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Sporia

Sporia

@t_Sporia

Number of Followers:60
Registration Date :5/13/2021
Trader's Social Network :refrence
ارزدیجیتال
Among Top 80 Traders
77
-5
Rank among 43771 traders
-7.8%
Trader's 6-month performance
(Average 6-month return of top 100 traders :25.5%)
(BTC 6-month return :13.3%)
Analysis Power
3.4
225Number of Messages

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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyLINK،Technical،Sporia

For over 700 days now, following this Chainlink bar pattern has been the most profitable bar pattern I have ever found since I began this journey — it’s literally been a map of the future.But for the first time, there has been a massive deviation. Let me explain.We must go back to August 2020.According to the bar pattern, we’ve just completed the same move from August 2020 — but the big difference here is that this time, it’s taken over 100 days to complete, while in 2020 it took just 30 days.So far this cycle, it's the biggest deviation yet. Which has me thinking: what if this cycle breaks the four-year cycle and we extend beyond the 1,064-day cycle that's supposed to complete in October 2025?Without this recent deviation, Chainlink would have completed the cycle bar pattern in August 2025.My Chainlink Time Fib has a hit on this time period — August 2025. Something could happen around this time. This Time Fib has had major calls before, although it has also failed in the past.The new deviated timeline for the cycle top:This is what it would look like if the deviated bar pattern was shifted. Could this be a major clue showing us the future again? Are we catching a glimpse of what’s to come?According to this new timeline, Chainlink rallies slowly until October 2025 — which lines up with Bitcoin’s cycle completion date. Bitcoin has never passed 1,064 days in a bull market. The last two cycles took exactly that long. So it’s interesting that price appears to grind upward to that date and then roll over.It continues to roll over and apparently has a major retest of the lows:This shows a retest of $10 in December 2025 — forming what could be the biggest bear trap in history — before a massive rally in 2026 leading to a March 2027 top.I’ll be watching Chainlink like a hawk this year. So far, it has led the way for me and made this cycle pretty easy to read. Is it possible that the major run happens in 2026?Stay safe, marines. 🫡

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
1 day
Profit Target:
$25
Stop Loss Price
$12
Price at Publish Time:
$15.46
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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyETH،Technical،Sporia

I have come today with a new ETH perspective, one that I think is more accurate than my last ETH TA. Take a look here at how I got this one wrong, mainly because I was counting too much on this diagonal support to hold. Why didn’t it hold? Because there were too many traders looking at it, and when too many people are watching, the opposite happens, and it breaks. I would advise looking at this TA first before you carry on with this one because the two tie together neatly. My view is that from here, we will start a V-shaped recovery that will send ETH to $15,000–$18,000 by mid-October 2025. There is a very interesting fractal playing out that I discovered. So, my alarm went off with this "Wyckoff Spring" indicator. It has only fired off two other times in history: once at the bottom of the COVID crash and the other time at the December 2016 bottom when ETH was just $8. So, I thought, well, let’s take a look to see if the first cycle has anything interesting. As soon as I flipped to the daily chart, I immediately saw similarities. What if ETH is forming the fractal from the first cycle before the massive run-up? The timeframe and the drawdown percentages are nearly the same, the fractal is nearly identical, and the fact is, the Wyckoff Spring has fired off now, forming this fractal like in 2016. What are the chances…? When you overlay the fractal, it lines up with mid-October 2025.I have scanned the entire history of ETH, and I cannot find a fractal closer to this one. This could very well be the pico bottom for ETH this year.The V shape pattern will be epicThis is it ppl , the lower higher needs to hold here , which out then create bullish divergenceThis is it ppl , the lower higher needs to hold here , which would then create bullish divergence*Forming bottom as we speak aslong we hold and make a lower highRSI lower higher just like every other bottomFear signal flashes for the first time since cycle low in 2022 , meaning high chance of max pain.The evidence the the bottom is forming and in , is mountingAlot of fear , meanwhile ETH still forming bottomThis is only the third time in history the RSI has been this oversold , as expected the market is extremely fearful , we buy fear always , easyETH lowest ever reading on the monhtly RSI , wild wild stuffV Shape still in play overshot my low target slightlyThe V shape pattern will shock everyone :P:)tell me who is the wizard , we will be back at 4k sooner than you thinkETH about to send big time

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
1 week
Price at Publish Time:
$1,929.9
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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyLINK،Technical،Sporia

Only up for Chainlink from this moment , do not let them shake you out , my time fib will show the way as always , for Link its showing August which is when the fractal finishes , late August .Chainlink so far is repeating the same fractal as last cycle , its very close been using it for over one year to time the market with amazing results the fractal cycle top pattern comes in in August 2025.The sell zone is in the yellow box , invalidation of this idea would be LINK closing a weekly under 20 dollars.Do not fade LINK still goes over 100 this year

Translated from: English
Show Original Message
Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
1 week
Valid Until:
360 Day
Profit Target:
$132
Stop Loss Price
$16.55
First Support:
$16.55
Price at Publish Time:
$20.24
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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyETH،Technical،Sporia

God dam what a beautiful day it is , one dreams of such a entry in a bull market.ETH will hit 18000 dollars by september 2025 there is nothing you can about it , this is the game, leverage wiped out and reset now we enter the "only up period" from this moment .The key to finding out the next move was the USDT DOM like always pointing the way , the lower higher on the RSI showing divergence.The money flow on MC indicator was very clearly showing this move , private indicator cant publish it on here. The Fractal from 2020 on ETH is playing out FORGET THIS HAMMER WICK it is happening from here ETH will close in this channel and rally to 18k!Do not give in to fear this is where you want to stack as much as possible . Invalidation of idea would be ETH closing a weekly candle under this ascending macro channel .

Translated from: English
Show Original Message
Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
1 week
Stop Loss Price
$2,691.03
First Resistance:
$18,000
Price at Publish Time:
$2,604.56
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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyTRUMP،Technical،Sporia

Short TA here on TRUMP , I think now would be a good entry for TRUMP 100% retrace to where the big pump started looks good to me , risk to reward is much better now .Last Fib hits 250 dollars but 1000 dollar this cycle is very much possible.

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
4 hours
Price at Publish Time:
$18.5
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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyLINK،Technical،Sporia

It might seem like a shock for most that Chainlink had this big move down, but if you have spent a lot of time studying Chainlink's last cycle, you would know that this is business as usual.The fact that Chainlink had this move has made me more bullish than ever. We are currently 64% down from March 2024. Crazy? I think not.71%71%62%44%These are all the corrections Chainlink had during its last cycle to its all-time high.[Chart showing corrections during the last cycle]All we are doing is a back test to this previous range. Chainlink was doing the same thing last cycle.[Chart overlaying the last cycle starting from wave 5]If we overlay the last cycle over this starting from wave 5, we can see that we have had a crash during the same time of the cycle as we did in March 2020 (Covid). Crazy.I would not be surprised if Chainlink closed above $11 by the end of the week, just above the 1:1 Gann Fan, and started a V-shaped recovery, marking the bottom. There is a very high chance.Once again, my time fibs hit right on the money. The blue fib marked the bottom, and the yellow marked the top! **Next date: 18th Nov 2024**

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
1 week
Price at Publish Time:
$10.1
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Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyLINK،Technical،Sporia

It might seem like a shock for most that Chainlink had this big move down, but if you have spent a lot of time studying Chainlink's last cycle, you would know that this is business as usual.The fact that Chainlink had this move has made me more bullish than ever. We are currently 64% down from March 2024. Crazy? I think not.71%71%62%44%These are all the corrections Chainlink had during its last cycle to its all-time high.[Chart showing corrections during the last cycle]All we are doing is a back test to this previous range. Chainlink was doing the same thing last cycle.[Chart overlaying the last cycle starting from wave 5]If we overlay the last cycle over this starting from wave 5, we can see that we have had a crash during the same time of the cycle as we did in March 2020 (Covid). Crazy.I would not be surprised if Chainlink closed above $11 by the end of the week, just above the 1:1 Gann Fan, and started a V-shaped recovery, marking the bottom. There is a very high chance.Once again, my time fibs hit right on the money. The blue fib marked the bottom, and the yellow marked the top! **Next date: 18th Nov 2024**

Translated from: English
Show Original Message
Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
1 week
Price at Publish Time:
$10.1
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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BTC،Technical،Sporia

The series continues as Bitcoin fails to invalidate my thesis. This is most likely the start of the crash rather than the end. The first diagonal support comes in at 45-48k.Check out Part 1 above first.The Topping Fractal Strikes AgainThe entire move is orchestrated time and time again. You can see from Part 1 that 7-10 year wallets shifted massive amounts of Bitcoin right when we get this same topping pattern appearing. Coincidence? I think not. This is the third time it's happened now.You can see from the chart above we failed to break retracement levels.Chainlink FractalWhat you are currently seeing above is REAL, it is happening. I thought about this possibly happening when I was actively trading this fractal back in 2023.This is the Chainlink fractal from last cycle overlaid to this current cycle.I traded this fractal back in 2023 and when I overlaid and saw that the Covid crash lined up with my Fib time, I thought, is it possible we get a crash in August 2024?I was going over this possibility in 2023! Mind-blowing. If the fractal plays out, that means that the bottom is basically in for LINK and the bull market starts now, with a top in September 2025. Anyways, I will post a different TA on LINK.The Million Dollar QuestionIs the double bottom in or not? I have wrestled with this question for months, over a year maybe. While all other analysts and everyone else is convinced that the double bottom is in, I have never been 100% sold on it.What do I mean? Well, since the first Bitcoin cycle, we have formed a double bottom before the bull market starts.As you can see, we always form a double bottom. If we repeat history, that means that Bitcoin will retest the 20k area.Everyone is convinced that this is the double bottom, but I have never been sold on this theory, especially when we have a CME GAP at 21k!Mayer Multiple BandsWe can see that the last band is at 26k. For now, the worst case would be that price point.USDT Dominance ChartI was watching this closely. We were forming an ascending channel for a while. Bullish for USDT dominance means bad for the market. What is interesting is that we hit the same level in March 2022.Very interesting.Hash Ribbon First Failure?Will the hash ribbon fail completely this time? Last time it fired off a buy signal, it dumped 17% before going on a massive multi-month rally. We are currently down 29% since its buy.Fear and Greed Conclusion"IF" we even get a bull market, it will most likely start in 2025.We need to get interest rates under 2.5% at least. We have never had a bull market with rates so high. First cycle: 0%, second: 0.5-2.5%, and third cycle: 0%.

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Neutral
Time Frame:
1 week
Price at Publish Time:
$52,996.17
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Sporia
Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
BuyXRP،Technical،Sporia

Since April 2021 XRP has been banging on the 2/1 Gann failing time and time again.In the last three years we hit the 2/1 Gann 5 times and failed to break it , this monthly candle is extremely bullish and we have reached the apex of this Gann triangle, the chances are we break to the upside.Since March 2020 we have been printing lower highs on the monthly without fail.Stoch RSI monthly buy.Bar pattern fractal from 2015 repeating.Very high chance here XRP breaks 2/1 this time round , there is a lot of momentum.Moonshot still very much vaild

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Buy
Time Frame:
1 month
Price at Publish Time:
$0.64916
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Sporia
Rank: 77
3.4
SellBTC،Technical،Sporia

This is the start of a series I will be publishing for the rest of the year. I will focus 100% on trying to do the impossible and predict a narrow timeframe of a potential black swan event.**The series will end and this theory will be invalidated if we break and close a weekly above the previous weekly high at 75k.****Fear and Greed Index (alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/)**As you can see, we only have data from 2018. Nevertheless, we have data on the last bull market and rallies since then. As we can see, the index will print lower highs before rallies and bull markets. **What we have now is a break of a multi-year uptrend on the index and currently putting in a lower low, which is not a good sign at all.****2Week MACD BEARISH CROSS**The MACD has crossed bearish on the 2W timeframe five times. One out of the five times, it was a false signal, and that was the crash in May 2021 down to 30k. The rest of the time, when this signal fires off, Bitcoin from that candle close on average moves down 63%.TOPPING DISTRIBUTION FRACTAL APPEARSI have covered this fractal many times on my channel; you can probably find more than ten publications just on this fractal.Why are we seeing a double-top distribution fractal again play out at the top of rallies? How many times are they going to use it? These three occasions, you can see they all happened with very similar timing from peak to peak and the first wave down.Volume Block and Bayesian TrendThe Bayesian Trend is currently giving a 41% probability of a move higher from this point. As I'm writing this, Bitcoin has just hit the 0.618, which happens to be the level with a dominant sell order block. It's a classic move, guys: double-topping pattern into a 0.618 retracement rollover, nothing new.Crash Zone ExplainedHere is why I think "if" a black swan happens, this is the timeframe where it's most likely to happen. We have US elections, the first possible rate cut, and the start of my Fib time.As you can see, this Fib sequence predicted the last black swan event, which was the Covid Crash. It is a very powerful sequence for predicting Bitcoin macro pivot points a year. Last year, unfortunately, was the first time it failed. Nevertheless, I still keep an eye out during these periods.Fed cuts are not bullish, especially after long pauses above 5%. Last time we had rates at 2% when we started cutting, a multi-month downtrend began which led to the Covid crash.NAS100 above.**BTCBTC: Spent Volume Lifespan 7y-10y**The total transfer volume of coins that were last active between 7y and 10y ago.Always a useful tool to see what the big boys are doing and what we see is something pretty shocking.Big volume in these wallets can be connected to major pivot points for Bitcoin in the past. So the largest volume output recorded before 2024 was 1600 BTC.In 2024...............It's the same chart, just included 2024. The output volume in June 2024 was 13,900 Bitcoin. I double-checked it; it's the reason now all the other pivot points look like a small blip on the chart.Insane, 13,900 Bitcoin moved at an all-time high, and then we get a big move down. I guess this metric still works perfectly at finding tops.**Crash Targets**As you can see, we have two main diagonal supports to look at. Honestly, I do not trust any diagonal supports, but the yellow macro one has three cycle low hits, so it holds a lot of weight.The second one, which is the orange dotted line, has two hits and will most likely fail. In my experience, when we have a very clear diagonal support and it comes down for its third touch, it breaks because everyone is looking at the same thing. It's that simple: the entire space is looking at it, so therefore it breaks and everyone gets rekt.The golden pocket sits at 35-37k and at the macro yellow support. This is where I would say the bottom is most likely in.If the black swan plays out all the way, we would most likely see the CME gap at 21k close. This would most likely be a hammer candle that would last seconds.**Invalidation**If Bitcoin were to break the previous swing high at 74k and close a weekly above it, this entire TA would be invalidated. Even if it closed above 0.618 at 67k, the chance of invalidation would increase dramatically.Bitcoin Daily closed under the 8/1 Gann Fann , watching closely important level.In 9 days and 14hours(monthly chart) this signal will confirm , will it be a false signal like 2017 (orange circle)?Alot of buzz lately about the buy signal flashing a "buy" on the daily timeframe on the "hash ribbon" indicator , lets not get too excited just yet since most are forgetting that it gives false signals on the "daily" timeframe best to wait for the weekly signal to confirm, it is for sure one of the best indicators for Bitcoin.Weekly now flashes buy , confirms in 2daysBuy confirmed on the hash ribbons , its never failed before , lets see how it plays out58k to close Gapand GAP closed just like clockwork.oh boy , part 2 incomingPart 2

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Sell
Time Frame:
14 روز
Price at Publish Time:
$65,168.73
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Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.

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