Phillipklh

From an Elliott Wave perspective, Ethereum is likely advancing within Cycle degree Wave 3, Primary degree Wave 5, at the end of Intermediate degree Wave 3, and in Minor degree Wave 5. While theoretical upside targets for this structure have already been met, ETH has shown little sign of slowing down. On lower timeframes, the price action suggests the move is not yet complete. The first alternative scenario would see the current wave extending further upward. The second, less probable alternative, would classify the move as part of an ongoing corrective formation — but the structure lacks the characteristics to strongly support this view. Liquidity analysis reveals significant clusters below the low of Intermediate Wave 4 on the heatmap. In the order book, notable sell orders are stacked above the current price at $4,500 and $5,000 — levels of interest because they align with key technical confluences. Additionally, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) appears on the 1-hour chart, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback before price resumes its move toward the main target zone. Funding rates are in a normal positive range and open interest is rising but beginning to flatten, signalling a steady but maturing uptrend. It’s worth noting that these funding rates have recently come down from elevated highs, indicating that the market was previously overheated. ETH ETF flows remain steadily positive, but as mentioned in the Bitcoin analysis, these inflows appear to be driven more by rising prices and associated FOMO than by deliberate accumulation. From a sentiment perspective, the Fear and Greed Index shows the market in “Greed” territory, while Ethereum’s own index indicates extreme greed. On LunarCrush, mentions of ETH are increasing, reflecting heightened market attention. However, sentiment measured per network interaction remains mostly neutral — a divergence that is worth monitoring. In summary, caution is warranted at current levels. The primary target remains the 2.618 Fibonacci extension around $4,500, where a confluence of liquidity, order book resistance, and Elliott Wave projections converge. This level stands out as the most probable area for the current wave to complete before any significant correction. Trade safe.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin is currently unfolding a Cycle degree Wave C, which at the Primary degree is forming Wave A. At both the Intermediate and Minor degrees, price is also in Wave A. The minimum downside target for this structure lies at the 1.0 Fibonacci extension near $112K. Additional targets include the 1.236 extension at roughly $110K and the 1.618 extension near $106K. Liquidity mapping reveals notable clusters at key levels. The $115.5K zone, highlighted by the red box on the chart, contains significant liquidity according to the heatmap. Additionally, order book data shows heavy bid accumulation around the $110K level — an area that also coincides with a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Point of Control (POC) from the previous wave lies just below the red box, further reinforcing the bearish confluence. From a derivatives standpoint, the recent impulsive rally in Wave b appears to have been largely driven by leveraged positions. Funding rates have started to decline from high positive levels, while open interest — after a brief surge — is now dropping, suggesting traders are unwinding positions rather than adding fresh exposure. Spot ETF flows continue to show net inflows, but closer inspection reveals that these have been more FOMO-driven than strategic accumulation. Outflows were recorded at the local low of Wave a, while inflows spiked during the impulsive rise of Wave b — behaviour that often reverses as the market corrects. This increases the likelihood of inflows slowing or reversing during the expected downward leg. The primary scenario anticipates that Bitcoin will continue lower. At the Primary degree, Wave A could terminate within the red liquidity box, where the liquidity cluster might act as a temporary buy wall. This could then lead to a corrective Wave B before a final Wave C to complete the larger structure. However, making precise forecasts beyond Wave A would be speculative at this stage.

Fetch.ai (FET) is advancing within a multi-degree Elliott Wave alignment that mirrors the structures seen across many other altcoins. At the Cycle degree, price is in Wave 1; at the Primary degree, a completed 1–2 structure suggests that Wave 3 is now underway; at the Intermediate degree, the same 1–2 formation implies another Wave 3; at the Minor degree, price is currently in Wave 1; and at the Minute degree, price is in the late stages of Wave 3, which is likely to end inside the highlighted Fair Value Gap (FVG). Once this smaller Wave 3 completes, a short-lived Wave 4 pullback is expected, followed by Wave 5 to finish Minor Wave 1. A deeper retracement into the 0.5–0.764 Fibonacci zone would then be possible as part of Minor Wave 2 before the next sustained advance. The structure remains bullish as long as key support levels hold. From a sentiment and liquidity standpoint, funding rates are positive, indicating a bias toward long positions. The liquidity heatmap shows only limited liquidity above current price, while there is more liquidity resting below — a configuration that could allow for a quick liquidity sweep before continuation. This chart pattern is notably similar to many other altcoin structures right now, reflecting the high degree of correlation within the crypto market. If Bitcoin confirms its own bullish wave count, these aligned setups could trigger synchronized breakouts. Conversely, a BTC rejection could weigh on all correlated altcoins, including FET. In the broader macroeconomic context, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 88,9% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the September FOMC meeting. Markets often front-run such decisions, and this could act as a catalyst for impulsive Wave 3 rallies across crypto. However, heavily skewed bullish sentiment increases the risk of a “sell-the-news” event if traders over-leverage ahead of the announcement. Institutional accumulation likely occurred earlier in the cycle, leaving retail traders to drive the next legs higher. As long as structural support remains intact and the anticipated Wave 4–5 sequence plays out, FET appears well-positioned for continuation — in alignment with the bullish setups currently visible across much of the altcoin market.

Decentraland (MANA) is currently advancing within a strongly aligned Elliott Wave structure. At the Cycle degree, the market is in Wave 1; at the Primary degree, it is in Wave 3; at the Intermediate degree, also in Wave 3; and at the Minor degree, in Wave 1. At the Minute degree, price is in the late stages of Wave 3. This smaller Wave 3 is approaching a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could act as resistance and mark the short-term top of this wave. Interestingly, the projected target for Wave 5 also aligns with a higher-level bearish FVG, adding structural confluence to the broader setup. While the overarching wave alignment remains bullish, there are a few elements to monitor closely. Funding rates are positive but leaning slightly toward the negative, suggesting a mild sentiment shift, while open interest continues to rise, indicating stronger market participation. However, the liquidity heatmap reveals a significant concentration of liquidity below the current price, which weighs against the immediate bullish continuation, as such liquidity often attracts short-term sweeps before the trend resumes. Market psychology could also play a major role in the next move. With Ethereum currently rallying strongly, there is a plausible rotation scenario: once ETH reaches a key resistance level and slows down, capital may rotate into second- and third-tier altcoins like MANA, accelerating their upside moves. Such rotations often coincide with euphoric retail behaviour, which can amplify both gains and volatility. From a macroeconomic perspective, this setup is further supported by expectations surrounding the upcoming September FOMC meeting. The CME FedWatch Tool currently shows a 88.9% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Markets tend to front-run such events, and this expectation could fuel bullish momentum into Wave 3 moves across the crypto sector. However, with sentiment leaning heavily bullish, there is also the risk of a “sell-the-news” reaction, especially if leveraged longs pile in too aggressively ahead of the announcement. Institutional positioning appears to have taken place earlier in the cycle, as evidenced by order block formations near the end of prior corrective waves, leaving retail traders to drive the next leg higher. This dynamic often defines the acceleration phase of a third wave. As long as key support levels hold and the structure remains intact, MANA’s multi-timeframe alignment suggests that the next impulsive rally could be substantial — though traders should remain mindful of the liquidity resting below, which could trigger a temporary shakeout before continuation.

The Graph (GRT) has formed two higher-degree 1–2 setups — one at the Cycle degree and one at the Primary degree — creating a structurally bullish foundation. At the Intermediate degree, price is currently advancing in Wave 1, while at the Minor degree, it is in Wave 3, the most dynamic phase of an impulse. This alignment of early waves across degrees suggests a potentially strong continuation if key resistance levels are broken. The immediate bullish confirmation comes from a break above the $0.097 resistance, which would open the door for a sustained rally toward the $0.106–$0.122 zone, based on Fibonacci extensions. However, there is an alternative scenario: if the market fails to clear $0.097 and sells off, breaking the $0.0873 support, it would indicate that Intermediate Wave C and therefore Primary Wave 2 are not yet complete. In that case, a final low to complete the larger correction would be expected before the uptrend resumes. From a sentiment perspective, funding rates are positive, and open interest is rising, showing increasing long exposure. The liquidity heatmap reveals significant liquidity resting below current price, with only minor clusters above — a configuration that could invite a short-term liquidity sweep before continuation. This setup also needs to be viewed in the context of broader macroeconomic conditions. For much of this year, capital inflows into crypto were limited by the Federal Reserve’s restrictive monetary policy. However, the CME FedWatch Tool now shows a 89.1% probability of a rate cut at the September FOMC meeting. Markets tend to front-run such events, and this expectation could fuel Wave 3 advances across the crypto sector. But with anticipation running high, there is also the risk of a sell-the-news reaction, particularly if retail traders over-leverage into the move. It’s worth noting that this structure in GRT closely mirrors many other altcoin charts at the moment — a sign of high correlation within the crypto market. As long as the $0.097 resistance is broken and the $0.0873 level remains intact, the probability favours the bullish scenario — with a multi-degree Wave 3 advance potentially underway, fueled by both technical structure and macro catalysts.

Avalanche (AVAX) is currently unfolding a highly impulsive Elliott Wave structure across multiple timeframes. According to the updated wave count, the market is in the early stages of Primary Wave 3, which contains Intermediate Wave 3, Minor Wave 3, and we are now completing Minute Wave [ii], a shallow pullback expected to bottom between $22.00–$22.62 (0.618–0.764 retracement zone). Once Wave [ii] is complete, AVAX is expected to launch into Wave [iii], with Fibonacci extensions pointing toward the $25.8–$28.0 region. This would be followed by a brief Wave [iv] correction and a final push into Wave [v] of 3, with projected targets around $29.8–$33.0. The fact that all these third waves across different degrees align at the same time sets the stage for a powerful and potentially explosive rally. From a sentiment and positioning standpoint, the environment supports this bullish scenario. Funding rates are positive, and open interest is rising, indicating growing market participation on the long side. However, the liquidity heatmap still shows significant liquidity resting below current price, which opens the door for a brief liquidity sweep — especially if retail traders become overly aggressive during early stages of the move. This setup also aligns with macroeconomic expectations. The market is increasingly front-running a potential rate cut at the upcoming September FOMC meeting, with the CME FedWatch Tool currently pricing in a 89.4% probability. This is injecting optimism into risk markets — including crypto — and may explain the emerging wave of retail positioning. That said, if leverage builds up too fast, a classic "sell-the-news" scenario or long liquidation event could briefly disrupt the trend. But structurally, AVAX appears to be well-positioned, especially as institutional footprints in the form of order blocks near Wave (2) lows suggest smart money already entered — with retail now providing the momentum fuel. As long as the current support zone holds, AVAX could be on track for a multi-leg breakout that extends well into the $30+ region — driven by technical structure, liquidity positioning, and macroeconomic catalysts converging at once.

XRP is currently advancing within a Minor Wave 3, which forms part of an Intermediate Wave 5 — itself completing a larger Primary Wave 1. This alignment across multiple degrees of trend suggests that XRP may be in the early stages of a broader bullish cycle with meaningful upside potential. The structure of the preceding Intermediate Wave 3 is clearly impulsive, which supports the idea of sustained continuation. There is, however, some ambiguity in the early part of this current impulse — particularly in the development of Minor Wave 1. This leaves room for an alternative scenario that assumes a more complex correction may still be in progress. This would only be confirmed if the Wave 4 low is breached, thereby invalidating the current impulsive count. Sentiment and market data currently favour the bullish outlook. Funding rates are positive, showing that the market is leaning long, and open interest is rising, indicating increased trader participation. Furthermore, the liquidity heatmap shows a notable cluster of liquidity above current price, which could serve as a magnet during a third wave — typically the most dynamic part of an impulsive move. On a broader level, this anticipated momentum could also be fueled by macroeconomic developments. For much of the year, capital inflows into crypto were restricted by the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to lower interest rates. However, that could change soon: according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, there’s a 93.6% probability of a rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting in September. Markets tend to front-run such events, and this expectation could trigger renewed retail buying — precisely the kind of sentiment shift that often fuels Wave 3 advances. Importantly, institutional players appear to have already positioned themselves earlier, as evidenced by the formation of order blocks near the end of Wave 2. This suggests that what we’re witnessing now may be retail-driven momentum building on top of smart money accumulation — a classic dynamic in developing third waves. As long as the current structure remains intact and the Wave 4 low holds, XRP is well-positioned for further upside — with the $3.50–$3.88 zone as a near-term target. The technicals, sentiment, liquidity positioning, and macro backdrop all point in the same direction: higher.

Polkadot is currently in the early stages of a major impulsive advance, supported by a strong multi-timeframe Elliott Wave structure. According to the primary count, the asset has just completed a corrective Wave [2] and is now entering a new bullish cycle that could unfold across several degrees of trend. Specifically, we appear to be at the beginning of Cycle Wave 1, Primary Wave 3, Intermediate Wave 1, and Minor Wave 3 — a highly bullish alignment suggesting both immediate and longer-term upside potential. There is an alternative scenario with lower probability that assumes the recent advance is still part of a larger corrective structure, implying that the correction could extend further to make a new low. This would correspond to an ongoing Wave (5) or [C], targeting a drop below the $3.02 level. However, given the clean impulsive structure of the recent move and the rejection from key support zones, this bearish alternative currently lacks strong evidence and remains unlikely unless the local low is breached. Sentiment and derivatives data support the bullish thesis. Funding rates are positive, indicating that traders are willing to pay to hold long positions, and open interest is rising, showing increased conviction and participation. One area of caution, however, comes from the liquidity heatmap, which highlights significant liquidity sitting below the current price. This suggests that a short-term liquidity sweep cannot be ruled out, even within a bullish context. That said, structurally and probabilistically, the primary scenario remains intact and dominant. The recent corrective structure has found strong support, and the initial breakout signals the early phase of a Wave 3 advance. Given the high reward-to-risk ratio at current levels, this zone represents an optimal entry opportunity for traders aligning with the macro bullish thesis.NOTE TO ALL OF MY ANALYSES: You might be wondering why prices are expected to rise — especially considering that Wave 3 is typically the most dynamic phase in an impulsive structure. One of the main reasons lies in macroeconomic conditions: for a long time, capital inflow into crypto has been limited due to the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining high interest rates. However, this could change at the upcoming FOMC meeting in September. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, there is currently a 93.6% probability of a rate cut being priced in. This expectation could lead to a classic "sell-the-news" event, as markets front-run the decision. That front-running could provide fuel for Wave 3 — especially from retail participants. Why retail? Because institutional players have already entered. We’ve seen them form significant order blocks near the end of Wave 2, which indicates professional accumulation during peak uncertainty. This structural evidence supports the idea that the smart money is already positioned — leaving retail to push the next leg. Have a great week & stay consistent.

Cardano appears to have completed a clean Wave 2 correction and is now forming the first 1-2 setup within a larger impulsive move to the upside. From an Elliott Wave perspective, this suggests we are at the very beginning of a broader bullish development. Structurally, the chart aligns across multiple degrees of trend: we are currently within Cycle Wave 3, Primary Wave 1, and Intermediate Wave 3 — a highly favourable configuration for strong upside momentum. The recent retracement reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, where price reacted strongly and formed a well-defined bullish order block. This confluence between Fibonacci support and structural demand reinforces the idea that the local bottom is likely in place. The move off the lows also began with a clear five-wave advance, indicating that an impulsive structure is developing. While an alternative scenario is shown on the chart — suggesting a possible deeper correction — this is considered low probability. The main reason this alternative exists is the relatively short time duration of the Wave 2 correction, which might appear shallow compared to expectations. However, given the structural symmetry, the clear order block, and the impulsive reaction from support, the primary bullish scenario remains heavily favoured. Additional confluence comes from sentiment and derivatives data. Funding rates are still in negative territory but are turning upward, signalling a potential shift in market positioning toward longs. At the same time, open interest is increasing — an encouraging sign of growing participation and conviction in the current move. The liquidity heatmap currently shows significant clusters both above and below the current price, making the liquidity picture overall neutral. However, this also implies potential for strong directional movement should one side be taken out decisively. Overall, the technical and sentiment-based evidence points to a structurally sound bullish setup with limited downside risk, so long as the current low remains protected.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, there are currently three valid scenarios for Chainlink’s price action. Two of them are bullish across the short-, mid-, and long-term timeframes, while one scenario allows for a deeper correction in the short- to mid-term before the broader uptrend resumes. The favoured scenario suggests we are in the early stages of a Wave 3 impulse, following a clean Wave 2 retracement that reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level — a textbook technical setup. This interpretation is supported not only by the internal wave structure but also by similarities to other crypto assets showing impulsive characteristics. Additionally, there is notable liquidity sitting above the current price, which could act as a magnet for a Wave 3 extension. Accumulation zones and bullish order blocks are also forming on correlated assets like Solana, and Cardano is showing a near-identical wave structure — a setup that has proven reliable in previous cycles. The shift in funding rates from negative to positive supports this bullish thesis, indicating growing confidence among long-positioned traders. However, it’s worth noting that open interest has not yet increased in parallel, suggesting a lack of conviction or participation from larger players at this stage — a divergence that deserves close monitoring. The liquidity heatmap shows clusters of stop liquidity above the current price — consistent with a bullish breakout — but also highlights resting liquidity below. In this context, it is crucial that the current local low holds. Ideally, price should break above both the Wave B and Wave 1 highs to confirm upward momentum and invalidate the bearish alternative. In the bearish scenario, the structure would still be considered corrective, targeting a retest of the $12 region before any sustainable bullish continuation. This would represent a deeper Wave 2 or Wave B retracement, shaking out weaker hands before the next leg up. From a risk/reward perspective, current levels still offer a compelling long opportunity — but invalidation below the recent low would open the door to the $12 area. Until then, the impulsive structure remains intact and favoured.