LegendSince

Bitcoin hasn’t broken out just yet — it’s hovering in a tight range, waiting for signals to decide whether to sprint or stall. Amid talk of a U.S. government shutdown and fading clarity around rate cuts, traders seem hesitant to commit. That said, institutional interest remains alive: U.S. Bancorp recently relaunched its institutional Bitcoin custody service, signalling banks are still gearing up for more crypto inflows. Meanwhile, the broader macro backdrop — monetary policy expectations, dollar strength, and regulatory tone — continues to be the real tug-of-war behind each move.

“Fed Cut” was Already Expected The 25bps cut had 99.7% probability priced in, so there was little surprise. Bitcoin needed more dovish forward guidance, not just a single cut. This led to a “sell the news” effect: BTC jumped ahead of expectations and then hesitated. Weak Spot Flows / ETF Pullbacks Futures markets are active and leveraged, but spot volume is lagging, suggesting weaker real demand. Although ETFs once fueled gains, some weeks show professional asset managers pulling back, slowing the rally.BTC saw a drop through multiple levels of sellside liquidity with the current lows @ $108,623. Although i can see the opportunity of further downside price action, it will be wise to take profits off the table. I like the sound of 75%.. We could be in for a slight retracement before a further swing downWeekly timeframe

Crypto News In A Nutshell The global crypto market cap now stands at $4.19 trillion, up 1.9% in the last 24 hours. Despite these geopolitical developments, crypto markets remain relatively muted to this development. Bitcoin has held above the $115,000 level, while altcoins are also trading in green – even leading to increased calls for the start of “Altcoin season”. Investor Ted notes that the U.S. markets are hitting new highs across the board with gold, stocks and even global money supply (M2) are all at record level, while the national debt continues to climb. Bitcoin is also just 7% away from its all-time high. Yet, the U.S inflation remains at 2.9%, far above the Fed target. Is This The Start of a New Cycle? According to Coinmarketcap, Bitcoin dominance has dropped to around 56.6%, while Ethereum has climbed to 13.9% and other altcoins now make up 29.5% of the market. This clear rotation of funds away from Bitcoin into altcoins has caught the attention of traders and analysts alike. Short-Term Targets For Bitcoin: - $117,416 Buyside Liquidity Pool - $118,931 Daily Order Block - $124,533 All-Time Highs$117,416 Buyside Liquidity Pool Incoming

Bitcoin edges lower as traders turn cautious ahead of U.S. jobs data and amid uncertainty over tariffs. The ADP private payrolls report is due at 1215 GMT and weekly jobless claims are at 1230 GMT followed by Friday's highly-anticipated nonfarm payrolls data. This could lead to a sell-off in the crypto space, seeing BTCUSD reaching BISI imbalances @ $98,225 - $95,976, ETHUSD to $3,354 - $2,880. XMRUSD (Monero) is currently trading inside of a bullish inefficiency; between $265.12 - $235.06.

Coinbase’s acquisition of crypto options giant Deribit for $2.9 billion signals a bold move to dominate derivatives markets. Despite mixed investor reactions, the deal positions Coinbase as a key player in institutional crypto trading.

Gold prices soared 2.61% to $3,325.39 as investors flocked to safe havens ahead of the Fed’s rate decision and Trump’s 100% tariffs on foreign films, igniting fears of a global trade war escalation

It's a make or break for Bitcoin right about now guys..... Either we see all-time highs booked at $109,000 or we see capitulation to $73,000 and lower! Right about now, I can't seem to make a confident decision on whether Bitcoin will gravitate lower into lower timeframe PD arrays before targeting ATH or if a news event occurs plummeting the price in a heartbeat down to record levels. You think $40,000 is not possible??end of week price action

Gold has been on an absolute tear this year, with gains of up to 30%! I hate to say but the more turmoil that the world economy faces, the higher Gold prices will rise as this market is predominantly a event driven market meaning it takes fundamental news for the market to move like crazy, just like what we have been seeing recentlyEnd of week bias

Lovely bullish draw into discount but the question i am asking myself now is how long will we see conditions like this for?From Wednesday, we have been rangebound with little to no movement inside of the balanced price range so the prices to keep an eye out on will be the breakout points @ $91,685 - $95,976 going forward this week.No new news for Bitcoin right now.2 days into the new week and we are still rangebound inside of the daily SIBI.50/50 opportunities either to the downside or upside but I will be sitting on my hands and waiting for BTC to make up it's mind.

It's been a good run throughout 2025 with little to no drawdown week in, week out. Only 3 bearish weekly closures in 2025 but i believe we wil be seeing a few more of them as the Dollar Index is starting to pivot. On a lookout for low hanging fruit PD arrays; 1st point of interest is $3,260 with the overall draw to $3,193 - $3,167 being the stretch targetCurrent market structure is indicating a large move is to come in the near future. After a elongated bull-run, it's ok to retrace a little. This is what i am expecting going forward. $3,260 1st Point of interestRangebound price action so far..