Technical analysis by CryptosWinter about Symbol BTC on 10/11/2025

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe . 👀 After the start of the trade war between the United States and China, news was released about a 100% tariff imposed by the United States on China. The crypto market experienced an unbelievable heavy drop (flash crash) last night, which from a technical point of view was completely unexpected and caused the biggest financial loss in the history of crypto. 👍 On the Bitcoin chart and in the daily timeframe, we can see that it is inside a very strong ascending channel, which even with last night’s drop has not closed below its channel body. Currently, Bitcoin is ranging with support at the bottom of the channel, and since it’s the weekend, the market volume has decreased sharply, and we are in a state of uncertainty until the new week’s open. 💡 Note that Bitcoin has not yet entered a trend reversal for the start of its heavy drop. The reversal zone that I specified in the analysis is between $108,960 and $107,521. With a break and confirmation below this zone, Bitcoin can experience a deeper correction and end its long-term primary trend and enter a secondary trend. We can also consider this zone as a distribution area. Also note that Bitcoin’s return inside the channel has been supported by strong buyers, which has caused this uncertainty. In summary, Bitcoin has a very important resistance in the $114,351 zone, and with a break and confirmation above this area, it can move upward and turn the flash crash into a continuation move. In the continuation of the analysis, we will also use indicators and volume to reach the best conclusion. 🧮 In the RSI oscillator, we can see that after the selling pressure and increase in volatility, it moved downward and easily crossed the 50 zone. We have now defined two key RSI zones: Zone 50 can be our long trigger area. Zone 37, where if volatility passes below this level, Bitcoin can move toward the oversold area in its daily timeframe and experience a deeper correction. 🕯 First, let’s talk about volume — the selling pressure was so strong that it pushed the Bitcoin price near $102,000, and then it faced support from buyer makers (those who buy with market-type orders), which brought the price back above $110,000. The size of Bitcoin’s recent candle has been very strong and large, showing the great power of the sellers. With the increase in selling volume and continuation of the tariff war, the market can enter a risk-off state in higher timeframes, and investors may sell their Bitcoins, putting more selling pressure on BTC. 🧠 With the intensification of the tariff war between the U.S. and China, Bitcoin may start its secondary trend after weeks and months of bullish movement, but we still can’t make a definite decision about this issue. So we are waiting for the break of the defined zones in the analysis to make the best decision. Last night’s event was truly painful — a big experience and lesson for all of us that if we can manage our capital, we can have the best results relative to the market. However, last night will be remembered as the biggest financial loss in crypto history. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .