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Royalfxsignal

Full Technical Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) – 1H Chart📌 OverviewThis chart illustrates a textbook Falling Wedge Reversal Pattern, identified after a strong bearish correction from the resistance zone. The price has now broken out of this wedge, suggesting a potential bullish continuation in the short term. The setup includes clear support/resistance zones, entry/exit levels, and a favorable risk-reward ratio.🟩 Pattern Identified: Falling WedgeA Falling Wedge is a bullish reversal pattern characterized by two downward-sloping converging trendlines.The wedge began forming after price was rejected from the resistance zone around $3,470–$3,500.Multiple touchpoints confirm the wedge structure:Each swing high is lower than the previous (forming the upper resistance trendline).Each swing low is also lower but with diminishing strength (forming the lower support trendline).The wedge concludes with a bullish breakout, which is supported by strong price action and a momentum shift.🧱 Key Technical Zones🔹 Resistance Zone: $3,470–$3,500This level served as a strong supply zone.Price rejected this level twice, forming the beginning of the wedge.Now a potential long-term upside target if momentum continues.🔹 Support Zone: $3,275–$3,290Established by previous demand and the base of the wedge.It’s also the point of the last significant bullish reversal.Acts as the logical stop-loss area for long trades.🔹 Breakout ConfirmationThe breakout occurred just above $3,330–$3,335, completing the wedge structure.Breakout confirmed by bullish momentum and a higher high after the final lower low.Entry confirmation at the breakout retest area, marked near $3,340–$3,345.🎯 Trade Plan BreakdownElementLevelCommentEntry (TP area)$3,363.481Ideal breakout retest and early targetFinal Target$3,400.087Horizontal resistance + measured wedge projectionStop Loss (SL)$3,275.905Below wedge base, invalidates bullish thesis if brokenReward:Risk Ratio~2:1Favorable setup, strong pattern support📈 Projected Price PathPrice is expected to retest the breakout level ($3,363) before continuing upward.A smooth bullish wave could target $3,400, coinciding with prior resistance and Fibonacci zones.Failure to hold above $3,300 could reintroduce bearish pressure, invalidating the wedge.⚙️ Technical SummaryPattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)Structure Shift: Bearish to BullishMarket Sentiment: Reversal from oversold zoneVolatility: Moderate, range-bound inside wedge, breakout expanding💬 Professional Insight“Gold (XAU/USD) has completed a falling wedge breakout from a key support zone, signaling a bullish reversal. The setup offers a clean entry with tight stop placement and an attractive upside toward $3,400. Watch for confirmation candles or volume spikes near the breakout retest area to confirm bullish continuation. A breach below $3,275 would invalidate the pattern.”

Royalfxsignal

BTC/USD – Double Top Pattern Signaling Potential ReversalTimeframe: 30-MinuteMarket: Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD)Published: May 9, 2025Analysis Type: Technical – Chart Pattern (Double Top)🧠 Overview:The 30-minute BTC/USD chart shows the formation of a Double Top pattern, a classical bearish reversal setup often found at the end of strong uptrends. This pattern signifies a potential exhaustion in bullish momentum and a likely shift toward bearish sentiment.A Double Top forms when price makes two consecutive peaks at a similar level, failing to break higher on the second attempt, followed by a breakdown below the "neckline" (the lowest point between the two peaks). This breakdown typically confirms a trend reversal.🔍 Pattern Breakdown:✅ Left Peak (Top 1)Formed after a strong bullish rally.Price reached a high around $105,600, where resistance was encountered.Rejection suggests institutional or large-scale profit-taking.✅ Valley (Neckline Support)The pullback created a low near $103,000, acting as temporary support.This level becomes the “neckline” of the Double Top.✅ Right Peak (Top 2)Price rallied again, testing the same resistance zone.Failed to break above Top 1, indicating reduced buying pressure.Bearish rejection confirmed weakness.✅ Breakdown & ConfirmationPrice eventually broke below the neckline with a strong bearish candle, confirming the pattern.A retest of the neckline (previous support turned resistance) provided an optimal short entry zone.⚙️ Trade Setup:ElementDetailsPatternDouble TopEntry~$103,000 (on neckline break & retest)Stop Loss (SL)$105,613 (above Top 2 for invalidation)Take Profit (TP)$100,217 (measured move target)Risk-Reward RatioApprox. 1:2🧾 Technical Confluence:Resistance Zone: $105,000–$105,600 was tested twice, validating it as strong resistance.Support Turned Resistance: $103,000 now serves as resistance after the neckline break.Trend Structure: A potential shift from higher highs to lower highs suggests bearish continuation.Pattern Psychology: The second failed attempt to break resistance reflects weakening bull control, increasing the probability of a bearish shift.📈 Price Projection & Path:The chart outlines the expected move with orange highlighted points showing projected price behavior:Price drops below the neckline.Attempts a retest (temporary bullish retracement).Fails to reclaim resistance.Continues downward movement to hit the target at $100,217.This projection follows a standard measured move strategy, taking the height between the tops and neckline and projecting it downward.🛑 Risk Management:Place SL above the recent high to avoid getting caught in false breakouts.Avoid trading into major news events (e.g., Fed decisions, crypto regulation updates).Adjust position size to maintain proper risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of trading capital).

Royalfxsignal

XAU/USD – Bearish Head and Shoulders Breakdown on 30-Minute Chart🔍 Pattern OverviewThe chart presents a Head and Shoulders pattern, one of the most reliable classic reversal formations in technical analysis. This pattern typically forms after an extended uptrend and signals a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.In this case, the Head and Shoulders has developed cleanly with:Left Shoulder: A sharp rise in price followed by a moderate decline.Head: A higher peak than the left shoulder, forming the top of the pattern.Right Shoulder: A lower high, aligning approximately with the left shoulder level.The neckline (support zone) was tested multiple times and eventually broken, confirming the bearish breakdown.📈 Price Structure & Key Technical LevelsLeft Shoulder High: Around 3,420.075Head High: Approximately 3,520.000Right Shoulder High: Roughly matches left shoulder, confirming pattern symmetry.Neckline / Support Zone: Ranges between 3,335 and 3,340, tested repeatedly.Breakout Confirmation: Occurs as price decisively breaks below the neckline.Retest Area: After the breakout, price retests the broken support, now acting as resistance—textbook bearish confirmation.🎯 Trade SetupThis setup offers a well-structured short opportunity based on pattern analysis and disciplined risk management.✅ Entry Point:After the neckline breakdown and successful retest, around the 3,350 level.🎯 Target (TP):Set at 3,279.809, derived using the measured move technique:Height from head to neckline is projected downward from the breakout point.This target aligns with historical price congestion, adding further confluence.❌ Stop Loss (SL):Placed above the right shoulder at 3,420.075.This level invalidates the pattern if breached, protecting the trade from further losses.🔄 Expected Price Action PathBreakdown from neckline support.Minor bullish pullback to retest former support as resistance.Bearish continuation toward projected target.Potential minor consolidation near TP due to historical support demand zone.This projection is visually represented with blue arrows on the chart.🔎 Additional Notes and Confluence FactorsVolume (if included): Typically, volume should increase on the breakdown of the neckline to confirm strength. Traders may want to check for volume spikes during the breakout.Bearish Momentum Indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD): Would ideally show divergence or bearish crossover for added confirmation.Trend Reversal Context: This formation occurs after a prolonged bullish rally, suggesting a potential medium-term bearish reversal rather than just a short-term retracement.📘 SummaryThis chart offers a clear example of a textbook Head and Shoulders reversal pattern playing out on the 30-minute timeframe for XAU/USD. The structure is well-formed, the neckline is clearly broken and retested, and the projected target aligns with price action logic. The setup provides a high-probability short opportunity for traders with disciplined risk management and a sound technical rationale.🛡️ Risk Management ReminderAs always, no pattern is guaranteed. Use proper position sizing and risk control to manage your trade. Monitor economic news releases or sudden market catalysts that may impact gold volatility.

Royalfxsignal

BTC/USD Trade Idea: Bullish Flag Breakout – Momentum Continuation Toward 101,628⚙️ Chart DetailsAsset: Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD)Timeframe: 30-MinuteExchange: BITSTAMPMethodology: Price Action + Chart Patterns (Bullish Flag)🔍 Technical Breakdown🔹 1. Initial Bullish ImpulseThe move begins with a strong vertical rally, forming the flagpole of the bullish flag.This signifies intense buying momentum, often the precursor to continuation if market sentiment remains bullish.🔹 2. Bullish Flag FormationAfter the rally, BTC enters a consolidation phase, forming a downward-sloping channel or wedge—this is the flag.The pattern is characterized by lower highs and lower lows, but with reduced volume and declining momentum, suggesting temporary profit-taking rather than a full reversal.🔹 3. Breakout ConfirmationThe breakout occurs once price breaks above the upper flag boundary, signaling that buyers have regained control.This is confirmed with a strong bullish candle breaking above both the flag and the previous resistance level, now acting as support.🔹 4. Retest of SupportThe chart indicates a minor pullback toward the broken resistance (now support), a common occurrence post-breakout, which offers an optimal entry point for long positions.📈 Trade Setup🔵 Entry PointIdeal entry occurs on confirmation of breakout, or on a retest of the flag’s upper trendline, providing a low-risk buying opportunity.🎯 Take-Profit TargetsTP1 – 100,396A psychologically significant round number.Aligned with minor resistance and a potential hesitation zone for price.Final TP – 101,628This is calculated using the measured move technique, projecting the height of the flagpole from the breakout point.Also aligns with the next resistance level on the higher timeframe structure.🛑 Stop Loss – 97,468Strategically placed below the flag support zone and recent swing low.Offers room for natural price fluctuations while protecting from deeper pullbacks or false breakouts.🧠 Trade Rationale & Confluence✅ Bullish Flag Pattern: A proven continuation pattern in trending markets.✅ Breakout with Volume Surge: Suggests genuine buying interest.✅ S/R Flip: Previous resistance becomes support—classic technical confirmation.✅ Measured Move Target: Matches with higher timeframe resistance—offering strong directional confidence.✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable (approx. 1:2 or better depending on entry).📌 SummaryThe BTC/USD chart presents a textbook Bullish Flag Continuation Setup. The initial bullish impulse, followed by a structured flag consolidation and a clean breakout, provides a high-confidence opportunity for long entries. The projected move targets the 101,628 level, while the stop loss at 97,468 ensures disciplined risk control.This trade idea suits momentum traders and breakout traders looking to ride the continuation of a bullish trend with solid technical backing.

Royalfxsignal

BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout and Retest SetupTimeframe: 45-MinuteExchange: BitstampInstrument: Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD)Date: May 7, 2025🔍 Chart Pattern OverviewPattern Identified: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)A falling wedge pattern formed over several days, characterized by converging downward sloping trendlines, with lower highs and lower lows.The support line (bottom of wedge) held multiple times, indicating strong buying interest and bullish divergence.The resistance line (top of wedge) acted as a ceiling that price eventually broke through.The falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, especially when it appears after a sustained downtrend. The breakout above the upper trendline signals a shift in momentum from sellers to buyers.📈 Breakout and ConfirmationBreakout occurred with strong bullish momentum, indicating institutional buying or short covering.Volume confirmation (not shown on this chart but essential in real-world analysis) would further validate the breakout.Price rallied aggressively from the support zone near $93,000–$94,000, breaking through the previous swing high and key resistance area around $97,600.⚙️ Key Technical LevelsSupport Zone: ~$93,600–$94,759→ Previously tested multiple times and formed the base of the falling wedge.Resistance Zone (Blue Box): ~$97,600–$98,200→ Prior swing highs where price reacted negatively before. Currently retesting after the breakout.Take Profit (TP): $98,173→ First reaction level post-breakout and below the next major resistance. Ideal for partial profits.Final Target: $98,947→ Based on the measured move from wedge height and prior resistance from early April.Stop Loss (SL): $94,759→ Placed just below the breakout point and support level to limit downside risk.📌 Trade SetupEntry: After retest of resistance-turned-support (~$97,600)Stop Loss: $94,759 (below key support)Take Profit 1 (TP1): $98,173Final Target: $98,947Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (approximately 1:2 or higher depending on entry)📊 Technical SummaryTrend Bias: Short-term bullishPattern Bias: Reversal and continuation pattern completed (falling wedge)Market Behavior: Strong bullish breakout followed by a potential healthy retest✅ ConclusionThis BTC/USD chart shows a textbook falling wedge breakout, supported by strong upside momentum and a clean structure. The breakout, combined with the break and retest of key resistance, offers a high-probability long setup with well-defined risk management. Traders should monitor the retest zone for bullish confirmation before entering, targeting near $98,947 for full exit.

Royalfxsignal

ETH/USD Technical Analysis (30-Min Chart)🗓️ Chart Date: May 6, 2025🧠 Author: Royalfxsignal🟨 Chart Pattern: Rectangle Pattern (Bearish Bias)🧱 Structure Explanation:This ETH/USD chart shows a Rectangle Pattern, also known as a Range-Bound Consolidation. Price has been oscillating between a defined resistance zone and a support zone, indicating indecision in the market. However, given the prior bearish trend, the pattern suggests a bearish continuation is likely.🔹 Key Chart Levels:LevelValue (USD)Description🔼 Resistance~1,815–1,820Top of the rectangle zone (multiple rejections)🔽 Support~1,794–1,798Bottom of the rectangle (held twice)🎯 Target1,763.0Bearish measured move target💡 Take Profit (TP)1,783.1Intermediate target for partial exit🛑 Stop Loss (SL)1,829.5Above rectangle resistance (invalidates setup)🔄 Price Action Breakdown:Prior Trend:The price entered this consolidation after a clear downtrend, indicating the rectangle is likely a bearish continuation pattern.Rectangle Formation:Multiple touches on both upper resistance and lower support define the rectangle.The range suggests accumulation/distribution before a breakout.Highlighted Swing Points:Price moved within the box, forming lower highs and equal lows.The most recent bounce off the lower edge aligns with prior structure, showing weak bullish momentum.Current Position:Price is hovering near the middle of the range, testing minor resistance after another bounce.A move below the lower support could trigger a breakout trade.📈 Trade Setup Strategy:🔽 Short Setup:Entry Trigger:Enter short on a confirmed break and close below $1,794.Take Profit (TP1):$1,783.10 — minor support zone, offers partial profit-taking.Take Profit (TP2):$1,763.00 — full measured move of rectangle projected downward.Stop Loss (SL):$1,829.50 — above rectangle highs and recent lower high swing.🎯 Measured Move Calculation:The rectangle's height is approximately:$1,820 (resistance) – $1,794 (support) = $26Projected downward:Breakout zone ($1,794) – $26 = Target at $1,768, which aligns well with your $1,763 target area.🧩 Risk Management:Risk-to-Reward Ratio:Approximately 1:2 to 1:3, depending on entry precision and TP level chosen.Trade Confirmation:Look for a strong bearish candle close below the support for confirmation before entering.Avoid Early Entries:Do not enter inside the range — wait for clean breakout or retest.📌 Conclusion:“ETH/USD is consolidating within a defined range after a strong bearish leg. A breakdown below $1,794 may confirm a rectangle continuation pattern, offering a short opportunity toward $1,763. The setup offers favorable risk-to-reward with a stop loss above $1,829.”

Royalfxsignal

BTC/USD – Double Bottom Reversal Pattern Forming a Bullish SetupChart Overview:Timeframe: 45-minute chartInstrument: Bitcoin vs US Dollar (BTC/USD)Platform: Bitstamp via TradingViewDate: May 6, 2025🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown1. Trend Context – Prior DowntrendThe price had been in a sustained downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, until it found major support near the 93,223 level. This level acted as a demand zone, halting further declines and setting the stage for a reversal.2. Reversal Formation – Double Bottom PatternBottom 1: The first significant low was printed at the Support Zone near 93,223, marked with a strong bearish rejection.Interim Bounce: The price bounced back to test a resistance area around 95,575, but failed to break higher.Bottom 2: Price then revisited the same support zone (forming Bottom 2), but this time with diminishing bearish momentum, signaling potential exhaustion of sellers.Neckline (Resistance): The interim swing high between the two bottoms formed a neckline at 95,575, which is the key breakout level for confirming this bullish reversal.✔️ Double Bottom = A bullish reversal signal suggesting a shift from downtrend to uptrend.3. Key Technical LevelsTypePrice LevelSupport (Bottom)93,223Resistance (Neckline)95,575Target (TP)96,245Stop Loss (SL)Below 93,2234. Trade Setup (Based on Double Bottom Pattern)Entry: On confirmed breakout above 95,575Ideally with a strong bullish candle close and volume confirmationRetest of the neckline can provide a secondary entryTake Profit (TP): 96,245, calculated using the measured move technique:Distance from the support to the neckline added above the breakoutStop Loss (SL): Below 93,223, just under the second bottomProtects against false breakouts or pattern failure5. Projected Price Path (Forecast Arrows)The chart visually maps out a potential bullish path:Price breaks neckline at 95,575Pullback to retest neckline (bullish confirmation)Continuation to target zone at 96,245Potential short-term consolidations before reaching the target🧠 Technical Insight:Volume Analysis (if added): A rise in volume on the breakout would confirm bullish strength.Market Psychology: Sellers attempted to push lower twice but were rejected both times at the same support level, indicating the dominance of buyers and a shift in sentiment.✅ Trading Bias: BullishThis is a high-probability bullish reversal setup backed by classic price action. The clearly defined risk-to-reward ratio makes it attractive for swing or intraday traders.💡 Professional Tip:Always monitor momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) for bullish divergence or confirmation signals, especially on the second bottom—this can strengthen the setup reliability.

Royalfxsignal

Technical Analysis: ETH/USD (30-Min Chart)Published: May 5, 2025By: RoyalFxSignal🔍 Chart OverviewThis ETH/USD chart highlights a textbook Double Top pattern, a bearish reversal signal following a strong prior uptrend. The market structure, support/resistance levels, and price action behavior all align to present a high-probability short (sell) trading setup.🧩 Pattern Breakdown🔸 1. Initial Uptrend & Top FormationPrice action showed a strong bullish rally, culminating in a first peak (Top 1) around $1,915.After a corrective dip, buyers attempted to push price higher again, but failed to break the previous high, forming Top 2, also near $1,915.This creates the Double Top pattern, a classic sign of bullish exhaustion and potential reversal.🔸 2. Neckline (Support Zone)The horizontal support (neckline) is drawn around $1,790–$1,800, where price found support multiple times in the past.Once this neckline was broken with strong bearish momentum, the pattern was confirmed.🔸 3. Break & RetestAfter the breakdown, price retraced back to retest the neckline zone, which now acted as resistance (a common behavior in technical analysis).A rejection from this area reinforced the bearish sentiment, providing a textbook short entry point.📌 Key Technical ZonesResistance Zone: $1,820–$1,840 (former support, now flipped to resistance)Support Zone: $1,790–$1,800 (neckline and zone of prior demand)Target Support Level: $1,759.2 (measured move target based on Double Top height projection)🎯 Trade SetupParameterValueEntry$1,820–$1,830 (after retest rejection)Stop Loss (SL)$1,840.4 (above resistance and structure)Take Profit 1 (TP)$1,790 (minor support)Final Target (TP2)$1,759.2 (major support based on pattern projection)This setup gives a favorable risk-reward ratio, adhering to solid technical principles.🔄 Market Sentiment & Price ActionThe price structure suggests bearish momentum is now in control after bulls failed to establish a higher high. Sellers are likely to remain active below the $1,830 resistance zone. The continuation move lower aligns with the broader reversal suggested by the Double Top and break/retest behavior.⚠️ Risk Management NoteAlways ensure proper risk management:Avoid overleveraging.Wait for confirmation (e.g., bearish candle rejection on retest).Respect your stop loss even if the market becomes choppy.🧾 SummaryThis chart illustrates an ideal bearish trading setup based on the Double Top pattern and subsequent market structure break. The retest of broken support provided a clean entry for short positions. With clearly defined SL and TP levels, this setup is both technically sound and risk-conscious.

Royalfxsignal

Ethereum (ETH/USD) – Bearish Breakdown from Rising Wedge | Long-Term Weekly AnalysisPublished: May 4, 2025Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)Instrument: Ethereum vs U.S. Dollar (ETH/USD)Exchange: Bitstamp🔍 Pattern Overview: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Bearish)This ETH/USD weekly chart showcases a bearish breakdown from a Rising Wedge, a classic reversal pattern in technical analysis. A Rising Wedge typically forms after a bullish rally and is characterized by a narrowing price structure where higher highs and higher lows are made, but the momentum diminishes.Key Wedge Characteristics:Higher highs and higher lows, but converging trendlines.Often forms at the end of bullish cycles.Usually breaks to the downside when buyers exhaust and sellers step in.Breakdown target is often projected by measuring the wedge’s height and subtracting it from the breakdown point.🔧 Structural Breakdown of the Chart1. Formation Phase:From mid-2023 to early 2025, Ethereum price formed a Rising Wedge pattern, driven by a strong recovery from the previous bear market lows. However, bullish momentum waned as price action became compressed.2. Resistance Zone – $3,100:This level acted as strong multi-month resistance, tested twice, forming a double top. The second failure to break above $3,100 confirmed bearish sentiment and signaled distribution.3. Support Zone (Broken) – $1,900–$2,100:A key level within the wedge, this former support zone held the price several times, offering temporary rebounds. The eventual decisive break below this level marked the official breakdown of the wedge.4. Breakdown Confirmation:The candle closing below the rising support trendline, with increased selling volume, confirmed the pattern breakdown and opened the door for further downside.📊 Trade Setup and ForecastThis chart provides a well-structured short opportunity based on a long-term bearish thesis. Here's the proposed trade framework:🔹 Entry Point:Current price ~$1,846.The breakdown has already occurred, and price may be forming a bearish retest of the broken support (now resistance).🔹 Stop Loss (SL):Placed at $3,100, just above the double top and wedge resistance.A move above this level invalidates the bearish structure and suggests a possible trend reversal.🔹 Take Profit Zones:TP1 (Conservative Target): $1,154Intermediate support level.Also acts as a zone of psychological and structural interest.TP2 (Full Bearish Target): $333Derived from the measured move of the wedge height.Aligns with historic accumulation zones from late 2020 and early 2021.A long-term macro support.💡 Risk-Reward Profile:This setup offers a high reward-to-risk ratio, especially for position traders or investors seeking exposure to long-term market cycles.🧠 Market Psychology & Pattern ImplicationsThis chart reflects a shift in market sentiment:The Rising Wedge showed optimism fading as price was squeezed into a narrowing range.The double top at $3,100 reinforces the psychological barrier where bulls failed to maintain strength.The breakdown shows control shifting to bears, suggesting a potential multi-month correction.🧮 Technical ConfluenceVolume Spike on Breakdown: Increases credibility of bearish momentum.Previous Support Zones Broken: Suggest limited buy-side interest at higher levels.Lower Highs and Lower Lows Post-Breakdown: Indicates early stages of a macro downtrend.Failed Retest Expected: Bounce to ~$2,000 may face rejection, offering additional short opportunities.⚠️ Caution & Risk ManagementVolatility Warning: ETH is a highly volatile asset. Sudden price moves due to news or macro factors (e.g., Ethereum ETF approval, regulatory developments) could invalidate technical setups.Macro Context: This analysis is technical in nature. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, Ethereum upgrades, and global financial conditions.Alternative Bullish Scenario: If ETH breaks above $3,100 and holds, this entire setup becomes invalid. Price could then aim for higher resistance near $4,000–$4,200.✅ SummaryThis chart suggests Ethereum has broken down from a long-term Rising Wedge, with a potential bearish continuation targeting as low as $333. The current price action aligns with classic technical reversal principles. Unless ETH reclaims and holds above $3,100, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.📌 Suggested StrategyFor Swing Traders: Look to enter short on rejection from $2,000–$2,100.For Long-Term Bears: Consider scaling in from current levels with proper stop loss at $3,100.For Risk-Averse Traders: Wait for a confirmed retest and rejection candle before entering.

Royalfxsignal

BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis – Cup & Handle BreakoutAsset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)Timeframe: Weekly (1W)Pattern: Cup and Handle (Bullish Continuation)Date of Analysis: May 4, 2025Source: Bitstamp🔍 Pattern Explanation: Cup and HandleThe Cup and Handle is a classic bullish continuation pattern that signals consolidation followed by breakout potential. It consists of two main components:The Cup – A rounded bottom resembling a “U” shape. This shows a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. The price declines gradually, finds a base, and then climbs back toward the previous highs (resistance).The Handle – A smaller consolidation (pullback) that forms after the cup. It typically slopes downward or sideways, indicating a pause before the next bullish impulse. A breakout above the handle signals the start of the next move.In this chart, BTC formed a perfectly rounded cup from late 2021 through mid-2023, followed by a handle consolidation throughout early 2024. The breakout occurred in early 2025, confirming the pattern.📏 Technical LevelsLevelPriceDescriptionResistance~$71,000Horizontal neckline of the cup and breakout pointSupport~$60,000 – $65,000Zone formed at handle lows and previous supportBreakout Area~$72,000Breakout above handle confirms bullish momentumCurrent Price$95,902Trading above breakout – uptrend confirmedTake Profit 1$117,946Midpoint target based on handle breakoutFinal Target$133,082Full measured move from cup depthStop Loss$50,617Below handle base, invalidates the setup📊 Trade Setup SummaryParameterValueEntry$72,000 breakout confirmation or current pullback buy ($95K)Stop Loss (SL)~$50,617 – Below handle base supportTake Profit (TP1)$117,946 – Intermediate targetTake Profit (TP2)$133,082 – Full measured move🔄 Measured Move CalculationCup Depth ≈ $71,000 (resistance) – $50,000 (cup base) = $21,000Target = Breakout Point ($71K) + Depth ($21K) = 92K, extended target exceeds $133K based on market momentum.📈 Technical Indicators & ConfirmationWoodies CCI (6,14) = +68 → Bullish zone, but approaching overbought levels; indicates continued strength with potential pullbacks.Volume: Breakout occurred with rising volume, confirming the strength behind the move.Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows have emerged since the handle breakout – confirms trend reversal and continuation.🛡️ Risk Management NotesSet stop loss tightly below the handle base to minimize risk (~$50,617).Consider scaling out near the first TP ($117K) and trailing the stop for extended profits.Reentry opportunities may occur on retests of $80K–$90K zones.Monitor for macro events (e.g. ETF approval, rate decisions, crypto regulation) that could impact volatility.✅ ConclusionBitcoin has completed a textbook Cup and Handle pattern on the weekly timeframe, signaling the potential for a significant bullish continuation. With a clean breakout above $71,000 and strong follow-through, BTC now eyes intermediate targets at $117,946 and final projection near $133,082.This setup is ideal for swing or position traders aiming to ride the momentum of a confirmed breakout with strong historical reliability.
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Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.