MLDpwnz

The resistance block and the channel midline proved too strong — after another test, price moved into a correction. The $70–95 range is the most heavily traded zone, where position building is taking place. A bullish wedge is currently forming within this range. Trade options: — accumulate inside the pattern with a mandatory stop-loss below it; — or wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary and enter on confirmation. 🎯 Primary targets: $93 and $110. Long-term targets should be considered only after a sustained break and hold above $150.

The MATIC → POL rebrand didn’t help: price is down 86% YoY. During this period, a descending channel formed, and price is now holding below the channel midline. RSI shows a bullish divergence after extreme oversold conditions. This is a strong bullish trigger, but it’s important to remember: it can play out with a significant delay. Last time, the reversal took over two months and only occurred after a double divergence formed. How to trade it: • Aggressive: buy at current levels with a stop below the low. • Safer: wait for a reclaim and hold above the channel midline, then enter with a stop below the low. 🎯 Primary target: the upper boundary of the channel. Higher targets make sense only after a confirmed breakout above it.

Since the last review, the structure has slightly changed. Price has once again reached the midline of the channel, and buyers are reacting again — a bullish engulfing pattern is forming. Last time, the bounce from the channel midline produced ~100% upside. During the flash crash, the rebound was around 80%. This creates a favorable risk/reward setup: — entry at current levels, — stop-loss below the local low, — targets: 0.17 → 0.20 → near the downtrend resistance.

✔️ The week closed with a bearish candle with an upper wick, right after a doji. A bearish structure has formed. To invalidate it, price must reclaim and hold above 95k. 🟢 Macro conditions are improving. 🟢 ETF flows have turned positive again — funds continue to accumulate. 🟠 Open Interest has declined and is likely to keep falling into the holiday period. This is a phase when the market is especially easy to manipulate. 🟠 Sentiment is hovering between fear and extreme fear. 🔴 Negative cumulative delta: –$1.63B , indicating realized losses. 🔴 Price failed three times to break resistance from the lower boundary of the channel and the RSI 50 level. 🔴 A bearish pennant is forming — a classic trend continuation pattern to the downside . 🧠 The market does not look ready for an upside reversal. A real reversal usually comes as a surprise to the majority.

Price is attempting a reversal via a double bottom. The key resistance at the moment is the prior low zone at $1.70–1.90. RSI is also capped near the 50 level, preventing a move into bullish territory. On the weekly chart , the only potential reversal signal so far is extreme RSI oversold conditions — no other confirmations yet. Current structure allows for a long setup with clearly defined risk: — stop-loss below $1.50. Since price is trading inside a channel, the majority of the position should be taken off just below the channel midline.

SAGA remains in a persistent downtrend. During the flash crash, price lost its support and is now trading roughly –65% below it. There is a chance this deviation gets filled: — a clear bullish divergence has formed on RSI, — on the weekly RSI, price is sitting at levels that previously produced a ~130% bounce. If you choose to trade this setup, a stop-loss is mandatory. Last time, the stop saved the position from a –90% drawdown. Consider taking most profits in the $0.12–0.19 range.

MINA remains in a persistent downtrend. A large amount of supply has been distributed from $0.20 and above. Until price breaks and holds above this range, medium-term long positions are not justified. 🎯 A bounce can only be taken after a clear reversal setup forms — and there is none yet. Also worth noting: weekly RSI is approaching oversold levels. The 31–33 zone has historically produced bounces.

After the October flash crash, price bounced into resistance, where a bearish divergence formed. It is now playing out cleanly, and the downtrend continues. The only meaningful bullish argument at the moment is a large falling wedge on the weekly chart (after removing noise). Given the memecoin nature of TRUMP, the pattern has a chance to play out — but confirmation is required. Long entries should be considered only after a clear reversal setup forms. The 7.5–10$ range holds the main traded volume — this is the primary resistance block and the first major zone to offload positions. Only a sustained break above this range would open the way toward higher targets.

✔️ The monthly candle closed bearish with a lower wick. RSI has dropped into deep-correction territory (5 more points — and it hits the COVID-crash level). The structure increasingly resembles 2021. ✔️ Bitcoin recovered 4% during the week — but already lost 5% this morning. 🟢 QT officially ended today after 3.5 years . During this period, the Fed’s balance sheet shrank from $9T to $6.6T. 🟢 Positive cumulative delta: +$640M 🟠 Deviation below the channel has been closed — technically opening the path downward. 🟠 ETF flows: green on the week, red on the month. 🟠 Fear index moved from extreme fear back to regular fear — likely not for long. 🔴 Nearly the entire bounce has been retraced. A reversal is possible only after a clear reversal pattern forms. One step back before two steps forward. 🔴 The shortest bear phase in history lasted 1.5 months — that’s the most optimistic benchmark. 🧠 If the scenario plays out, we may see one more drop and a strong buyback within the next month. A sweep below 80k is possible. I expect a reversal starting from early January — holiday periods make market manipulation even easier.

✔️ The monthly candle closed bearish with a lower wick. RSI has dropped into deep-correction territory (5 more points — and it hits the COVID-crash level). The structure increasingly resembles 2021. ✔️ Bitcoin recovered 4% during the week — but already lost 5% this morning. 🟢 QT officially ended today after 3.5 years . During this period, the Fed’s balance sheet shrank from $9T to $6.6T. 🟢 Positive cumulative delta: +$640M 🟠 Deviation below the channel has been closed — technically opening the path downward. 🟠 ETF flows: green on the week, red on the month. 🟠 Fear index moved from extreme fear back to regular fear — likely not for long. 🔴 Nearly the entire bounce has been retraced. A reversal is possible only after a clear reversal pattern forms. One step back before two steps forward. 🔴 The shortest bear phase in history lasted 1.5 months — that’s the most optimistic benchmark. 🧠 If the scenario plays out, we may see one more drop and a strong buyback within the next month. A sweep below 80k is possible. I expect a reversal starting from early January — holiday periods make market manipulation even easier. ----- ✔️ Місяць закрився ведмежою свічкою з тінню знизу. RSI знизилося до рівня глибокої корекції (ще 5 пунктів - і буде рівень ковідного дампу). Ситуація все більше нагадує 2021 рік. ✔️ За тиждень біткоїн зміг відновити 4% вартості. Але вже зранку втратив 5%. 🟢 Сьогодні офіційно завершився QT, який тривав 3.5 роки . За цей час баланс ФРС скоротився з $9 трлн до $6.6 трлн. 🟢 Позитивна кумулятивна дельта (+$640 млн) 🟠 Закрили випадіння з каналу. Дорога вниз технічно відкрита 🟠 Плюсовий тиждень за ETF, але мінусовий місяць. 🟠 З екстремального страху повернулися в “звичайний” страх. Схоже, не надовго 🔴 Зʼїли майже весь відскок. Розворт можливий після формування розворотного паттерну. Крок назад, щоб зробити два вперед. 🔴 Найкоротша ведмежа фаза в історії тривала 1.5 місяці - це найоптимістичніший орієнтир. 🧠 Якщо сценарій підтвердиться - протягом найближчого місяця побачимо ще одне зниження і відкуп. Ймовірно, оновимо лой під 80k. Буквально з першого січня очікую розворот. В свята маніпулювати ринком ще простіше.