AMZNX

🚀 Amazon (AMZN) – Multi-Timeframe Technical Setup Daily Chart: On the daily chart, the technical summary shows a neutral rating. Both the oscillators and moving averages are neutral. Digging deeper, the MACD is signaling a sell, hinting at short-term hesitation. Weekly Chart: Shifting to the weekly chart, the oscillator rating also appears neutral initially. However, examining momentum reveals a pullback forming—the exact setup we want to spot for a potential continuation. Bingo! Monthly Chart: On the monthly chart, the long-term picture is bullish. Moving averages show a strong buy, with price comfortably above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA. Add in a gap up, and Amazon looks ready for a potential upward surge. 🚀 Rocket Booster Strategy – 3 Steps Daily Chart – Spot Neutral or Short-Term Weakness: Look for neutral technical summary or short-term sell signals like MACD to identify hesitation in the short-term trend. Weekly Chart – Identify Momentum Pullback: Examine weekly momentum indicators to find pullbacks—this is where you prepare for a continuation in the trend. Monthly Chart – Confirm Long-Term Strength: Check moving averages (50 EMA & 200 EMA). Price above these with gap-ups signals strong long-term bullish alignment—the “rocket booster” for your trade. This combination of short-term caution, medium-term pullback, and long-term strength is the essence of the Rocket Booster Strategy. Rocket Boost This Content To Learn More. ⚠️ Disclaimer This article is for educational purposes only. Always use a simulation (paper) trading account to test strategies before trading live. Apply proper risk management and profit-taking strategies to protect capital.

# 🚀 AMZN Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03) ### 📊 Market Recap * **Daily RSI**: 47.9 ⬇️ (bearish tilt) * **Weekly RSI**: 57.1 ⬇️ (losing momentum) * **Volume**: 0.9x 📉 (weak vs prior week) * **Options Flow**: 💎 Strongly bullish (C/P = 3.30) * **VIX**: ✅ Favorable (16–17) 👉 **Models Split:** * 🐻 DeepSeek → \$225 PUT idea (bearish). * 🐂 Grok + Llama → \$230 CALL (moderate bullish). * ⚖️ Gemini + Claude → **NO TRADE** (risk > reward). --- ### ✅ Consensus Trade Setup (Flow-Weighted Lean) ```json { "instrument": "AMZN", "direction": "call", "strike": 230.0, "expiry": "2025-09-05", "entry_price": 0.43, "profit_target": 0.86, "stop_loss": 0.26, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.62, "entry_timing": "open" } ``` --- ### 🎯 Trade Plan * 📌 **Strike**: \$230 CALL (Sep 5) * 💵 **Entry**: 0.43 (ask @ open) * 🎯 **Target**: 0.86 (+100%) * 🛑 **Stop**: 0.26 (–40%) * ⏰ **Max Hold**: Exit by Thu EOD (avoid Fri gamma risk) * ⚖️ **Size**: 1 contract (small, <2% equity) * 📈 **Confidence**: 62% (flow-driven edge, weak technicals) --- ⚠️ **Risks** * Daily + weekly RSI trending down = 🐻 momentum risk * Weak institutional volume confirmation 📉 * Heavy call flow could be **retail noise / covered calls** 😬 * 2 DTE → **theta burn + gamma whip risk** ⚡ ---

Current Price: $229.0 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $242.0 - T2 = $252.0 Stop Levels: - S1 = $222.0 - S2 = $217.0 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in AMZN. **Key Insights:** Amazon's stock is benefiting from renewed optimism in technology growth sectors, including cloud computing and e-commerce. Traders are observing increasing bullish momentum as institutional investors rotate back into high-growth stocks following macroeconomic uncertainty earlier this year. Technical indicators highlight AMZN's key breakout above strong resistance levels around $225, spurred by favorable earnings guidance and improved consumer spending trends. Moreover, Amazon's robust logistics network, and innovations in AI and machine learning integration, continue to solidify its competitive positioning against peers. Analysts also note that the cost efficiency measures implemented earlier this year are driving margin improvements, which raise profit expectations and sustain investor enthusiasm. **Recent Performance:** Amazon's share price has demonstrated solid recovery, climbing over 15% in the past 3 months. The stock recently rebounded from its mid-year lows and sustained momentum above the $225 resistance, a critical inflection zone. The strong bullish candle formed last week aligns with surging trading volumes, further validating the positive sentiment among market participants. **Expert Analysis:** Technical experts highlight key moving averages converging to support the stock's upward trajectory. AMZN's relative strength index (RSI) suggests a trend breakout but remains below overbought territory, providing room for further upside. Fibonacci retracements place the next critical resistance zone near $242, while the MACD shows strong bullish crossover signaling sustained momentum. Off the charts, analysts also emphasize Amazon's diversification strategies including its expanding advertising business as tailwinds for longer-term growth. **News Impact:** Recent news around Amazon's key partnership expansions, particularly in cloud infrastructure, aligns with its growth-focused outlook. A positive Q4 revenue forecast from management has attracted renewed institutional inflows. Additionally, easing inflation metrics and stabilizing global supply chains may indirectly benefit consumer-driven stocks like AMZN. Public sentiment among retail investors has grown optimistic following operational updates, further pushing up price potential. **Trading Recommendation:** With a clear technical breakout above resistance and improving fundamental metrics, AMZN presents a compelling long opportunity. Traders should target $242 in the near term with extended upside potential toward $252. Given the recent bullish sentiment and favorable developments in the technology sector, the stop-loss levels of $217-$222 are well-calculated to limit downside risks while leaving room for volatility. This setup aligns with broader market optimism, making AMZN a strong focal point for growth-oriented portfolios. Do you want to save hours every week? register for the free weekly update in your language!

1. Understanding Economic Risks in Global Trade Definition Economic risks are uncertainties related to financial losses or reduced profitability due to changes in economic conditions at domestic or international levels. In global trade, these risks can emerge from: Exchange rate volatility Inflationary pressures Interest rate changes Economic recessions or booms Global demand and supply shocks Balance of payments crises Why They Matter in Global Trade Businesses deal with multiple currencies. A sudden depreciation can wipe out profits. International supply chains make companies vulnerable to inflation and disruptions. Economic downturns in one region spill over into others, shrinking global demand. Governments adjust monetary and fiscal policies, impacting trade competitiveness. Thus, understanding economic risks is crucial for firms and policymakers. 2. Types of Economic Risks in Global Trading 2.1 Currency (Exchange Rate) Risk One of the most common economic risks is exchange rate volatility. Since global trade is often settled in foreign currencies (primarily US dollars, euros, yen, etc.), fluctuations in exchange rates can directly impact profitability. Exporter’s perspective: If an Indian company exports goods to the US and invoices in dollars, a sudden appreciation of the rupee against the dollar means it will receive less revenue in rupee terms. Importer’s perspective: An importer who must pay in foreign currency faces higher costs if their domestic currency depreciates. Real Example: During the 2013 “Taper Tantrum,” the Indian rupee depreciated sharply against the dollar, increasing import costs for oil and electronics. 2.2 Inflation Risk Inflation erodes purchasing power and increases the cost of goods. In global trade, high inflation in one country can: Reduce competitiveness of exports (as goods become more expensive). Increase import demand (as domestic products lose appeal). Hurt multinational corporations operating in high-inflation economies. Case Example: Argentina has faced chronic inflation above 50%, making its exports expensive while discouraging foreign investments. 2.3 Interest Rate Risk Interest rates affect borrowing costs and investment decisions. Central banks worldwide adjust rates to control inflation or stimulate growth. These changes influence global trade through: Cost of capital for exporters/importers. Shifts in currency values (as higher interest rates attract foreign investment). Reduced consumer demand when borrowing costs rise. Example: The US Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes in 2022 strengthened the dollar, hurting emerging markets by making their debt servicing costlier and exports less competitive. 2.4 Economic Recession and Growth Risk The health of global economies directly impacts trade volumes. Recession reduces consumer demand, lowers imports, and shrinks export markets. Booms stimulate cross-border trade and investment. Example: The 2008 Global Financial Crisis reduced global trade by nearly 12% in 2009, the steepest drop since World War II. 2.5 Credit and Payment Risk When businesses trade internationally, they face the risk of buyers defaulting or being unable to make payments due to financial crises, insolvency, or capital controls. Illustration: During the Asian Financial Crisis (1997–98), many firms in Southeast Asia defaulted on foreign trade payments, causing ripple effects across supply chains. 2.6 Supply Chain and Cost Risk Global supply chains are highly interconnected. Economic risks can emerge from: Rising raw material prices. Freight and shipping cost surges. Energy price volatility. Example: The COVID-19 pandemic exposed global supply chain vulnerabilities, with container shortages and freight costs skyrocketing. 2.7 Sovereign and Country Risk Economic instability at the national level—debt crises, currency collapse, or fiscal mismanagement—can affect international traders. Example: Sri Lanka’s economic crisis in 2022 led to shortages of foreign reserves, making it difficult to pay for imports like fuel and medicines. 2.8 Commodity Price Risk For economies dependent on commodity exports (oil, gas, metals, agriculture), global price swings are a major risk. Oil price collapse in 2014 severely affected Venezuela and Nigeria. Rising energy costs in 2022 hit European industries heavily. 2.9 Balance of Payments Risk Persistent trade deficits or current account imbalances can weaken a country’s currency and erode investor confidence, impacting trade flows. 3. Causes of Economic Risks in Global Trading 3.1 Globalization and Interconnectedness While globalization boosts trade, it also spreads risks faster. A crisis in one region (like the US housing bubble in 2008) quickly spreads worldwide. 3.2 Policy and Regulatory Shifts Changes in monetary policy, tariffs, or trade agreements alter the economic landscape for businesses. 3.3 Geopolitical Tensions Wars, sanctions, and political instability cause economic disruptions, particularly in energy and commodity markets. 3.4 Market Speculation and Volatility Speculative trading in currencies, commodities, and financial markets often amplifies price swings, creating instability. 3.5 Structural Economic Weaknesses Countries with high debt, low reserves, or over-dependence on certain exports face greater economic risks. 4. Impacts of Economic Risks on Global Trade 4.1 On Businesses Reduced profitability due to currency fluctuations. Uncertainty in pricing and contracts. Delays or losses in payments. Higher operational costs. 4.2 On Governments Pressure on foreign exchange reserves. Difficulty in managing inflation and debt. Social unrest if trade disruptions cause shortages of essential goods. 4.3 On Consumers Higher prices for imported goods. Limited availability of products during crises. Reduced employment opportunities due to business slowdowns. 4.4 On Global Financial Markets Capital flight from emerging markets during crises. Sharp fluctuations in stock and bond markets. Increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold and US treasuries. 5. Real-World Case Studies Case 1: Global Financial Crisis (2008) Triggered by the US housing bubble and banking collapse, this crisis spread worldwide, reducing trade volumes drastically. Export-driven economies like China, Germany, and Japan faced sharp slowdowns. Case 2: COVID-19 Pandemic (2020–21) Lockdowns disrupted supply chains, consumer demand collapsed, and global trade volumes shrank by 5.3% in 2020. At the same time, inflation surged due to supply shortages. Case 3: Russia-Ukraine War (2022) The war caused energy prices to surge, disrupted wheat exports, and increased global inflation, hurting import-dependent nations. 6. Strategies to Manage Economic Risks 6.1 Currency Risk Management Hedging using futures, options, and swaps. Invoicing in domestic currency. Natural hedging (matching revenues and costs in the same currency). 6.2 Inflation and Interest Rate Risk Control Diversifying sourcing and supply chains. Adjusting pricing strategies. Accessing low-cost financing in stable economies. 6.3 Credit Risk Mitigation Using letters of credit and export credit insurance. Conducting due diligence on trade partners. 6.4 Supply Chain Risk Management Building multiple supplier networks. Holding strategic inventories. Using digital tools for supply chain monitoring. 6.5 Government and Policy Measures Creating trade stabilization funds. Maintaining adequate foreign exchange reserves. Negotiating bilateral/multilateral trade agreements. 7. The Future of Economic Risks in Global Trade Looking ahead, the nature of risks will evolve with changing global dynamics: De-globalization trends (reshoring, regional supply chains). Digital currencies and blockchain reducing some payment risks but creating new ones. Climate change influencing commodity prices and trade routes. AI-driven markets adding volatility but also improving risk prediction. Conclusion Economic risks are an unavoidable part of global trading. While they pose significant challenges—currency volatility, inflation, recessions, commodity shocks—they also encourage innovation in risk management and financial instruments. Businesses and governments that anticipate, adapt, and diversify are better equipped to navigate the turbulent waters of international trade. Global trade thrives on opportunities but survives on resilience. By recognizing economic risks and building robust strategies, the world economy can continue to benefit from interconnectedness while minimizing vulnerabilities.

AMZN — Triangle Watch Price is tightening on the right side of a base: – Symmetrical triangle forming – Holding above 50d & 200d MAs – Breakout attempt faded (not ready yet) – Volume light during coil, constructive Still holding w/ trailing stop. Watching $234–236 for breakout confirmation on strong volume. #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis

AMZN is facing resistance from a downward trendline and resistance at 233$, if price does not overcome these levels price may possibly retreat to the 227$ or 225$ price area.

Current Price: $228.84 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $240.00 - T2 = $248.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $220.00 - S2 = $215.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom-of-crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in AMZN. **Key Insights:** Amazon (AMZN) remains a juggernaut in both the e-commerce and cloud-computing sectors, creating immense opportunities for revenue growth. Traders are focusing on Amazon Web Services (AWS), which continues to lead the cloud computing industry, providing substantial recurring revenue streams amid increasing demand for digital transformation services. Moreover, AMZN’s investments in artificial intelligence capabilities are viewed positively by market experts, as this positions the company to capitalize on one of the fastest-growing technology trends. From a technical perspective, AMZN has recently broken out of a symmetrical triangle formation, indicating further bullish momentum is likely. RSI levels suggest the asset is approaching overbought territory but still has room for price appreciation before triggering any significant pullbacks. The ongoing strength in broader market indices like the S&P 500 also lends support to Amazon’s upward trajectory. **Recent Performance:** AMZN recently posted strong quarterly results, exceeding market expectations on both revenue and earnings per share. The stock gained over 5% in the last two weeks, bouncing back from recent weakness caused by broader macroeconomic concerns. Year-to-date, AMZN has demonstrated resilience, trading upward while maintaining healthy consolidation phases that attract swing traders seeking short-term opportunities. **Expert Analysis:** According to industry analysts, the company benefits from its diversified business model, which shields it from sector-specific volatility. With AWS contributing around 70% of its operating income, Amazon is increasingly seen as a cloud-first business in the eyes of the market. Technical analysts point to the 50-day moving average as a key dynamic support level, currently well below the price at $228.84, indicating sustained bullish sentiment. Furthermore, institutional investors remain confident, bolstered by Amazon’s ability to generate free cash flow and maintain consistent growth in new initiatives like advertising services and grocery delivery. **News Impact:** Recent reports highlight surging demand for cloud services globally, with Amazon projected to increase its market share due to superior scalability and product offerings compared to competitors like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud. Notably, the SEC approved Amazon's acquisition of a smaller AI-software firm, enhancing its intellectual capital and development capabilities in the burgeoning field of generative AI. Such news, coupled with optimistic economic outlook updates in the U.S., suggests upward market pressure for AMZN over the medium term. **Trading Recommendation:** Amazon (AMZN) represents a high-confidence long opportunity given its superior positioning in cloud computing, resilient fundamentals, and favorable technical indicators. The stock is primed for another leg higher, with a first price target of $240.00 and a secondary target of $248.00 for extended upside potential. A prudent risk strategy involves setting stops at $220.00 and $215.00, ensuring downside protection in case of unexpected market shifts. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!

# 🔥 AMZN Weekly Options Setup (Aug 29 Expiry) 🚀📈 📊 **Consensus from Multi-Model Analysis** * ✅ Daily RSI rising (Bullish) * ⚖️ Weekly RSI falling (Neutral) * 🏦 Institutional Flow: **Strong Call Skew (C/P 3.61)** * 📉 Volume: Contracting (risk flag) * 📉 VIX: Low → Favors Call Buying --- ## 📌 Trade Setup 🎯 **Instrument**: AMZN Weekly Call 💵 **Strike**: \$235 📅 **Expiry**: 2025-08-29 💰 **Entry**: \$0.82 (open) 🛑 **Stop Loss**: \$0.41 (-50%) 🎯 **Target 1**: \$1.07 (+30%) 🎯 **Target 2**: \$1.64 (+100%) 📏 **Size**: 1 Contract (risk ≤3%) ⏰ **Hold Window**: Mon → Thu (Exit before Friday Gamma) 📈 **Confidence**: 66% --- ## 🚨 Key Risks ⚠️ Low weekly volume = weak follow-through risk ⚠️ Theta burn accelerates after Wed → exit by Thu ⚠️ VIX spike (>18) = invalidate setup --- ## 🧾 Quick Trade Card * **Bias**: Moderate Weekly Bullish * **Edge**: Institutional call flow + Daily RSI momentum * **Caveat**: Weak weekly volume, fading RSI --- ### 🚀 Viral Hashtags \#AMZN #OptionsTrading #SwingTrade #UnusualOptionsActivity #StocksToWatch #TradingSetup

On the weekly chart, Amazon looks like it’s starting to tire a bit. Price is struggling just under that January high near 24,252. Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud: •In mid-2023, price broke strongly above the cloud and bounced cleanly higher after retests. •More recently (spring 2025), we had a decent correction but bounced again. •Now, instead of bouncing hard, price is just sitting on top of the cloud — feels weaker than before. On the daily chart: •The 200-day moving average has been a line in the sand since May. Several successful tests and bounces. •Currently, price is hugging the daily cloud. •If we see erosion near 219–220(top of the cloud), a quick dip back to the 200-day MA (~21,280) is very possible. •A close below that could signal a potential top forming. ⚠️ For me, this uptrend feels a little tired — worth keeping an eye on and possibly tightening stops if you’re in the trade. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.

AMZN BEAR CASE THREAD 🧵 Amazon's weekly chart reveals a critical technical breakdown. After failing to sustain momentum above key resistance at $223, price is now forming what appears to be a double top pattern. The downtrend line from recent highs is firmly intact with accelerating downside momentum on multiple timeframes. RSI showing weakness without reaching overbought territory - bearish divergence forming. With parabolic SAR now flipped bearish on the 4H chart and stochastic signaling overbought conditions, downside targets include $215 and potentially $200 if selling intensifies. Earnings optimism priced in, but macro headwinds mounting. Position accordingly. #Bearish #technicalanalysis