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Following a failure to maintain support at several critical technical levels, Bitcoin now appears vulnerable to a potential decline toward the ~$111,000 region. This projection is derived from an Elliott Wave corrective structure identified as a WXY Double Combination. The initial leg of the pattern features an ABC correction terminating near the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, thereby establishing the W pivot. This is succeeded by the X pivot, followed by a sharp, impulsive decline forming the Y wave. By applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension across the W, X, and Y pivots, we can estimate the probable termination point of the corrective sequence—typically extending into the 1.0 to 1.1 Fibonacci range. This move is anticipated to unfold over the weekend, potentially presenting a strategic buying opportunity, contingent on a favorable reaction at the projected low. Sunday evening may offer optimal conditions for entry, as traditional market participants—limited to weekday trading—could miss the initial dip, subsequently being compelled to re-enter at elevated price levels.

Today, I observed that Bitcoin may be unfolding within a complex double corrective wave structure—specifically a WXY pattern—potentially culminating in a contracting triangle. Such corrective formations represent a temporal pullback, wherein the market undergoes a period of consolidation following an impulsive advance, also referred to as a pullback in time. This phase often serves as a mechanism for establishing structural support within a defined range prior to a continuation move. A key point of uncertainty lies in whether the integrity of the triangle has been compromised by the recent, pronounced liquidity sweep. From the perspective of both the daily and 4-hour charts, this move resembles a classic deviation or "fake-out" rather than a legitimate breakout. Nonetheless, the market may remain in a state of indecision for a few more sessions, characterized by erratic or range-bound price action, before committing to a more definitive trend. A sustained break and successful retest above the 120K level would serve as a strong technical confirmation that Bitcoin intends to pursue higher valuations.We have the alternate scenario here which is a double combo where the Y wave takes the W.Would be nice to see a bounce here, also 3 drives pattern. If not, then look to the 1-1 extension around 111kTaking a long trade here

A compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry. At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout. I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward. Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.This would be an epic snipe if we get continuation. Ive moved my stop up to the low of the wick around 290Also, this scenarioLooking at this is a fakeout/liquidity grab right into the previous value area high. A break and re-test confirmationThis thing isnt quite giving me the reaction I want, de-risking my positions by 70% until there is more dataAdded 50% back on the open for the strong reaction. Now my stop will be alot tighter at 290 on a daily close I will be out!Taking profits here as we hit resistance to cover my riskMy ideal scenarioOpening up into the support zone of 310 down to 300Following the exact trade planBig move looks like it is about to startUpdating my channel here for the triangle as I needed a 3 wave correction into pivot E which we now haveEntry: $303 Stop: $295 Target: $360-$400

Circle is more than a crypto firm—it’s building infrastructure for a regulated digital dollar economy. With transparent reserves, global licenses, deep financial integrations, and robust blockchain functionality, USDC is rapidly positioning itself as a cornerstone of future finance. I see a longer term potential for a great investment opportunity given the coming banking revolution involving stable coins. For a lower risk entry, after a nearly 40% decrease in less than a week, the stock price is currently supported at the VWAP from the original IPO release. Should the trend continue higher, I would prefer to see a bounce here on the stock.Entry in at 178Decent reaction so far. Lets hold this VWAP for continuationWould be nice to get in inverse H&S pattern here, as well as a potential bart pattern.POC Moving upCrazy pumpBit of sideways action for now, how I am playing this personally is more of a longer term investment, not a trade per say as I believe this technology can revolutionize the world of finance. Unless the trade gets stopped out, I will simply just hold this one for the coming months / yearsWatching for this potential harmonic patterngetting the drop into the C pivot , adding shares here as we dropLooking at the market structure, its nice to see the shiftHere is the exact zone we need to hold, this is the exact area where the harmonic is expected to trade at for a C wave pivot. It could be a slingshot from here if we get continuationSo far looking like we are getting a reaction, looks great so far.Stopped out on the drop today. And now I think this stock is starting to look a bit more bearish. ABC correction moving into the gap zone below us.You can see why the stop was quite tight here, because the Harmonic pattern would give us higher targets. Since the low has been taken, it can only really be an ABC corrective structure as its driving into the lowsSomething I just noticed, the trend based fib time showing me a 1-1 extension on the exact day of earnings.

After enduring a prolonged and painful correction, Ethereum has tested the patience of many crypto investors, particularly those anticipating the long-awaited arrival of altcoin season. Sentiment across the space has remained cautious, as repeated failed rallies and a lack of follow-through have left many questioning whether the broader alt market will ever regain momentum. However, there are now early indications that conditions may be shifting. A notable bounce has occurred from the overall low anchored VWAP—a level that has historically acted as a key reference point for value and trend continuation. The presence of responsive buyers at this level suggests it may be establishing itself as a strong demand zone, potentially forming the foundation for a broader structural reversal. Additionally, subtle but important changes in market structure are beginning to emerge. We're seeing higher lows form on shorter timeframes, alongside a reduction in selling pressure—both of which are early signs of a possible trend change. If Ethereum can sustain its hold above this support and reclaim key resistance levels with strength, it could ignite renewed confidence across the altcoin market. Should this prove to be a meaningful low, it may very well set the stage for alt season to finally take shape—bringing with it a rotation of capital into high-beta assets and broader participation across the crypto space.First TP hit at the previous VALTaking 70% profits on the massive move, leaving some runningValue rotation completed. I think this bad boy can still run higher, but for now I will close out the trade and look for new entries on pullbacksCurrently just blasting through resistance, using trend based fib tools, I will look to the 1.618 extension, which is generally common for a wave 3.

Bitcoin is currently facing significant resistance at key technical levels and may be positioning for a potential sharp decline heading into Thursday, particularly as markets close and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East threaten to escalate. Two key technical confluences support this thesis: 1. Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern: This setup is developing with highly precise ratio alignments, targeting a convergence at the Point of Control (POC) alongside multiple anchored VWAP levels. While the pattern typically involves a sharp decline, it often precedes a powerful reversal once liquidity is swept from the lows, making this a potentially attractive risk-reward inflection zone. 2. Failed Auction Structure: Price action has demonstrated an inability to sustain a breakout above the established fair value range, instead reverting back within the bounds of a parallel channel. This failed breakout—confirmed by a rejection at the upper end of the volume profile—suggests heightened probability of a move back toward fair value, marked in blue, which coincides with the POC and represents the market's most accepted / traded price. We’ll observe how the setup develops from here.Low might be in at 98k, I have started to build my long positions on equities related to BTC. Additionally, ETH looks very interesting.So far , the current range is rejection the value area low. Should we get the drop back to the lows at the POC, I will compound the position. However, we did get a nice bounce from the anchored vwap from the 70k lows on the hourly, which is a nice sign.We could be seeing a completed ABC correction now, for a rotation back to ATHWhat now looks to me as a failed breakdown, and rotation to the high of the range to comeCurrently at some big resistance coming upFirst target hit! Nice melt upNice bounce off the VAH of the range, as well as the anchored vwap at the low

MSTR has seen a fast and sharp correction after rallying nearly 70% into some key levels of resistance , and currently pulling back into the longer term downtrend VWAP, as an attempt to flip the current downtrend. This zone around $360 is very crucial for me personally, as we are attempting to hold the previous pivot high, and setting a firm low for continuation of the uptrend. On the hourly timeframe we are finally starting to see some potential absorption here as price continues to make new lows, however the overall strength on the RSI is unable to continue making progress lower. This is suggesting that the selling pressure may be running low, and MSTR can be due for a bounce. I have laddered into this current position , and would de-leverage my risk if we start to break the lows as that could be quite a bearish sign, in the meantime, I would like to see some relief after such a harsh downtrend.Why I believe this is the support, on the Daily time frame, you can see we are holding this anchored vwap from the recent high. A moving average that is very strong, and previously had held price down.fyi you can even keep a tighter stop approx 355 or so on an hourly close.Market structure trying to flip here, this will be the key zone of importance for me today and I would like to see n hourly close above to start showing strength of the trend reversingThis is key for me, hold this zone would be bullish. Lose $370 and im out. very simpleReclaiming downtrend VWAP, holding above would be very bullish for meVery strong resistance here. I am taking profits on this move up to cover my risk. Reclaiming the zone above, would be very strong and I would look to new ATH.Resistance is holding us down for now, I will take a short here to hedge my long trade. Looking to VWAP, then if vwap lost then lowertake note of the price action. BTC dropping hard after hitting near 107k, while MSTR is still unaffected. If you are not recognizing this strength, you will not understand what direction can be more probable.Here is where I want to see price bounce fromVolume profile for the entire downtrend, with the Value area high in the same spotWould like to see the bounce here to remain bullishcompounding the long trade here as per plan @ 377Wow we also have the anchored vwap off the low at the same zone. This level if lost would be very bearish, and now that I am seeing this, It provides me more confluence that the level should be strongExactly what I want to see. Set alert for a stoploss order below this low now. Would prefer to see the bounce as plannedThe trade is a bit more complicated than I would have hoped, however thats trading! So far, we couldnt quite break out of the range and it looks like we may be coming back to the 370 POC which is the most important price to hold. Should it happen, I want to see a strong and fast bounce off the level to remain in the trade. If not, I will just stop out.Last night, BTC dropped in after hours and MSTR slumped towards 370 in the post market. However, the Market set to open shortly, and MSTR is gapping up. I am not surprised that the trap was set directly at the zone where both VWAPS are in confluence. As I said in the previous comment, these overlap provide a very strong level. Should this bounce materialize and break above the orange value area high, I will be moving the stop up to the 375 zone.VWAPS holding price up so farSo far, I am still in this trade because I always wait for a clear daily close candle to cut losses, but the reality here is that the trade is a bit tough as MSTR is exhibiting strength despite a massive drop on BTC we closed just $1 off the key $370 zone, and are currently gapping up in market open. So the divergence is very clear to me and keeping me in the position for now. We also bounced off the value area low to the dollar , showing me that there is definitely liquidity sitting below us holding price.Need the blue POC to hold, still at 370So we can see the power of the POC in blue, the most traded zone. The flush from yesterday could have been another trap... Lets try and reclaim the downtrend and try to breakoutniceLooking for this POC to hold here for the next bouncenicely respected so farFinally getting the move I was hoping forNext move loading....profit target smashedTaking a new long here as we are holding the POC and VWAP!Looking nice so far

After surpassing recent all time highs, the Bitcoin price has seen a slight rejection from the $112k price point, and now potentially forming what may be a corrective structure prior to continuation of the uptrend. I have charted an elliott wave combination correction featuring a flat, and 2 following zig zags, also knows as a WXY correction which is simply multiple ABC corrections merged to form a larger WXY zigzag. The target for this correction is a third and final sweep of the low, being a reversal move and not a continuation to the downside. This is somewhat consistent with a triple three correction, with multiple liquidity grabs before resuming in the direction of the original trend. I will be watching closely over the week to see if we can get a sweep below $106k , where I will look for potential long trade entries.Here is the 1-1 extension based on the WXYInvalidation for this pattern is for price to break above X pivot, therefore it is not valid.Elliot wave invalidatedWow, crazy fakeout on BTC. This pattern is still now back in play with the big fakeout droptarget hit for long trade 105kWould like this 618 retracement to hold and rotate higherBig drop to 104k, I will be keeping the trade open and in fact adding some to the position here. Preference is to hold the 104k low, otherwise I will stop out and look for better entries.Currently slightly offside on this prediction by a few percentage points, but I do still believe that BTC can continue higher. I will plan to scale this position larger up until the Value Area Low is lost being below 102k. For now, the overall trend remains bullish, and the stop loss is within just 3%.Looking like we are getting a bounce at the POC

Bitcoin has exhibited a notable resurgence following a significant decline into the lower $70,000 range, where it encountered key structural support zones. This retracement catalyzed a pronounced rebound, signaling a potential shift in short-term market sentiment. At present, price action has reclaimed the prior all-time high (ATH) range but has encountered resistance at the current Point of Control (POC)—the most heavily traded price area—indicating active participation from sellers. Sustaining the Value Area Low (VAL) in conjunction with the downtrend-anchored VWAP around the $93,000 level will be pivotal for confirming a full rotation back toward the upper bounds of the value area, near $102,000. This upper region represents a significant liquidity cluster, where a potential bull trap or liquidation cascade could unfold as late entrants enter the market under the assumption that the corrective phase has concluded and a new impulsive leg is underway. However, this area also marks the apex of the value range, where a reaction is statistically more probable—much like the recent rejection seen at the POC. Should Bitcoin successfully defend the VAL, a broader value area rotation would be expected before any renewed downside pressure. A subsequent pullback toward the previous value area high could then act as a confirmation of breakout support, validating the bullish structure. Ideally, this scenario—characterized by respect for value area dynamics and rotational momentum—would align most cleanly with market structure and auction theory. As price oscillates between value zones, each range is sequentially validated as either support or resistance, providing a framework for interpreting market behavior with greater precision.Currently, I want to share this overall rotation into the Value Area, following a tap at the POC, and now maintaining the downtrend anchored VWAP from the ATH as a support. This is generally a sign that the trend is reversing/ showing strength as long as it holds the VWAP.On the lower time frame, if this the daily vwap bounce then I would want a new impulse to start off a 618 bounce like this.MACD crossing , lets see how it plays outPerfect bounce at the 618, and layered anchored vwaps. This is a strong support, I will be looking to 102k for the larger short trade. Be aware of the POC at 97k for an SFP, but clearing the range would make it more probable for a full value rotation to the value area high and monthly level.Almost at the targetLooking for short hedge protection at these levels. Losing the monthly level would be a great sign of weakness.Looking for the short from the VAH here, first target will be 97k POC (most traded zone) and we will see if the price decides to bounce or continue lower!Just note, I have pulled the fixed range for this entire price action above 80k, which is the reason the value area high is now at 105kMarket currently seems to be consolidating sideways, on not quite giving me the reaction I want. Will hold the short for now as a hedge in case we drop. But I do feel like the highest probability is for higher prices to come.And perfect like clockwork, we get the drop, bounce at the vwap for a textbook Elliot Wave ABC correction

Gold has proven to be an exceptional hedge against the prevailing uncertainty in global markets, with much of this volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and policy unpredictability stemming from the influence of Donald Trump. Amid this backdrop, investors have increasingly sought safety in tangible assets, and gold has emerged as a preferred store of value. Presently, GOLD has reached a significant technical milestone — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level from the 2015 bear market low — after delivering a remarkable 100% appreciation over the past decade. This confluence of long-term Fibonacci projections and a sharp acceleration in price suggests that gold may be approaching a key inflection point. Given the speed and magnitude of this recent rally, a period of consolidation or even a short-term pullback appears likely. Traders and long-term holders may begin to lock in profits, especially as valuations in gold become stretched relative to historical norms. The capital generated from this profit-taking could be rotated into other asset classes that are currently oversold or undervalued, potentially igniting a broader rebalancing across financial markets. In this context, I see gold not only as a barometer of risk sentiment but also as a potential trigger for cross-asset shifts. Should profit-taking in gold accelerate, it could act as a catalyst for renewed interest in equities, commodities, or even emerging markets — areas that may offer more attractive risk-reward profiles at current levels. As such, I’ll be closely watching gold’s price action, not just in isolation, but for the signals it may send about broader market dynamics and capital flows.How I am approaching GOLD moving forward for a potential 5 count wave , where the common target for 3 is the 1.618 extension, and the 4th wave can be a great buy for a blow-off top when the federal reserves begins quantitive easing and stimulus.Here comes the breakdownSo far, wrong on the breakdown sees like gold wishes to continue trading higher. Well be monitoring this one for further developments