
RLinda
@t_RLinda
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RLinda

XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3403 - 3373. The problem is that there is news ahead. FOMC and interest rate meeting. The market may react in any unpredictable way...On Wednesday, the price of gold retreated from $3,400 as sentiment stabilized and investors focused on the upcoming Fed decision. Tensions in the Middle East remain high, but there is less panic in the markets. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged. The focus is on forecasts for rates, growth, and inflation. Dovish signals could support gold and weaken the dollar. If the Fed is more cautious due to oil and the conflict in the Middle East, the dollar could rise and gold could fall.Technical nuances are irrelevant in this case, as price behavior depends on the market's interpretation of fundamental factors. Resistance levels: 3403, 3420Support levels: 3373, 3339BUT! Technically, I would say that there is pressure from the bears. The price is compressing towards the support level of 3373.The market remains unbalanced in favor of buyers, and it is logical that market makers will be interested in testing the trend support zone or the 3339 level (due to the liquidity pool) before continuing to rise (gold may continue to rise both if rates are lowered and if they remain at the same level. However, the tone of the Fed will play a major role here)Best regards, R. Linda!

RLinda

XAUUSD continues to decline under pressure from sell-offs. However, the situation is interesting overall, as there is conflicting data and unexpected price behavior is surprising the market...On Tuesday, gold is trying to regain the $3,400 level after pulling back from highs, but it is still facing selling pressure and returning to $3,377. The market reaction to the $3,377 level is quite weak, and if the price starts to stick to support, this will lead to a further decline. The dollar is strengthening as a safe-haven currency, holding back gold's growth. The markets are focused on the outcome of the Fed and Bank of Japan meetings, as well as US retail sales data. Any dovish signals from the Fed could support gold and weaken the dollar.Technically, on D1, gold is returning below the 3382 level (selling zone) and testing 3377. The reaction to the false breakout of support is weak, and the price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to 3377. There are clear areas of interest that could lure the price before the news. For example, 3343, 3306, 3245. Resistance levels: 3382, 3403.Support levels: 3377, 3339, 3320The bearish structure will be broken if the price strengthens to 3403 and consolidates above that level. This will reinforce buyers' expectations, which could lead to growth. At the moment, I would expect two scenarios: price consolidation within 3377-3403. But technically, the chart shows that there is bearish pressure in the market. The price continues to storm the support level of 3377, which may not hold up against another retest. A break 3377 could lead to a fall to the areas of interest at 3339-3306. Best regards, R. Linda!No reaction to the false breakdown of supportConsolidation and contraction towards support continues...

RLinda

XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains.Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth.Support levels: 3408, 3400Resistance levels: 3446, 3500A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth.Best regards, R. Linda!Gold continues to fall, breaking through the trading range support. Focus on the mirror support level of 3377 and the liquidity pool below this level. A false breakdown and consolidation of prices above this level could trigger a rebound and growth.

RLinda

BTCUSDT is trading in a fairly wide range of 100,600 - 110,400. The market is stagnating due to fundamental uncertainty, but the risks of a decline are quite high...After the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin broke the bullish structure on the market and managed to test the local level of 102500, from where a fairly aggressive phase of buying out the fall began within one trading session. The market is defending the structure quite aggressively. The chart shows a local range forming with strong levels at 102500 and 106200. Accordingly, the price may remain in this range for a long time (in which case an intraday trading strategy can be considered). However, if Bitcoin starts to stick to one of the boundaries, then we can consider the price leaving the range, but based on the structure of the uptrend, correction, and the formation of a buyback bar, it would be logical to see an attempt to break through resistance with the aim of continuing growth.Resistance levels: 106200, 108200, 110400Support levels: 102500, 100600On D1, there are no prerequisites for a strong decline. The market is buying up knives and trying to stay afloat (in consolidation). In the medium term, there may be an attempt to retest 102500 - 100600 due to the liquidity pool. But locally, the market may form an attempt to grow to 108200Best regards, R. Linda!Bitcoin confirms key resistance at 106200. If a pullback from 0.5 Fibonacci forms and the price begins to stick and compress towards resistance, then we can consider a breakout of 106200 and growth to 108300However, a break of 104200 could trigger a price drop to the liquidity zone of 102500 before growth

RLinda

XAUUSD is updating its interim highs as it retests resistance at 3435 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Economic risks are on the rise...Gold rose 1.5% on Friday in Asian trading as investors sought refuge from escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The price approached 7-week highs and could reach $3,500 if the conflict intensifies. The US and Israel have warned of serious consequences, while Iran has promised to respond. Geopolitics has overshadowed economic news, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September. Technically, the price is emerging from a local consolidation and testing a fairly important resistance level, forming a false breakout and correction. But this does not mean that the price will fall...Resistance levels: 3425, 3435, 3461Support levels: 3408, 3400, 3377If gold consolidates above 3425 and continues to storm the resistance, growth may continue, and at the moment, there is a fairly high probability of a retest of the ATH. However, the ideal scenario would be a retest of the zone of interest 3408 - 3400 and the capture of liquidity before continuing growth.Best regards, R. Linda!

RLinda

XAUUSD is forming a fairly strong support zone (a cascade within an upward line). The price is returning to the range, with bulls storming 3330-3340.Markets are awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which may affect expectations for a Fed rate cut in September (chances are about 52%). Optimism following progress in US-China trade talks is supporting sentiment, but uncertainty remains due to a court ruling allowing Trump to maintain tariffs. This is holding back the dollar and helping gold. CPI forecast: 0.2% growth, core inflation 0.3%. Lower inflation, on the other hand, will support expectations of lower rates and strengthen demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Technically, gold is stuck between the boundaries of a symmetrical triangle. Overall, this situation is reflected in all markets. Consolidation is forming and the price could break out in either direction...Support levels: 3301, 3330, 3340Resistance levels: 3349, 3361, 3375Focus on the boundaries of the previous range - 3330 - 3340. If the bulls, after the assault, manage to hold their ground above this zone, the market may take the initiative due to support and continue its growth towards areas of interest. Best regards, R. Linda!

RLinda

XAUUSD is strengthening due to uncertainty while the dollar consolidates. Amid heightened volatility, a retest of the 3340 liquidity zone may form, and if buyers fail to keep the price above this zone, gold may form a correctionDemand for the dollar is supported by the rise in USD/JPY after soft comments on interest rates by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. Gold is responding with a correction. Traders remain cautious ahead of the outcome of the second day of trade talks between the US and China in London. Donald Trump confirmed that dialogue with Beijing is continuing, but key differences remain. Investors are also awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which could determine the further dynamics of the dollar and gold. Meanwhile, inflation expectations in the US fell from 3.6% to 3.2% in May.Technically, gold broke the structure and confirmed key resistance during the correction. A hunt for liquidity is possible before the decline continues towards the key target of 3275.Resistance levels: 3340, 3361Support levels: 3301, 3275The price is forming a new trading range of 3340 - 3301 (3294). Before declining, especially if the fundamental background changes to positive as negotiations progress, gold may test the liquidity zone of 3340 and form a false breakout, which will trigger a continuation of the correction to 3275.Best regards, R. Linda!

RLinda

XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone during the Asian session and forming a false breakout. The metal is recovering, but the fundamental background remains unstable...On Monday, gold is holding steady at around $3,300 amid a weaker dollar and caution among traders ahead of US-China talks and the release of US inflation data (CPI) on Wednesday. Strong NFP data for May strengthened the dollar and lowered expectations for a Fed rate cut. However, domestic problems in the US are putting pressure on the currency... Markets are adjusting positions ahead of CPI. Geopolitics and domestic unrest in the US are holding back gold's decline, despite possible optimism about a trade deal.Technically, the trend is bullish, with the price previously breaking the structure but rising in the Asian session after a false breakdown of the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Further movement depends on 3330 - 3340Resistance levels: 33301, 3339, 3375Support levels: 3301, 3275The price is heading towards 3330-3340 for a retest. If the dollar continues to decline and gold manages to consolidate above 3340, the bullish trend may continue. BUT! A false breakout of the 3330-3340 zone could trigger a further decline after the bullish structure breaks down. Best regards, R. Linda!The retest of the key resistance level at 3330 ends with a false breakout and a decline, which generally confirms the market's intention to move towards key support.

RLinda

XAUUSD and medium-term outlook: Friday's strong unemployment data strengthened the dollar and triggered a sell-off in gold. Money is temporarily flowing out of the metal and into currencies and the stock market...Technically, gold is still in a bullish phase on the global timeframe. Logically, the situation is more reminiscent of a countertrend correction of the zone of interest before continuing growth. Despite the rise in the DXY after Friday's news, the dollar is still under pressure from Trump, who is pushing for an early interest rate cut. This move could significantly shake the market (dollar down, gold up)Locally, on the hourly XAUUSD timeframe, we can clearly see how the price is breaking out of the uptrend, thereby triggering a downward impulse. Resistance levels: 3325, 3343Support levels: 3303, 3275The liquidity level of 3300 could act as a magnet for the price, from which a correction to the resistance of the range of 3325 could form (liquidity hunt), but due to the change in the fundamental background, gold may continue its correction to 3275 (support zone) before a possible continuation of growth.Best regards, R. Linda!

RLinda

BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trendBitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself...Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming.Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback).Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100KAfter a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110KBest regards, R. Linda!The price is approaching the zone extremely slowly and in a “consolidated” manner. Most likely, there will be a small correction before an attempt to break through the resistance level of 105,900.At the moment, I would focus on 106722However, if Bitcoin corrects to 104 - 103.8 and from there there is momentum towards 105900, then the situation will be relevant in relation to the nearest level.
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