RLinda

XAUUSD is correcting from 3895 and forming consolidation with a key support area at 3854, below which lies a huge pool of liquidity. A deep correction is unlikely due to ongoing risks. The suspension of NFP publication due to the shutdown and inflation creates uncertainty for Fed policy, as does weak employment data... However, the resumption of government work will allow the publication of data on unemployment claims and factory orders, so increased volatility in the markets is to be expected on Thursday/Friday... The correction in gold is a temporary pause. As long as US fiscal risks, labor market weakness, and geopolitical tensions remain, the uptrend will remain intact. The $3850 level is the nearest support. Resistance levels: 3871.6, 3895, 3900 Support levels: 3854.5, 3831.3 The most likely scenario at the moment is a long squeeze in the 3854.5 liquidity zone before continuing to rise beyond 3900... Best regards, R. Linda!

XLMUSDT follows the flagship currency in forming a rally and breaking out of the correction. The trend is bullish, but news is ahead. Will the bulls be able to keep the price above the risk zone? Bitcoin's growth is provoking a rally in altcoins. The price of XLM is breaking through the resistance of the downtrend and trying to consolidate in the bullish zone. Stellar is breaking through the resistance of the correction and entering a new trading range of 0.3847 - 0.4142, respectively, after the rally, a correction is forming. The market may test support and the liquidity zone before rising. Resistance levels: 0.4142, 0.4288, 0.433 Support levels: 0.3847, 0.3806 As part of the correction, I expect a retest of the 1/2 zone of the formed impulse or the support zone of 0.385 (previously broken consolidation and descending wedge border). If the bulls keep the price from falling even after the news, the coin may continue its medium-term bullish run to 0.4685. Best regards, R. Linda!

XAUUSD has reached a new high of 3895. The dollar is recovering from its decline, and gold may form a correction. As prices rise, economic risks associated with NFP and the US government shutdown are increasing The suspension of NFP publication deprives the Fed and markets of a key benchmark for the labor market, increasing demand for defensive assets. The probability of a rate cut in October is estimated at 100%. Mixed JOLTS data (weak hiring) and fiscal risks are weighing on the USD, which in turn supports gold. Thus, the shutdown creates ideal conditions for gold to rise — uncertainty about Fed policy, a weaker dollar, and a flight to safety. Breaking through the $3900 level seems a likely scenario. Resistance levels: 3900, 3925 Support levels: 3871, 3854, 3831 A correction is forming after a small rally in the European session. Before continuing its growth, the market is entering a correction/consolidation phase. I have indicated the key support levels on the chart. If the bulls manage to keep the price above these zones, then we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term Best regards, R. Linda!

XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next? The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed. New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14). Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended). Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement... Support levels: 3791, 3783 Resistance levels: 3831, 3847 A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738. Best regards, R. Linda!

BTCUSDT , after the end of the correction, is forming a 3.5% rally and testing the important milestone of 114,600. It was not possible to break through the level without consolidation and at such a high speed. How long will the correction last? Bitcoin is testing mirror resistance and, after a strong rally, was unable to continue its growth. The reason for the halt is a huge liquidity pool above 114,600. A pullback is forming. Earlier, the price ended a 3-week correction by breaking through the downward resistance. We can assume a change in sentiment towards the buyer... Technically, the price is changing the nature of the market to bullish after the formation of a reversal structure accompanied by a bullish run. The 2-week high has been updated. Resistance levels: 113850, 114620, 115900 Support levels: 113100, 112300, 111800 As part of the correction, the price may test the 113K - 112500 zone before returning to growth. If the market holds the price above 112K - 113K, it will confirm the bullish sentiment, and the positive fundamental background will support further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!

XAUUSD has been rallying since the opening of the session, which we anticipated in yesterday's analysis. It has gained 1.6%, with the price reaching a new high of 3820. Technically, there is no potential for further growth in the short term, and the market may enter a phase of correction or consolidation. Key supporting factors : Risk of a US government shutdown. Pressure on the USD is intensifying due to fiscal uncertainty. Unconfirmed reports of negotiations between Trump and Netanyahu on Gaza are not yet distracting attention from the risks. The further dynamics of the metal this week will depend on US labour market data. This week will see JOLTS vacancies, ADP, PMI indices and the key NFP report on Friday. If they confirm the strength of the economy, expectations of a Fed rate cut (currently ~40 bps by the end of the year) may diminish, strengthening the dollar. Resistance levels: 3819, 3825 Support levels: 3804, 3791, 3777 The market is experiencing an aggressive trend. The fall of the dollar supports the growth of gold. However, the price of the metal is slowing down temporarily, and a correction is expected. The hunt for liquidity is beginning in order to continue growth. Technically, the focus is on 3804 - 3791. A false breakdown of support could resume the bull run. Best regards, R. Linda!

XAUUSD . Technical analysis for the new trading session. On Friday, the local correction ended and there was a strong bullish impulse, which was sold off by the end of the session. What to expect next? Gold is trading in the upper half of the current trading range of 3728-3791. The US session initiated the end of the technical correction, which ended with a breakout of the consolidation resistance at 3755. A momentum of 300 pips was formed, and the price hit the local limit resistance zone of 3783, from which the market began to sell off. However, the current correction of the bullish momentum is not so scary in the current perspective, as MM is forming a retest of the zone of interest to capture liquidity in order to continue the bullish trend. Thus, a false breakdown of the support zone 3759 - 3755 or the ascending line may shift the momentum towards the bulls, which in turn may lead to growth to 3783 - 3791. Resistance levels: 3783, 3791, 3800, 3810 Support levels: 3759, 3755, 3743 If, during the retest of the support zone, the bulls keep the price above the blue zone at 3759, this will be a positive sign confirming the bullish structure, which could lead to a price recovery and a retest of the ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!

BTCUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through the trend line support. Despite the positive fundamental background and bullish trend, the market is forming a countertrend correction. The decline in interest rates in the US has had a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market. Can this be called manipulation? Most likely, yes. But the cryptocurrency market needs a constant driver to keep it alive; calm or neutral conditions lead to corrections and retests of intermediate lows... As for Bitcoin, I have identified several key areas: the boundaries of the current consolidation at 109,850 and 108,575. Accordingly, a breakout and close above or below one of these boundaries could trigger a move in the corresponding direction. But within the local trend, we can expect a decline to the intermediate bottom of 107,400, from which an attempt at growth could form. In addition, an important zone is the conglomerate of resistance at 110K and the ascending support line. If the price can form an upward momentum and close above the trend support, the market may react positively. Resistance levels: 109,850 - 110K, 111,500 Support levels: 108,500, 107,400 After breaking through the trend support, there is no momentum and the price is consolidating. This suggests that the market does not believe this premise and a battle for the area is forming. If the bulls can hold their ground and bring the price back within the boundaries of the uptrend, then it may be worth looking for a buying opportunity. Otherwise, it is worth waiting for a retest of the intermediate bottom at 107,400 before looking for an opportunity to open long positions. Best regards, R. Linda!

XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar. The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increase in durable goods orders have lowered expectations for aggressive Fed easing. The new tariffs imposed by Trump have supported demand for defensive assets, but have not been able to offset the pressure from the rise of the USD. The overall fundamental backdrop is stagnant amid Powell's uncertain stance and the start of a rate cut cycle. The market reaction is mixed... Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Strong PCE data could send the price to support at $3700, while weak data could bring back interest in record highs. Resistance levels: 3754, 3759, 3776 Support levels: 3738, 3728, 3703 Technically, the price is storming the resistance of the downward correction and the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation. A breakout and close above 3754-3759 will confirm the bullish sentiment, which could trigger growth towards the ATH. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 3738-3728 before a possible rise. Best regards, R. Linda!

XAUUSD is inside a descending channel—corrections within a global bullish trend. The price is forming a retest of resistance, and the market's reaction to the 3760 zone will give further insight into price movement... Gold is consolidating in the range of 3730-3790 in anticipation of US economic data and speeches by Fed officials. Pressure on the metal is intensifying due to revised expectations for rate cuts and a correction in the dollar... Key factors: Markets have reduced expectations for easing to 43 bps by the end of the year after cautious comments from the Fed. The dollar index has reached a 9-day high, limiting gold's growth. Tensions between Russia and NATO are preventing gold from falling. The market is in wait-and-see mode ahead of tomorrow's PCE data. Strong data today will strengthen the dollar and reinforce the correction in the metal, while escalating geopolitics will bring back demand for safe havens. Resistance levels: 3760, 3776, 3791 Support levels: 3752, 3741, 3731 Technically, the market is testing downward resistance. Since the opening of the session, the price has already moved a lot and there may not be enough potential for an initial breakout. I expect a pullback to 3745-3740, and if the bulls return the price to 3760, the market will have a chance to break through resistance and continue growing towards the resistance level of the range. Best regards, R. Linda!Economic news has just been released. It is quite positive for the dollar. Gold may continue its correction due to selling pressure. However, we have strong support in the 3732 zone. If the bulls hold the level, the metal may try to strengthen to 3760. I do not rule out the possibility of a decline to the distant level: 3717 - 3703...