Technical analysis by gunhy about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (7/4/2025)

gunhy

After 2 months of consolidating within a descending channel, Bitcoin has finally broken out, confirming a major technical breakout and shifting the structure back to bullish. The breakout was followed by a clean retest of the channel resistance turned support, which is now acting as a launchpad for the next leg up. 🧠 Technical Analysis: Descending Channel Breakout: Price has convincingly broken out of the downward sloping channel, invalidating the bearish structure and flipping it bullish. Retest Confirmation: The price is currently retesting the upper boundary of the channel — a textbook bullish retest. This confirms buyer strength and shakes out weak hands. Liquidity Magnet Above 111k: A significant cluster of buyside liquidity sits above 111k. Once that level is breached, expect an explosive acceleration toward 120k. Measured Move Target: Based on the height of the prior impulse (from April to May), the projected extension points to ~140k. 🌍 Macro & Sentiment Drivers: ETF Flows & Institutional Demand: U.S. Bitcoin Spot ETFs continue to show consistent inflows, signaling strong institutional accumulation — a major shift in long-term demand. Fed Pivot Speculation: Expectations for a Fed rate cut later in 2025 are building. Lower interest rates could fuel risk-on sentiment, pushing capital back into crypto. Big Beautiful Bill: This bill is expected to inject money into the economy, increasing liquidity — ultimately going into crypto. This bill will be signed into law today. Bullish crypto developments: Settlement of the XRP SEC case, spot crypto ETFs, mainstream crypto adoptions, etc. will all contribute to the bullish sentiment. 🧩 Final Thoughts: This setup combines strong technical structure, favorable macro tailwinds, and clear liquidity targets. The coming days are critical — if Bitcoin clears 111k cleanly, it could trigger a short squeeze and FOMO-driven rally straight into 120k.Price broke out of a newly formed pennant pattern and made a new all-time high, confirming the daily bull flag breakout, although the new ATH was short-lived. For full confirmation, we want to see 112k smashed through with strong volume and thick green candles. That would make 112k a new support base.Price retraced to 120k support and took sell side liquidity right below. This is also a retest of the previously broken channel.