Technical analysis by artemfedorov about Symbol BTC on 8/17/2025

This is the new weekly crypto market review, and today we’ll take a detailed look at the current situation for Bitcoin and the main altcoins, focusing on the key scenarios for the coming months. Brief summary on BTC: •In the last three post-halving years (2013/2017/2021) the same seasonal pattern occurred: summer growth, followed by a September correction to the 10–30WMA (weekly moving average), and then a new growth wave starting from Q4. •Cycle returns are decreasing: ~1000% → ~560% → ~75%. •Comparing the current dynamics (from 2025 lows) to the growth period from the 2020 lows, we see an almost identical sequence of weekly candles. This strengthens the hypothesis that we are indeed within the classic summer–autumn scenario: 1–2 weeks of autumn correction, then 5–6 weeks of consolidation, followed by a new upward impulse. •If price corrects toward the 110K zone and then repeats the 2021 pattern with ~70–75% growth, the targets will be in the 180K+ area. If the downtrend in returns continues and growth is only 30–50%, then the focus will shift to the 140–160K range. •BTC trend structure: the lower boundary of the target resistance zone (~126K) has been reached, followed by a sharp correction. Local resistance: 119–121K. If we see a rebound attempt in the coming days, a possible reversal and the beginning of a new corrective wave should be considered. Key mid-term support zone: 113–107K, where I would like to see consolidation and the formation of a higher low before the next growth wave. Brief summary on altcoins: ETH •Price is in the target mid-term resistance zone. I would like to see one more attempt in the coming weeks to break historic highs to at least 5100, possibly stretching to 5670, before entering a multi-month consolidation into the macro support zone at 4300–3650. If price breaks below Friday’s session low, the “autumn” correction may already be underway. BNB •The impulse from August lows has ended or is close to completion. •Mid-term support zone: 813–780. •A drop below 780 increases the likelihood of a diagonal structure, with potential to retest the August lows. •As long as price remains above 730, the macro trend with potential growth toward 950–1000+ remains intact. SOL •Support zone: 180–165 •Target resistance zone: 255–285 XRP •Rising risk of the trend shifting into a diagonal structure, increasing the potential correction toward 2.60–2.50. •Main hypothesis unchanged: consolidation in the coming months before a new growth wave toward 4.30+. HYPE •Support zone: 44–40 •Target resistance zone: 60–65 •Very interesting growth potential for the next wave. Worth keeping this momentum in primary focus. Feel free to comment which coins and assets you’re most interested in, and I’ll prepare a separate review on them. Thank you for your attention! Wishing you a successful new trading week and strong investment decisions!