AMZNX

On the daily chart of Amazon (AMZN), the price is sitting right on its long-term uptrend line — a trendline that has supported the stock multiple times since early 2023. The current price hovers around $220, with the 50-day SMA near $225, acting as short-term resistance. In the short term, a confirmed move above $225 could trigger a rebound toward $235 and $248. A logical stop loss for this bullish scenario is below $210, where the short-term structure would weaken. In the longer-term view, as long as the price stays above the uptrend line (around $205–$208), the broader trend remains bullish with targets at $255 and $270. However, a confirmed breakdown below $200 would invalidate the uptrend and could lead to a deeper correction toward $185. Overall, Amazon is at a critical decision zone — the next few sessions will reveal whether it bounces back into strength or breaks its multi-year trendline support.

Buy between 200 and 177 $, it's secondary trend going down to this area

“ I don’t know, probably at least around $600 gazillion dollars ,” Zuck, probably if you asked him how much Meta META will spend over the fiscal year. It’s earnings season , which means Wall Street’s most expensive hobby — guessing how much the tech giants will make while pretending it’s about “long-term fundamentals” — is back in full swing. 💥 Welcome to Earnings Season Happy third-quarter earnings, everyone. The candles are lit, the spreadsheets are out, and $1.6 trillion vanished from US stock valuations last Friday. Perfect timing. Markets are reeling from tariff shocks and macro jitters, but traders have already shifted their gaze to the next big thing: Big Tech . As is tradition, the Magnificent Seven — those trillion-dollar titans who make up roughly one-third of the S&P 500’s SPX weight — are once again the main characters in this quarterly drama. You’ve got AI. You’ve got spending. And you’ve got spending on AI. 🔔 Here We Go Again This quarter, the storyline hasn’t changed much — it’s still “show me the money” season for artificial intelligence. Investors have spent the better part of two years rewarding CEOs for throwing the AI acronym in all their earnings calls. Is this time different? • Amazon AMZN reports the week of October 21, with everyone eyeing AWS — the quiet moneymaker funding Jeff Bezos’ rocket ambitions and your Prime Day discounts. • Apple AAPL , Microsoft MSFT , and Meta META follow around October 29. Investors will be laser-focused on who’s turning AI hype into product and revenue. • And let’s not forget Alphabet GOOGL , which already set the tone with a capex number that could fund a small country — $85 billion in 2025 alone , largely for AI infrastructure. The question now: how much longer can these companies throw billions at Jensen Huang GPUs before shareholders start asking for a receipt? 🏗️ The AI Arms Race: Spending as a Strategy The Magnificent Seven are still in an all-out hardware and data-center build-out. Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg is burning through cash to create the metaverse (yes, that still exists), but this time, powered by AI. Nearly every megacap tech firm is building power plants to feed OpenAI. And Nvidia NVDA — the company selling shovels in the AI gold rush — is counting every dollar. Together, these firms are expected to spend hundreds of billions in the second half of 2025 just on computing power. Investors will be parsing every line of guidance for capex updates — because right now, spending is the strategy. But the logic is sound (for now): If AI really does drive the next wave of productivity and profit, then whoever builds the infrastructure owns the future. 📊 The Numbers Game: What Wall Street Expects Across the S&P 500 SPX , earnings are projected to grow 8.8% year-over-year this quarter, on revenue growth of 6.4%, according to Seaport Research Partners. That may sound modest, but it’s for a reason: two-thirds of companies usually beat estimates. Keep them achievable, and markets will celebrate. Pin them too high, and markets will be disappointed. What’s more, earnings aren’t expected to stall anytime soon. FactSet data shows analysts projecting: • 6.4% average annual sales growth for the S&P 500 through 2027 • 14% average annual earnings growth over the same period That’s what rate cuts are supposed to do — a little liquidity trick, some risk-on mood, and suddenly even industrials and Buffett’s picks start looking interesting again. Still, there’s one elephant in the room: valuation. The S&P 500 trades at 23 times forward earnings, which is, to use the technical term, “a lot.” At that level, even a small earnings miss could send stocks tumbling. 🧮 Winners, Losers, and the Market’s Short Memory Some IPOs may have stolen headlines this year — looking at you, Figma FIG and Circle CRCL — but earnings season is where the real judgment happens. A good report can add hundreds of billions in market cap overnight. But a bad one can do the same in the opposite direction . Meta is under pressure to prove its huge spending on Superintelligence Labs is actually worth it. Apple’s got to show iPhone sales didn’t flatline in China. And Microsoft? Well, all it has to do is keep being Microsoft. Amazon remains the dark horse. Its cloud business is stabilizing, retail’s humming along, and AI integration is just starting to take off. Traders are betting AWS will deliver, as it usually does. 🧘‍♂️ What Traders Should Watch To navigate this volatility buffet, focus on: • Forward guidance — Companies might beat earnings but guide lower, which can trigger pullbacks. • Capex updates — Follow where the AI billions are flowing. • Market reactions, not just results — The “sell the news” trade is real. Sometimes the earnings game isn’t just about who made money — it’s about who surprised the market. 💡 Final Thought: Hype or Habit? Big Tech’s gravitational pull on the markets isn’t fading anytime soon. Whether you’re bullish on AI or skeptical of its trillion-dollar promises, one thing’s certain — every move these companies make will ripple through every portfolio, index, and ETF on the planet. As Q3 earnings hit full throttle, keep one eye on the charts and the other on the headlines . Because if there’s one thing Wall Street loves more than good earnings, it’s the story that comes after. Off to you : How are you preparing to navigate the earnings season and the tech updates? Share your thoughts in the comments!

Hello everyone, Amazon’s stock has drawn attention after sliding from the 220 USD peak to below 216 USD. Looking at the broader picture, this move reflects not only a technical correction but also investors’ growing caution amid mixed U.S. economic signals and uncertainty around the tech sector’s outlook. From a fundamental standpoint, the backdrop isn’t entirely favorable for tech giants. Although Amazon remains dominant in e-commerce and cloud computing, growth expectations are cooling due to rising competition and higher advertising costs. Lower-than-expected margins triggered early profit-taking, especially as Treasury yields climb and U.S. growth shows signs of slowing. With capital flows turning defensive, FAANG stocks — including AMZN — are among the first to face selling pressure. Additionally, softer consumer demand in emerging markets and ongoing supply chain disruptions have raised concerns that Amazon’s expansion momentum could temporarily stall. On the H4 chart, the bearish structure is clear. AMZN has dropped from the 218–220 USD zone toward 215 USD, staying below the Ichimoku cloud — a signal that sellers still dominate. The 215.0 area now acts as short-term support, while 210.0 is a stronger defensive zone if selling persists. On the upside, 220.0–222.0 remains a heavy resistance area filled with thick FVG clusters, where sellers could reappear if the price rebounds. Looking ahead, I expect AMZN may dip slightly to retest 215.0–214.5 before attempting a recovery. If buying interest emerges from this zone, a rebound toward 220.0–222.0 is possible — a key region to confirm a short-term reversal. However, a decisive break below 214.5 could extend the decline toward 210.0, where long-term buyers may find value again. Despite near-term pressure, Amazon’s strong fundamentals remain intact, and such corrections often provide opportunities for institutional accumulation at lower levels. What do you think — is this just a healthy pullback, or the start of a deeper correction for Amazon?

Enter: AMZN NOV 07 2025 $220 CALLS Buy in Price: $8.60 - $8.65 Take Profit: $18.75 Stop Bleeding: $7.57 ROI Potential: 118% Exit Within: 2 Weeks

Enter: AMZN NOV 07 2025 $220 CALLS Buy in Price: $8.60 - $8.65 Take Profit: $18.75 Stop Bleeding: $7.57 ROI Potential: 118% Exit Within: 2 Weeks

Bearish markets can be challenging yet offer opportunities for strategic resilience. By identifying resistance levels, tracking trend reversals, and adhering to a strong risk management approach, including stop-losses and diversification, traders can reduce risks. Staying updated on macroeconomic factors further enhances strategy. Each market downturn can lead to future opportunities for those who are patient and adaptable.

Hope you guys are ready for the fun part, because Ethereum—according to my analysis—is ready for some massive moves. This means altcoin season is coming in full force very soon. Be ready and ignore the FUD. As always, stay profitable. – Dalin Anderson

Will Buyers Step In or Is a Bigger Drop Coming? 🧭 Weekly Chart – Macro Market Structure Amazon’s weekly chart reveals a consolidation at the top of a long-term ascending channel, with clear exhaustion signs showing after months of strong accumulation. The structure printed a CHoCH (Change of Character) below the $242 resistance zone, signaling that sellers are regaining control short-term. Price is now hovering around $197–$216, right above the key structural support that has held since mid-2024. The BOS (Break of Structure) at $197.9 last quarter remains unchallenged, so buyers still have a chance to defend this level. However, the weekly MACD is flattening after a bearish crossover, and Stoch RSI at 76.9 shows the overbought cooling phase isn’t done yet. * If $216 fails, expect a deeper retracement to $197 or even $182–$185, aligning with the lower trendline of the macro channel. * If $220 reclaims, we could see a rebound toward $238–$242, the major supply zone where previous liquidity was swept. Weekly Summary: Structure still bullish long-term, but short-term correction risk remains high. Bulls must defend $197–$211 zone to prevent a deeper downtrend shift. ⚙️ Daily Chart – Mid-Term Battle Zone The daily chart paints a more tactical story: AMZN has just confirmed another BOS down while bouncing along the ascending trendline from April. A repeated liquidity grab near $211–$212 has kept price inside this structure. The 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum. But the MACD is beginning to flatten, hinting that sellers may be losing steam. * Bullish Scenario: If AMZN reclaims $218–$220, it opens room for recovery toward $226, then $232 (previous fair value gap and GEX wall zone). * Bearish Scenario: A daily close below $211.50 would invalidate the local support, triggering continuation toward $197.50 and eventually $182 if the momentum snowballs. Daily Bias: Neutral-to-bearish until buyers reclaim $220. Still range-bound, but the risk/reward favors patience until structure confirmation. ⏱ 1-Hour Chart – Short-Term Trading Plan The 1-hour chart shows multiple CHoCH and BOS rotations, forming a clear descending range between $210–$228. The structure is still bearish overall, but the most recent BOS up with bullish divergence on MACD and Stoch RSI indicates potential for a short-term bounce. Volume profile shows absorption below $212 — that’s where smart money likely reloaded positions. * Trading Plan: * Bullish setup: Above $217.5, target $222.5 → $228, stop below $214.5. * Bearish setup: Below $211.5, short toward $205, stop above $215. If $217.5 breaks with volume, intraday momentum can accelerate fast toward $222 where heavy GEX call wall aligns. Short-Term Bias: Accumulation phase in progress. Expect choppy rebounds until one side breaks structure decisively. 💥 Options GEX & Institutional Positioning From the Options GEX [PRO] snapshot: * Highest positive GEX (Call Wall): $222 → Key resistance / potential short-term magnet if breakout happens. * 2nd Call Wall: $227.5 → strong gamma resistance, aligns with upside fade zone. * Major PUT Support: $210 (–56.9% GEX) → strong liquidity and protection level. * IVR 46.4 / IVx 44.4 → elevated volatility, great for traders who prefer spreads over straight directional bets. Gamma Flow Interpretation: Market makers are heavily neutralized between $215–$220. Above $220, delta hedging could force a rapid squeeze. Below $211, negative gamma expands volatility and drives deeper flushes. 🎯 Option Strategy Suggestions 1️⃣ Bullish Play: * Buy $220C / Sell $230C (Oct 25 expiry) → captures breakout to $230, limited risk and defined reward. * For fast momentum: Buy 0DTE/2DTE $217.5 Calls once $218 breaks with strong volume. 2️⃣ Bearish Hedge: * If $211 breaks, Buy $210P / Sell $200P (Oct 18 expiry) — clean structure for downside continuation. 3️⃣ Neutral Income Play: * Expecting consolidation? Sell Iron Condor: $230C/$235C + $205P/$200P — capitalize on theta decay while AMZN stays trapped. 💬 Final Thoughts AMZN is at a critical inflection point — it’s neither fully broken down nor ready to rally yet. This $211–$218 pocket is the battlefield. Bulls reclaiming $220 flips the narrative back to bullish continuation. Bears breaking $211 unlocks a path to $197. My TA continues to show high win-rate precision, and traders can verify from past history that levels often react exactly as mapped.
If you want me to break down any stock that I don’t regularly post, DM me — I’ll be happy to TA it for you. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.

Seems we will see some general dip in the markets before the 2026 bull cycle.