MrOscar18

Gold Market Analysis – Bearish Outlook Current Price: 4328 Resistance: 4380 Support: 4256 Gold prices are currently hovering around 4328 after showing signs of consolidation below the key resistance at 4380. Given the recent upward momentum losing steam near this resistance zone, we anticipate a potential bearish trend in the near term. Key Reasons for Bearish Outlook: Profit Taking Near Resistance: The level of 4380 has acted as a strong resistance in recent sessions, where traders who entered during the previous dips are likely booking profits. This selling pressure typically builds up around significant resistance zones, contributing to a short-term pullback. Technical Rejection at Resistance: Price action shows multiple failed attempts to break and sustain above 4380, indicating a strong supply zone. Candlestick patterns (e.g., rejection wicks or bearish engulfing) may also signal a potential reversal. Additionally, momentum indicators like RSI or MACD (if observed) might be showing bearish divergence or overbought conditions, supporting a corrective move lower. Range-Bound Structure: The broader market structure suggests a sideways range between 4256 (support) and 4380 (resistance). With price near the upper bound of the range, there is a higher probability of a move back toward the lower boundary. Stronger Dollar / Higher Yields (Macro Context): If broader macro conditions include a stronger U.S. dollar or rising bond yields, this typically puts downward pressure on gold, which does not yield interest. This could further enhance bearish sentiment. Conclusion: As long as gold remains below 4380, the bias remains bearish with the next target around the support level of 4256. A decisive break below 4256 could open the door to further downside. However, a break and close above 4380 would invalidate this view and suggest renewed bullish momentum. Strategy Consideration: Traders may consider short positions near resistance (4335–4380) with stops above 4385 and targets toward 4260 and below, depending on risk appetite and confirmation from price action.Previous Price: 4328 Current Price: Approaching 4220 Key Levels: Initial Support: 4256 (Broken) Next Target Area: 4220 Resistance: 4380 Gold has followed through on the anticipated bearish movement, breaking below the key support at 4256—a level that previously held as a floor for price action. This breakdown signals a shift in short-term sentiment, with sellers gaining control and pushing the market toward the next identified support zone near 4220. Technical & Market Insights: Support Break Confirmation: The decisive move below 4256 indicates that buying interest at that level has weakened. This breakdown often leads to further downside as short-term traders capitalize on momentum and follow-through selling. Profit Taking & Sentiment Shift: As discussed in earlier analysis, the 4380–4328 range served as a likely zone for profit taking. With that phase playing out, fresh selling pressure has emerged, reinforcing bearish momentum. Market Structure: The current move aligns with a broader corrective structure, possibly forming a downward channel or a lower high/lower low sequence, which adds weight to the bearish bias. Risk-Managed Viewpoint: While the trend is currently favoring sellers, it's important to recognize key zones like 4220 where price could attempt to stabilize or react. Caution is warranted around this area, and traders should monitor for signs of reversal or continuation before committing to further directional bias.In my previous analysis, I highlighted a bearish setup forming near the key resistance at 4380, citing reasons such as: Profit-taking near a strong resistance zone Repeated technical rejection at 4380 Loss of bullish momentum and potential for correction Bearish candlestick signals + divergence signs Outcome: As forecasted, price failed to break above 4380 and began its downward move. The bearish scenario played out smoothly with gold prices dropping to our target zone between 4256 – 4220, completing the move with precision. 📌 Key Takeaways for the Community: Respect strong resistance zones – they often act as reversal points. Combine price action with momentum indicators for better confirmation. Clear levels (like 4380) provide excellent risk-to-reward setups when followed with discipline.

Gold is currently trading around the 3975 zone. Based on my technical outlook, I anticipate a short-term dip toward the 3960 area, which may serve as a liquidity sweep or corrective move before the market resumes its bullish momentum. Key levels I'm watching: Support: 3940 (critical zone to hold for bullish structure to remain intact) Immediate Resistance: 3995 Upside Target: 4032 A clean break and hold above 3995 resistance would likely confirm bullish continuation towards 4032, in line with the broader trend structure. As always, I’ll be monitoring price action closely around these levels.Shared a bullish view on GOLD from 3970, with targets at 4000 and 4030. 📍 First target (4000) successfully hit, and price has now broken above the key 3995 resistance, confirming bullish momentum. 📈 As long as GOLD holds above 3995, I’m now watching closely for the second target at 4030–4032 to be reached. Patience and proper confirmation paid off. Let’s see how price behaves as it approaches the next key level.

Current Price: 4032 Resistance: 4043 Support: 4001 Target: 3970 Gold has recently struggled to maintain bullish momentum and is currently trading around the 4032 level. From a technical and fundamental perspective, I see increased probability of a bearish continuation, with price likely to break below the 4001 support level and move toward the 3970 zone in the near term. Fundamental Catalyst: Geopolitical Relief A major geopolitical development has shifted the market's sentiment: reports confirm that a ceasefire deal between Hamas and Israel has been brokered by former President Trump. This development has significantly reduced short-term geopolitical risk in the region, dimming gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. With safe-haven flows drying up, gold is vulnerable to further downside, particularly if this ceasefire holds and is followed by broader regional stability Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, several indicators are aligning with the bearish thesis: Price Structure: Gold recently failed to break and hold above the 4043 resistance, forming a potential lower high in a short-term downtrend. Support Under Threat: The 4001 level has held as support multiple times, but the repeated tests suggest weakening demand. A clean break below 4001 opens the door toward 3970. Bearish RSI Divergence: On the 4H chart, RSI is trending lower despite price stabilizing, hinting at bearish momentum building under the surface. Moving Averages: Gold is currently trading below the 50-period EMA on the 4H chart, and that EMA is beginning to slope downward—signaling a potential trend shift to the downside. Trade Outlook Bias: Bearish Scenario 1 (High Probability): Price breaks below 4001 → Continues lower toward 3970. Scenario 2 (Invalidation): If price reclaims 4043 and closes above on strong volume, bearish outlook will be re-evaluated.

Gold is currently consolidating around the $4030 level, showing signs of strength as it approaches key resistance zones. The first resistance is observed at $4041, followed by a second resistance at $4059. A decisive breakout above these levels would likely confirm a bullish continuation toward the target of $4080. 🔍 Key Levels: Support: $4030 (Current consolidation zone) Resistance 1: $4041 Resistance 2: $4059 Bullish Target: $4080 📰 Fundamental Drivers: The bullish outlook is underpinned by two major factors: Economic Uncertainty in the U.S.: Ongoing concerns about a potential government shutdown are increasing investor anxiety, pushing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Accumulation: Global central banks continue to accumulate gold as part of their diversification strategy, lending further strength to the long-term bullish sentiment. 📊 Technical Outlook: If gold can close above $4059 with volume and momentum confirmation, we can expect a swift rally toward the $4080 target. Traders should watch for a clean breakout and avoid premature entries until resistance levels are convincingly breached.close now

BTCUSD Market Outlook – Bearish Retracement Before Bullish Rally Toward $125,000 Current Market Price: ~$121,500 Short-Term Bias: Bearish Retracement Mid-Term Outlook: Bullish Continuation 🧠 Technical Overview: BTCUSD is currently trading around the $121,500 mark, showing signs of hesitation after a recent upward move. Based on current price action, a short-term retracement appears likely, with the market poised to test the immediate support zone at $120,500. This level aligns with a previously respected demand area and could act as a springboard for the next bullish leg. Should price respect this zone, we anticipate a sharp bounce, initiating a rally that targets the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $123,500—a key area of imbalance that price is likely to revisit and fill. Once the FVG is cleared, bullish momentum could extend toward the psychological and technical resistance at $125,000, completing the projected bullish structure. Key Technical Levels: Support: $120,500 (anticipated bounce zone) Resistance 1: $123,500 (FVG zone – target for price fill) Resistance 2: $125,000 (next bullish target) 🌍 Fundamental Drivers: US Government Shutdown Concerns: Rising uncertainty surrounding a potential U.S. government shutdown is weighing on traditional markets, increasing demand for decentralized and alternative assets like Bitcoin. Safe-Haven Demand: BTC is regaining strength as a digital store of value amidst geopolitical and economic instability. Investors are rotating into crypto as a hedge against fiat and systemic risks. Global Liquidity Environment: Expectations of looser monetary policy globally are further boosting risk-on sentiment, favoring crypto accumulation.Shared the bullish move from 121500 → 125000 — and , TP1 at 123500 has been successfully hit. Price action followed the plan perfectly. Partial profits booked, eyes now on final target at 125000. Patience paid off. Let the market do the rest. #BTCUSD #TPHit #CryptoTrading #Mindset #TradeWithPlan

Gold is currently trading around the 4010 mark, maintaining its strong upward momentum amid a confluence of powerful macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers. My near-term target is 4050, with a broader outlook towards 4200 by year-end, as forecasted by reputable institutions including UBS (Union Bank of Switzerland) and Goldman Sachs. 🟡 Key Bullish Catalysts Supporting Gold’s Rally: Central Bank Accumulation Global central banks continue to diversify their reserves by increasing gold holdings, a trend particularly strong among emerging markets. This institutional demand is a foundational pillar of gold’s strength, providing long-term support regardless of short-term fluctuations. Safe-Haven Demand With mounting concerns over recession risks in the U.S., investors are increasingly rotating into safe-haven assets. Gold remains the primary beneficiary, especially amid rising volatility across equities and bond markets. Geopolitical Tensions Ongoing geopolitical instability in various regions, including Eastern Europe and the Middle East, continues to fuel risk aversion. Historically, such conditions create strong tailwinds for gold, and this time is no exception. Macroeconomic Backdrop Dovish expectations from major central banks and potential rate cuts in the coming months could weaken the dollar and lower real yields—both traditionally bullish for gold prices. Technical Outlook: Support Zone: 3970 – 3990 Immediate Resistance: 4050 (short-term target) Major Resistance: 4200 (medium-term target by year-end) Momentum indicators remain in bullish territory, and price action continues to respect higher lows on the daily chart. A breakout above 4050 would likely open the door to a move towards 4120, and eventually 4200, aligning with institutional forecasts. 📝 Final Thoughts: Gold’s rally is not just speculative—it’s backed by robust fundamentals, macroeconomic shifts, and strong institutional interest. While short-term pullbacks are natural, the broader trend remains decisively bullish. I remain long on gold with a near-term target of 4050, and I’m positioning for a potential move towards 4200 in Q4. Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly. #Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TradingViewAnalysis #MacroEconomics #SafeHaven #TechnicalAnalysisTarget 1 Hit – GOLD Update (4010 to 4030) As analyzed and shared earlier, GOLD has successfully hit our first target of 4030 after entry from the 4010 zone. Price action followed the projected path perfectly, validating the buy setup and technical levels marked on the chart. 📈 Entry: 4010 ✅ Target 1: 4030 – Achieved 🎯 Next Target: 4050 We'll continue to monitor price behavior for a potential move towards the second target. Trail your stops accordingly and stay updated for further guidance. #GOLD #XAUUSD #TradingView #TargetHit #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionI'm excited to share that our recent bullish analysis on GOLD from 4010 to 4050 has successfully hit the target! 💥 🔍 Analysis Recap: Price was consolidating above a key support zone around 4010 Bullish momentum confirmed with price action signals and volume buildup Breakout occurred just as anticipated, pushing up to our 4050 target ✅ Result: +40 points move, clean and technical play. 📊 A great example of patience, structure, and disciplined trading paying off.

Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – Weakness Below Key Resistance 🔍 Gold is currently trading around the 3962 mark, showing signs of exhaustion after multiple failed attempts to break above the 3977 psychological resistance level. This level has proven to be a strong barrier, capping bullish momentum and indicating a possible short-term top. 📉 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: 3977 (Psychological & Technical) Immediate Support: 3945 Next Support: 3928 (if 3945 breaks) The repeated rejections at 3977 suggest that buyers are struggling to gain control above this zone. The price is now showing weakness, with bearish pressure gradually building. A clean break below the 3945 support zone would likely confirm the shift in momentum, potentially opening the path toward the 3928 level as the next downside target. Market Outlook: As long as price remains below 3977, the bias remains bearish to neutral in the short term. A break and close below 3945 could trigger a further decline toward 3928, aligning with the retracement expectations. 💡 Trading Insight: Watch for a clear rejection or breakout confirmation at 3945. A strong bearish candle closing below this level on higher volume would validate the downside move. Conversely, any sustained move back above 3977 could invalidate the bearish scenario and shift focus back to the upside.I previously shared a bearish outlook on GOLD, expecting a move from 3962 down to 3928. 🔹 First target at 3950 was successfully hit, showing early confirmation of the bearish pressure. 🔹 Price then broke the key support level at 3945, adding further strength to the bearish momentum. 🔹 With continued downside follow-through, the market is now on track to reach the final target at 3928 as anticipated. This move respects both technical levels and market structure – a great example of analysis playing out in real time. 📉 Patience and precision always pay off. Let’s keep building on the momentum. 💬 Drop your thoughts below or share how you traded this move! #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #BearishAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis

GOLD ANALYSIS – WEAKNESS BELOW PSYCHOLOGICAL RESISTANCE Gold is currently trading around 3940, showing signs of weakness after a clear rejection from the 3949 resistance zone. Despite multiple attempts, price action is failing to break above the key psychological level at 3950, indicating potential exhaustion from buyers in this area. This level is acting as a strong short-term resistance. I expect a retracement move toward the 3897 support zone, where there’s a high probability of a liquidity grab before any further bullish continuation. 📉 If the selling pressure holds below 3949, this pullback could provide cleaner structure and allow the market to reset before attempting another push higher. Resistance: 3949 📌 Support: 3897 📌 Bias: Bearish toward support / liquidity zone Watching for price action signals near 3897 to reassess. Trade safe and stay patient. #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #SupportResistance #LiquidityGrab #MarketStructureclose now

Currently, gold is trading around the 3923 level. Based on technical and fundamental analysis, I anticipate a short-term dip towards the 3910 zone, which may serve as a strong support level before gold resumes its upward momentum. From this level, I expect a bullish continuation towards the 3950 mark, which could potentially lead to the formation of a new all-time high in the near term. Fundamental Factors Supporting the Bullish Outlook: U.S. Government Shutdown Risks – Heightened political uncertainty is increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Weakening U.S. Dollar – A softer dollar is historically bullish for gold prices. Central Bank Buying – Continued accumulation of gold by global central banks is strengthening the long-term bullish case. These macroeconomic drivers, combined with the technical setup, support a buy-on-dip strategy in the 3910 area, targeting a move towards 3950 and beyond. Strategy Summary: Buy Zone: 3910 – 3913 Target: 3950 Bias: Bullish Key Support: 3910 Key Resistance: 3950 Stay tuned and manage risk appropriately.TARGET 1 HAS BEEN SUCCESSFULLY ACHIEVED, THE MARKET PLAYED OUT AS I ANALYSED THE GOLDGOLD TRADE UPDATE – TARGET HIT 🎯 Shared a GOLD LONG setup at 3918, targeting 3950 – and we’ve successfully hit the target! ✅ 📈 Entry: 3918 🎯 Target: 3950 💥 Result: Target Reached! Precision analysis + disciplined execution = consistent results. Stay tuned for more setups. Let’s keep the momentum going! 💪 #GoldAnalysis #TargetHit #ProfitableTrade #TradingCommunity #XAUUSD #PriceAction

GOLD LONG-TERM OUTLOOK: Bullish Setup Targeting 4200 by December Current Price: ~$3886 Timeframe: 3-month outlook (Oct–Dec 2025) Target: 4200 Key Support: 3793 Technical Analysis Gold is currently consolidating near the 3886 level after filling a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3875. I anticipate a short-term pullback toward the 3793 support zone, where significant historical demand aligns. This level is expected to act as a springboard for the next bullish leg, targeting 4200 by year-end. The liquidity sweep at 3840 and the recent FVG fill indicate internal strength in the market, with price action respecting key institutional levels. Macro & Fundamental Drivers Supporting the Bullish Case Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expected The Fed is widely anticipated to cut rates in October and again in December as inflation shows signs of moderating but recessionary risks loom. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, historically boosting its price. Recession and Inflation Fears in the U.S. The U.S. economy is walking a tightrope between inflation control and growth slowdown. With growing concerns over stagflation and a potential recession, investors are increasingly seeking safe-haven assets like gold. U.S. Government Shutdown and Dollar Printing The recent government shutdown has intensified pressure on fiscal policy. To maintain liquidity and manage spending, the government may resort to further dollar expansion, which can lead to currency debasement — a bullish catalyst for gold. Record Central Bank Gold Buying Global central banks continue to accumulate gold at historic levels. For the first time, global gold reserves have surpassed U.S. dollar reserves, highlighting a long-term shift in store-of-value preference. This trend underpins continued structural demand for gold.