CryptosWinter

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 15-Minutes timeframe . 👀 On the 15-minute timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after an impressive 10% rally, ETH showed one of the strongest recoveries in the market compared to other major coins — managing to climb above $4,100 and form a new trading range early in the week. Currently, Ethereum is consolidating within a range between $4,200 (top) and $4,121 (bottom). A breakout from this range could create either a long or short setup. Keep in mind that following this strong bullish move, trading volume has started to decline inside this range. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we can see that after the recent surge, ETH’s momentum is now fluctuating between 43 and 70. A breakout above or below this RSI range would likely increase volatility and accelerate Ethereum’s next move — potentially with fewer candles but stronger momentum. 🕯 The size and volume of recent candles during Ethereum’s rally have been exceptional. Major buyers and institutional players have added substantial ETH positions to their portfolios. The large, high-volume bullish candles leading up to the current range reflect Ethereum’s strong momentum. Now, while the price is oscillating inside the range with reduced volume, a clear volume expansion is expected once the range breaks. 🧠 As Ethereum remains trapped inside this trading range, a breakout will require increased volume and RSI confirmation beyond the defined thresholds. This setup gives us two potential scenarios: ↗️ Long scenario: If Ethereum breaks above $4,200, which acts as a taker-seller resistance, and RSI pushes above 70 (Overbought zone), ETH could launch another bullish leg early in the week — showing an even stronger recovery compared to the rest of the market. 📉 Short scenario: If Ethereum breaks below $4,121, which is a maker-buyer support, and RSI drops under 43 toward the Oversold zone, it could continue its downward correction. However, given ETH’s strong bullish momentum, this bearish scenario would likely require negative market fundamentals to fully play out. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 15-Minutes timeframe . 👀 On the 15-minute timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after breaking out and consolidating above the $114,351 zone, BTC began moving upward and is now trading within a 15-minute range. A breakout from this range could trigger the next move. The top of this trading range sits at $115,715 and the bottom at $114,750 — breaking and holding beyond either level could start a strong leg for Bitcoin as the new week begins. 🧮 The RSI oscillator on the 15-minute timeframe shows Bitcoin currently moving within a range capped at 64 on the top and 42 on the bottom. A breakout from this RSI range could significantly increase buying or selling momentum, adding fuel to Bitcoin’s next move. 🕯 The size, volume, and count of green candles have increased since the flash crash, and institutions like BlackRock, World Liberty, and Trump-aligned funds have been averaging solid buy positions. With rising buying volume, Bitcoin could break through its ticker-seller resistance at $115,715 and continue its bullish move following the recent dramatic flash crash. 🔍 Despite concerns like the ongoing U.S.–China economic (tariff) war, the market remains in a risk-off mode on higher timeframes. If entering trades, we aim to manage capital across multiple entries — for example, allocating only 0.25% risk per position or averaging in gradually. 🧠 Two trading scenarios are considered for Bitcoin, both offering clear opportunities for structured entries. ↗️ Long scenario (breakout above the range): If Bitcoin breaks above $115,715 with rising buy volume and RSI crossing above 64, it could initiate another strong bullish leg toward higher resistance levels. 📉 Short scenario (breakdown below the range): If the micro-buyer support at $114,750 — a key demand zone — breaks, Bitcoin may extend its correction downward. This move should coincide with RSI losing the 42 level and increasing sell volume. Note: in short positions, take profits quickly and maintain tight risk-to-reward control. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing XRP on the 1-Day timeframe . 👀 On the daily timeframe of Ripple (XRP), we can see that — for this analysis — I decided to share my perspective from left to right across the chart. From mid-May to late June, Ripple was trading below a descending dynamic resistance trendline, which it successfully broke to the upside, rallying from $2 to $3.5. In that area, heavy profit-taking occurred, pushing the price downward. The first major support after that sharp rally was at $2.74. Later, Ripple formed a lower high at $3.23 and a double bottom (equal low) around $2.74, which created a strong static support and positioned the price within the final third of its triangle pattern. It then broke its dynamic trendline resistance again and managed to make a higher high, but this time it failed to show the same sharp bullish momentum. It was quickly rejected from $3.1, which was a taker-seller zone, and pulled back toward its static support. Buyers didn’t allow the key floor to break — they defended the level aggressively, pouring in additional liquidity to keep XRP above support. However, since no major new capital inflow entered the market and Ripple remained compressed within multiple overlapping triangle formations, a new dynamic resistance was formed. Even with intense effort from buyers, that resistance couldn’t be broken, and eventually, Ripple lost its key static support at $2.74 and dropped further. Although this move was technically predictable, the speed and depth of the fall were hard to manage in real time. Now, Ripple is sitting above a strong buyer-maker support zone, and much of the selling volume is being absorbed by buybacks. Retail traders are also accumulating again. The interesting point: Ripple has a critical resistance at $2.58 — if it breaks and holds above this level, it can reignite a bullish move upward. The main resistance zone remains the same old static support area that buyers previously tried hard to protect. Once the $2.74 level is broken back to the upside, Ripple could experience a strong pump. 🧮 On the daily RSI oscillator, Ripple had a very strong static resistance zone around 62, and on its last touch it got heavily rejected, dropping below 50 and 30 without much resistance. Currently, RSI has a support around 26.5 and a key resistance around 40 — these are the main RSI pivot levels. If Ripple’s RSI breaks out of this range, it can trigger higher volatility and momentum aligned with the market direction. 🕯 The recent candle structures — especially the large bearish candle with a long lower wick — caused panic and FOMO among Ripple holders. This led many institutions and big wallets to switch into risk-off mode, dumping their XRP positions and causing a 50% crash within hours. However, Ripple has recovered well, and the last two bullish candles came with solid buying volume, likely supported by the RSI exiting its oversold zone. With continued buying volume and a break above the key taker-seller resistance at $2.58, Ripple could resume its upward movement. 🧠 If we held Ripple — what would we do? Personally, if I owned XRP right now, I’d strictly follow capital and risk management, avoiding emotional decisions driven by fear or greed. Ripple is currently forming a new trading range with tight highs and lows, meaning that breaking either boundary will likely start the next major leg of movement. The upcoming week, especially with the meeting between Trump and the Chinese President, could significantly impact risk markets. So for now, I’d do nothing major — and if I decided to open a position, I’d do it with minimal risk (and yes, I call that “a bad habit” on purpose 🙂). This scenario will be updated with more precision and detail in future analyses. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing SUI on the 1-Day timeframe . 👀 On the daily timeframe of the SUI coin, we can see that SUI was moving along a slightly upward curved line, continuously forming higher highs and higher lows. After creating a top around the $4.3 zone, it faced a strong rejection and dropped toward the $3.3 support area. From there, it started forming lower highs and lower lows, practically entering a descending channel. At the third and final lower high, SUI formed a strong daily indecision candle, which broke its multi-timeframe support at the $3.5 zone and continued moving downward. During the historic flash crash night of crypto, SUI opened around $3.4, then plunged to $0.5. Following exchange buybacks and market maker interventions, it made a massive upper shadow wick back toward the $2.6 zone, where it finally closed its daily candle. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, SUI experienced a heavy rejection from the 57 level, dropping below 50 and moving toward its daily oversold zone. The key RSI levels are currently around 36.5 and 50, with the 36.5 zone acting as the nearest crucial pivot level. A bounce from this region would slightly reduce the fear and FOMO of a deeper drop among traders. 🎮 A Fibonacci retracement drawn from $3.5 down to the market maker support zone at $2.43 reveals several important resistance levels. The 0.618 zone serves as a major resistance level—if this level breaks, it could lead to a higher low formation above $2.5, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The next resistance lies around 0.382, which is currently out of buyers’ immediate reach. 🕯 The recent candle sizes and volumes indicate strong selling pressure and rapid price teleportation downward. Signs of this drop could already be seen through the bearish indecision daily candle, but such an extreme dump couldn’t have been predicted purely by technicals. This crash was largely caused by Chinese fund managers selling their holdings, with large wallets entering risk-off mode, unwilling to take further losses. They, along with the Chinese government, sold off their SUI positions to prevent deeper damage—a case of “prevention is better than cure.” During the recovery phase, exchanges executed significant buybacks, and because the price had fallen to major discounts, many market-making buyers placed strong limit orders at low levels, which helped drive the price back upward. 🪙On the weekly timeframe (SUI/BTC pair), this trading symbol has an extremely critical bottom—losing it could lead to a deep correction that would heavily impact SUI’s core structure. Thanks to buyer support and exchange buybacks, this bottom hasn’t yet been broken in the current weekly candle. There’s also a dynamic resistance trendline pressing down on its relative value; currently, SUI is in the final third of this price compression phase. If this trendline breaks, SUI could gain relative strength against Bitcoin and move upward. 🧠 Currently, SUI sits below its key resistance zone at $2.85. A break and daily close above this level could allow SUI to form a higher low compared to its flash crash bottom, retracing part of the recent drop and providing a better exit opportunity for many holders and traders. This scenario will be updated with more precision and detail in future analyses. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Day timeframe . 👀 On the Ethereum daily timeframe, we can see that after the historic economic war between the U.S. and China, Ethereum broke its ascending channel with a high-volume whale candle and has now managed to stabilize below this channel. Currently, Ethereum is in a critical decision-making zone, with two key resistance levels at $3,873 and $4,223. A break and confirmation above these zones, especially $4,223, could lead to a bullish continuation; otherwise, a breakdown below the channel support may trigger a deep correction and cause Ethereum to enter a risk-off phase on the higher timeframe (weekly). 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after crossing down from the 50 level, it is now heading toward the 30 and oversold region. These two zones — 50 and 30 — are our key RSI levels, and when volatility crosses these zones, it can be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. 🕯 The recent daily candle of Ethereum has shown a massive amount of sell volume, with an open around $4,400 and a close below $3,900 (ignoring the shadow). This indicates strong selling pressure — if buyers fail to hold Ethereum above $4,200, we could see further correction and selling pressure ahead. 🧠 Currently, there’s no specific trigger for Ethereum, but a trading range will likely form in this zone until the end of the week. A break of either the top or bottom of this range across multiple timeframes could give us a potential long or short position. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe . 👀 After the start of the trade war between the United States and China, news was released about a 100% tariff imposed by the United States on China. The crypto market experienced an unbelievable heavy drop (flash crash) last night, which from a technical point of view was completely unexpected and caused the biggest financial loss in the history of crypto. 👍 On the Bitcoin chart and in the daily timeframe, we can see that it is inside a very strong ascending channel, which even with last night’s drop has not closed below its channel body. Currently, Bitcoin is ranging with support at the bottom of the channel, and since it’s the weekend, the market volume has decreased sharply, and we are in a state of uncertainty until the new week’s open. 💡 Note that Bitcoin has not yet entered a trend reversal for the start of its heavy drop. The reversal zone that I specified in the analysis is between $108,960 and $107,521. With a break and confirmation below this zone, Bitcoin can experience a deeper correction and end its long-term primary trend and enter a secondary trend. We can also consider this zone as a distribution area. Also note that Bitcoin’s return inside the channel has been supported by strong buyers, which has caused this uncertainty. In summary, Bitcoin has a very important resistance in the $114,351 zone, and with a break and confirmation above this area, it can move upward and turn the flash crash into a continuation move. In the continuation of the analysis, we will also use indicators and volume to reach the best conclusion. 🧮 In the RSI oscillator, we can see that after the selling pressure and increase in volatility, it moved downward and easily crossed the 50 zone. We have now defined two key RSI zones: Zone 50 can be our long trigger area. Zone 37, where if volatility passes below this level, Bitcoin can move toward the oversold area in its daily timeframe and experience a deeper correction. 🕯 First, let’s talk about volume — the selling pressure was so strong that it pushed the Bitcoin price near $102,000, and then it faced support from buyer makers (those who buy with market-type orders), which brought the price back above $110,000. The size of Bitcoin’s recent candle has been very strong and large, showing the great power of the sellers. With the increase in selling volume and continuation of the tariff war, the market can enter a risk-off state in higher timeframes, and investors may sell their Bitcoins, putting more selling pressure on BTC. 🧠 With the intensification of the tariff war between the U.S. and China, Bitcoin may start its secondary trend after weeks and months of bullish movement, but we still can’t make a definite decision about this issue. So we are waiting for the break of the defined zones in the analysis to make the best decision. Last night’s event was truly painful — a big experience and lesson for all of us that if we can manage our capital, we can have the best results relative to the market. However, last night will be remembered as the biggest financial loss in crypto history. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ❤️ I sincerely apologize to everyone in the channel — I’ve been down with a cold for several days. Now, let’s dive into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 In the 1-hour timeframe, after a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin broke below its ascending channel and moved toward the $121,000 support zone. From there, increased buying volume pushed the price upward, but it got rejected from the $123,600 resistance** and pulled back, creating a long trigger at that zone. As it moved toward lower support levels, it formed a micro buyer zone between $119,640 and $120,884, where each time price enters this zone, Bitcoin experiences noticeable buying pressure. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after ranging below the 50 level, it’s now trying to break above it. The 50 level has become a **strong static resistance, while there’s swing support near 34. If the RSI breaks out of these marked zones, it could trigger stronger volatility and expand both **short and long trading opportunities. 🕯 The size and volume of recent candles on the 1-hour chart show range-bound movement, weak momentum, and market indecision, forming a **multi-timeframe trading range** where the top and bottom boundaries act as trigger zones. The **micro buyer zone is where buyers aggressively defend price through market orders, preventing further downside — a reversal candle forming inside this zone is a strong example of that. ▶️ **Today’s economic news related to U.S. monetary policy can impact the market significantly. Since Bitcoin is currently in a small trading range, upcoming volatility spikes from the news could provide short-term setups. ↗️ Risky Long Scenario: Look for a breakout above the marked $121,754 zone, accompanied by an engulfing candle, **indecision signal, SMA-7 confirmation, and increasing volume in the direction of the breakout — especially if the news comes out risk-on (positive for markets). 📉 Very Risky Short Scenario: If price breaks below the micro buyer zone and loses the swing RSI support near 33, Bitcoin could enter a deeper correction. However, note that a drop in Bitcoin’s price often increases its attractiveness compared to other assets, so avoid rushing into shorts. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Ethereum recovered after yesterday’s drop, moving toward its support zone, where it consolidated briefly before forming a short-term trigger at $4,549. This level was then broken in a single 1-hour candle, and ETH is now stabilizing above it — confirming the trigger activation. A new resistance has now formed around $4,606, and a breakout above that level would activate another bullish trigger for Ethereum. 🧮 The RSI oscillator currently highlights two key zones for ETH trading — levels 56 and 41. Crossing either of these levels typically increases Ethereum’s volatility. At the moment, the RSI sits near 62, indicating growing long momentum and increasing buying pressure. 🕯 The recent candle structure shows clear bullish volume and upward momentum. After activating the trigger zone, Ethereum is pushing higher with a strong whale-driven candle, targeting upper resistance levels. Yesterday’s drop allowed some profit-taking by whales and filled several sell orders — meaning ETH now has a cleaner path upward compared to previous attempts. 🧠 For ETH positioning, you can either wait for a breakout above $4,606 for confirmation, or enter early at the $4,549 trigger zone if you spot a low-volume indecision candle interacting with the SMA7 line — signaling potential bullish continuation. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken through all major resistance levels, setting a new ATH, and then experienced a 2% price drop due to profit-taking and FOMO-driven selling. It then moved toward its key support zone around $122,584, bounced from there, and is now moving toward its early trigger zone at $124,113. 🧮 The RSI oscillator shows two important levels — 63 and 45 — and once the volatility threshold crosses especially above 63, Bitcoin could see a sharp increase in volatility, activating its triggers and enabling breakout moves. 🕯 Bitcoin’s volume has decreased after each touch of resistance, but now with a noticeable volume increase, our early trigger could become active, allowing Bitcoin to form larger, high-volume candles either upward or downward. Since the high-wave cycle remains bullish, the current scenario still favors upside continuation and resistance breakouts. 🧠 For Bitcoin positions, it’s better to wait for all confirmations to align — including activation of the early trigger, an RSI breakout above 63, and rising buy volume — before opening a long position. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing XRP on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, XRP recently completed a solid bullish rally, reaching resistance around $3.06, before retracing toward its local support zone near $2.94. The coin has tested its top level about three times, getting rejected each time under selling pressure. After the latest rejection and rebound from the $2.94 zone, a short-term trigger has formed around $2.98 — a breakout above this level could significantly increase the likelihood of a resistance breakout. 🧮 The RSI oscillator shows that after ranging below the 50 zone, it has now crossed above it and is heading upward. A 1-hour candle close above the trigger zone would confirm bullish momentum; otherwise, the move risks failing. 🕯 The recent candle structure on the 1-hour chart has been relatively range-bound, partly due to low market activity during holidays. However, with increasing volume and the larger size of recent bullish candles, there’s potential for stronger upward continuation. 🧠 For XRP positions, traders can consider low-risk entries once a candle closes above the marked trigger zone in this analysis. Rising volume and strong candle closures may fuel volatility and expand long opportunities. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .