
Apexfx_Alpha
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Apexfx_Alpha

As a trader, I'm always watching the markets, but building long-term wealth is also key. That's why I'm digging into assets like Coinbase (COIN) . While my day job is trading, Coinbase has definitely caught my eye as something portfolio-worthy for the long haul. We might have missed the IPO buzz back in 2021, but looking at where Coinbase is headed, I think we're still early in a massive growth story. Don't let short-term crypto ups and downs distract you. Coinbase is playing a long game, and here's why it's a smart long-term investment - CEO Brian Armstrong's Big Vision (and Big Numbers): Already a Financial Giant: Think of Coinbase as a bank or brokerage – it's already HUGE. It's as big as the 21st largest US bank by assets ($0.42 trillion!) or the 8th largest brokerage. This size matters. Going Global: Coinbase isn't just focused on the US. They're expanding worldwide to grab new users and markets. Becoming Your All-in-One Financial Hub: Forget old-school banks. Coinbase wants to be your single crypto-powered financial account for everything – payments, investing, and more. This is where finance is heading. Token Powerhouse: Crypto is about more than just Bitcoin. Coinbase wants to list every token, becoming the go-to place for the entire crypto universe. Blending Crypto Worlds: Coinbase is smart – they're linking up with new decentralized crypto systems (DeFi) to give you the best of both worlds, easy to use but with more options. Working with Regulators: Coinbase is playing it smart, working with governments to make crypto safe and trusted for everyone long-term. Massive Crypto Payments: People are using crypto to pay – big time. $30 TRILLION in stablecoin payments happened last year alone. Coinbase is ready to cash in on this payment revolution. Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors: Crypto is Exploding: Everyone knows crypto is going to get bigger. Coinbase is in the perfect spot to ride this massive wave. Big Money is Coming: Big institutions like banks are starting to invest in crypto. Coinbase is built for them – safe, secure, and ready for big players. Coinbase is the Brand You Trust: Coinbase is the big name in crypto. People know and trust them, which is gold in a new market. Bottom Line: Coinbase isn't just a trend; it's building the future of finance. Yes, crypto is bumpy, but for the long haul, Coinbase is positioned to be a winner. Now let's get technical and have a look at what the charts are saying - Uptrend is Clear: Forget short-term noise – this chart shows Coinbase has been on a solid climb since late 2023. There's a strong bullish structural break which indicates the trend has shifted up after a short bearish run. $350 is the Line in the Sand: Think of $350 as the ceiling right now. The price hit it, and we saw some selling. Gotta break above $350 to really see the bulls charging again. $225-$250 is the Safety Net: On the flip side, $225-$250 is like solid ground. As long as we stay above that, the bull run is still in play. Just Taking a Breather: Right now, the chart says "consolidation." Think of it as Coinbase catching its breath after a big run. This pause can be a good thing – building up energy for the next push up. RSI is Neutral for Now: The RSI thing is the 50% level. Not screaming "buy" or "sell," just saying "wait and see." After showing us bearish divergence we are likely to see oversold conditions within the current range - if that does happen it would be a good time to strike. What to Watch For (Trader Style): Breakout Above $350 = Green Light: If COIN blasts through $350 with some volume, that's the signal to jump in long. Think higher targets. Stuck Between $250 and $350 = Range Trade Time: If it stays in this range, you can play the range – buy low, sell high within the range. But be ready for a break either way. Drop Below $250 = Caution Flag: If we crack below $250, that's a warning sign. Might be time to get a bit more defensive. Final Notes: Coinbase looks good long-term, but we're in a "show me" moment right now. Watch those key levels – $350 and $250. Patience is key, but the chart is set up for a potential bullish move if we get the right trigger. If you're looking to invest for the long-haul, now would be a good time to add some shares to your portfolio. Important Disclaimer: Please remember, I am not a financial advisor. My analysis here is based on my personal research and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Before making any investment decisions, it is essential to consult with a qualified financial professional who can provide advice tailored to your individual circumstances. Investing in financial markets, especially in assets like cryptocurrencies and related stocks, carries significant risk. There are no guaranteed returns, and it's crucial to understand that investing is not gambling. Strategic investing involves thorough research, careful timing, and a clear understanding of your own risk tolerance and investment amounts. Always conduct your own independent research and due diligence before investing in any asset. COIN CBETHUSD CBETHETH CBETHUSDC NAS100USD

Apexfx_Alpha

Have you noticed the parallel movements between Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP. It's a common phenomenon in the crypto market, while this is likely to be a short term move let's dive into why -Given this strong correlation, here's how a drop in Bitcoin's price can influence XRP:Direct Impact on Trading Pairs: XRP is often traded against BTC. So, if Bitcoin's value decreases, the value of XRP in relation to Bitcoin also tends to decrease.Sentiment-Driven Selling: When Bitcoin's price drops, it can create a sense of fear and uncertainty among investors. This can lead to a widespread sell-off (herd mentality kicks in), with investors selling off their holdings of other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, to minimize potential losses OR to capitalize on profits made at the recent highs.Algorithmic Trading: Many traders use automated trading systems that are programmed to react to Bitcoin's price movements. If Bitcoin's price drops below a certain threshold, these systems may automatically trigger sell orders for other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, which fuels the decline further, Liquidity Cascades: Liquidity can dry up quickly, making it harder to find buyers for XRP. This means sellers might have to lower their prices to attract buyers, pushing the price down even further.Chart Markup Explained:While taking all these factors into consideration, we should also be mindful of the recent surge in price - this would have definitely attracted more investors and that allows us to start painting the technical picture at a more refined level. Supply and Demand dynamics are now more prevalent than ever.Important Notes:Just because BTC affects the way XRP moves doesn't mean that will always be the case. It's more like they're both reacting to the same underlying market forces. XRP has its own story, its own news, its own developments that can influence its price, regardless of what Bitcoin's doing. Sometimes, XRP even dances to its own tune (as explained in the previous published idea).So, while Bitcoin's dips can definitely have a big impact on XRP, it's not the whole picture. Other factors are always at play, and it's important to look at the bigger context. Correlation doesn't equal causation, after all.Short term - reactions on LTF confirmed entry positions. Long term - strategic investments into XRP at strong demand levels. Locked and loaded, ready for the long haul.

Apexfx_Alpha

Most traders recognize XRP for its role in cross-border payments, but its real strength may lie in its expanding ecosystem. As the digital asset landscape evolves, XRP’s utility is quietly stretching into new frontiers. Let’s break down some under-the-radar use cases that could shape its future.1. DeFi on the XRPL – A Sleeper in the Making?While Ethereum dominates decentralized finance, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) has built-in support for decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and tokenized assets. This opens the door for lending, borrowing, and synthetic asset creation—all without relying on external smart contracts.Why It Matters: XRP’s speed and near-zero fees could make it a serious alternative for developers looking beyond Ethereum’s congestion and high costs. The idea of XRP-backed stablecoins, lending markets, and NFTs thriving on the XRPL isn’t far-fetched.2. Tokenization of Real-World Assets – Unlocking LiquidityThe ability to tokenize assets on the XRPL could revolutionize investment access. Real estate, commodities, and even intellectual property could be fractionalized into tradeable digital tokens.Future Vision: Imagine holding fractional ownership in a luxury apartment in Dubai or investing in a startup’s future revenue, all via tokens on the XRPL. Tokenization has the potential to democratize investing and bring liquidity to traditionally illiquid markets.3. CBDCs – The Missing Link in Global Settlements?Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are digital versions of fiat currencies issued and regulated by central banks. Unlike cryptocurrencies, CBDCs are government-backed and designed to modernize traditional financial systems by enabling faster, more efficient transactions.Ripple has been actively working with central banks on CBDC pilot programs, and XRP could play a pivotal role in facilitating interoperability between different national digital currencies.Why This Would Be Massive for XRP:If CBDCs gain widespread adoption, there will be an urgent need for a neutral bridge asset that can instantly convert and transfer value between different digital currencies. XRP’s liquidity, speed, and low-cost transactions make it an ideal solution for settling cross-border payments between CBDCs, potentially positioning it as a key player in the future of global finance.4. Micropayments & Content Monetization – A New Creator EconomyXRP’s low transaction fees make it an ideal vehicle for micropayments. From paying for online content to streaming services, small-value transactions could become seamless.Imagine This: A decentralized platform where artists, writers, and content creators receive XRP micropayments directly from consumers, bypassing centralized intermediaries. This could redefine digital content monetization.5. Supply Chain & Logistics – Transparency Through BlockchainWith its transparency and immutability, the XRPL is well-positioned for tracking goods across supply chains. Businesses could use XRP to authenticate products, verify sourcing, and automate payments at various checkpoints.Real-World Impact: Tracking a product from manufacturer to consumer while automating payments at each stage could improve efficiency and eliminate counterfeiting in global trade.Why This Matters for Market SentimentIncreased Utility: More real-world use cases = higher demand for XRP.Narrative Shift: XRP’s role expands beyond payments, strengthening its long-term investment appeal.Network Effect: As adoption increases, XRPL’s ecosystem becomes more attractive to developers and institutions.SIMULATED MARKET POTENTIALIf we consider that XRP is to follow a similar trajectory as BTC based on the above points coming into fruition, this is what we would find in a simulated market –BTC GrowthEarly Days (2010-2011): Bitcoin's first major price surge saw it go from fractions of a penny to around $30, marking massive percentage gains (tens of thousands of percent). This was driven by early adopters and growing awareness of the technology.First Bubble (2013): Bitcoin's price skyrocketed from around $30 to over $1,000, a gain of over 3,000%. This was fueled by increased media attention and speculation.Second Bubble (2017): Bitcoin reached its then all-time high of nearly $20,000, a gain of roughly 2,000% from its previous peak. This was driven by a frenzy of retail investment and the rise of ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings).Recent Bull Run (2020-2021): Bitcoin surged to almost $65,000, a gain of about 300% from its previous high. This was fueled by institutional adoption, increased mainstream acceptance, and the narrative of Bitcoin as a store of value.Simulated XRP GrowthTotal Crypto Market Growth: 25% per year (a reasonable assumption)XRP Market Cap Share: Grows to 7% of the total market (a conservative view)1 Year (Jan 31, 2026):Total Crypto Market Cap: ~$4.6 TrillionXRP Market Cap: ~$230 BillionXRP Price: ~$4.00Year 3 (Jan 31, 2028):Total Crypto Market Cap: $7.21 TrillionXRP Market Cap: $360.5 BillionXRP Price: ~$6Year 5 (Jan 31, 2030):Total Crypto Market Cap: $11.26 TrillionXRP Market Cap: $563 BillionXRP Price: ~$10Year 10 (Jan 31, 2035):Total Crypto Market Cap: $34.38 TrillionXRP Market Cap: $1.72 TrillionXRP Price: ~$30Final ThoughtsThese use cases aren’t guaranteed to succeed, and adoption remains a challenge in the competitive crypto world. Yet, the potential is undeniable. If XRP carves out even a fraction of these markets, its role in the digital economy could be far more significant than many realize. There are also some wild projections which predict XRP going over the $200 mark and beyond and while I'd love to see that happen, the XRP market cap would need to be over 11 trillion for this to even be plausible.However, this is the crypto landscape and we are still pioneering our way through it, so who knows...What I do believe is that XRP is going to continue climbing in the near and distant future.Hope this read was worth while for you!Apex out!

Apexfx_Alpha

While the US and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) aren’t in a formal trade war, tensions are rising. BRICS nations are working to reduce reliance on the US dollar, challenging its dominance in global trade. This “de-dollarization” effort and geopolitical shifts, like sanctions on Russia and US-China disputes, are fueling uncertainty. The USD surged by over 7.1% and was the only currency to see a positive growth in 2024.What This Means for Gold?Gold thrives during uncertainty. As BRICS push for alternatives to the dollar and tensions with the US escalate, demand for gold could rise:Hedge Against Currency Risks: If BRICS reduce dollar usage, the dollar might weaken, boosting gold’s appeal.Geopolitical Tensions: Gold is a safe-haven asset investors flock to during economic instability.Global economic shifts are driving gold’s narrative. Trade wisely!Apex out!Trade is going according to plan. Currently holding remaining partial positionsNew Highs cleared +8000 pips played out exactly as we wanted I'm still holding 50% to see where we can go. Good job to all of you that got involved. Will post further ideas on how we can enter and catch more trades on the way up so keep an eye out for that.
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Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.