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Solana is currently forming a very interesting potential ABC corrective structure leading into the 1-1 trend based fibonacci extension being approx. $215. The end of this current Wave C is forming an ending diagonal nearing the apex. According to Elliot Wave theory, ending diagonals (wedges) tend to occur when the existing directional trend is showing signs of exhaustion and requires a pricing reset/rebalance. This can occur as a very fast, sharp move downwards before continuing in the direction of the broader trend which remains to the upside. What interests me is the several zones of confluence that line up just below $180, being the overall target of the wedge, as well as the location of both major VWAP's from the high and the low , that can act as major support zones for a bounce. This drop could be fast and scary, likely to shakeout many traders and investors especially those on high leverage. Ive set my alerts here at the zone for a major long trade that could sustain itself to new highs.Here is how I would count it. Meanwhile the trend based fib extensions are respecting the wave analysis.

Solana has been demonstrating notable resilience in recent sessions, consistently finding support along a well-defined local uptrend visible on the 1H, 2H, and even 4H timeframes. The $200 level continues to serve as a critical inflection point, acting as both historical support and resistance, with price repeatedly testing but struggling to establish firm acceptance above this zone. That said, with Ethereum showing renewed strength and capturing market attention, we could begin to see capital rotation into other leading altcoins as investors look for relative value and potential catch-up plays. This type of market dynamic often precedes what many refer to as “alt season,” when capital flow broadens beyond Ethereum and Bitcoin, sparking accelerated moves across the broader crypto market. Whether this backdrop evolves into the explosive breakout traders are anticipating remains uncertain—but the stage appears to be set. As always in these markets, conviction must be balanced with patience, as only time will ultimately reveal whether the momentum materializes into the massive move so many are hoping for.

Bitcoin has experienced a notable decline following a failed auction attempt after sweeping all-time high liquidity. This move is now being followed by a significant retracement toward the lower boundary of the broader range, with the current range low positioned around $111K. In contrast, MicroStrategy (MSTR) has exhibited a more structurally defined downtrend, having broken below its previous pivot low. This price action potentially forms a textbook ABC corrective pattern, with the 1:1 extension target clearly identifiable. Should the broader market continue to decline in the lead-up to this week’s FOMC meeting and Powell’s remarks, a compelling long setup may emerge. This could coincide with a potential 'sell-the-news' reaction, particularly if the Federal Reserve moves to cut interest rates. Rate-sensitive equities and assets may initially respond to such news with bullish enthusiasm, possibly triggering a wave of market euphoria and leading to a short squeeze scenario. I’m closely monitoring the $320 level on MSTR, which aligns with three key technical confluences: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the overall move (swing low to swing high). The 1:1 extension target of the possible ABC corrective structure. A key support/resistance flip zone, which may mark a potential structural pivot point. This zone presents a high-probability area for potential price reaction. Let’s see how this plays out.You can see we have 2 major volume zones from the accumulation range. Lets see if we bounce from either of themFor now, patiently waiting for the market to come closer to my pullback target for what could be an ABC correction here within the range.Currently trading into the GAP zone, should we get a bounce here, I like this for the long trade.Finally into the levels. Taking the long trade, and building the swing as we drop. I will ladder into this position with 3 entries.How you like thatDecent reaction so far... For further continuation, price would need to change market structure at key levels to reverse the trend. We do have a major news catalyst tomorrow at 8:30am est,so I will monitor the pre-markets to see where price may be moving to.MSTR needs to reclaim 335 to show some strengthGame timeAccumulation rangeBroader picture, MSTR is still respecting the 1-1 target for the correction at the lowsfood for thoughtGetting the breakoutLets get the pump startedTP1Getting a bit of a pullback today, to establish some clarity of a potential reversal. I would prefer to see the stock maintain above the 344ish zone, marked by the orange line on the volume profile as this is the higher end of the accumulation range. Holding this zone would increase probabilities for the next push higher.So far breaking below, but in the formation of a corrective structure. So for now daily closes are more important as this to me is more so a liquidity zone, and perhaps area to compound the tradeExactly what I wanted to seeSubtle mini crash overnight on BTC. But MSTR is recovering well, should we reclaim above the same level as Friday (338) then this is likely just a stop run / volatility / deviation of the broader uptrend.Just need this prev day low to hold nowWe also have the 618 retracement. My thoughts are, if this is the real breakout and we have a feint now to shake out weaker hands then this is the place to bounce fromLooking good, this zone is also the s/r flip of the previous balance rangeWould be really nice to get an inverse h&s and mimic the symmetry from the drop.welp that is dissapointing, seems a bit weaker than I expected... Last level to hold is now the value area low of this range being $326. Lose that and I will be stopped outLost 326 and stopped outGoing to take a new long position here as MNAV hits a record low, as well as the prev range most traded zone, in confluence with the anchored vwap from the previous low pivot.Need to get above the 320 zone to confirm this deviation / stop huntNice reaction thus farWhat a crazy shakeout, now getting acceptance back into the range. Lets get the daily close above $320 todayTextbook wycoff accumulationKey Area of support for the Wycoff is $325 now.Nice closeAs per wycoff, this is the restest of the support that needs to hold in order to move into the next phase.So far being respectedThis rise can be aggressive now

Tesla’s price action has been exhibiting a period of consolidation characterized by lateral movement, forming a pattern commonly identified as a triangular structure. Triangular formations, by their nature, have the potential to break out in either direction—upward or downward—depending on market dynamics. However, my focus is particularly on recognizing this pattern within the context of an Elliot Wave ABC corrective structure. Specifically, the second wave in this sequence appears to manifest as a triangle, suggesting a phase of market indecision and consolidation. This phase is typically followed by a final impulsive move downward, which would serve to complete the overall corrective pattern. Understanding this sequence is critical, as it provides insight into the potential continuation or reversal of Tesla’s price trend after the correction concludes.For now, the chart is showing my more likely hood of the bullish scenario for continuation to the upside.Here is the bearish count

Following a failure to maintain support at several critical technical levels, Bitcoin now appears vulnerable to a potential decline toward the ~$111,000 region. This projection is derived from an Elliott Wave corrective structure identified as a WXY Double Combination. The initial leg of the pattern features an ABC correction terminating near the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, thereby establishing the W pivot. This is succeeded by the X pivot, followed by a sharp, impulsive decline forming the Y wave. By applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension across the W, X, and Y pivots, we can estimate the probable termination point of the corrective sequence—typically extending into the 1.0 to 1.1 Fibonacci range. This move is anticipated to unfold over the weekend, potentially presenting a strategic buying opportunity, contingent on a favorable reaction at the projected low. Sunday evening may offer optimal conditions for entry, as traditional market participants—limited to weekday trading—could miss the initial dip, subsequently being compelled to re-enter at elevated price levels.clear downtrend so far, waiting to see if the market reacts tomorrow evening when futures openInto the level , looking for a bounce in this zone as we hit a low approx $111,800. I am also aware of this breakout pullbackIdeally, a sign of strength would be breaking above 114k.Looking nice, would like to see 117k reclaimed as a sign of strengthLooks nice so far, would be great to hit the POC now at approx $117,900Some strong resistance here at the vwap, would be aware of this potential short tradeWill be locking in profits on all long trades now and looking to hedge further. I will be aware of a potential breakdown regardless as price can retrace and still be bullish. Should new opportunities materialize I would be interested in compound trades on pullbacks and hedge short trades using profits.

Today, I observed that Bitcoin may be unfolding within a complex double corrective wave structure—specifically a WXY pattern—potentially culminating in a contracting triangle. Such corrective formations represent a temporal pullback, wherein the market undergoes a period of consolidation following an impulsive advance, also referred to as a pullback in time. This phase often serves as a mechanism for establishing structural support within a defined range prior to a continuation move. A key point of uncertainty lies in whether the integrity of the triangle has been compromised by the recent, pronounced liquidity sweep. From the perspective of both the daily and 4-hour charts, this move resembles a classic deviation or "fake-out" rather than a legitimate breakout. Nonetheless, the market may remain in a state of indecision for a few more sessions, characterized by erratic or range-bound price action, before committing to a more definitive trend. A sustained break and successful retest above the 120K level would serve as a strong technical confirmation that Bitcoin intends to pursue higher valuations.We have the alternate scenario here which is a double combo where the Y wave takes the W.Would be nice to see a bounce here, also 3 drives pattern. If not, then look to the 1-1 extension around 111kTaking a long trade hereLooks like btc wishes to hit the 1-1 around $111k.

Apple remains a key component on my watchlist, having experienced a significant pullback amid recent market volatility driven by tariff-related macroeconomic tensions. A primary concern contributing to this weakness appears to be the company's delayed integration of AI technologies within its operating systems and hardware. There's a growing narrative among investors that Apple is beginning to resemble a legacy titan — respected but perhaps lagging behind in innovation. That said, I believe Apple is actively developing AI capabilities behind the scenes, and any formal announcement or rollout could serve as a catalyst for a meaningful revaluation of the stock. Historically, Apple has demonstrated an ability to quietly build, then scale innovation at a massive level — and I suspect AI will be no different. Interestingly, Apple has also exhibited characteristics of a defensive equity, often rallying even as broader global indices falter. This reinforces the notion that investors still view Apple as a relative safe haven. Given its valuation relative to long-term growth potential, Apple may be increasingly seen as an undervalued mega-cap poised for a strong rebound. From a technical standpoint, we're beginning to see signs of accumulation, with buyers stepping in around key levels. The prior value area low around $211 has historically acted as a fair value zone. If price action successfully reclaims this level, auction market theory would imply a potential move back toward the upper end of the range — approximately $230 to $235. Moreover, the current market structure is forming a constructive ascending pattern, with price pressing into higher zones. Should this structure hold and break through resistance, it could trigger accelerated upside momentum. This setup offers a compelling longer-term swing opportunity, particularly with clearly defined risk. The invalidation point lies just below the ascending trendline and the anchored VWAP from the lows — a key trend confirmation tool used to gauge average positioning of market participants. All considered, this is a technically sound and fundamentally interesting level to consider an entry. Let’s see how this one unfolds.Can be aware of the take profit zone / short hedge zone at the value area highFirst target hit, TP / short zoneNeed to hold 224 now for further continuation.Should we get a further bearish decline, I would be interested in looking for long trades at the lower end of the range at the value area low.TP 1 at vwap where u are getting the bounceUsing just a fibonacci tool we can see, so far a bounce above what would be a key fib level. Interesting how it lines up with the vwapI would be prepared for Apple if it drops to 210 for a gap fill, but that is the benefit of the short position to compound the long on this drop.Mainly looking for these two ideas for nowNice price action, respecting the uptrend vwapbuilding a bit of a triangle here, watching for a break down if it happens to the gap where buyers should step inperfect trade, leaving a runner for further upside

A compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry. At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout. I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward. Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.This would be an epic snipe if we get continuation. Ive moved my stop up to the low of the wick around 290Also, this scenarioLooking at this is a fakeout/liquidity grab right into the previous value area high. A break and re-test confirmationThis thing isnt quite giving me the reaction I want, de-risking my positions by 70% until there is more dataAdded 50% back on the open for the strong reaction. Now my stop will be alot tighter at 290 on a daily close I will be out!Taking profits here as we hit resistance to cover my riskMy ideal scenarioOpening up into the support zone of 310 down to 300Following the exact trade planBig move looks like it is about to startUpdating my channel here for the triangle as I needed a 3 wave correction into pivot E which we now haveEntry: $303 Stop: $295 Target: $360-$400beauty so far, taking partial profts on this riseFirst major target hit! Full rotation back to the highs is nextI would currently be looking at the 360 zone as absolutely key here. What we have developing now is a range rotation within the previously traded balance zone. This means, if price is to remain above $360, the probabilities suggest higher prices with target being the POC (most traded volume within the range) and up the high if there is sufficient momentum.

Circle is more than a crypto firm—it’s building infrastructure for a regulated digital dollar economy. With transparent reserves, global licenses, deep financial integrations, and robust blockchain functionality, USDC is rapidly positioning itself as a cornerstone of future finance. I see a longer term potential for a great investment opportunity given the coming banking revolution involving stable coins. For a lower risk entry, after a nearly 40% decrease in less than a week, the stock price is currently supported at the VWAP from the original IPO release. Should the trend continue higher, I would prefer to see a bounce here on the stock.Entry in at 178Decent reaction so far. Lets hold this VWAP for continuationWould be nice to get in inverse H&S pattern here, as well as a potential bart pattern.POC Moving upCrazy pumpBit of sideways action for now, how I am playing this personally is more of a longer term investment, not a trade per say as I believe this technology can revolutionize the world of finance. Unless the trade gets stopped out, I will simply just hold this one for the coming months / yearsWatching for this potential harmonic patterngetting the drop into the C pivot , adding shares here as we dropLooking at the market structure, its nice to see the shiftHere is the exact zone we need to hold, this is the exact area where the harmonic is expected to trade at for a C wave pivot. It could be a slingshot from here if we get continuationSo far looking like we are getting a reaction, looks great so far.Stopped out on the drop today. And now I think this stock is starting to look a bit more bearish. ABC correction moving into the gap zone below us.You can see why the stop was quite tight here, because the Harmonic pattern would give us higher targets. Since the low has been taken, it can only really be an ABC corrective structure as its driving into the lowsSomething I just noticed, the trend based fib time showing me a 1-1 extension on the exact day of earnings.Here we are , Mid August at the level. I would be a bit cautious now because the Nasdaq may be coming to a tipping point. It would not be unreasonable if we got a huge wick at $100 if the nasdaq breaks down. Ideally, what I would need to see is a market structure shift for a bit more confidence on where I would consider entering a longer term swing.Gartley HarmonicCorrection, the other option is a Bullish Butterfly, not a Crab.Hit the 1-1 target in pre market trading, and getting a bit of a reaction here. I will open an aggressive long with 25% size to start, and watch what happens to price moving forwardLooking great. Will look for a compound if we get the market structure flipGetting some nice price action, will compound here and then continue increasing position size on further strengthWOW just minutes later, look at the reactionKey resistance zones above usSo far the bounce isnt quite as strong as I would like, we are giving up quite a bit since friday. Will look lower towards the gap fill zoneAnd here we are at the gap fill zone. Will add a few more shares here. If we start losing $130 I will start de-risking.As we can see, buyers are stepping in around 130 at the moment. Would like to see us hold this price with daily closes.Very nice reaction , you can see the $130 heldLets get the confirmation of the reversal by remaining above the 618We also have a single print right here (market inefficiency) which tends to be filled before continuation.You can see, when it fills the single print gets removed from the TPOSo far, CRCL still has some work to do if the stock wants to climb higher.Stopped out at 125, de-risking as it doesn't seem like she wants to go anywhere. Will need to come back once this stock shows more interest.Waiting for levels, alerts are setYou can see why my stop was triggered, nothing but a downtrend for nowAfter hitting almost $100, we have now some strengthNice retest. This would be a low risk entry. Entry: $136 Stop: $120 Target: $150, $175, $185, then ATHHere is your bump and run pattern618 nice support

After enduring a prolonged and painful correction, Ethereum has tested the patience of many crypto investors, particularly those anticipating the long-awaited arrival of altcoin season. Sentiment across the space has remained cautious, as repeated failed rallies and a lack of follow-through have left many questioning whether the broader alt market will ever regain momentum. However, there are now early indications that conditions may be shifting. A notable bounce has occurred from the overall low anchored VWAP—a level that has historically acted as a key reference point for value and trend continuation. The presence of responsive buyers at this level suggests it may be establishing itself as a strong demand zone, potentially forming the foundation for a broader structural reversal. Additionally, subtle but important changes in market structure are beginning to emerge. We're seeing higher lows form on shorter timeframes, alongside a reduction in selling pressure—both of which are early signs of a possible trend change. If Ethereum can sustain its hold above this support and reclaim key resistance levels with strength, it could ignite renewed confidence across the altcoin market. Should this prove to be a meaningful low, it may very well set the stage for alt season to finally take shape—bringing with it a rotation of capital into high-beta assets and broader participation across the crypto space.First TP hit at the previous VALTaking 70% profits on the massive move, leaving some runningValue rotation completed. I think this bad boy can still run higher, but for now I will close out the trade and look for new entries on pullbacksCurrently just blasting through resistance, using trend based fib tools, I will look to the 1.618 extension, which is generally common for a wave 3.Here is where I think we are at the moment, until proven otherwiseIn a max bull scenario perhaps we take $4600. Im not so sure of that yet, lets see if we can get $4100 first , and then watch the reaction in the market.Currently forming a ABC correction