stewdamus

Trading Fam, First things first, Happy Thanksgiving to my U.S. followers. I hope your holiday is blessed as you enjoy time with friends and family. Let's get to the chart. As noted numerous times in previous posts, BTC is now in a longer-term bearish trend. There are many indicators that have shown us this. Our first signs came when my indicator flashed a rare sell signal This coincided with the third touch of our Pi Cycle Top Trendline It also formed what I thought at the time might be the "spring" of our Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern After these first three important indicators flashed, I waited for a drop below the support (RED descending TL) of our bearish megaphone pattern. That happened. Finally, we almost synchronized that drop with the drop below our 350 SMA I have a target down of 72-76k. We almost reached that but we were stopped by 80k support. That RED ascending TL prints on the weekly starting with one of our tops in April of 2021! We bounced off of this trendline, using it as strong support. It should be and I expected this bounce! Now, I am expecting we should go to at least 100-102k. Even that is a very underwhelming target. I will NOT be impressed at all if the bulls should succeed at hitting it. This, at least, should be expected! If we don't hit that target, I will be wrong about how bearish I should have been. Even the "Buy the Dip" Viagra being sold by all these whales as exit liquidity will not have worked for these bulls. What a disappointment they will have become! And my target of 72-76k will still be in play. But you can all see that I have a question mark there. See, the thing is, what happens when Michael Saylor's Microstrategy goes underwater? Microstrategy owns nearly 650k BTC at an avg cost of 74.5k. Current strategy is: issue shares → raise debt → buy BTC → repeat. If BTC falls below 74.5k it could become: buy back shares → lower debt → sell BTC → repeat. If this occurs, BTC could drop even further. My next serious support is not found until around 46k! Therefore, we have to keep a serious eye on this area of 72-76k if we do in fact visit it. Now, if bulls do beat 102k and then 110k after that, I think I can admit I was wrong. I missed my downside target by a whopping 4k! I will admit defeat even though I was a small fraction of a coin off. Honestly, I hope I am wrong. I hope the market is revived and Santa gives you all the profit you ever wanted for the Christmas season. But the grinch in me thinks not. So, play this rally as you like. Personally, I think it's an early gift to some of you who were not expecting this or just didn't believe it would occur. You now have your second chance to exit. This is a contrarian view. I know. But think about who might be propagating the "Buy the Dip" memes. I alluded to it above. If I were a whale and wanted to exit without crashing the market how would I best do this? Ding, ding, ding. That's right. I'd market the hell out of "Buy the Dip". It would become the meme of the hour. Retail would buy it up and hopefully provide the exit liquidity I need. This might be my only way out if I were looking for it. Something to think about. ✌️Stew

Trading Fam, Was this the top? Where is Bitcoin going? Where are stocks going? Will the selling continue? How long? Can we find some targets? Where should we look to start DCA'ing back in? These are hard questions. Let's take a look at what my charts are showing us. ✌️Stew

Trading Fam, Received a buy signal from my indicator on Solana the other day. Inside a nice liquidity block, above the 200/350 SMA, and inside a bullish triangle. I'll easily take this trade all day. But with the crypto market continually disappointing, I am not going to risk more than an 8% loss here. Shooting for a target of around 32% profits brings my rrr to a 1:4. Best of luck! ✌️Stew

Trading Fam, I'm taking my first ever short here since implementing my new indicator. It has been killing it on the long side. We've exited our last 17 trades, all for wins, with an average profit of 30% per trade and our portfolio is up over 86% on the year. Now, it's time to test the short signals. We received two here on TSLA. I've taken a small entry since this is my first short, representing around 9% of the portfolio total. I'm going to target $350 but will not take more than a 7% loss, thus my stops are set at $476 bring the rrr on this trade entry to 1:3. Let's see how this goes. ✌️Stew10% profit now. Will be looking to exit half and trail stops soon.Good Morning Trading Fam, We are about halfway to my final target. I sold half of my position exactly at the trendline outlined in this chart ($185), lowered my stops to break-even, and will let the rest ride, trailing stops as we go.

Trading Fam, We are halfway to my final target. I've been trading safe lately. So, I decided to sell half here, capture some profit, and raise my stops to $225, ensuring we're all in the money on this trade. Congrats to those who followed me. We are 14 wins for the last 14 trades with an avg. of 33% profit per trade. Since implementing my new indicator just over a year ago, I continue to improve trade accuracy with each trade. Experience is growing and so are our wallets. Our portfolio is up 69% since we started with the indicator! Those are incredible stats for any trader, nevermind someone like me who just learned how to trade liquidity! You guys know where to find me and all of my trades. 100% free to all of my followers. ✌️StewRaised stops. Sold all in profit.

Trading Fam, A rare buy signal was given a few days ago by my indicator. Tron is one of the few altcoins that remains above the 350 SMA, while at the same time, BTC.D is currently below the 350 SMA. Additionally, you can see that Tron is testing the bottom side of our triangle. I am expecting a bounce from here to go back up to the top. If we break, I have my target set at .37, though we could go as high as .40 cents with a breakout. You can see we are in a large buy-side liquidity block, meaning there are a lot of institutional buyer at this level. Finally, you can see that red 200 dma, which will also help support price should we get that low. All this being said, this is a higher risk trade since most alts are obviously in a local downtrend. Therefore, I am not willing to take more than a 5% loss on the trade. ✌️Stew

Hey Trading Fam, As the Donald keeps the market gambling and scrambling, I want to step away from the headlines a bit and take a closer look at what our charts might be suggesting. Admittedly, the bias indicated may be somewhat contrarian at the moment. If you're not into that, this video is probably not for you. It feels like an echo chamber out there with most analysts. Everyone keeps yelling, "Buy the dip! Buy the dip!" But what about a more cautious approach? Maybe it was time to sell the top and preserve your cash? I don't know. Just throwing it out there. As many of you are aware, we've reached my third and final target on the SPY. I've been talking about 670-700 on the SPY for a couple of years now. It's been hit, and personally (though I am cautiously still trading publicly), I've exited. My goal is to preserve my cash. Maybe I do this through precious metals? Haven't decided yet. But I am happy with the profit I've made to this point and will probably not test fate too much further. As for crypto, old Bitcoin usually follows our stock market. And we have tracked the SPY for that part. If the market does, in fact, pull back further, I would expect Bitcoin and all of crypto to follow. I know, I know. But what about that altcoin season? I don't know guys. That may not actually start until next year. I'm not saying this will be the case for sure. But more and more, it sure is looking that way. Enjoy the vid, ✌️Stew

Just a question folks. Don't shoot the messenger. Mr. Wyckoff loves to surprise the market. When they least expect it, he'll jump out and scare the hell out of everyone. ✌️Stew

Goatseus Maximus looks like an entry win here. Check out that long accumulation period. Bullish, or should I say, "GOATish"? Additionally, I have a signal to buy from my proprietary indicator. I will be a bit more aggressive on this one with a 1:4 rrr, targeting around .16 cents and stopping out at around .07. On this one, I may sell half a little earlier. Once we reach that ascending trendline, I will be watching price action closely. Keep an eye on my trade tracker for more.

Fetch AI runs hot when it goes. Recently, I received a BUY alert from my indicator letting me know that we’re getting close to another run soon. I have entered here and will have a fairly conservative target of .88. My SL is .57, giving me a fairly modest 1:3 rrr. My plan is to sell half at the target and let the rest ride. Of course, that could always change with time, so keep an eye on my trade tracker.