Technical analysis by MLDpwnz about Symbol BTC on 12/1/2025

✔️ The monthly candle closed bearish with a lower wick. RSI has dropped into deep-correction territory (5 more points — and it hits the COVID-crash level). The structure increasingly resembles 2021. ✔️ Bitcoin recovered 4% during the week — but already lost 5% this morning. 🟢 QT officially ended today after 3.5 years . During this period, the Fed’s balance sheet shrank from $9T to $6.6T. 🟢 Positive cumulative delta: +$640M 🟠 Deviation below the channel has been closed — technically opening the path downward. 🟠 ETF flows: green on the week, red on the month. 🟠 Fear index moved from extreme fear back to regular fear — likely not for long. 🔴 Nearly the entire bounce has been retraced. A reversal is possible only after a clear reversal pattern forms. One step back before two steps forward. 🔴 The shortest bear phase in history lasted 1.5 months — that’s the most optimistic benchmark. 🧠 If the scenario plays out, we may see one more drop and a strong buyback within the next month. A sweep below 80k is possible. I expect a reversal starting from early January — holiday periods make market manipulation even easier.