
stewdamus
@t_stewdamus
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stewdamus

Good Morning Trading Fam,I'm putting out a quick trade setup here on SUI, a coin I am honestly a long-term hodl'er of. I believe this coin has an exciting future ahead of it with tremendous potential to change the blockchain landscape for the better.But this post is for those of you interested in trading it. We have a perfect setup here. Descending bullish triangle, which we are nearing the end of. Strong long-time support underneath us. And my proprietary indicator has given us a buy signal at the point of confluence of both of the above. I have set three targets for you. Obviously, the higher the target, the higher the risk. Trade accordingly and let me know in the comments how you did. It makes me happy to know my followers are successful in their trades.Best,Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,It's really this simple. This is a bullish triangle. Three hits in the premium buy zone (bottom of the triangle) and we're done. Once we break, there will be some resistance at that VRVP PoC (2.39) and then we're gone. 3.40 is an easy target.Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,It has now become apparent that Bitcoin has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily. This is very bullish and should the pattern follow through, it gives some good long-range targets to shoot for by the end of this year and potentially, well into the next.Calculating our first target is relatively simple. We draw a measurement from the bottom of the head (that largest dip) to the neckline. We then move that measurement line to an approximated breakout area. This then gives us an estimated target of around 150k. I will say that this is a fairly sure target before the end of the year if and when that neckline is broken to the upside.Target number two should be that 350 DMA in my opinion. Bitcoin likes to kiss that 350 DMA in bullish markets. So, where ever that ends up being pricewise during this next upwards movement is a good target #2. I would estimate it will be at least 175-180k.But if we break that 350 DMA to the upside, then you will know the end of our bull cycle is drawing close. Bitcoin may blow-off here and generally would stay above that 350 DMA for at least another month or two. In our last bull cycle it remained above the 350 DMA for 5 and a half months. Selling anytime we are significantly above that 350 DMA pricewise and timewise is not a bad strategy because you will know we are nearing the end of our bull cycle at this point.I hope this post gives you some good long-term targets and trading strategies going forward. Personally, I will be looking to sell much if not most of my holdings once Bitcoin breaks above that 350 DMA. Of course, as always, I will keep you all posted when that time comes.Best,Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,While it is somewhat unclear what Bitcoin's next move will be (though I tend to lean towards more upside bias), one thing has become clear ...that aqua blue trendline I have drawn on our chart is proving its significance. Currently, it holds as support. A break to the downside though, and I expect us to drop all the way to 96k. If it continues to hold, a break above our recent high should be expected and new highs will be formed in a relatively quick timeframe.Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,We'll bring our knowledge of liquidity to the chart here today. You guys know that my new indicator utilizes liquidity as a prime factor in helping to alert us when to buy and sell any given asset. In our chart here today, I have also brought over the liquidation map from Glassnode, which will help us gain further insight into what Bitcoin's next move might be.First, let me explain a few of the drawing here.For those who may be new, those liquidity blocks are printed by LuxAlgo's "Liquidity Swings" indicator. I have incorporated them into my indicator and have combined it with another to alert me as to exactly when it might become a good time to buy or sell. Typically, I set the blocks to have a 15 day life cycle. When we are overbought and enter into a sell-side liquidity block, my indicator will flash a red dot. When we are oversold and enter into a buy-side liquidity block, my indicator will flash a green dot. These are typically super-accurate signals and are, at least, a good time to start your exits and/or entries.I use additional indicators for confirmation and to support what my indicator is showing me, such as the VRVP. You can see the VRVP Point of Control (PoC) is at 96,425 in this chart, meaning that most of our recent traded volume is to the underside of us right now. This is positive. However, it is important to recognize that sometimes that PoC can act as sort of a magnet to pull price back to that area before further directional price trend movement. Keep this in mind as we continue to consider price movement here.Back to the liquidity blocks. I've extended our last big liquidity block from Jan-Feb of this year out past the normal 15 day life cycle that I usually set. I think this is important as it appears to align with the data that I've brought over from Glassnode's Liquidation Map. Notice that on the map you see large liquidity pools both below the current price and also, above it. But the larger liquidity pool remains above us at the time of this post. This aligns with the resistance levels I have drawn on the chart in white which remain above us. And currently, we are also forming a bull flag pattern. So, are greatest probability of price movement right now remains to the upside. I am targeting that 106-108k area. Once hit, trend reversal could occur. Here's what I expect.We hit 106-108k. Then, at this point, the market must make a critical decision; do we continue up, beating previous highs, or do we first drop down and liquidate all those late longs from 93-104k? Now, since we know that big money is in this game and wants as much as they can get at the best price possible, it is easier to determine what might occur. I suggest that once liquidation occurs up to 106-108k, sell-side pressure will be placed on the market in hopes of driving price back down to clean out all of those late long entries. That PoC level at around 96k is a good target here. Once this price has been hit, freeing up hundreds of millions in liquidated Bitcoin, the big buyers (smart money) will step back in to swoop up the loot and Bitcoin will be free to trend back up again.Now, as always, I could be wrong. Let's talk about what happens if we beat our 106-108k overhead resistance levels. In this case, we could see Bitcoin pump as high as 125k before any local trend reversal begins to occur. I will re-assess at this point.BLUF: 106-108k is key resistance. Mark your charts and keep your eye on what price does there. It will be key to what happens next.✌️Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,Are the lead indicators on our charts telling us something about a possible deal with China? Maybe. But until that deal is struck, it will continue to be Trump Pump, Dump, and Pump. Let's recap the macro view on stocks and crypto.✌️ Stew

stewdamus

Traders,As we watch the tariff FUD destroy traders everywhere, I want you to be aware that we have just landed on something extremely critical for support, the neckline of our long-standing CUP and HANDLE that began forming at the end of 2021. The neckline currently stands at an approximate price of 76-77k. If you'll remember in my last post a couple of days ago regarding the SPY, I suggested that SPY could drop as low as 467 and Bitcoin could hit 76k. Bitcoin has arrived at it's 76k support and if this doesn't hold, crypto is in serious trouble. I am not trying to be an alarmist here. You all know that I am an eternal optimist when it comes to crypto, but in this case we have to prepare our trades accordingly. The break of 76k support could send Bitcoin and crypto down as far at 50k. I know this is hard to believe. Even as I am typing this I am having a hard time grasping that we'd get there, but this is what I am seeing and I have to inform you all accordingly. If we're lucky, that neckline holds. But plan accordingly.✌️Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,Just Friday I made a video titled, "Trump Pump. Trump Dump." The Trump pump occurred b/c of the election. The Trump dump occurred b/c of the Tariffs. And now, we are back to a Trump pump cycle b/c of promises to a crypto reserve. I have a feeling that this may be how it goes for crypto for a while until the community can observe actual tangible action vs. verbal accolades and promised use. But enjoy those gainz now.✌️Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,Not too much to say here other than the fact that my indicator has recently given us another very clear buy signal inside our liquidity block after hitting support. This alone is all we needed for entry but if you're not familiar with how accurate my indicator has been for us on these larger cap/large volume tokens, then you can see below we also have plenty of confirmation from the Heiken-Ashi, RSI, and MACD. Here we go!✌️ Stew

stewdamus

Trading Fam,Time for my weekly update on the Bitcoin. A lot has occurred in the last week or so since I updated you all last, not least of which includes Deepseek AI FUD causing panic in the GPU and Power stock plays which has spilled over into our crypto space. But does this panic have merit or is this simply another retail bait, shaking out paper hands while whales continue to buy? The charts are showing me the latter is most probably true and news seems to support my thesis here as Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy acquired another 10,107 Bitcoin on the 26th of Jan.Previously, you will remember that I had spotted a potential H&S on the charts and had posted a caution in this regard as it had potential to play out. Shortly thereafter, I also spotted this bullish pendant at which point my bias became conflicted. Was Bitcoin going to pop or was it going to drop? We had to wait and observe further price action before it became clear.It now looks like our bulls maintained the greatest strength as we bounced off or our neckline, and broke up above our bullish wedge, hitting resistance at 106K. We then formed another bullish pennant smaller in size, dropped from that quickly to perfectly retest the topside of our larger bullish pennant, and then came back inside the wedge for further consolidation.If I am reading this chart correctly, our greatest probability now lies with the bulls breaking to the upside of the smaller wedge and retesting that 106K resistance level again. In time, I believe we'll break 106k to the upside and continue towards our target of 140k.Why 140k?When we broke above our bullish descending channel in Oct. of last year, we continued up until we hit a new high at 109k. This was our local top. We can now measure the distance from that break up (around 68k) to our new high at 109k. This same distance can be utiliized to give us a new target from our bullish wedge breakout. This fractal gives us a reasonable target of around 140k.Hope this makes sense.✌️Stew
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