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Since the second week of May, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a textbook accumulation phase, with a well-defined trading range forming just below the previous all-time high. Beginning around May 12, price action became increasingly compressed, marked by a series of higher lows and relatively flat resistance, indicating growing demand and waning selling pressure. This consolidation structure persisted for more than a week, suggesting that larger players were accumulating positions in anticipation of a breakout. Now it could be making the Power of 3. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution.Accumulation, manipulation and distributionEventually, this coiled energy resolved to the upside. BTC broke through the upper boundary of the accumulation zone with increasing volume and momentum, triggering a sharp rally and leading to the formation of a new all-time high. At that point, market sentiment turned decidedly bullish, with breakout traders entering the market, expecting continuation. However, the price failed to sustain above the previous ATH for long. Despite the breakout’s initial strength, Bitcoin was unable to establish a solid foothold above the critical psychological and technical level, which has now proven to be a key inflection point.Soon after setting a new high, BTC began to reverse, shedding gains and retracing back below the former resistance level, which had temporarily acted as support. The breakdown below the $106,000 mark, previously the ceiling of the accumulation range, signaled a notable shift in market structure. What was initially viewed as a healthy continuation pattern evolved into what now appears to be a classic bull trap. This type of failed breakout often leaves market participants vulnerable, as late buyers are caught in drawdowns and early longs may be incentivized to exit positions.Given this context, the recent price action carries the hallmarks of a Power of 3, where market makers and institutions may be offloading positions to less informed participants. This phase is often mistaken for continued accumulation by retail traders due to its structural similarity; however, the key difference lies in the failure to maintain new highs and the emergence of lower highs on any attempted bounce. The rejection above the ATH and the subsequent breakdown below $106K has introduced significant overhead supply, which may act as resistance in the near term.Target levelsAs BTC continues to trade below this critical level, the likelihood of a further retracement grows. The market appears to be transitioning into a phase of redistribution or distribution proper, where price is likely to be capped on rallies and pressured lower over time. It is reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could revisit $100.000 to mid-$90,000s, an area that may serve as a magnet for liquidity and a potential staging ground for the next major move. This region could represent a "Last Point of Supply" (LPSY) within the Wyckoff framework, typically the final area where smart money distributes before initiating a more decisive markdown phase.Nevertheless, this potential pullback should not be viewed solely as a sign of weakness. In many bull cycles, such corrections and shakeouts serve to flush out over-leveraged positions and reset sentiment, ultimately laying the groundwork for renewed upward momentum. Should BTC find stability and demand re-emerge in the $95K–$100K range, it could mark the beginning of a new re-accumulation phase, leading to a healthier and more sustainable advance.ConclusionIn summary, the recent breakout above ATH followed by a sharp reversal and loss of key support paints a cautionary picture in the short term. Bitcoin may currently be navigating a distribution zone, with downside pressure likely to persist as the market digests recent gains. However, such corrections are typical in broader uptrends and often present opportunities for strategic entries once the next accumulation structure becomes clear. Patience and disciplined observation will be essential as the market defines its next directional bias.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!

The financial markets often appear chaotic and unpredictable, but behind the scenes, institutional players operate with clear strategies that shape price action. One such strategy is the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) "Power of 3" model, a framework used to understand and anticipate market cycles through three key phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. This guide will break down each of these phases in detail, explaining how smart money operates and how retail traders can align themselves with the true direction of the market.

What will be discussed?- The 3 phases- Examples of the PO3- How to trade the PO3- Tips for trading the PO3The 3 phasesAccumulation 
The Accumulation Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model refers to the initial stage of a market cycle where institutional or "smart money" participants quietly build their positions. During this time, price typically moves sideways within a tight range, often showing little to no clear direction. This is intentional. The market appears quiet or indecisive, which is designed to confuse retail traders and keep them out of alignment with the real intentions of the market's larger players.In this phase, smart money is not looking to move the market dramatically. Instead, they are focused on accumulating long or short positions without drawing attention. They do this by keeping price contained within a consolidation zone. The idea is to gather enough liquidity, often from unsuspecting retail traders entering early breakout trades or trying to trade the range, before making a more aggressive move.ManipulationThe Manipulation Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model is the second stage that follows accumulation. This phase is where smart money deliberately moves the market in the opposite direction of their intended move to trigger retail stop losses, induce emotional decisions, and create liquidity.After price has consolidated during accumulation, many retail traders are either already positioned or have orders waiting just outside the range, either stop losses from those trading the range or breakout orders from those anticipating a directional move. The manipulation phase exploits this positioning. Price will often break out of the accumulation range in one direction, appearing to confirm a new trend. This move is designed to look convincing, it might even come with a spike in volume or momentum to draw traders in.However, this breakout is a false move. It doesn’t represent the true intention of smart money. Instead, it's meant to sweep liquidity, triggering stop losses above or below the range, and then reverse sharply. This stop run provides the liquidity needed for large players to finalize their positions at optimal prices. Once enough liquidity is collected, and retail traders are caught offside, the real move begins.DistributionThe Distribution Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model is the final stage of the cycle, following accumulation and manipulation. This is where the true intention of smart money is revealed, and the market makes a sustained, directional move, either bullish or bearish. Unlike the earlier phases, distribution is marked by clear price expansion, increased volatility, and decisive momentum.After smart money has accumulated positions and shaken out retail traders through manipulation, they have the liquidity and positioning needed to drive the market in their desired direction. The distribution phase is where these positions are "distributed" into the broader market, meaning, institutions begin to offload their positions into the retail flow that is now chasing the move. Retail traders, seeing the strong trend, often jump in late, providing the liquidity for smart money to exit profitably.This phase is typically what retail traders perceive as the real trend, and in a sense, it is. However, by the time the trend is obvious, smart money has already entered during accumulation and profited from the manipulation. What appears to be a breakout or trend continuation to most retail participants is actually the final leg of the smart money’s strategy. They are now unloading their positions while price continues to expand.Examples of the Power of 3How to trade the PO3?Start by identifying a clear accumulation range. This typically happens during the Asian session or the early part of the London session. Price moves sideways, forming a consolidation zone. Your job here isn’t to trade, but to observe. Draw horizontal lines marking the high and low of the range. These become your key liquidity zones.Next, anticipate the manipulation phase, which usually occurs during the London session or at the NY open. Price will often break out of the range, triggering stop losses above the high or below the low of the accumulation zone. This move is deceptive, it is not the real trend. Do not chase it. Instead, wait for signs of rejection, such as a sharp reversal after the liquidity grab, imbalance filling, or a shift in market structure on a lower timeframe (like a 1- or 5-minute chart).Once manipulation has swept liquidity and price starts showing signs of reversing back inside the range or beyond, you now look for a confirmation of the true move, this begins the distribution phase. You enter in the direction opposite of the manipulation move, ideally once price breaks a structure level confirming that smart money has taken control.For example, if price consolidates overnight, fakes a move to the downside (running sell stops), and then quickly reverses and breaks above a key swing high, that's your signal that the true move is likely up. Enter after the break and retest of structure, using a tight stop loss below the recent low. Your target should be based on liquidity pools, fair value gaps, or higher-timeframe imbalances.The key to trading the Power of 3 is patience and precision. You're not trying to catch every move, but to wait for the market to complete its cycle of deception and then ride the clean expansion. Ideally, your entry comes just after manipulation, and you hold through the distribution/expansion phase, taking partials at key liquidity levels along the way.Tips for trading the PO3
1. Learn price movementsBefore you can effectively apply the ICT Power of 3 strategy, it’s crucial to have a deep understanding of how price behaves. This means being comfortable identifying market structure, recognizing trend direction, and interpreting candlestick dynamics. Since the Power of 3 is deeply rooted in how price moves in real time, a strong grasp of these basics will give you the confidence to read the market correctly as each phase develops.2. Analyse multiple timeframesAlthough the Power of 3 pattern shows up on lower timeframes, relying on just one can lead to misreads. You’ll gain a clearer picture when you align the short-term view with higher timeframe structure. For example, what appears to be accumulation on the 15-minute chart may simply be a retracement in a larger trend on the 1-hour or daily. By examining multiple timeframes together, you can better identify the true setup and avoid being tricked by noise.3. Exercise patience A key part of trading the Power of 3 is knowing when to act, and more importantly, when not to. It’s easy to get impatient during the accumulation or manipulation phases, but entering too early often leads to frustration or losses. True discipline comes from waiting for the expansion or distribution phase, when the market reveals its real direction. This is where the most favorable risk-to-reward setups occur.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!

About an hour ago, Bitcoin (BTC) managed to fully fill the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). After touching the upper boundary of this gap, the price reacted sharply and quickly reversed, which resulted in the formation of a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP).What is a SFP?A Swing Failure Pattern, or SFP, occurs when the price briefly moves above a previous high but fails to sustain that move. In this scenario, the price only sweeps above the previous high with a wick, but the candle does not close above it. This often signals that buyers could not maintain control, and it can lead to a reversal or a loss of momentum.Narrow rangeCurrently, BTC is trading within a narrow range between 106,600 and 110,600. Within this range, the price is moving up and down without breaking out in either direction. On the 1-hour chart, BTC respected the FVG a few hours ago, which suggests that bullish momentum might still have a chance to develop.Bullish breakoutFor a bullish breakout, we would want to see BTC break above 111,000 with strong buying momentum. If this happens, the price could turn the current resistance into new support and potentially make a move toward the all-time high (ATH).Bearish breakoutOn the other hand, a bearish breakout would require the price to close below 106,600 with significant volume. If BTC closes below this level, the support could turn into resistance, and a drop toward 100,000 would become a real possibility.ConclusionIn my view, BTC showed strength by holding the 1-hour FVG, but after the latest move upward, it failed to break through resistance and instead formed a SFP. Because of this, I expect a pullback toward 108,000 or even 106,000. At this stage, it’s best to be patient and wait for a clear breakout in either direction before making any major trading decisions. If you want to protect your capital, it’s wise to wait for confirmation before entering a new position.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!

In this guide I will discuss the Death crosses and Golden crosses. The next subjects will be described:- What SMA to use?- What is a Death cross?- What is a Golden cross- Is a Death cross always bearish and a Golden cross always bullish?- How did the Death crosses and Golden crosses play out this cycle?What SMA to use for Deathcross and Golden cross on the daily timeframeIn technical analysis, when identifying Golden Crosses and Death Crosses on the daily timeframe, the most commonly used moving averages are the 50-day and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMA). The 50-day moving average represents the average closing price of an asset over the past 50 trading days and reflects medium-term market trends. The 200-day moving average, on the other hand, represents the average over a longer period and is used to gauge the broader, long-term trend.What is a Deatch cross?A death cross is a bearish technical analysis signal that occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average. Most commonly, it refers to the 50-day simple moving average crossing below the 200-day simple moving average on a daily price chart. This crossover suggests that recent price momentum is weakening relative to the longer-term trend, which can be an early indication of a potential downtrend or extended period of market weakness.The death cross is often interpreted as a sign of increasing selling pressure and a shift in investor sentiment toward caution or pessimism. While it does not predict immediate declines, it is closely watched because it has historically preceded some significant market downturns. However, like all technical indicators, it is not infallible. Since it is based on past price data, the death cross is a lagging indicator, meaning it often appears after a downward trend has already begun.What is a Golden cross?A golden cross is a bullish technical analysis pattern that signals the potential beginning of a long-term uptrend. It occurs when a short-term moving average, typically the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), crosses above a long-term moving average, most commonly the 200-day SMA, on a daily price chart. This crossover suggests that recent price momentum is strengthening in relation to the longer-term trend, indicating growing investor confidence and increasing buying interest.The golden cross is widely viewed as a positive signal by traders and investors, often marking a shift from a downtrend or consolidation phase to a more sustained upward movement. It reflects a change in market sentiment where shorter-term gains begin to outweigh longer-term losses.Is a Death cross always bearish and a Golden cross always bullish?The death cross is not always a purely bearish signal. While it reflects that price momentum has shifted to the downside, it's important to remember that moving averages are lagging indicators. By the time the crossover occurs, much of the downward move may already be priced in. As a result, it's common to see a relief rally shortly after the signal appears. This bounce can catch traders off guard, especially those who enter short positions expecting immediate continued weakness.On the other hand, the golden cross often sparks a wave of bullish sentiment. Many traders see it as confirmation of a strong uptrend, leading to increased buying pressure. However, just like with the death cross, the lagging nature of the signal means that much of the initial move may have already happened. It's not unusual for the price to stall or even retrace shortly after the crossover, especially if the market has become overextended. In both cases, the market often reacts in a counterintuitive way in the short term, which is why these signals are best used alongside other tools and indicators.How did the Death crosses and Golden crosses play out this cycle?In this cycle, we’ve seen three death crosses and three golden crosses on the daily timeframe, with a fourth golden cross currently in the making. Interestingly, all three of the previous death crosses have not led to sustained downside as many might expect. Instead, each one has marked a local bottom, followed by strong upward movement in the weeks and months that followed. These signals, rather than being a reason for bearishness, turned out to be contrarian indicators. The most recent death cross occurred when Bitcoin was trading around 80k. From there, it managed to rebound impressively, climbing back above 111k, a clear reminder that death crosses, especially in this cycle, have not been reliable signals for further downside.The golden crosses, on the other hand, have behaved a bit differently than usual in this cycle. The first golden cross actually marked a local top, with Bitcoin facing rejection shortly after. During the second golden cross, price action was more neutral, BTC moved sideways for a period before eventually continuing its upward trend. The third golden cross was followed by only a shallow pullback, after which Bitcoin pushed to new all-time highs.Now, we are approaching the formation of the fourth Golden cross. Based on the pattern of past crosses and current market sentiment, a minor pullback could be on the horizon. It’s not guaranteed, but given the level of euphoria in the market right now, some cooling off would not be surprising. Even if a pullback does occur, the larger trend remains intact, and this golden cross may end up reinforcing that momentum.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!

Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a steady and impressive uptrend over the past two months, with nearly seven consecutive weekly green candles forming on the chart. This sustained bullish momentum signals strong buying pressure and growing confidence among market participants. Such a consistent rally is rare and often indicates a broader shift in sentiment, suggesting that Bitcoin may be entering a new phase in its market cycle.Price discoveryRecently, BTC broke through its previous all-time high (ATH) of 110K on the lower timeframes, a significant technical development. This breakout means BTC is now trading in price discovery territory, where there is no historical resistance to guide price action. While this opens the door for further gains, traders should remain cautious. Upcoming daily and weekly candle closes will be critical in determining whether this breakout is sustainable. For the move to be confirmed, Bitcoin needs to close multiple weekly candles above the previous ATH. If instead, the price falls back below the ATH on either this weekly close or the next, it could introduce downward pressure and potentially signal a failed breakout.As we navigate this pivotal moment, it's crucial not to get swept up in the euphoria. While the price action is undoubtedly bullish, certain technical indicators warrant close monitoring to avoid complacency. In particular, the weekly Stochastic RSI and the weekly RSI are now at levels that deserve attention.Stochastic RSIThe weekly Stochastic RSI is entering overbought territory, even before this week’s candle has closed. This suggests strong bullish momentum is currently driving the market. However, history shows that when the Stochastic RSI enters the overbought zone, it often marks areas where it was wise to take partial profits. If the blue and orange lines on the Stochastic RSI begin to cross back below the 80 level, it could indicate a weakening of momentum and the possibility of a short-term correction. That scenario becomes more likely if Bitcoin fails to continue making higher highs in the weeks ahead.Relative Strenght Index (RSI)Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching a critical resistance trendline. In previous market highs, we’ve seen the RSI top out at 89, followed by a high of 80 despite new highs in BTC’s price, a classic case of bearish divergence. If Bitcoin fails to push significantly higher in the coming weeks and the RSI does not break above the 80 level, we could be looking at a potential triple bearish divergence. This would be a strong warning signal that momentum is waning, and it could lead to a broader correction.For this reason, it is crucial that Bitcoin continues to push upward with conviction. The RSI must break through its historical trendline and post a new high above 80 in order to invalidate the threat of bearish divergence. Should the market fail to do so and instead roll over, we may experience increased volatility and downside pressure as we move into the summer months.ConclusionIn conclusion, while Bitcoin is exhibiting powerful bullish behavior and appears poised for further gains, the sustainability of this rally hinges on continued momentum and strong technical follow-through. Specifically, Bitcoin must maintain closes above its previous all-time high, avoid a bearish cross on the Stochastic RSI, and see the RSI break above its recent highs to neutralize the threat of bearish divergence. If these conditions are not met and momentum fades, the market may face a period of consolidation or correction in the near term. Staying vigilant and objectively monitoring these indicators will be essential for navigating what comes next.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!

Bitcoin has been trading within a clearly defined upward channel since the beginning of April. This rising channel is characterized by three touchpoints on both the upper and lower trendlines, indicating a consistent pattern of price movement within these boundaries.Approaching key resistanceCurrently, BTC is approaching a critical resistance level near the $109,000 mark, which coincides with its previous all-time high. This level represents a significant psychological and technical barrier, as it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is now testing this resistance while still remaining within the rising channel. The confluence of the upper channel resistance and the historical all-time high makes this a decisive moment for Bitcoin's price action.Bullish breakoutA rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a temporary pullback, potentially towards the lower boundary of the rising channel. This would not necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend, but rather a healthy consolidation within the established structure. However, a confirmed breakout above the $109,000 level, especially if supported by strong volume and bullish momentum, would likely signal a significant shift in market dynamics. Such a breakout would validate the strength of the current uptrend and could open the door for new all-time highs. In that scenario, the $109,000 level would likely flip from resistance to support, becoming a crucial area for bulls to defend on any future retests.Bearish breakoutOn the downside, traders should also be aware of the implications of a breakdown below the rising channel. The lower boundary of the channel, currently located around $104,000, is an important technical level to watch. A decisive break below this level could indicate a loss of short-term bullish momentum and may trigger a deeper retracement. In such a case, BTC would likely target the imbalance zone between $97,500 and $100,500, a region where price moved rapidly in the past without establishing strong support or resistance. This zone could serve as a critical area for buyers to step in and attempt to reestablish bullish control, potentially setting the stage for another rally toward the $109,000 resistance and a renewed attempt at a breakout.ConclusionIn summary, Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal juncture. The upward channel that has guided price action since April remains intact, but BTC is now confronting a major resistance zone at its previous all-time high. Whether price breaks through to new highs or experiences a pullback will depend on the strength of market momentum and the behavior of buyers and sellers at these key levels. Traders and investors should remain vigilant and prepared for both scenarios, as the next move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming weeks.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!We are looking for a break of the ATH. The push to $109k has happened. Lets see if we can sustain it!

Gold has been in a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, and during one of its recent declines, it left behind a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price is now climbing back toward this imbalance zone, suggesting that a critical test of resistance may be approaching.Bounce from strong supportJust a few days ago, Gold found solid footing at a strong support area, which triggered a bounce. Since then, it has been pushing higher and is now nearing the 4-hour FVG. This zone represents a significant area of imbalance left unfilled during the prior selloff, and it's highly likely that price will react once it reaches this region.FVG and Golden PocketInterestingly, this FVG aligns closely with the golden pocket, which lies between 3315 and 3325. While the golden pocket sits slightly above the midpoint of the FVG, there's a good chance Gold could tap into that area before showing signs of a pullback or rejection from the FVG itself.Target to the downsideIf price fails to break above this zone and reverses, the logical target to the downside would be the 3250 level. This area has acted as a key resistance in recent sessions, and if retested from above, it could serve as a strong support base for another potential leg higher.Target if we break above the FVGOn the other hand, if Gold manages to break cleanly through the FVG with strong volume and momentum, the path could open toward a move up to the recent highs around 3430. In that scenario, the bullish continuation would likely require sustained buying interest and increased market participation to carry through.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!

Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a consolidation phase for an extended period, marked by a lack of strong directional momentum and characterized by ranging price action. This type of market environment often leads to both liquidity grabs and choppy movement, and traders need to remain especially vigilant about key levels and structure shifts.Liquidity grabYesterday, BTC managed to sweep the recent highs, grabbing liquidity above a short-term resistance zone before reversing and moving lower. This move appears to have been a classic stop-hunt or liquidity sweep, which was followed by a strong rejection. As price moved down from those highs, it left behind an unfilled gap on the 15-minute chart, what many refer to as a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This gap now acts as a magnet for price and is a key area to watch as we approach it again.Market structureOn the 1-hour timeframe, BTC has now printed a lower low, suggesting a short-term shift in market structure to the downside. This structural break opens up the possibility for a lower high to form, setting up a classic trend continuation scenario. From a technical standpoint, the expectation would be for BTC to now create a lower high and then push lower, potentially targeting the range lows from yesterday and today. This provides an opportunity for a short setup with a favorable risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, estimated to be around 3:1, if the entry and stop are managed around the key resistance and structural levels.Fibonaccy that aligns with the FVGCurrently, BTC is sitting at the Golden Pocket, the region between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This area often serves as a reaction zone for price, and we are seeing some hesitation here. Interestingly, this Golden Pocket sits just below the aforementioned 15-minute FVG, and price appears to be gravitating toward this inefficiency, potentially looking to fill it before making a more decisive move.What adds to the confluence at this level is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, which aligns almost perfectly with the top boundary of the Fair Value Gap. While many traders look to enter short positions at the 50% mark of the FVG, this added confluence makes the 0.786 + FVG top zone a more compelling entry point. This would allow for a tighter stop just above the gap or structure high, and thus improves the risk-to-reward ratio slightly compared to a more conservative FVG entry.ConclusionIn summary, the plan would be to wait for BTC to either fill the FVG and reach the 0.786 level or show strong rejection signs there. A rejection from this zone would confirm the lower high thesis and offer a solid short setup aiming for a move back to the range low. With the current setup, market structure, and confluence levels lining up, this trade idea presents a tactical opportunity with clear invalidation and high RR potential.

The MACD, or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is one of the most widely used technical indicators in trading. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and is designed to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price. At its core, the MACD is a momentum oscillator, though it is commonly plotted as a line chart rather than the traditional bounded oscillators like the RSI. Despite being unbounded, traders use the MACD primarily to identify potential buy and sell signals.What will be discussed?- How does the MACD work?- How to use the MACD in trading?- Divergences- ConclusionHow does the MACD work?The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The result of this calculation is the MACD line. A nine-period EMA of the MACD line, known as the signal line, is then plotted on top of the MACD line. The third component is the MACD histogram, which represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. The histogram gives traders a visual cue about momentum: when the histogram bars are growing in height, momentum is increasing in the direction of the MACD line; when they shrink, momentum is slowing down.How to use the MACD in trading?Understanding how to use the MACD in trading requires some interpretation of the relationships between these components. One of the primary signals traders look for is a crossover between the MACD line and the signal line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it is considered a bullish signal, suggesting that it might be a good time to buy. Conversely, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it indicates a bearish signal and potentially a good time to sell. These crossovers tend to be more significant when they occur below or above the zero line, which is where the MACD and signal line are equal. A crossover below the zero line followed by a move above it could signal the beginning of an uptrend, while a crossover above the zero line followed by a move below it might signal a downtrend.DivergencesAnother important application of the MACD is identifying divergence between the MACD and the price action of the asset. Divergence occurs when the price is moving in one direction and the MACD is moving in the opposite. For instance, if the price makes a new high but the MACD forms a lower high, it can be a warning sign that the upward momentum is weakening and that a reversal could be on the horizon. Similarly, if the price hits a new low but the MACD makes a higher low, it might suggest a potential bullish reversal.ConclusionIn summary, the MACD is a versatile and powerful indicator that helps traders analyze the momentum and direction of a market trend. Its ability to provide both trend-following and momentum signals makes it a valuable tool in a trader’s toolkit. While it is not a standalone solution, when used properly and in conjunction with other strategies, the MACD can greatly enhance the accuracy and confidence of trading decisions.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!

Since the beginning of April, BTC has been on a notable upward trajectory, showing impressive strength with minimal retracements. This sustained momentum has captivated market participants and built a narrative of continued bullish pressure. Along this journey, BTC has carved out two distinct consolidation zones, periods of relative price stability, characterized by equal highs and lows. Each time, these consolidations were followed by a decisive breakout to the upside, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment in the market.Another consolidation phaseAt the present moment, BTC appears to be entering yet another consolidation phase. The price is coiling, showing signs of compression that often precede significant moves. This naturally leads to the question: are we about to witness another breakout to the topside, continuing the pattern established over the past several weeks?Bullish scenarioIn a bullish scenario, a breakout to the upside would likely see BTC pushing towards the 106,000 level. This zone is a key target for traders watching in this consolidation. Should momentum carry the price beyond this threshold, Bitcoin would be well-positioned to challenge its all-time high near 109,000. A clean move through these resistance levels could spark a new wave of optimism, potentially attracting fresh capital into the market and confirming the strength of the current uptrend.Bearish scenarioHowever, it’s important not to ignore the risks. The bearish scenario involves BTC breaking down below the current support zone, which sits around the 101,000 mark. A decisive move beneath this level would undermine the bullish structure and signal a shift in market sentiment. In this case, Bitcoin might find itself revisiting the 97,000 to 98,000 range, an area that previously acted as resistance during the last consolidation phase and may now serve as a potential support zone if tested from above.ConclusionIn essence, the market is at a critical juncture. BTC’s recent behavior suggests a buildup toward a significant move, but the direction remains uncertain. Whether it continues its march toward new highs or corrects to retest lower levels, this period of consolidation is likely to define the next phase of Bitcoin’s trend. Traders and investors alike are watching closely, as the next breakout, up or down, could set the tone for the weeks to come.Thanks for your support.- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!- Drop a like and leave a comment!Looks like we could breakout soon