PHANT0M

After diving deep into the STRK/USDT charts across multiple timeframes, I've identified what I believe is a critical inflection point for this asset. Currently trading around $0.181, STRK has staged an impressive recovery from its summer lows, but several technical indicators suggest we're approaching a decision point that will determine the next significant move. The Recovery Story So Far The price action tells a clear story: STRK suffered a brutal decline from April to June, dropping from $0.55 to around $0.11 – an 80% collapse. Since mid-July, we've witnessed a determined recovery that's brought prices back to the current $0.18 range, representing a near-doubling from the lows. What's particularly interesting is the recent acceleration – a powerful surge from $0.12 to $0.18 in early October, followed by the current consolidation phase between $0.17-$0.19. What The Indicators Are Telling Me I'm seeing several technical developments that deserve attention: The Main Oscillator has finally turned positive after spending months underwater – a significant bullish signal that typically precedes continued upside. However, I'm noticing early divergence between price and oscillator strength on the 4-hour chart, which raises some caution flags. Looking at the oversold/overbought conditions, we've moved from deeply oversold readings below -40 in June-July to more neutral territory now. This recovery in the oscillator is encouraging, but the rapid move from oversold to neutral without a proper reset concerns me slightly. The Volume Flow Indicator (VFI) shows improving buying pressure, but it hasn't yet crossed the threshold I typically look for to confirm sustainable momentum. Perhaps most telling is the Mega Sell Signal Line consistently sitting at 2, indicating persistent selling pressure despite the price recovery. I'm not seeing the institutional accumulation signals I'd want for complete confidence in this move. The Technical Structure The market structure since July is undeniably bullish – we've established a clear series of higher lows and higher highs. However, the volume patterns tell a more nuanced story, with decreasing participation during recent rallies compared to the heavy selling volume during the decline. I've identified these key levels that I'm watching closely: Major resistance at $0.19-$0.20 (previous swing high) Current resistance at $0.18-$0.185 (consolidation ceiling) First support at $0.16-$0.165 (recent swing low) Major support at $0.13-$0.135 (previous consolidation) Critical support at $0.11-$0.12 (the summer bottom) The Fibonacci retracement levels from the June low ($0.11) to recent high ($0.19) align nicely with these technical zones – particularly the 38.2% retracement at $0.159, which corresponds closely with my first support zone. Elliott Wave & Wyckoff Perspectives From an Elliott Wave standpoint, I see the recovery from July potentially forming: Wave 1: The initial rally to $0.14 (July) Wave 2: The pullback to $0.12 (August) Wave 3: The extended move to $0.18 (September-October) Wave 4: The current consolidation/potential pullback Wave 5: Yet to form If this count is accurate, I'd expect a Wave 4 correction to around $0.15-$0.16 before a final Wave 5 push toward $0.20-$0.22. Through a Wyckoff lens, the current consolidation could represent either a "Last Point of Support" before continuation higher (bullish) or a "Distribution" phase before another decline (bearish). The lack of expanding volume during recent rallies has me leaning slightly toward the distribution interpretation. Where STRK Is Headed Based on my analysis, I see two primary scenarios unfolding: The Bullish Case (60% Probability) If STRK breaks decisively above $0.19 with expanding volume, I'm looking for: Initial target: $0.22-$0.23 Secondary target: $0.26-$0.28 Maximum target: $0.30-$0.32 This move would likely take 4-8 weeks to complete and would require improved market sentiment and positive catalysts for STRK. The Bearish Case (40% Probability) If STRK fails at $0.19 and breaks below $0.16, I'd expect: Initial decline to $0.14-$0.15 Secondary decline to $0.12-$0.13 Worst case: Retest of lows at $0.10-$0.11 The initial decline could happen quickly (1-2 weeks), with further deterioration dependent on broader market conditions. My Trading Approach Given this analysis, here's how I'm approaching STRK: I'm watching for either a pullback to the $0.15-$0.16 support zone or a confirmed breakout above $0.19 with strong volume before considering new positions. The current level presents a somewhat awkward entry point given the mixed signals. For risk management, I'd place stops below $0.155 for any long positions entered at current levels, and I'm keeping position sizes smaller than usual until I see clearer directional confirmation. The Bottom Line STRK has made an impressive recovery from its summer lows, but we're now at a critical juncture. While the medium-term structure remains constructive with higher lows and higher highs, the momentum indicators and volume patterns suggest caution is warranted. The key question is whether STRK can attract sufficient buying interest to break above the $0.19 resistance with conviction. Without this confirmation, the risk of a deeper correction back toward the $0.13-$0.15 range remains significant. I'll be monitoring volume patterns closely in the coming days – they'll likely provide the earliest indication of whether this recovery has further room to run or is approaching exhaustion. The next week of price action should tell us a lot about STRK's medium-term direction.

Breaking New Records: Bitcoin's Path Beyond the August Correction With Bitcoin currently trading at $114,352 after reaching its all-time high of $124,474 on August 14, 2025, we find ourselves at a critical technical juncture. Ill examine Bitcoin's potential trajectory through the remainder of 2025. Current Market Context Bitcoin has climbed from around $85,000 in January to establish a new all-time high of $124,474 in mid-August. Following this peak, we've seen a corrective phase with price action forming a potential bull flag pattern between $112,000-$118,000. The most recent data shows Bitcoin trading around $114,352, representing a pullback of approximately 8.13% from the all-time high. This moderate retracement suggests a healthy reset rather than a reversal of the primary trend. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis The Ichimoku Cloud indicators provide critical insights: • Tenkan-sen: $114,127.92 • Kijun-sen: $115,477.50 • Senkou Span A: $119,324.70 • Senkou Span B: $120,176.36 The price is currently trading below the cloud, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. However, the relatively narrow cloud formation ahead suggests potential for a breakout if Bitcoin can reclaim the $119,324-$120,176 range. Wyckoff Analysis The price action following the August peak displays characteristics that align with Wyckoff re-accumulation rather than distribution: • Initial decline represents a "Preliminary Support" phase • Trading range between $112,000-$118,000 shows decreasing volatility • Volume characteristics show diminishing selling pressure • Recent price action suggests we're approaching the "Spring" phase This structure indicates institutional accumulation is still occurring at these elevated levels, projecting a move toward the $132,000-$145,000 range in the coming months. Supply/Demand Zone Analysis Critical price levels that will influence Bitcoin's next directional move: • Major demand zone: $114,600-$116,700 (Fibonacci 61.8%-78.6% retracement) • Secondary support: $111,920-$114,000 (recent low and psychological support) • Primary resistance: $124,474-$127,889 (all-time high region and 127.2% Fibonacci extension) Moving Average Analysis The moving average configuration reveals a strong underlying bullish structure: • 4H EMA 50: $116,284.41 • 4H EMA 100: $116,781.30 • 4H EMA 200: $116,214.57 • Daily EMA 50: $114,939.55 • Daily EMA 100: $110,513.11 • Daily EMA 200: $103,162.36 The hierarchical alignment of these moving averages confirms the primary bull trend remains intact. The current price is finding support near the Daily EMA 50, a critical level that has historically served as a springboard during bull markets. Fibonacci Extension Framework Potential targets using Fibonacci extensions from the recent swing points: • 127.2% extension: $127,889 • 161.8% extension: $132,232 • 200% extension: $137,028 • 261.8% extension: $144,786 Elliott Wave Analysis The current price action suggests an extended wave structure: • Wave 1 high (ATH): $124,474 • Wave 2 low (Recent Low): $111,920 • Wave 3 target range: $144,786 to $157,340 • Wave 4 target: $132,231 • Wave 5 target range: $152,545 to $165,100 This wave count suggests potential for continued appreciation toward the $152,000-$165,000 range before a more significant corrective phase begins. Bitcoin Dominance Factor Bitcoin's market dominance currently stands at 59.3%, indicating a strong position relative to the broader cryptocurrency market, providing additional support for the bullish case. Price Projection Timeline August-September 2025: Completion of the current consolidation phase with potential final support tests in the $114,600-$116,700 range. A decisive break above $120,000 would confirm the end of the consolidation phase. October 2025: Renewed momentum pushing Bitcoin toward the $127,889-$132,232 range, potentially coinciding with seasonal strength typically observed in Q4. November-December 2025: Final wave extension potentially reaching the $144,786-$157,340 range, followed by a Wave 4 correction before the final Wave 5 push toward $152,545-$165,100 by year-end or early 2026. Key Levels to Monitor Support Zones: • Primary: $114,600-$116,700 (Fibonacci retracement zone) • Secondary: $111,920-$114,000 (recent low and psychological support) • Tertiary: $103,162-$110,513 (Daily EMA 100-200 zone) Resistance Zones: • Immediate: $119,324-$120,176 (Ichimoku Cloud base) • Secondary: $124,474-$127,889 (all-time high region and 127.2% Fibonacci extension) • Target 1: $132,232-$137,028 (161.8%-200% Fibonacci extensions) • Target 2: $144,786-$157,340 (Wave 3 target range) • Target 3: $152,545-$165,100 (Wave 5 target range) Strategic Considerations With Bitcoin having already achieved a new all-time high at $124,474 in August, strategic approaches might include: • Maintaining core positions while implementing trailing stop strategies • Adding to positions during retests of key support levels ($114,600-$116,700) • Considering partial profit-taking at key Fibonacci extension levels • Remaining vigilant for signs of distribution patterns at higher levels Conclusion: The Path to $165,000 The weight of technical evidence suggests Bitcoin has entered a new paradigm of price discovery. While the path may include periods of consolidation and volatility, the underlying trend remains firmly bullish with multiple technical frameworks projecting targets in the $152,000-$165,000 range by year-end 2025 or early 2026. The current correction phase represents a healthy reset rather than a trend reversal, creating an ideal technical foundation for Bitcoin's next major advance. Bitcoin appears well-positioned to achieve new record highs in the coming months.

Cardano's Awakening: ADA's Technical Resurgence and Year-End Outlook Executive Summary Cardano (ADA) is showing strong signs of a potential breakout after a prolonged consolidation phase. Currently trading at $0.9183, ADA has established a solid foundation with key support at $0.82-$0.85 and is demonstrating increasing momentum indicators. The recent surge from $0.75 to $0.95+ represents a significant 26% gain that appears to be the beginning of a larger move. Our analysis points to a primary target of **$1.20-$1.30** by year-end, with an aggressive bull case scenario of **$1.50-$1.65** if current momentum accelerates. Technical Analysis Price Structure and Key Levels Cardano has completed a multi-month bottoming pattern and recently broke through several critical resistance levels: 1. **Breakout Confirmation**: ADA decisively broke above the $0.85 resistance zone in early August, which had capped price action since April 2024. 2. **Support Conversion**: The previous resistance at $0.82-$0.85 has now flipped to become strong support, with multiple tests confirming this level. 3. **Higher Highs and Higher Lows**: Since July 2024, ADA has established a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a trend reversal from the previous downtrend. 4. **Volume Confirmation**: The breakout above $0.85 was accompanied by significantly higher trading volume, particularly during the surge to $0.95+ in early August. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis The Ichimoku indicators reveal a strongly bullish setup: 1. **Cloud Breakout**: Price has broken above the Kumo (cloud), with the current price ($0.9183) well above both the Senkou Span A and B lines. 2. **TK Cross**: A bullish Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen cross occurred in late July, signaling strong momentum. 3. **Future Cloud**: The forward-looking cloud has turned bullish (Senkou Span A above Senkou Span B), suggesting continued upward pressure in the coming weeks. 4. **Price-Kijun Relationship**: Price is maintaining position above the Kijun-sen (base line), which is now acting as dynamic support around $0.89. Oscillator Analysis 1. **RSI**: The daily RSI is currently at 56, showing strength without being overbought. This provides room for further upside before exhaustion. 2. **Oscillator SMA**: The oscillator SMA has crossed above the zero line, confirming the shift to bullish momentum. 3. **VFI (Volume Flow Indicator)**: Shows positive money flow into ADA, supporting the price advance. Market Structure Analysis Historical Context Cardano's price action must be viewed within its historical context: 1. **Previous ATH**: ADA's all-time high of $3.10 from September 2021 represents a significant psychological level. 2. **Retracement Level**: Current price at $0.9183 represents approximately 30% of the all-time high, suggesting substantial recovery potential. 3. **Consolidation Period**: ADA spent most of 2023 and early 2024 in a tight range between $0.24-$0.45 before beginning its current uptrend. Comparative Performance When compared to other major cryptocurrencies: 1. **Relative Strength**: While market leaders have shown exceptional strength, ADA is still in earlier stages of its recovery cycle. 2. **Catch-up Potential**: ADA typically lags in market cycles but often experiences more explosive percentage gains when its momentum fully establishes. 3. **Market Rotation**: There are early signs of capital beginning to rotate from leading assets into "second-tier" assets like ADA, which typically occurs in the middle-to-late stages of bull markets. Price Projections and Targets Based on technical analysis, we've established the following price targets: 1. **Primary Target**: $1.20-$1.30 (30-40% upside from current levels) - This represents the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the July-August move - Aligns with significant historical resistance from April-May 2022 2. **Aggressive Bull Case**: $1.50-$1.65 (65-80% upside from current levels) - This represents the 2.618 Fibonacci extension - Would require continued strength in the broader crypto market 3. **Support Levels**: - Primary support: $0.82-$0.85 (previous resistance turned support) - Secondary support: $0.75-$0.77 (recent consolidation range) Risk Assessment Several factors could impact this outlook: 1. **Bitcoin Correlation**: ADA maintains a high correlation with Bitcoin. A significant BTC correction could temporarily derail ADA's uptrend. 2. **Technical Resistance**: Multiple resistance levels exist between $1.00-$1.20, which could slow momentum. 3. **Market Sentiment**: The broader crypto market sentiment remains a key variable, with regulatory news potentially causing volatility. 4. **Overbought Conditions**: Short-term overbought readings could trigger pullbacks, though these should be viewed as buying opportunities within the larger trend. Trading Strategy For traders looking to capitalize on ADA's potential: 1. **Entry Points**: - Immediate: Partial positions at current levels ($0.9183) - Optimal: Look for pullbacks to the $0.85-$0.88 support zone - Aggressive: Major pullbacks to $0.82 represent strong buying opportunities 2. **Position Management**: - Stop Loss: Below $0.80 (invalidates the current bullish structure) - Take Profit Levels: Partial profits at $1.10, $1.30, and $1.50 3. **Risk Management**: - Limit position size to 3-5% of portfolio - Consider scaling in on dips rather than deploying full positions at once Conclusion Cardano (ADA) is showing compelling technical strength with its recent breakout above key resistance levels. The completion of a multi-month bottoming pattern, coupled with improving momentum indicators and volume confirmation, suggests ADA is in the early stages of a significant uptrend. Our analysis points to a primary target of $1.20-$1.30, with potential for $1.50-$1.65 in an aggressive bull case scenario. The current price of $0.9183 represents an attractive entry point with a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for investors with a medium-term horizon. Any pullbacks to the $0.82-$0.85 support zone should be viewed as significant buying opportunities within the context of the larger bullish trend. While not yet showing dominant market leadership, ADA appears poised for a period of outperformance as capital potentially rotates into this asset class. The technical foundation is firmly in place for continued upside through the remainder of 2024.

** اثبات قدرت: تجزیه و تحلیل به روز شده از اتریوم و مسیر پایان سال آن ** این یک به روزرسانی مهم برای تجزیه و تحلیل 9 آگوست ما است. بازار جدید data پدید آمده است که تأیید a شتاب قابل توجهی در رهبری بازار اتریوم است و ما را وادار می کند تا چشم انداز خود را مورد تجدید نظر قرار دهیم. از آخرین گزارش ما ، Ethereum نه تنها شکست خود را تحمل کرده است بلکه شاهد تسلط بر بازار خود به a مبهم ** 13.85 ٪ ** ، a چند ساله بودیم که از اواخر سال 2021 ندیده ایم. این a توسعه تغییر بازی است. این تأیید می کند که a major چرخش سرمایه به Ethereum در حال انجام است. قیمت با قدرت ** 4500 دلار ** پاک شده است ، و با این داده های تسلط جدید ، محکومیت ما در a ادامه یافت ، روند صعودی تهاجمی افزایش یافته است. در حالی که بازار به وضوح بیش از حد مورد استفاده قرار گرفته است ، ما اهداف پایان سال خود را بالا می بریم ، با این که پرونده تهاجمی ** 6،800 دلار ** اکنون در حال تبدیل شدن به سناریوی a با قابلیت بالا است. هفته گذشته دیدنی بوده است و ماهیت پارابولیک پیشرفت فعلی را تأیید می کند. Ethereum از 3،826 دلار به a بالا ** 4593 دلار ** ، a بیش از 20 ٪ در تنها هفت روز افزایش یافته است. این move پایان نامه Elliott Wave 3 ما را تأیید می کند و نشان می دهد که بازار در قدرتمندترین مرحله Impulse خود قرار دارد. سطح روانشناختی ** 4500 دلار ** با محکومیت در بالاترین حجم روزانه که از ماه مارس دیده ایم ، نقض شد و این سطح اکنون به طبقه پشتیبانی بحرانی تبدیل می شود. منطقه مقاومت قبلی در حدود ** 4،200 دلار - 4،300 دلار ** همچنین به عنوان منطقه پشتیبانی اصلی محکم تأسیس شده است ، و بازپرداختهای داخلی به صورت تهاجمی خریداری می شوند. از دیدگاه شاخص ، RSI روزانه در قلمرو شدید بیش از حد در ** 77.8 ** قرار دارد ، با RSI هفتگی که اکنون به طور محکم در ** 72.7 ** تحت تأثیر قرار گرفته است. به طور معمول این هشدار a major بود ، اما در زمینه افزایش تسلط به ** 13.85 ٪ ** ، این قدرت را نشان می دهد. این فقط a افزایش قیمت نیست. این a شکستن ساختاری در رهبری بازار است. Ethereum به طور فعال سرمایه از Bitcoin و سایر altcoins ، a نشانه کلاسیک a درست "ETH" است. برای معامله گران ، استراتژی برک آوت بسیار پرداخت شده است. اکنون ، مدیریت ریسک مهم است. برای کسانی که دارای موقعیت های موجود هستند ، دریافت سود جزئی (30-30 ٪) در اینجا محتاطانه است. ضایعات توقف باید دقیقاً پایین تر از سطح پشتیبانی ** 4،200 دلار ** برای قفل کردن سود باشد. برای هر کسی که به دنبال ورود باشد ، تعقیب قیمت در این سطوح بسیار پرخطر است. استراتژی بهتر این است که منتظر بازگشت a باشید. A مجدداً از ** 4،200 دلار - 4،300 دلار ** منطقه پشتیبانی a فرصت اصلی را ارائه می دهد. با نگاهی به باقیمانده سال ، برکنار در ETH تسلط ما را وادار می کند تا اهداف قیمت خود را به سمت بالا تجدید نظر کنیم. ضربه قدرتمند موج 3 غیرقابل انکار است. بر اساس داده های جدید ، هدف اصلی ** ما ** پسوند 1.618 فیبوناچی است که به ** 5،600 $ ** اشاره دارد. این اکنون سناریوی مورد پایه ما است که احتمالاً تا اکتبر یا نوامبر به آن رسیده است. ما ** مورد جدید Bull Bull ** ما 2.618 پسوند است که ** 6،800 $ ** را هدف قرار می دهد. افزایش تسلط به طور قابل توجهی احتمال این سناریوی "آسمان آبی" را افزایش می دهد. سناریوی اصلی ما ، که اکنون احتمال ** 80 ٪ ** را ارائه می دهیم ، a ادامه صعودی است. پس از a ادغام مختصر یا عقب نشینی کم عمق به محدوده ** 4،200 دلار-4،300 دلار ** ، ما انتظار داریم Ethereum صعود قدرتمند خود را به سمت هدف ** 5،600 دلار ** از سر بگیرد. این استراتژی به طور واضح برای خرید غوطه وری است. A سناریوی ثانویه (** احتمال 15 ٪ **) یک ادغام طولانی بین 4،200 تا 4،800 دلار است که برای بازار سالم بود. A deep تصحیح در نقطه شکست 3800 دلار اکنون a خطر دم کم قابلیت (** 5 ٪ **) است ، اما در صورت وقوع ، فرصت خرید نسلی را نشان می دهد. در نتیجه ، افزایش به ** 13.85 ٪ ** تسلط a تغییر پارادایم است. این تأیید می کند که Ethereum رهبر واضح این چرخه بازار است و این رویداد a قابل توجه قیمت مجدد در حال انجام است. تحلیل ما بیش از هر زمان صعودی است. ما هدف اصلی خود را به ** 5،600 دلار ** افزایش می دهیم و هدف تهاجمی ** 6،800 دلار ** را بسیار محتمل می بینیم. هرگونه فروپاشی به سمت ** 4،200 دلار-4،300 $ پشتیبانی منطقه ** باید در نظر گرفته شود <44> فرصت خرید قابل توجهی.

Proof of Strength: An Analysis of Ethereum's Dominance and Year-End Trajectory Date of Analysis: August 09, 2025 Executive Summary Ethereum has not just recovered; it has entered a powerful breakout phase. The explosive move past the psychological $4,000 barrier this week, confirmed by a surging market dominance, signals a significant shift in market dynamics. This indicates a strong bullish continuation for the remainder of the year. While the current momentum is formidable, extremely overbought conditions on key indicators suggest that strategic entry and risk management will be paramount. Part 1: Analysis of the Last 7 Days (August 2 - August 9, 2025) The past week has been nothing short of spectacular for Ethereum, culminating in a major technical and psychological breakout. Price Action & Key Levels: Parabolic Breakout: The narrative has evolved from a simple recovery to a full-fledged breakout. After establishing support around $3,600, ETH has surged aggressively, shattering the $4,000 resistance level to trade at $4,022. This move demonstrates immense buying pressure and market conviction. New Support Established: The previous resistance zone around $3,850 - $3,900 is now the immediate support level to watch. A successful defense of this zone on any pullback would be a powerful confirmation of the trend's strength. The $4,000 level itself is now a critical psychological floor. Dominance as a Leading Indicator: The rise in ETH Dominance (ETH.D) to 12.65% was a precursor to this move. The fact that dominance climbed before and during this price explosion confirms that Ethereum is the clear market leader, attracting a disproportionate amount of capital. Key Indicator Insights: Relative Strength Index (RSI): With the price now above $4,000, the daily RSI has pushed further into overbought territory, likely approaching the 80 level. In a strong bull market, an asset can remain "overbought" for an extended period. However, this reading serves as a critical warning that the trend is becoming overheated and is susceptible to sharp, albeit potentially brief, pullbacks. Moving Averages: The price is now extending significantly above its short-term moving averages (like the 20-day EMA). While bullish, this creates a "gap" that will likely need to be closed by either a period of sideways consolidation or a price correction back towards the moving average. Trading Strategy Application: The breakout strategy has now been validated. The aggressive move through $3,900 and $4,000 was the signal for trend-following traders to enter. At current levels, initiating a new long position is high-risk. The prudent strategy now is to: Manage existing longs: Consider taking partial profits and moving stop-losses up to just below the new support area around $3,850. Wait for the next setup: A new entry opportunity would present itself on a successful retest and hold of the $4,000 level, confirming it as the new support base. Part 2: Outlook for Remainder of the Year (Until December 31, 2025) The explosive price action this week has significantly improved the outlook for Ethereum, suggesting an accelerated timeline for reaching new highs. Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Projection: Path to New Highs To project more ambitious targets, we can apply Elliott Wave theory. The recent price action strongly suggests we are in the midst of a powerful Wave 3 impulse, which is typically the longest and most aggressive phase of a bull market trend. Wave 1: The initial impulse from the October 2024 lows ($2,200) to the late November high ($3,400). Wave 2: The shallow correction down to around $3,100 in early 2025. Wave 3 (Current Wave): The powerful wave that began from the ~$3,100 low and has now broken $4,000. Using Fibonacci extensions, we can project the potential termination point for this Wave 3: Primary Target (1.618 Extension): ~$5,050. This is the most common and technically sound target for a Wave 3. It is calculated by taking 1.618 times the length of Wave 1 and adding it to the bottom of Wave 2. Achieving this target would represent a significant new all-time high and is a realistic goal for the coming months. Aggressive Bull Case (2.618 Extension): ~$6,250. In crypto markets, which are prone to extreme momentum and speculative fervor, third waves often extend. The 2.618 extension represents a "blue-sky" scenario. Reaching this level would likely require continued strength in ETH Dominance and a favorable macro environment. Potential Scenarios & Strategy: Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario): The path of least resistance is upwards towards the $5,050 primary target. The strategy remains to buy on dips. A retest of the $4,000 level would be the first opportunity. A deeper, but still healthy, correction could find strong support at the $3,850 breakout point. Wave 4 Consolidation: It's important to note that after this powerful Wave 3 completes (whether at $5,050 or higher), a corrective Wave 4 is expected. This would likely manifest as a multi-week period of sideways consolidation or a significant pullback, which would set the stage for the final Wave 5 rally into 2026. Conclusion The recent breakout above $4,000 is a game-changer, confirming Ethereum's market leadership and initiating what appears to be a powerful Wave 3 advance. While the immediate path higher may see some volatility due to overbought conditions, the underlying trend is strong. The primary technical target for this move is now set at $5,050, with a more aggressive bull case pointing towards the $6,250 region by year-end. The key is to view any pullbacks not as a reversal, but as an opportunity to join the prevailing bullish trend.

وضعیت فعلی: Ethereum در سال ۲۰۲۵ یک مسیر پر فراز و نشیب را طی کرده است. پس از یک صعود پیوسته از ماه ژانویه و رسیدن به نزدیک ۴,۰۰۰ دلار در ماه جولای، اکنون شاهد یک اصلاح قیمت با نرخ حدود ۳,۴۰۰ دلار هستیم. این موضوع غیرمعمول نیست - حتی در روندهای صعودی قوی، قیمت‌ها به صورت خطی حرکت نمی‌کنند. Data چه چیزی به ما می‌گوید: با نگاهی به الگوهای قیمت و شاخص‌های فنی: تصویر بزرگ همچنان مثبت است: علی‌رغم افت‌های اخیر، Ethereum با نگاهی به بازه زمانی طولانی‌تر، همچنان در یک روند صعودی قرار دارد. ما به طور قابل توجهی بالاتر از نقطه‌ای هستیم که سال را از آنجا شروع کردیم. ما در یک نقطه تصمیم‌گیری قرار داریم: قیمت در حال حاضر در یک سطح مهم قرار دارد که خریداران و فروشندگان قبلاً علاقه زیادی به آن نشان داده‌اند. مناطق حمایت و مقاومت مشخص هستند: سطوح قیمت ثابتی وجود داشته است که Ethereum تمایل به جهش (حمایت) یا تلاش برای شکستن (مقاومت) از آن‌ها را دارد. سه مسیر احتمالی پیش رو: مسیر ۱: از سرگیری صعود (احتمال ۴۵٪): اگر خریداران کنترل را دوباره به دست بگیرند، می‌توانیم شاهد این باشیم که Ethereum دوباره به بالای ۳,۵۰۰ دلار برسد و سپس اوج‌های اخیر نزدیک به ۳,۹۰۰ دلار را به چالش بکشد. شکستن این سطح می‌تواند در را به روی رقم مهم و روانی ۴,۰۰۰ دلار و به طور بالقوه بالاتر باز کند. مسیر ۲: اصلاح بیشتر (احتمال ۴۰٪): اگر فشار فروش ادامه یابد، Ethereum ممکن است ابتدا به سمت ۳,۲۰۰ دلار کاهش یابد و حمایت قوی‌تری در حدود ۳,۰۰۰ دلار وجود داشته باشد. در یک سناریوی اصلاح عمیق‌تر، می‌توانیم منطقه ۲,۸۰۰ دلار را آزمایش کنیم، جایی که بسیاری از خریداران در طول افت‌های قبلی وارد عمل شدند. مسیر ۳: حرکت جانبی (احتمال ۱۵٪): گاهی اوقات بازارها برای هضم سودها به زمان نیاز دارند. Ethereum می‌تواند چندین هفته را صرف نوسان جانبی بین تقریباً ۳,۳۰۰ و ۳,۶۰۰ دلار کند، قبل از اینکه حرکت قابل توجه بعدی خود را انجام دهد. چه چیزی را زیر نظر داشته باشیم: سیگنال‌های شکست (Breakout): یک حرکت قوی بالاتر از ۳,۵۵۰ دلار با افزایش حجم معاملات نشان می‌دهد که روند صعودی در حال از سرگیری است. سیگنال‌های شکست (Breakdown): سقوط به زیر ۳,۳۵۰ دلار با اطمینان می‌تواند نشان دهنده کاهش بیشتر در پیش رو باشد. الگوهای حجم: حجم بالاتر در روزهای صعودی در مقایسه با روزهای نزولی نشان دهنده علاقه بیشتر خریداران است. این تحلیل صرفاً بر اساس الگوهای قیمت و شاخص‌های فنی است و به آنچه بازار واقعاً انجام داده نگاه می‌کند، نه پیش‌بینی‌های مبتنی بر اخبار یا احساسات.

LINK تقریباً 19.26 دلار معامله می شود. این قیمت در طی چند ماه گذشته نوسانات قابل توجهی و حرکت صعودی نشان داده است ، و از حدود 10-11 دلار در اوایل سال 2025 به سطح فعلی نزدیک به 19 دلار حرکت می کند و این نشان دهنده افزایش چشمگیر 80-90 ٪ است. تجزیه و تحلیل شاخص فنی RSI (شاخص قدرت نسبی) روزنامه RSI در حال حاضر در 61.60 است که در قلمرو صعودی است اما هنوز بیش از حد مورد استفاده قرار نگرفته است RSI 4 ساعته قدرت مشابهی را در 61.60 نشان می دهد این نشانگر حرکت قوی بدون رسیدن به سطح شدید است که باعث سود فوری می شود تاریخی data نشان می دهد LINK می تواند خوانش RSI را در محدوده 60-70 در طول بالادنده های قوی حفظ کند الگوهای عمل قیمت LINK از ماه مه 2025 یک سری از اوج های بالاتر و پایین تر تشکیل داده است قیمتی که اخیراً در محدوده 17-19 دلار تثبیت شده است قبل از نشان دادن علائم ادامه در اواسط ماه ژوئیه افزایش قابل توجهی از سطح 13-14 دلار به بالاتر از 19 دلار وجود داشت که نشانگر فشار خرید شدید است ادغام پس از دستاوردهای سریع ، رفتار سالم در بازار را به جای فرسودگی نشان می دهد تجزیه و تحلیل حجم حجم در حرکات قیمت رو به بالا در حال افزایش است سنبله های قابل توجه حجم در طول شکست از 15 دلار به 17 دلار و دوباره در طی حرکت بالاتر از 19 دلار رخ داده است این نشان می دهد علاقه واقعی خرید به جای یک پمپ کم حجم قیمت متوسط وزن (VWAP) با تأیید قدرت روند به سمت بالا شیب دارد سطح پشتیبانی و مقاومت پشتیبانی قوی حدود 17.50-18.00 دلار تشکیل شده است مقاومت قبلی در حدود 19.00 دلار اکنون به عنوان پشتیبانی آزمایش می شود مقاومت بعدی major به نظر می رسد بر اساس عملکرد قبلی قیمت در محدوده 20-21 دلار باشد پس از آن ، مقاومت تاریخی نسبتاً کمی وجود دارد تا سطح 25 دلار پیش بینی های فیبوناچی با استفاده از کم نوسان اخیر تقریباً 11.45 دلار (مه 2025) به بالاترین میزان 19.66 دلار: برنامه افزودنی 161.8 ٪ هدف تقریبا 24.70 دلار پسوند 200 ٪ حرکت به سمت 28.00 دلار را نشان می دهد این سطح فیبوناچی اغلب به عنوان آهنربایی برای قیمت در طی حرکات روند قوی عمل می کند LINK پیش بینی قیمت بر اساس شاخص های فنی مورد تجزیه و تحلیل: کوتاه مدت (اوت-سپتامبر 2025): LINK به نظر می رسد که مانع روانی 20 دلاری می شود هدف اولیه در حدود 22-23 دلار به عنوان سطح مقاومت بعدی پشتیبانی باید حدود 17.50-18.00 دلار در هر بازپرداخت نگه دارد استراحت تمیز بالاتر از مقاومت قبلی با 18.50-19.00 دلار نشان می دهد که حرکت همچنان قوی است میان مدت (اکتبر-نوامبر 2025): اگر ساختار روند فعلی دست نخورده باقی بماند LINK می تواند دامنه 24-25 دلار را هدف قرار دهد ، با پسوند فیبوناچی 161.8 ٪ هماهنگ باشد اوج قبلی تمام وقت نزدیک به 30 دلار می تواند تا پایان سال بازی کند الگوی پله پله پایدار راهپیمایی ها و به دنبال آن ادغام نشان می دهد که این حرکت پایدار بود عوامل کلیدی برای تماشای: حجم بر روی شکستن بالاتر از 20 دلار و 25 دلار خوانش RSI برای علائم فرسودگی یا ادامه قدرت به روزرسانی های توسعه و اخبار فرزندخواندگی خاص برای پیوند زنجیره ای حفظ الگوی پایین تر در هرگونه عقب نشینی پایان تصویر فنی برای LINK صعودی به نظر می رسد ، با شاخص های متعدد نشان دهنده حرکت به سمت بالا است. این قیمت با دوره های ادغام سالم یک روند صعودی قوی ایجاد کرده است. اقدام قیمت اخیر تجمع را به جای توزیع نشان می دهد ، با کمترین میزان در مراحل ادغام شکل می گیرد. محتمل ترین سناریو بر اساس فعلی data نشان می دهد که LINK می تواند در 2-3 ماه آینده به محدوده 24-25 دلار برسد ، با پتانسیل حرکت به سمت 28-30 دلار تا پایان سال 2025 ، که نشان دهنده افزایش 30-55 ٪ از سطح فعلی است. با این حال ، سرمایه گذاران باید برای هرگونه علائم وارونگی روند ، سطح پشتیبانی کلیدی را در حدود 17.50-18.00 دلار نظارت کنند. ساختار نمودار تمیز ، مشخصات حجم پایدار و قرائت RSI اندازه گیری شده همه به ادامه روند صعودی فعلی اشاره دارد و چشم انداز فنی لینک را برای باقی مانده سال 2025 مثبت می کند.

Polkadot (DOT) is currently trading at approximately $4.08 (as of July 25, 2025), having experienced significant volatility in recent months. After reaching a local high of $7.64 in mid-April 2025, DOT has undergone a substantial correction, losing approximately 46% of its value. This analysis examines DOT's technical position and potential trajectory for the remainder of 2025. Price Structure Analysis The daily chart reveals DOT has been in a defined downtrend since April 2025, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. Most recently, price has established a trading range between $3.90-$4.30, suggesting potential stabilization after the steep decline. This consolidation zone represents a critical juncture for DOT's next directional move. Key observations from the price structure: Descending Channel Formation: DOT has been trading within a descending channel since April, with the upper boundary currently around $4.50 and lower boundary near $3.80. Support Cluster: Multiple support tests in the $3.90-$4.00 region have held thus far, potentially forming a base for a recovery attempt. Volume Profile: Trading volume has been notably higher during recent consolidation compared to previous months, suggesting increased interest at these price levels. RSI Analysis: Signs of Potential Reversal The Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides compelling evidence for a potential trend shift: Bullish Divergence: While price made lower lows in late June and early July, the RSI formed higher lows, creating a bullish divergence pattern that often precedes reversals. Oversold Recovery: The RSI reached oversold territory (below 30) in mid-June and has since recovered to the 40-45 range, indicating diminishing selling pressure. RSI-based MA Crossover: The RSI has recently crossed above its moving average, a signal that has historically preceded price recoveries for DOT. The 4-hour chart shows the RSI establishing a series of higher lows while price consolidates, suggesting building momentum beneath the surface despite sideways price action. Support/Resistance Level Analysis Critical price levels that will influence DOT's next directional move: Support Zones: Primary: $3.90-$4.00 (current consolidation floor) Secondary: $3.60-$3.70 (previous support from May) Tertiary: $3.30-$3.40 (major support from early 2025) Resistance Zones: Immediate: $4.30-$4.50 (upper boundary of current consolidation) Major: $4.80-$5.00 (previous support turned resistance) Structural: $5.70-$6.00 (descending trendline from April high) Volume Analysis Volume patterns provide additional context for DOT's current position: Declining Sell Volume: Selling volume has progressively decreased during the recent consolidation phase, suggesting exhaustion of selling pressure. Volume Spikes on Bounces: Recent upward price movements have been accompanied by above-average volume, indicating potential accumulation. Volume Contraction: The overall contraction in trading volume during the recent range-bound price action typically precedes significant moves. Market Structure Analysis Examining DOT's market structure reveals several important patterns: Potential Inverse Head & Shoulders: The recent price action is forming what could develop into an inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline around $4.50. Completion of this pattern would project a move toward $5.20-$5.40. Wyckoff Accumulation: The price action since mid-June displays characteristics consistent with Wyckoff accumulation, including: Spring phase (drop to $3.59 in late June) Test phase (retest of lows in early July) Sign of strength (move toward $4.20 on increased volume) Compression Pattern: Price volatility has been decreasing, forming a compression pattern that typically resolves in a strong directional move. Moving Average Analysis Moving averages confirm DOT's bearish positioning but show early signs of potential trend change: Below Key MAs: DOT remains below all major moving averages (50, 100, and 200-day), confirming the bearish trend. MA Compression: The gap between shorter and longer-term moving averages is narrowing, often a precursor to trend shifts. RSI-based MA Crossover: While price MAs remain bearish, the RSI-based moving average has turned upward, often an early indicator of trend reversal. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis Using the move from the April high ($7.64) to the June low ($3.59): 23.6% Retracement: $4.54 (immediate target on breakout) 38.2% Retracement: $5.13 (medium-term target) 50% Retracement: $5.62 (significant resistance level) 61.8% Retracement: $6.10 (major resistance level) The current price action suggests DOT is attempting to establish a base before potentially targeting these retracement levels. Scenario Analysis Bullish Scenario If DOT can decisively break above the $4.50 resistance level with increased volume: Initial Target: $4.80-$5.00 (previous support turned resistance) Secondary Target: $5.50-$5.70 (50% retracement level) Extended Target: $6.00-$6.30 (61.8% retracement and structural resistance) Catalysts: Successful parachain upgrades, increased developer activity, or broader crypto market recovery could drive this scenario. Bearish Scenario If DOT breaks below the $3.90 support level: Initial Target: $3.60-$3.70 (previous support) Secondary Target: $3.30-$3.40 (major support level) Extended Target: $3.00 (psychological support) Catalysts: Continued weakness in the broader crypto market, technical issues with the Polkadot network, or regulatory concerns could trigger this scenario. Most Probable Scenario Based on the weight of technical evidence, the most probable scenario appears to be: Continued consolidation between $3.90-$4.50 for the next 1-2 weeks Eventual breakout above $4.50 targeting the $5.00 level Establishment of a new trading range between $4.50-$5.50 through August-September This scenario is supported by the bullish divergences, decreasing selling volume, and early signs of accumulation. Trading Strategy Recommendations For Long-Term Investors Accumulation Strategy: Consider dollar-cost averaging in the current $3.90-$4.20 range Position Sizing: Maintain appropriate position sizing given DOT's high volatility Key Levels: Use the $3.60 level as a stop-loss for new positions For Active Traders Range-Bound Strategy: Trade the current range between $3.90-$4.30 until a breakout occurs Breakout Strategy: Enter on confirmation of breakout above $4.50 with targets at $4.80, $5.20, and $5.70 Risk Management: Maintain tight stops below $4.30 on breakout trades to protect against false breakouts For Risk-Averse Investors Confirmation Approach: Wait for confirmation of trend reversal (price above $4.80 and 50-day MA) Partial Position: Consider establishing partial positions at current levels with defined risk parameters Technical Triggers: Look for RSI moves above 60 as confirmation of momentum shift Conclusion: Cautious Optimism for DOT The technical picture for Polkadot suggests we may be approaching an inflection point after the substantial correction from April highs. Multiple technical indicators point to diminishing selling pressure and early signs of accumulation, creating the conditions for a potential recovery. While DOT remains in a technical downtrend, the convergence of bullish divergences, volume patterns, and market structure suggests the potential for a trend reversal in the coming weeks. The $4.50 level represents the key technical hurdle that must be overcome to confirm this shift. For investors and traders, a balanced approach is warranted—acknowledging the current bearish trend while positioning for a potential reversal. The risk-reward profile appears increasingly favorable for cautious accumulation at current levels, with clearly defined risk parameters. The most probable path forward appears to be continued consolidation followed by a gradual recovery toward the $5.00-$5.50 range by late Q3 2025, contingent upon broader market conditions and continued development progress within the Polkadot ecosystem.

صعود کاردانو: چشم انداز فنی برای سه ماهه سوم و چهارم سال 2025 شکستن مقاومت: مسیر کاردانو به سوی 1.00 دلار و فراتر از آن پس از یک دوره تثبیت طولانی، Cardano (ADA) تغییر قابل توجهی در ویژگی خود نشان داده است و به طور قاطع از یک منطقه مقاومت کلیدی خارج شده است. ADA که در حال حاضر در نزدیکی 0.82 دلار در 18 ژوئیه 2025 معامله می شود، وارد مرحله جدیدی از حرکت صعودی شده است. این تحلیل، چشم انداز فنی را برای پیش بینی مسیر بالقوه آن تا پایان سال تشریح می کند و سطوح قیمت بحرانی و اهداف احتمالی را شناسایی می کند. زمینه فعلی بازار ADA پس از تثبیت در محدوده بین 0.70 تا 0.77 دلار برای چندین هفته، یک شکست قدرتمند را به اجرا گذاشته و در چند روز اخیر بیش از 15 درصد افزایش یافته است تا بالاترین سطح چند ماهه را در 0.825 دلار ایجاد کند. این حرکت نشان دهنده یک پیروزی آشکار برای خریداران و پایان بالقوه برای ساختار بازار جانبی قبلی است. چالش فوری برای گاوها، دفاع از این سطح شکست و تبدیل مقاومت قبلی به حمایت محکم است و زمینه را برای مرحله بعدی major بالاتر فراهم می کند. تحلیل RSI: قدرت در حال ظهور با فضایی برای حرکت افزایش اخیر قیمت، شاخص قدرت نسبی (RSI) روزانه را به منطقه اشباع خرید سوق داده است، که در حال حاضر بالای 70 قرائت می شود. در حالی که این اغلب نشانه یک خستگی کوتاه مدت است و نشان می دهد که یک عقب نشینی یا تثبیت جزئی احتمال دارد، حرکت اصلی در بازه های زمانی بالاتر سازنده باقی می ماند. RSI هفتگی به شدت از سطح خنثی 50 به سمت بالا حرکت می کند، اما همچنان به خوبی زیر قرائت های اشباع خرید شدید (80+) قرار دارد که از لحاظ تاریخی نشان دهنده اوج های چرخه major برای ADA بوده است. این واگرایی بین شرایط اشباع خرید کوتاه مدت و ظرفیت حرکت طولانی مدت، نشانه ای کلاسیک از یک روند سالم و تقویت کننده است. این نشان می دهد که در حالی که یک مکث کوتاه احتمالا رخ می دهد، مسیر اصلی کمترین مقاومت برای ماه های آینده رو به بالا باقی می ماند. تحلیل اکشن قیمت و حجم: کالبد شکافی یک شکست اکشن قیمت منتهی به این نقطه، نشانه های کلاسیک انباشتگی و به دنبال آن مرحله افزایش را نشان می دهد: مرحله انباشتگی: محدوده معاملاتی بین 0.70 و 0.77 دلار نوسانات کاهشی را نشان داد و احتمالا دوره ای از "علت سازی" بود که در آن شرکت کنندگان آگاه بازار موقعیت ها را جمع آوری می کردند. نشانه قدرت (SOS): حرکت تکانشی اخیر از 0.77 دلار به بالای 0.82 دلار نشان دهنده یک SOS واضح است. این شکست احتمالا با افزایش قابل توجه حجم همراه بوده است که تأیید کننده اعتقاد بازار و غلبه بر فروشندگانی است که در سطح مقاومت فعال بودند. آزمایش مجدد موفقیت آمیز منطقه شکست در 0.75 - 0.77 دلار با کاهش حجم، قوی ترین تایید ممکن برای یک روند صعودی پایدار جدید بود. تحلیل منطقه عرضه و تقاضا: ترسیم مسیر پیش رو شکست اخیر، ساختار بازار را به طور اساسی تغییر داده و یک منطقه عرضه کلیدی را به کف جدید تقاضا تبدیل کرده است. منطقه تقاضای Major (حمایت جدید): یک منطقه تقاضای حیاتی اکنون بین 0.75 تا 0.77 دلار ایجاد شده است. این منطقه که قبلا مقاومت بود، اکنون مهمترین سطح برای دفاع گاوها به منظور حفظ ساختار صعودی است. خوشه پشتیبانی ثانویه: اگر منطقه اصلی شکست بخورد، حمایت قابل توجه بعدی در 0.68 - 0.70 دلار، کف محدوده انباشتگی قبلی قرار دارد. مناطق عرضه بالاسری: بر خلاف دارایی در بالاترین سطح تاریخ، ADA با مقاومت تاریخی روبرو است. مناطق عرضه major بعدی در نزدیکی 0.95 دلار و مهمتر از آن، مانع روانی و فنی در 1.10 - 1.15 دلار واقع شده اند. چارچوب گسترش فیبوناچی: پیش بینی اهداف صعودی با استفاده از کف نوسان اخیر مرحله انباشتگی (تقریباً 0.70 دلار) و سقف نوسان اخیر (0.825 دلار)، می توانیم اهداف قیمت منطقی را برای موج تکانه فعلی پیش بینی کنیم: گسترش 127.2 درصدی، هدفی تقریباً 0.88 دلار را پیش بینی می کند. گسترش 161.8 درصدی، یک هدف رایج برای روندهای قوی، به سمت 0.92 دلار اشاره دارد. یک حرکت طولانی تر به گسترش 200 درصدی، آزمایش بالقوه 0.97 دلار را پیشنهاد می کند که به طور نزدیک با سطح روانی 1.00 دلار مطابقت دارد. این اهداف مشتق شده از فیبوناچی، یک نقشه راه واضح برای پتانسیل صعودی در صورت تداوم حرکت صعودی فعلی ارائه می دهند. جدول زمانی پیش بینی قیمت اواخر جولای - آگوست 2025: انتظار یک دوره تثبیت یا یک عقب نشینی سالم را داشته باشید. RSI روزانه اشباع خرید نشان می دهد که بازار نیاز به مکث دارد. آزمایش مجدد سطح حمایت 0.77 دلار، یک فرصت عالی برای ورود به ادامه روند بود. دفاع موفقیت آمیز از این منطقه بسیار مهم است. سپتامبر - اکتبر 2025: انتظار می رود پس از تثبیت، روند از سر گرفته شود و سطوح گسترش فیبوناچی 0.88 - 0.92 دلار را هدف قرار دهد. این حرکت نشان دهنده تأیید روند صعودی جدید بود و احتمالاً موج دوم خریداران را جذب می کند. نوامبر - دسامبر 2025: اگر محیط بازار سه ماهه چهارم مطلوب باقی بماند، فشاری به سمت مقاومت روانی و فنی major در 1.00 - 1.15 دلار بسیار محتمل است. این نشان دهنده یک نقطه عطف مهم بود و می تواند یک مرحله اصلاحی اساسی تر را در پی داشته باشد زیرا دارندگان بلند مدت سود می برند. مناطق پشتیبانی: اصلی: 0.75 - 0.77 دلار (نقطه شکست؛ باید حفظ شود) ثانویه: 0.68 - 0.70 دلار (کف محدوده قبلی) مناطق مقاومت و هدف: فوری: 0.825 دلار (بالاترین سطح اخیر) هدف 1: 0.88 - 0.92 دلار (خوشه فیبوناچی) هدف 2: 0.97 - 1.00 دلار (سطح فیبوناچی و روانی) مقاومت Major: 1.10 - 1.15 دلار (منطقه عرضه تاریخی) نتیجه گیری: جاده رسیدن به یک دلار شواهد فنی به شدت نشان می دهد که Cardano موج تکانه صعودی جدیدی را آغاز کرده است. خروج از محدوده تثبیت چند هفته ای آن، یک رویداد فنی قابل توجه است که تعصب بازار را به طور قاطع به نفع گاوها تغییر داده است. در حالی که یک عقب نشینی کوتاه مدت برای آزمایش مجدد سطح شکست در حدود 0.77 دلار احتمال بالایی دارد، اما این به احتمال زیاد به عنوان یک تنظیم مجدد سالم قبل از پیشرفت بعدی major عمل می کند. بر اساس همگرایی اکشن قیمت، تحلیل حرکت و پیش بینی های فیبوناچی، حرکت به سمت محدوده 0.95 - 1.15 دلار، هدفی واقع بینانه برای Cardano تا پایان سال 2025 است.

Bitcoin's Technical Trajectory: Analysis for Q3-Q4 2025 Breaking New Records: Bitcoin's Path Beyond the July Peak With Bitcoin currently trading near historical highs after reaching its all-time high of $123,218 in July 2025, we find ourselves in unprecedented territory. This comprehensive technical analysis examines Bitcoin's potential trajectory through the remainder of 2025, leveraging multiple analytical frameworks to identify probable price targets and key levels. Current Market Context Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable ascent in 2025, climbing from around $85,000 in January to establish a new all-time high of $123,218 in July. After this peak, we've seen a period of consolidation with price action forming a potential bull flag pattern between $117,000-$120,000. This consolidation phase represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin's next directional move. The most recent data shows Bitcoin trading around $118,200 in late July, representing a modest pullback of approximately 4% from the all-time high. This shallow retracement suggests underlying strength rather than exhaustion in the primary trend. RSI Analysis: Healthy Momentum Reset Despite Bitcoin's extraordinary rise to $123,218 in July, the daily RSI has demonstrated remarkable resilience. After reaching overbought territory (70+) during the July peak, the indicator has now cooled to approximately 42-46, indicating a healthy reset of momentum conditions without surrendering the broader uptrend. The weekly RSI reading of 46.4 is particularly significant—showing that despite the recent consolidation, Bitcoin maintains substantial momentum capacity before reaching the extreme readings (80+) that typically signal major cycle tops. This technical positioning creates an ideal scenario where momentum has reset while price structure remains intact. Most notably, the absence of bearish divergences between price and RSI on higher timeframes suggests the current consolidation is likely a pause rather than a reversal in the primary trend. Wyckoff Analysis: Re-accumulation Before Continuation The price action following the $123,218 July peak displays classic characteristics of Wyckoff re-accumulation rather than distribution: The initial decline from the peak represents a "Preliminary Support" (PS) phase The subsequent trading range between $117,000-$120,000 shows tight price action with decreasing volatility Volume characteristics show diminishing selling pressure rather than distribution Recent price action suggests we're approaching the "Spring" phase that typically precedes markup According to the data, Bitcoin's price action in late July shows decreasing volatility with narrowing price ranges, consistent with the "Cause Building" phase in Wyckoff methodology. This structure indicates institutional accumulation is still occurring at these elevated levels—a powerful sign that smart money anticipates further upside potential. The completion of this re-accumulation pattern projects a move toward the $135,000-$145,000 range in the coming months. Supply/Demand Zone Analysis: Key Levels Identified Supply and demand zone analysis reveals critical price levels that will influence Bitcoin's next directional move: Major demand zone established between $115,000-$117,000 (recent consolidation floor) Secondary support cluster at $108,000-$110,000 (previous resistance turned support) Primary resistance at $123,200-$125,000 (all-time high region) Limited historical supply overhead above $123,218 suggests minimal resistance once this level is breached The formation of fresh demand zones during the recent consolidation indicates strategic accumulation before the anticipated upward expansion. The neutralization of previous supply zones during the advance to all-time highs has effectively cleared the technical pathway for Bitcoin's next significant move higher. Volume Analysis: Confirming the Bullish Case Examination of trading volume during the recent consolidation provides crucial validation for our bullish thesis: Declining volume during pullbacks indicates diminishing selling pressure Volume spikes on upward moves suggest accumulation on strength The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) maintains a positive slope, confirming the underlying strength of the trend The high-volume node has migrated upward in recent weeks, signalling comfort with accumulation at these unprecedented price levels—a powerful indication of market confidence in Bitcoin's valuation. The buying/selling volume differential maintains a positive bias, confirming underlying accumulation despite price consolidation. Fibonacci Extension Framework: Projecting Targets With Bitcoin having established a new all-time high at $123,218 in July, we can project potential targets using Fibonacci extensions from the most recent significant swing points: The 127.2% extension from the June-July rally projects to approximately $132,000 The 161.8% extension suggests potential movement toward $145,000 The 200% extension indicates a possible target of $160,000 These projections align with psychological thresholds that could serve as natural targets in this new price discovery phase. Elliott Wave Analysis: Extended Fifth Wave Scenario The current price action suggests we're likely in an extended fifth wave scenario within a larger degree bull cycle: Primary waves I through III appear complete with the move to $123,218 in July The current consolidation represents wave IV Wave V is projected to reach the $140,000-$160,000 range This wave count suggests potential for continued appreciation toward the $145,000-$160,000 range before a more significant corrective phase begins. The internal structure of the current consolidation displays textbook proportional relationships, further validating our analysis. Price Projection Timeline August-September 2025: Completion of the current consolidation phase with a potential final retest of support in the $115,000-$117,000 range. This would represent the "Last Point of Support" in Wyckoff terminology and provide a final opportunity for institutional accumulation before the next leg up. A decisive break above $125,000 would confirm the end of the consolidation phase. October 2025: Renewed momentum pushing Bitcoin toward the $132,000-$140,000 range, potentially coinciding with seasonal strength typically observed in Q4. This phase could see increased institutional participation as year-end positioning begins, with volume expansion confirming the strength of the move. November-December 2025: Final wave extension potentially reaching the $145,000-$160,000 range, representing a 20-30% appreciation from current all-time high levels. This phase may exhibit increased volatility and could be followed by a more substantial correction as the extended fifth wave completes. Key Levels to Monitor Support Zones: Primary: $115,000-$117,000 (must hold for bullish scenario) Secondary: $108,000-$110,000 (previous resistance turned support) Tertiary: $100,000-$102,000 (psychological and technical support) Resistance Zones: Immediate: $123,200-$125,000 (all-time high region) Target 1: $132,000-$135,000 (127.2% Fibonacci extension) Target 2: $145,000-$150,000 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) Target 3: $160,000+ (200% Fibonacci extension) The Technical Case for New Highs Despite Bitcoin already achieving unprecedented price levels in July, multiple technical frameworks suggest the potential for continued appreciation: Historical Precedent: Previous bull cycles have shown Bitcoin capable of extending significantly beyond initial all-time highs before cycle completion Institutional Adoption: On-chain metrics indicate continued accumulation by large holders despite elevated prices, with exchange outflows remaining positive Technical Structure: The current consolidation pattern resembles re-accumulation rather than distribution, suggesting the market is preparing for another leg higher Momentum Characteristics: Current momentum readings have reset from overbought conditions without breaking the underlying trend structure Strategic Considerations With Bitcoin having already achieved a new all-time high at $123,218 in July, strategic approaches might include: Maintaining core positions while implementing trailing stop strategies Adding to positions during retests of key support levels ($115,000-$117,000) Considering partial profit-taking at key Fibonacci extension levels Remaining vigilant for signs of distribution patterns that may emerge at higher levels Conclusion: The Path to $160,000 The weight of technical evidence suggests Bitcoin has entered a new paradigm of price discovery following its break to all-time highs in July 2025. While the path may include periods of consolidation and volatility, the underlying trend remains firmly bullish with multiple technical frameworks projecting targets in the $145,000-$160,000 range by year-end 2025. The current consolidation phase represents a healthy reset of momentum conditions rather than a trend reversal, creating an ideal technical foundation for Bitcoin's next major advance. With institutional adoption continuing to grow and technical indicators suggesting ample room for further appreciation, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to achieve new record highs in the coming months.