Fresh-Forexcast2004

XAUUSD: BUY 4255.50, SL 4225.00, TP 4410.00 Gold starts the new week at elevated levels: the spot price holds near $4,255 per ounce as markets continue to expect further Federal Reserve rate cuts and as long-term U.S. Treasury yields ease. Ongoing central-bank purchases and a recovery in investment demand add support: diversification of reserves and the metal’s protective role remain in focus, while trade and political tensions between the U.S. and China keep interest in safe assets alive. Key drivers over the week include the tone of Fed remarks and U.S. inflation releases, the direction of bond yields, and news on global gold flows. Risks for long positions are tied to a slower-than-expected pace of policy easing and a firmer dollar, but steady official buying and elevated uncertainty still shape a constructive fundamental backdrop. Trading recommendation: BUY 4255.50, SL 4225.00, TP 4410.00 #SP500: BUY 6660, SL 6640, TP 6900 U.S. equities begin the week supported by a move in 10-year Treasury yields below 4% and a heavy earnings calendar. Consensus for Q3 profits remains constructive, and investment in AI and related equipment continues to underpin demand for the largest names. By Friday’s close the benchmark hovered around 6,664; futures point to a neutral-to-positive start while investors watch this week’s macro releases. The balance of factors favors moderate upside: easing financial conditions, stable profit expectations, and no clear signs of a sharp demand slowdown in key sectors. Counter-risks include softness in some cyclicals, occasional stress in credit, and geopolitics. In this setup, buying on modest dips with tight risk control looks reasonable. Trading recommendation: BUY 6660, SL 6640, TP 6900 #BRENT: SELL 61.00, SL 61.30, TP 55.00 Brent enters the new week near $61 per barrel. The near-term backdrop weighs on prices: agencies and banks flag faster supply growth in 2025–2026, including as OPEC+ curbs gradually unwind and non-OPEC output rises. At the same time, demand forecasts are turning more cautious amid slower global growth and structural trends such as improved efficiency and transport electrification. Trade frictions between the U.S. and China and headlines on U.S. inventories add to buyer caution. Overall, the supply-demand balance tilts toward surplus, limiting upside unless fresh supply disruptions emerge. Risks to short positions include sudden outages, signals of deeper OPEC+ restraint, or a quicker-than-expected demand rebound in Asia. The base case is continued downward pressure with brief news-driven rebounds. Trading recommendation: SELL 61.00, SL 61.30, TP 55.00

Gold soared to $4,179 per ounce, a new record high . The market is being fueled by expectations of lower interest rates in the US, a weak dollar, metal purchases by central banks, and inflows into funds. Geopolitical risks are adding a “protection premium,” pushing investors toward safe-haven assets. 5 factors that could push the price of gold even higher: Central banks continue to buy actively, especially the People's Bank of China — steady “strong” demand. The market is waiting for the Fed to ease its policy: lower interest rates make gold more attractive. Record inflows into funds investing in physical gold (according to WGC data). US-China geopolitical tensions are driving defensive buying. A weak dollar and growing private demand are supporting gold's status as a “safe haven.” The story above $4,100 is just beginning: gold is accelerating, Q4 2025 promises profits for active clients, and FreshForex analysts see the peak surge in 2026. According to Bank of America estimates, gold could reach $5,000 in 2026.

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has smashed a new all-time high, reaching $125,700! The rally is fueled by steady inflows into spot ETFs, rising institutional interest, expectations of a softer Fed policy, and growing demand for safe-haven assets. Additional tailwinds include tech upgrades across networks and a revival in trading activity. This historic milestone for Bitcoin has lifted the entire crypto market. Investors are turning their attention back to top-10 altcoins — names with strong recognition, loyal communities, and clear development roadmaps. Ethereum (ETHUSD) — trading around $4,558.76. The network has undergone major upgrades, making wallets more user-friendly and transactions faster and more stable. Layer-2 solutions are gaining traction, fees are becoming more predictable, and the network load is better distributed. As a result, investor interest in ETH-based tools and its ecosystem continues to grow. If Ethereum’s roadmap stays on schedule, it could further strengthen its position as the go-to platform for decentralized applications. Solana (SOLUSD) — around $233.30. The ecosystem is preparing a high-performance validator module aimed at significantly boosting speed and resilience. This is critical for high-traffic use cases like exchanges, gaming, and micro-payment services. Solana is also set to gain the spotlight during a major industry conference later this year — a typical launchpad for new partnerships, grants, and product announcements. If improvements are implemented successfully, Solana could gain more ground in the fast and low-cost transactions segment. BNB (BNBUSD) — approximately $1,208.83. The network continues to cut costs for users and developers, expand its toolkit for launching apps, and maintain price stability through regular supply control. The easier it becomes to build and scale on BNB Chain, the greater the volume — and the stronger the token demand. With security and performance updates expected on schedule, BNB remains a top-tier infrastructure asset. FreshForex analysts believe Bitcoin’s record high reaffirms the global appetite for digital assets, while strong developments across major altcoins add depth and resilience to the market. Q4 2025 could deliver solid returns for active buyers — with the most powerful surge expected in Q1 2026.

As of September 2025, #NVIDIA’s market capitalization is estimated at about $4.313 trillion, making #NVIDIA the most valuable publicly traded company in the world by market cap. Across big tech, the backdrop has turned decisively positive: #Oracle shares have surged 40% on accelerating cloud revenue and AI contracts; #Apple unveiled a new device lineup led by iPhone 17; and #Google continues to climb on progress in AI tools, ad tech, and cloud services. Together, these catalysts are lifting demand for AI infrastructure and ecosystem services, reinforcing network effects between hardware vendors, platforms, and developers. Key growth drivers for IT giants in 2025: #Oracle — faster cloud revenue, major AI contracts, and expanded data-center infrastructure sparked a sharp 40% jump in the stock. #Apple — the launch of iPhone 17 and an updated device lineup strengthens ecosystem cash flows, driving upgrade cycles and service monetization and supporting a positive re-rating of the shares. #Google — gains in advertising and cloud alongside the rollout of generative AI, improvements in search and commerce products, and cost optimization for inference. #NVIDIA — new chips and architectures (including Blackwell) cement leadership in AI compute, while data-center expansion and the MLOps stack support a robust order backlog. Institutional demand — inflows into AI-themed funds and ETFs, plus strategic partnerships by corporations and governments, are sustaining premium sector valuations and fueling a broadening cycle of spend on AI infrastructure, devices, and platform services. According to FreshForex, a prolonged AI demand cycle and scaling potential create conditions for further share-price appreciation. The parallel surge in #Oracle , product updates from #Apple , and #Google’s rally keep the spotlight on the sector and bolster expectations for AI-driven earnings — from chips to devices and cloud — while #NVIDIA’s lead in next-gen architectures secures its role as a key beneficiary of the trend.

On September 5, 2025, gold reached new record highs — $3,599.77 per ounce — thanks to unexpectedly weak U.S. labor market data. This data reinforced expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut, which traditionally supports gold prices by reducing the yield of alternative assets. 5 Reasons Why Gold Is the Main Asset of 2025: Expectation and implementation of Fed rate cuts: Weak U.S. employment data has strengthened expectations of a monetary policy easing, favorable for gold as it lowers alternative asset yields. U.S. dollar weakening: As the dollar depreciates, gold priced in USD becomes more affordable for holders of other currencies, boosting demand and prices. Rising geopolitical and economic instability : Growing global uncertainty drives investors into safe-haven assets, with gold remaining the traditional hedge against risks. Central banks’ active gold purchases : Central banks are diversifying reserves, reducing dollar holdings, and allocating more into gold — creating a steady base demand. Increased demand from ETFs and institutional investors : Rising inflows into gold ETFs indicate growing investor confidence in gold, further strengthening price dynamics. The main drivers of gold’s growth remain Fed rate cut expectations, dollar weakness, and active central bank gold purchases. The breakout above $3,600 per ounce has cemented gold’s status as the key safe-haven asset of 2025 . According to FreshForex , the current trend creates favorable conditions for opening long positions in XAUUSD while maintaining strict risk management.

Gold has hit a new all-time high, surging more than 35% since the start of the year. According to the World Gold Council, prices climbed 26% in the first half of 2025 , with another 5% gain expected in the second half. Meanwhile, silver (XAGUSD) broke above $41 per ounce for the first time in 14 years, while platinum (XPTUSD) and palladium (XPDUSD) also posted solid gains. The rally is largely driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut. Markets now assign an 88% probability of a 25 bps cut in September — up from just 38% a month ago . Additional momentum came from dovish comments by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who backed policy easing due to rising labor market risks. Despite core PCE inflation rising to 2.9%, investors are betting on a weaker dollar and a flight to safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions are adding to the bullish case. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are fueling demand for “safe harbors.” Meanwhile, the Trump administration is pressuring Swiss gold refiners to relocate production to the US — a demand they’ve refused. In August, Trump also announced that gold imports will remain exempt from tariffs, adding to investor interest. Analysts warn that trade wars and supply chain disruptions could further boost commodity prices. According to FreshForex analysts , gold is expected to trade between $3,300 and $3,600 in the coming months, before making a run toward the $4,000 mark . With global currencies under pressure and recession risks looming, gold continues to serve as a global barometer of trust — and a powerful hedge against uncertainty.

On 11 August BTC climbed above $122,000 — just a step from July’s record of $123,091. Ethereum is holding at multi-year highs. By market estimates, total crypto market capitalization is back above $4T. Momentum came from net inflows into crypto ETPs/ETFs (especially spot ETFs on BTC/ETH), upbeat signals around expanding access for U.S. retirement accounts to alternative assets, and bets on a Fed rate cut this fall — together accelerating prices and liquidity in the leaders. Five trend accelerators: 1. Institutions & policy. July–August brought signals about broadening the menu of assets for U.S. retirement plans — the market expects “long” money. 2. ETF/ETP effect. Net inflows into BTC and ETH products are accelerating — a direct catalyst for spot demand. 3. Macro. Expectations of a dovish Fed lower real yields and support “scarce” assets like digital gold. 4. Supply. The recent halving and coins leaving exchanges reduce free float — price reacts more strongly to the same demand. 5. ETH stack. L2 activity, spot-ETF inflows and tokenization of real-world assets strengthen ETH’s role and typically kick off altseason. FreshForex view . Current BTCUSD and ETHCUSD levels fit tactical longs — only with strict risk control and tracking CPI and net inflows/outflows in spot ETFs on BTC/ETH .

The “Big Three” are breaking new records: #Facebook (Meta) surged to $784.39 as AI-powered targeting tools pushed ad revenues higher, #Microsoft hit $551.10 by combining rapid Azure growth with new monetization from Copilot across its ecosystem, and # Nvidia climbed to a record $183.21, driven by unwavering demand for AI computing. Key growth drivers: #Facebook (Meta): Markets welcomed strong ad revenue projections, outweighing concerns about capex. AI tools for ad targeting significantly improved performance. #Microsoft: Azure’s YoY growth reached ~39%, Copilot crossed 100M monthly users, and the company committed up to $30B in upcoming AI infrastructure. #Nvidia: Persistent demand for AI GPUs and networking gear from hyperscalers, plus a $4T valuation milestone, keeps momentum strong. What’s fueling continued upside: #Facebook (Meta): AI tools like Advantage+ improve audience targeting and ad creatives, while Reels and recommendation feeds increase impressions and eCPM. Large-scale investment in data centers and in-house AI models open new monetization paths. Stable rate expectations also favor growth stocks like META. #Microsoft: Growth is driven by Azure’s ongoing expansion (~39% YoY), the second wave of cloud migration, and strong monetization via Microsoft 365 and GitHub Copilot. A $30B capex plan will expand data center capacity. A broad portfolio — Windows, Office, Gaming — supports steady margins. #Nvidia: The AI compute supercycle is in full swing. Demand for H-series GPUs and InfiniBand networks exceeds supply. The clear upgrade roadmap (H200/Blackwell) extends through 2026, while CUDA ecosystem expansion strengthens customer lock-in. Strong cash flow and record valuation support M&A, buybacks, and accelerated development. According to FreshForex , current price levels make #Meta and #Microsoft attractive for long positions. #Nvidia offers room for both upside and pullbacks, depending on news flow.

June brought a wave of positive sentiment to digital assets. Despite global uncertainty, major cryptocurrencies continued their upward movement. Investors are once again turning to decentralized assets amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and an increasingly fragile macro backdrop. Key moves this month : • Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) +4.6% — Strengthened by a weaker dollar and renewed institutional interest. JPMorgan projects $150,000 by 2025. • Ethereum (#ETHUSD) +3.8% — Gains on ETF optimism and rising DeFi activity. • Solana (#SOLUSD) +6.1% — In the spotlight due to network scalability and new Web3 partnerships. • Ripple (#XRPUSD) +2.4% — Rebounding after positive developments in the SEC case and potential global alliances. • Dogecoin (#DOGUSD) +5.2% — Community-driven momentum and fresh public support from Elon Musk. Underperformers: • Litecoin (#LTCUSD) –1.8%, Cardano (#ADAUSD) –2.2% — Profit-taking and lack of new drivers weighed on prices. • Polkadot (#DOTUSD) –3.1% — Weak on-chain metrics and fading interest in cross-chain solutions added pressure. According to FreshForex analysts, the crypto market is entering a recovery phase. Signals from the Fed hint at upcoming rate cuts, while interest in decentralized projects and crypto ETFs is rising. Market leadership by #BTC and #ETH reflects growing confidence, while altcoins continue to follow the broader upward trend.

May 2025 turned out to be a landmark month for the U.S. stock market. Several top companies posted impressive gains driven by explosive demand for AI technologies, advancements in autonomous transport, and strong corporate strategy. Here are the five market leaders that set the tone in May: 1. Nvidia – The AI Powerhouse Nvidia (#NVIDIA) surged 25% in May, becoming the most valuable U.S. company with a market cap of $3.45 trillion — surpassing even Microsoft. The rally was fueled by stunning data center results, with revenue hitting $39.1 billion (+427% YoY). Its new Blackwell chip series has already sparked massive interest from leading AI developers. UBS analysts raised their price target to $175, predicting further growth in high-performance computing. 2. Apple – A return to growth Apple (#Apple) saw a solid 7% gain, rebounding from earlier struggles. The company announced $500 billion in long-term investments over the next five years to create new jobs and manufacture AI servers in the U.S. This move restored investor confidence and supported the stock’s recovery. 3. Tesla – Robotaxis drive momentum Tesla (#Tesla) jumped 25%, boosted by the announcement of its robotaxi launch in Austin, Texas, scheduled for June 12. Combined with improving market conditions and a pause in EU tariff pressure, Tesla shares reclaimed center stage. Wedbush analysts see potential for the stock to hit $500 as the company expands its autonomous and AI-driven initiatives. 4. Moderna – Biotech breakthroughs Moderna (#Moderna) gained 7% following positive results from new cancer drug trials. The company also revealed plans to cut operational costs by $1.7 billion by 2027, aiming to boost overall efficiency. Investors welcomed the strategic pivot beyond COVID-related products. 5. Alcoa – Aluminum and geopolitics Alcoa (#Alcoa) rose 6.5% on reports that the U.S. may ban aluminum imports from Russia. This geopolitical development, along with steady dividends and renewed investor interest in commodities, positioned Alcoa as a top-performing metals stock for the month. May 2025 confirmed the market’s focus on AI, autonomous transport, biotech, and raw materials. Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Moderna, and Alcoa led the charge — and FreshForex analysts recommend riding this momentum for active trading on high-performing stocks.