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مزایای دریافت مالکیت صفحه VIAQUANT در سهمتو:اطلاعات بیشتر
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نظرات کاربران سهمتو
ALTCOINS - TOTAL3 Very Smiliar Looking at TOTAL3 (Altcoins excluding Btc & Eth) we see something very similar to TOTAL2. We had a double bottom (around $290B) which is EXACTLY our 0.236 of our macro Fibonnaci trend from the covid crash to the 2021 peak right around $1T. I have outlined all subsequent fibonnaci levels of this trend as well. We know this fib trend is valid as our 0.382 ($450B) became resistance before falling to the 0.236 as support. We have also caught bids for altcoins in our green box of support. This was the macro resistance of 2017 that buyers have been trying to defend as the new support region. Also on our HV indicator, March & May marked volatility lows around the key 27 level. If altcoins are to stagnant more then a revisit of the 27 level would be when to expect that volatility to surge through altcoins across the board.
ب.ظ 05:52 1402/05/05
Altcoins - Still Look Ready to Rally I will post an update on TOTAL 3 as well, but here is TOTAL 2 (alts excluding BTC). Just to back track, we made a post on May 22, 2023 outlining how TOTAL 2 was maintaining our old resistance trendline as new support. This remains true. Even with the SEC attack against altcoins they were able to hold the candle bodies as support upon our trendline and have caught a bid ever since. Here is a link to that post. Current day we might be seeing a breakout on the 2W chart with a smaller fractal pattern. We see something very similar to the 2019-2020 Fractal pattern, just in a more condensed time period. In 2019-2020 we formed a clear base for TOTAL2. This was constructed around $37 billion and had a double bottom at 37B during the covid crash. We also formed a very clean symmetrical triangle (orange trendlines). Once we broke out of our triangle, marketcap came back down to test old resistance as new support and after that the bull market began. Current day, we formed a clear base around the $430B level and had a double bottom during the SEC Security FUD at $430B. The $430B level was also our top in 2017 so it is creating a massive base of old macro resistance flipped into new macro support. We have also formed a symmetrical triangle (orange trendline) that marketcap recently broke out from. Marketcap is currently testing our trendline of old resistance as new support. If successful, we could see a large resurgence of altcoins. The only difference is if we do have an expansion of the altcoin market I do not think it will be the start of the bullrun as we saw in the 2019-2020 cycle. I think it is a little to early according to the 4 year cycle theory. I also feel we have not seen true capitulation of altcoins. Will keep you all updated with the TOTAL cryptomarketcap as more developments are made in the charts.
ب.ظ 05:35 1402/05/05
BTC - A Few Warning Signs Hello Traders. Today I wanted to outline some key warning signs that are starting to develop in the BTC chart. I am still more bullish on price and our macro still looks good for BTC to move to 48K , but if these warning signs start to play out then BTC's price could be in some trouble in the short term. On the left we have the daily chart and on the right we have the weekly chart. The daily chart shows us how the key the $31,400 price level is. We have had many wicks to it and all of the daily candle bodies have closed below that level. Once we close a daily candle above $31,400 is when the momentum and strength should be able to break price out of this range. Right now $31,400 is clearly a level being defended by sellers. We can also see the strength of the buyers have diminished over the past couple weeks. This is shown in our RSI where our RSI continues to make lower highs while price makes higher highs. This is known as a bearish divergence and shows a weaker market. On the weekly timeframe we see that we wicked up to the 100 MA before having a sharp selloff. This has created a gravestone doji/blow off top candle on the weekly timeframe which could also signal weakness in the market. In addition to this we have a potential rising wedge pattern forming for BTC. Rising wedge patterns historically lead to large breakdowns. As long as we can get 2 weekly candles to close above our top yellow line then this pattern will be negated. If price closes 2 weekly candles below our bottom yellow line the the measured move price target of the rising wedge breakdown would bring price back to $17-18k. Again, I do not feel like this is the most likely scenario. I just wanted to point out these warning signs so we can examine them and see what changes over the next couple weeks. Happy Trading!
ب.ظ 11:15 1402/04/25
S&P 500 - Losing Strength? I do not post stock charts often, but here we see a very clean bearish setup forming on the daily for the S&P500. Price has been rejected twice around $4,500 (creating a double top). Followed by the RSI creating a lower high (bearish divergence). This usually signals bears are gaining control of the market as the strength is decreasing while price remains higher or the same. This trade idea would be negated if price closed a daily candle above $4,500 and would proceed to the 0.786 ($4,540). If price does not get back above $4,500 the you have an amazing RR with a stop loss within 0.7%. Since, I do not watch the S&P a lot your take profit level to the downside would be up to you. A perfect retracement to the 0.618 would bring price around $3,900 and give you almost a 19:1 RR ratio!
ب.ظ 06:50 1402/04/16
BTC - The importance of the 0.618 Hello friends, today we battle the key level of $31,400 again. If we are able to break above our momentum move will continue to play out. Here, we were looking for a bounce off of the 35 (Historical volatility index) and current day that has played out with a 27% move to the upside so far. (Lowest indicator) And in this post we were waiting for a stochastic rsi cross (blue above orange) in oversold conditions to signal that 6 month momentum move to the upside was coming . 2 weeks ago we had that cross resulting in a 16% weekly candle for $BTC. Now we must talk about breakout targets to the upside. I could lay out all the important levels for you as we rally to the upside, but today I want to focus on the most important one. The 0.618 golden ratio. Through all my years of trading I have seen this level act as major support or major resistance time and time again. After rallying from $3k to 14K in 2019 it was the level that created our top. Current day our 0.618 sits around $48k. This level makes a lot of sense as well due to it being the top in March 2022 right before the plunge to $18k. Therefore, the most logical target for this momentum move would be around 48K , but can only be achieved once the 70 level is broken on our weekly RSI and will take a few months to complete. But I do not want to make a bullish post without stating the potential downside. If we can not hold above $31.4k here is a post I made on the potential downside.
ب.ظ 08:43 1402/04/12
ETH - 2 Month Prediction Played Out Back on April 22 I made a prediction that Eth would fall to our support trendline. "ETH - Bearish Fractal Repeating" If you press play on the chart on the left you will see how picture perfect the tap of support was. Trendlines - Now that has played let's examine what could be next. In this chart I have 2 very important white trendlines drawn. One has been our support since the FTX collapse (lower trendline). This trendline recently caught our low as predicted 2 months ago. The top trendline acted as old support, but now is acting as resistance. Our next high will most likely be found at this upper trendline. 200 MA - What we can gather from the 200 MA is how important it has been in relation to price action. It acted as major resistance before the FTX collapse. Then held as support in March before our 50%+ rally. Current day it has caught the low again. Fib Levels - It is important to look at the fib levels of this current rally. Over the past 4 days we have been holding the 0.236 as support (red fib level), but with todays candle it is currently below that trendline. If we are to continue to retrace the most important level would be the 0.618. The 0.618 is around 1,750. RSI - The RSI also gives us a hint that a short term retracement could be on the table. I have a trendline drawn and have outlined all the taps of resistance we have had at this key RSI level with red arrows. As long as we are below this level the bears will be in control. If the bulls are able to protect the levels I have mentioned then I could see a very large rally for ETH back to the top of the trendline. Depending on when this rally would occur it could put us any where between 2,500-2,700.
ب.ظ 05:52 1402/04/05
BTC - Chart Update Here is an update to the chart I posted a couple days ago "BTC - New 2023 High" This 26.50% move to the upside has started to lose momentum. This can be seen in our daily Stoc RSI (blue crossing below orange). It can also been seen in the RSI as now BTC is back inside the RSI channel. The way this trend could continue to make new highs is if BTC can close the RSI above the 70 level today. If not we could expected a retracement in the short term. If we are to get this cooldown then here is what to expect. The best scenario would be BTC retesting the top of the parallel channel as new support. This would be macro old resistance being flipped into new macro support. I have also added Fib levels to determine when these factors might converge. A retest to the golden ratio (0.618 - 27,400) would be a picture perfect retracement for BTC. This price level would line up with our parallel channel around July 1st. If the bleed is slower then you would be looking for price to revisit the (0.786 - 26,250) around July 29th. In summary, The short term looks like we will get a retracement to the downside, but the weekly is still intact for a momentum move the upside. Therefore, if we get this retracement and our weekly stoc. RSI blue is still above the orange then it would be a great time to "buy the dip". *Not financial advice*
ب.ظ 05:30 1402/04/05
BTC - New 2023 High Hello traders, BTC has made a new 2023 high!!! Let's discuss based on the charts why this is. The chart on the left is the daily chart and the chart on the right is the weekly chart. We will begin with the daily chart. Please refer to "BTC - Massive Weekly Volatility Incoming" to see our prediction for this breakout. The first confirmation of this breakout was the break of our parallel channel which was confirmed on June 20th. The Second confirmation was when our RSI downtrend was broken. This was confirmed on June 19th. Yesterday, upon the daily candle open we started to bounce off of overbought conditions (on our RSI) which should indicate this move could have much more room to the upside. The chart on the right is the weekly and the main thing we want to point out is from our prediction in our post "BTC - Right on Track for its 6 Month Momentum Move" . In this post we were examining how roughly every 6 months BTC's weekly Stoc. RSI enters oversold conditions and once we see the blue line cross above the orange BTC sees a massive surge in price. Current day, we can see how BTC's Stoc. RSI has crossed above the orange line and is trying to break out of oversold conditions. Already this has lead to a 26% pump with more upside looking likely over the next few weeks/months.
ب.ظ 04:21 1402/04/02
ADA - Hidden Bullish Divergence ADA has experienced a lot of FUD over the past few days followed by a -10% capitulation candle due to Robinhood looking to delist ADA. All of this seems really bad for ADA, but I wanted to post some of the good signs in the chart. If these signals play out then all this FUD would just be weak hands selling into strong hands. Right now we could be seeing a hidden bullish divergence form between price action and our daily RSI. We have a higher high in price forming (orange trendline) followed by the same low on our RSI (orange arrows). This could be a powerful signal if we can see ADA bounce from oversold on the daily timeframe. We can also see that price is testing the golden ratio of our macro trend! The 0.618 from our low of 0.23 to our swing high of 0.46 (interesting it was almost exactly a 100% move). The 0.618 currently sits around 0.325. If we find support here this could be a good macro sign of liquidity being respected. Just wanted to point this out for ADA fans to monitor over the next couple days.
ب.ظ 06:59 1402/03/17
BTC - Massive Weekly Volatility Coming Hello Traders. Today I have an amazing chart to share with you outlining Bitcoin's price on the weekly timeframe. We will discuss Bitcoin's weekly parallel channel, weekly RSI, and weekly Historical Volatility. Lets begin with Bitcoin's weekly parallel channel. This has been an incredible metric of macro support and resistance as BTC started its 2022 bear market. The heartline of this channel has also marked key support/resistance flips. Right now we notice price is still being held down by the top of the channel. Once we see a weekly candle close above this channel we will see a very quick move as high as 50,000. Another thing to note is our 20 and 200 Moving average on the weekly timeframe is supporting price. With the trajectory of these moving averages, they should help push BTC's price out of the channel within the next couple weeks. The only way these moving averages become negated is if we close a weekly candle below them. The second thing to note is the weekly RSI. We have a very key level at 59. This acted as a rejection point twice (red arrows) before breaking above, getting rejected at overbought (70) retesting it as support (green arrow) and now currently holding it as resistance again (red arrow). Best case scenario is we close above this level by Sunday. If we are able to get back above, that should give BTC the momentum to break above 70 and really start a parabolic move to the upside. The final thing is the the HV (Historical Volatility). I have the 35 level outlined and have orange circles drawn every time volatility levels dip that low. As you can see by the orange circles in the chart, there is always a large volatile move up or down after reaching these levels. We are currently at the 35 level again and should be expecting a huge move for BTC very soon. I will be posting a monthly chart for BTC very soon. Stay Tuned.
ب.ظ 10:12 1402/03/09
هر محتوا و مطالب مندرج در سایت و کانالهای رسمی ارتباطی سهمتو، جمعبندی نظرات و تحلیلهای شخصی و غیر تعهد آور بوده و هیچگونه توصیهای مبنی بر خرید، فروش، ورود و یا خروج از بازار بورس و ارز دیجیتال نمی باشد. همچنین کلیه اخبار و تحلیلهای مندرج در سایت و کانالها، صرفا بازنشر اطلاعات از منابع رسمی و غیر رسمی داخلی و خارجی است و بدیهی است استفاده کنندگان محتوای مذکور، مسئول پیگیری و حصول اطمینان از اصالت و درستی مطالب هستند. از این رو ضمن سلب مسئولیت اعلام میدارد مسئولیت هرنوع تصمیم گیری و اقدام و سود و زیان احتمالی در بازار سرمایه و ارز دیجیتال، با شخص معامله گر است.