔴 Invalidation zone: 2.2618 Please stay cautious and avoid catching the bottom — it’s always better to wait for confirmation before any long entries

My previous forecast for TON has played out as expected — the price reached 2.26 and even moved slightly higher. At the moment, I see two potential scenarios, yet both seem to point toward the same outcome. In my opinion, wave E of the corrective pattern might not be fully completed. Structurally, this looks like a contracting triangle, which often precedes a bearish breakout. For now, I’m watching for a move down to the lower red line as a short-term target. But from a broader perspective, I believe TON could drop even lower once the triangle is complete and the downward wave resumes ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical patterns and personal observations. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risks. Always perform your own research and manage your risk accordingly

#TON is moving inside a falling wedge pattern on the 3-day timeframe chart. Consider buying here and near the support zone. In case of a breakout above the wedge resistance, the potential targets are: 🎯 $2.666 🎯 $2.955 🎯 $3.537 🎯 $4.008 🎯 $4.478 🎯 $5.147 🎯 $6.000 ⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.