QQQX

Big Tech Momentum: MSFT, AAPL, META, GOOG Move in Sync with QQQ Market Overview (QQQ + GEX)
The NASDAQ remains structurally bullish as QQQ continues to hold above 620. On the daily chart, price maintains its long-term ascending channel, with buyers defending the lower trendline near 617–620. Gamma positioning supports this bias — from the 1H GEX map below, major call walls sit between 623–626, acting as a short-term magnet, while 620 is the intraday support that must hold. As long as QQQ stays above that level, the bullish structure remains intact toward 628–630. Dealer hedging flow shows stable positive gamma, keeping volatility compressed and liquidity favorable for large-cap tech momentum plays. Microsoft (MSFT) 1H Chart View: Price reclaimed 508 and printed a clean BOS above its descending structure. MACD and Stoch RSI show upward momentum, confirming buyers stepping back in.
Trade Setup: * Bullish: Above 509–512, look for continuation toward 518–522. * Bearish: Rejection below 504 may retest 493 demand.
Option Idea: CALL 510 / 515 if QQQ > 623; PUT spread 495 if breakdown below 504.
📈 Bias: Bullish momentum building as MSFT resumes trend leadership. Apple (AAPL) 1H Chart View: Clean breakout structure above 273, forming BOS confirmation. The channel shows potential extension to 277–279, with momentum rising sharply on Stoch RSI.
Trade Setup: * Bullish: CALL scalp above 275, target 278–280. * Bearish: Rejection under 273 → PUT scalp to 269.
Option Idea: CALL 275 / 280 for momentum continuation; hedge with PUT 270 spread.
📈 Bias: Turning bullish again; strong momentum potential toward upper channel. Meta (META) 1H Chart View: META consolidates between 627–635 after repeated BOS signals. CHoCHs indicate accumulation, but rejection at 635 remains a ceiling.
Trade Setup: * Bullish: Break and close > 635 → CALL to 650–660. * Bearish: < 627 → PUT scalp to 600 zone.
Option Idea: CALL 640 / 650 for breakout play; PUT 620 hedge below 627.
📈 Bias: Range-bound but coiling for breakout — watch for QQQ confirmation. Alphabet (GOOG) 1H Chart View: GOOG forms a tightening wedge with multiple CHoCH → BOS sequences near 289–292. Buyers are reclaiming structure, signaling potential breakout setup.
Trade Setup: * Bullish: Above 292, target 296–300 short-term. * Bearish: < 289 may revisit 275–280 demand.
Option Idea: CALL 295 / 300 if QQQ > 623; PUT 285 hedge on reversal.
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation — GOOG aligns with QQQ’s positive gamma zone. My Thought
The Big Tech group (MSFT, AAPL, META, GOOG) is tightly correlated with QQQ’s gamma structure, which remains supportive above 620. As long as positive gamma dominates and volatility stays muted, this sector has room for continuation rallies into mid-November. MSFT and AAPL show the cleanest momentum setups, while META and GOOG are positioned for breakout confirmation. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.

You got to look long-term or use an outside view. -using qullamaggie's 10/20/50 (upsloping) concept and that -you cant run away from 200dma. Your best returns will be on periods with perfect setups. Where you most likely want to know the best stocks to own? //ie during upswingy or in-pattern VIX, small caps underperform etc. simple but not easy. ie the edge. market forces.here's example, owning the HOOD compounding forces in action. Hardest thing to stay patient. And not FOMOing on bad setups?you want to tap into the invisible market forces? but mostly they are predictable?trends can be misleading. market forces does notOliver Kells "price cycle" holds true. Livermores concepts also hold true. Livermores core concept was about "Least resistance". Combining that with Qullamaggies expertise, where he says markets always repeat. If you look from an outside view -- on strong momentum markets, people EXPECT bull market to last forever. at some point it either has "bull stagnation" (peak)... or "bull pause" and it continues (ie re-accumulation phases, flags). from an outside view, least resistance (based on Supply-demand) will always be on bottoms. Then it rallies. And 3rd wave will be an exhausted rally? Psychology always repeat. From Doubt (FUD) --> conviction ---> exhaust. (based on strong "demand" not caution or doubt). markets always revert to mean and respect where 200dma stands?the theory is true, because not many people want to buy the 3rd wave. There's always type of stagnation, that leads to peaks. during 2nd wave it can be an bull pause. where nothing happens... and you may panic or have doubts. same cycle repeat over and over againhere's an example with $CRDO. Great company? 1st wave the easiest %? or LACK OF RESISTANCE. when u are on that market, u tend to focus on short term not statistical side. 2nd wave - could have strong bounce? momentum wave. 3rd - exhaust. on it's last legs. psychology - people expect strong trends to last forever. ie post 3rd wave, u expect a strong market.CLSK Qullamaggie speaks how the 10/20/50 pattern always repeat. Over and over again. I would say, so do the psychology around 1-2-3 waves. Because markets are risk averse? profit seeking, minimizing risk.here's small cap returns with falling dollar DXY as an market force. And falling TNX yields. which fuels risk taking. When you are on these markets at real time --- you ignore the fundamental forces that made market so strong lol hence -- such "3rd wave" exhausts happen.Oliver Kell was great with his price cycle concept. You could probably borrow the concept for 50/200 cycle. There can only be one rally EXTENSION or exhaust. and one exhaust or extension to the downside. Peak or trough basically. if you dont know where it is - it's high variance. avoid. If you are not in the market, holding pos.theoretical returns for $HOOD. assuming you knew the right stock or the category to own. note there would be periods of lag. and your returns wouldn't come right away. it compounds with the 10/20/50 push, extensions. That's why making profit is so tough. I use different approach than qullamaggie, but he also says he only get winning trades 30% of times. ---> longterm, statistics unbeatable. People think it's shit ie underestimate the statistics.and theoretical waves. most risk taking during "1" and "2". because strong market obviously. Momentum of inflows. "3" is exhaust. hard to kill the trend. Where sooner or later nobody wants to buy, or demand from bellow starts pulling things back to earth.-Qullamaggie speaks how you should spend 1000 hrs studying "historical" charts. whilst true. -never be "past" oriented. only forward. There's nothing in the past, that makes you profit.

🎯 QQQ ( $INVESCO NASDAQ-100) Bullish Swing Trade Setup The Layered Entry "Thief" Strategy | Profit Playbook 💰 📈 MARKET OUTLOOK The QQQ (INVESCO QQQ TRUST) is positioned for a bullish swing trade setup. 🚀 This technical analysis focuses on strategic multi-layer entry execution with defined risk/reward parameters suitable for intermediate swing traders. 🎪 ENTRY STRATEGY: "LAYERED THIEF" METHOD This isn't your typical entry—we're using smart limit order layering 🎯 to accumulate positions at key support zones. Think of it as a professional scale-in approach! 📍 Limit Order Entry Layers: Layer 1: $605.00 ⭐ Layer 2: $610.00 ⭐ Layer 3: $615.00 ⭐ Layer 4: $620.00 ⭐ 💡 Pro Tip: Feel free to add additional layers ($625, $630, etc.) based on your risk tolerance and account size. The thief's advantage is patience and positioning! Entry Triggers: Volume confirmation + Support zone bounce + Institutional accumulation signals 📊 🛑 STOP LOSS (Risk Management) ⚠️ THIEF SL: $590.00 📢 DISCLAIMER: This stop loss is a suggestion only. You are responsible for setting your own risk parameters based on your trading capital, risk tolerance, and market conditions. Trade at your own risk! 🎲 🎊 PROFIT TARGETS (Exit Strategy) PRIMARY TARGET: $650.00 ✅ SECONDARY RESISTANCE: $660.00 ⚠️ Note: The $660 zone presents strong technical resistance combined with overbought conditions and potential reversal traps. We recommend taking profits at $650 and letting a small portion run if momentum confirms. Smart money moves! 📢 DISCLAIMER: Target levels are suggestions based on technical analysis. Your profit-taking strategy should align with your personal risk/reward ratio. Final exit decisions rest with you! 🎯 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR Keep an eye on these related assets for confirmation signals: 🔴 QQQ Constituents & Index Correlation: AAPL (Apple Inc.) — Tech sector heavyweight; if AAPL breaks support, QQQ may follow 📱 MSFT (Microsoft Corp.) — AI & cloud leader; typically leads QQQ moves upward 🤖 NVDA (NVIDIA Corp.) — Semiconductor bellwether; massive correlation to tech rallies 💻 TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Growth driver; watch for momentum continuation signals ⚡ GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) — Large-cap tech anchor; supports QQQ uptrend confirmation 🔍 📊 Macro-Level Pairs: NDX (NASDAQ-100 Index) — Direct parent index; should mirror QQQ closely 📈 SPY (S&P 500 ETF) — Broader market health check; risk-on environment confirmation ⭐ IWM (Russell 2000 Small-Cap) — Risk sentiment gauge; divergence = caution ⚠️ DXY (US Dollar Index) — Inverse correlation; strong dollar = headwind for tech 💵 Key Correlation Points: Watch for tech sector strength continuation and macro risk-on sentiment. If NDX confirms, QQQ breakout is highly probable! 🚀 💡 STRATEGY BREAKDOWN ✅ Bullish Bias with patience-based accumulation ✅ Defined Risk at the $590 level ✅ Layered Entry for optimal position sizing ✅ Technical Confluence at resistance zones ✅ Risk/Reward Potential = Approx 1:2.5 ratio 🎓 TECHNICAL VALIDATION CHECKLIST ✅ Support zone identification at $605-620 range ✅ Volume analysis at entry levels ✅ RSI divergence confirmation ✅ Moving average alignment (200 SMA positioning) ✅ Institutional order flow patterns ✅ Market structure (Higher Highs/Higher Lows) ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #QQQ #SwingTrade #TechETF #NASDAQ100 #TradingStrategy #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #ProfitPlaybook #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #ETFTrading #RiskManagement #ActiveTrading

1. Introduction to International Market Risks When investors or companies operate globally, they face uncertainties that can significantly affect profitability and market stability. The international marketplace is dynamic, influenced by macroeconomic factors, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory shifts. These risks can either be systematic—affecting all participants (like global recessions or currency devaluations)—or unsystematic, impacting specific sectors or countries (like political instability or trade restrictions). The ability to identify, evaluate, and mitigate these risks determines the success and sustainability of international trading activities. 2. Types of Risks in International Market Trading a) Exchange Rate Risk (Currency Risk) Exchange rate risk is among the most significant challenges in international trading. It arises because the value of currencies fluctuates daily due to factors like interest rate changes, inflation differentials, and macroeconomic performance. For example, if an Indian exporter sells products to a European buyer in euros, but the euro depreciates against the rupee before payment is received, the exporter earns less in rupees than expected. Similarly, investors holding foreign assets may face losses when converting profits back to their home currency. Hedging instruments like forward contracts, futures, and currency options are widely used to mitigate exchange rate risks. Additionally, diversification of currency exposure across multiple regions helps balance potential losses. b) Political and Geopolitical Risk Political instability, government policy changes, trade restrictions, sanctions, or even wars can dramatically affect international trading conditions. For instance, the Russia-Ukraine conflict caused significant disruptions in global energy markets, affecting prices and supply chains worldwide. Geopolitical tensions can lead to nationalization of foreign assets, expropriation, or sudden changes in tariffs and trade agreements. Investors and multinational corporations must carefully assess the political climate of each country before entering or expanding operations. Political risk insurance, offered by international agencies like the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), helps safeguard against such uncertainties. c) Economic and Financial Risk Economic instability—such as recessions, inflation surges, or financial crises—can harm international traders and investors. A slowdown in global demand or a liquidity crunch in one region can ripple through global markets. For instance, the 2008 global financial crisis began in the U.S. mortgage sector but quickly impacted banks, stock markets, and economies worldwide. Economic risk also involves the possibility of a country’s inability to meet its debt obligations, affecting the value of its bonds and currency. Monitoring macroeconomic indicators like GDP growth, fiscal balance, inflation, and interest rates is essential for managing such risks. d) Legal and Regulatory Risk Each country operates under different laws regarding trade, taxation, investment, and environmental protection. International traders must comply with varying legal standards, which can be complex and costly. Sudden regulatory changes, import/export restrictions, or changes in tax policy can alter the profitability of international operations. For example, changes in customs duties or the imposition of new compliance requirements by the European Union can affect exporters from developing countries. Legal due diligence and the use of international trade agreements like the World Trade Organization (WTO) rules can minimize exposure to regulatory uncertainties. e) Credit and Payment Risk Credit risk refers to the possibility that a foreign buyer or partner fails to fulfill payment obligations. In international trade, the physical distance and differing legal systems increase the difficulty of enforcing contracts. A company exporting goods might face non-payment due to insolvency, political turmoil, or foreign exchange restrictions in the buyer’s country. To manage this, traders often use letters of credit (LCs), export credit insurance, or advance payment agreements. These mechanisms provide assurance and reduce the likelihood of bad debts in cross-border transactions. f) Country Risk Country risk is a broad concept encompassing political, economic, and financial stability within a nation. It measures how likely it is that an investor or trader will face losses due to adverse events in a specific country. For instance, a country facing high inflation, unstable government, or external debt crisis poses higher risks to investors. Country risk assessments, often published by credit rating agencies like Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch, help investors gauge the level of safety before investing or trading. g) Cultural and Communication Risk Cultural differences can cause misunderstandings, negotiation failures, or marketing errors. Business practices, ethics, and communication styles vary across regions, affecting relationships and deal outcomes. For example, marketing strategies that work in Western countries may not succeed in Asia due to differing cultural values and consumer behavior. Cross-cultural training, hiring local experts, and adapting products to local preferences help reduce this risk. h) Market and Liquidity Risk International traders and investors also face market volatility due to fluctuating global demand, supply disruptions, or sudden investor sentiment changes. Liquidity risk arises when an investor cannot easily convert assets into cash without a significant price loss. Emerging markets often have less liquid financial instruments, increasing vulnerability during economic shocks. Portfolio diversification and maintaining adequate cash reserves can mitigate market and liquidity risks. i) Operational and Supply Chain Risk Operational risks stem from failures in logistics, technology, or internal processes. In global trade, disruptions in supply chains—caused by natural disasters, pandemics, or port congestion—can delay deliveries and increase costs. For example, the COVID-19 pandemic exposed severe weaknesses in global supply chains, leading to shortages of essential goods. Companies are now adopting risk management frameworks and diversifying supply bases to enhance resilience. 3. Methods of Managing International Market Risks To thrive in the global marketplace, risk management must be proactive and strategic. The following approaches are commonly used: Hedging Strategies: Using financial instruments such as futures, options, and swaps to lock in exchange rates or commodity prices reduces exposure to market volatility. Diversification: Investing or trading across multiple countries, industries, and currencies helps spread risk and offset potential losses from one market. Insurance and Guarantees: Political risk insurance, export credit insurance, and guarantees from organizations like the Export-Import Bank reduce exposure to default and political risks. Due Diligence and Research: Regularly analyzing economic indicators, political developments, and market trends helps in making informed trading decisions. Partnerships and Local Expertise: Collaborating with local firms provides insights into regional regulations and cultural norms, reducing operational and compliance risks. 4. The Importance of Risk Management in International Markets Effective risk management is essential for maintaining stability, profitability, and competitiveness in international markets. It protects capital and ensures business continuity. It enhances investor confidence, attracting global partnerships and funding. It supports strategic decision-making, allowing firms to expand globally with calculated exposure. It prevents major losses during unpredictable global events, such as currency crashes or political upheavals. 5. Conclusion Trading in international markets offers vast opportunities for growth, diversification, and innovation. However, it also brings a wide range of risks—financial, political, regulatory, and cultural—that can severely impact success if not properly managed. A structured approach to identifying, analyzing, and mitigating these risks is crucial. By using hedging tools, conducting thorough market research, and adopting diversified strategies, investors and businesses can navigate the complexities of global markets more confidently. In an increasingly interconnected world, those who understand and manage international risks effectively are best positioned to thrive in the ever-evolving landscape of global trade and finance.

QQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ) Risk-on Phase 1, high-volatility zone Risk-on Phase 2, high-volatility zone. Critical Sensitivity Zone In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure. In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ. ** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology. It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.

something like that, now that the megaphone has had its overthrow of resistance

- QQQ economy is holding because of big cap tech spending. Underlying economy has can of worms. - Be it consumer discretionary, defensives or real estate. All are in recession. - Consumer doesn't have confidence to spend. - Trump tariff is hurting Americans more. Tariff dividend is stimulus check of 2000 whereas cumulative pressure because of tariff is approx 10,000 per person. - Only way to save economy is by taxing AI companies and passing a bill that prevents layoffs. - Layoff only helps elite class who get paid in stocks. These exec fire people in the name of productivity to keep stock price high and cash out fat bonuses. - Only way to save humanity at this point is via legislation and by prevention of human replacement by robots and AI.- if there's a fear that one can lose job then people wouldn't spend or purchase big things like car, homes and will even cut corners on things which they don't need.- Consumer confidence will return only when consumers feel they have job security and they can't be fired easily and/or there are plenty of jobs which pays same or more than they make

🔴 Resistance: 621 🚀 Upside Targets: 624 – 627 🟢 Support: 618 🚀 Downside Targets: 615 – 612 ⚠️ Risk Management is Key — Always Trade with Proper Risk-Reward Strategy ⚠️ 🔥 These Levels Work Best on 5 to 15-Minute Timeframes 🔥 ❤️ Market Wisdom to Remember: ❤️ ⭐ Trade what you see, not what you assume ⭐ Follow the trend — it's your only true friend ⭐ The chart tells the real story — trust it ⭐ Emotions & assumptions have no place in trading ⭐ Capital protection comes first — always At Globus Capitas, our mission is to empower individuals globally with the knowledge and skills needed to navigate financial markets confidently and work towards achieving their financial goals. 💪 Please Note: Levels shared are for DayTrading only. 🚫 Disclaimer: The information provided is purely educational. No buy/sell recommendations. Always do your own research, assess your risk tolerance, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profit or loss. 💡 Your support matters! Like, comment, and follow to stay updated and motivated. Cheers & Trade Smart! 🚀

Simply touching the 50d MA isn’t enough The close relative to it & what kind of volume accompanies that close tells you whether institutions are defending or abandoning that level Intraday touches of the 50d MA (currently near $609-$610) often trigger systematic buy programs & retail dip-buying But those mean little unless the daily close holds back above it A close below the 50d MA implies those dip orders were absorbed & that’s when trend followers, quants & mutual funds begin to rotate out 1. Touch ≠ break 2. Close below = trend shift confirmation Over the last few major cycles (2023-2025), QQQ tends to wick below the 50d MA during pullbacks of 3-5%, hold closes above during healthy uptrends, & when it closes below for 2+ sessions, that typically begins a multi-week corrective phase of 6-10% If QQQ closes below $607 on volume >90M, that aligns perfectly with a momentum breakdown beneath both the anchored VWAP (10 October) & the 50d MA - a technical double-confirmation Conversely, if it reclaims $615-$617 by the close, the market remains in corrective bounce territory rather than a new leg down The 50d MA is the battleground, not just a line Watch the daily close + volume, not the wick If we print two consecutive closes below it, probability of a decline rises sharply toward 70-75%

Current Price: $609.74 Direction: SHORT Confidence Level: 70% (The majority of professional traders indicate bearish sentiment and short-term downside risks; significant agreement on resistance and support levels) Targets: - T1 = $602.50 - T2 = $591.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $613.00 - S2 = $617.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights derived from extensive monitoring of professional traders who focus on Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 and its broader implications within the Nasdaq 100 ETF. Many traders have highlighted a consistent bearish sentiment for the upcoming week, suggesting that upside risks are limited. Technical rejections at $613 and $617 resistance levels are identified as pivotal factors that could cap any potential rally, while support levels around $594-$602 could trigger additional selling pressure toward $591. **Key Insights:** Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 appears to be locked into a short-term bearish trajectory, reflecting broader weakness in Nasdaq 100 stocks heavily weighted toward growth and technology sectors. Several professional traders have pointed out the inability of QQQ to sustain its previous rallies, particularly the failure of price action to recover above both short- and medium-term moving averages, such as the 20-day and 50-day EMAs. The prevailing trend identified by multiple market experts is a breakdown of support levels around $602, potentially dragging the ETF lower to test critical levels near $591—emphasized across several technical analyses. Coupled with bearish candlestick formations and weak momentum indicators, such as oversold RSI nearing 47, traders point to the necessity of remaining cautious and anticipate further corrective movement this week. **Recent Performance:** QQQ has been exhibiting high volatility, with notable declines in recent sessions. Over the past week, QQQ dropped from highs of $629.07 to its current level of $609.74, signaling a 4% week-over-week decrease. Despite a temporary bounce on Friday, with gains of 2% heading into the market close, selling resumed at key resistance levels. Traders have consistently observed broad-based weakness in high-growth stocks that dominate the Nasdaq 100 index, at odds with a broader short rally across sectors. While other indices like SPY maintained a better technical setup, QQQ remained stuck below major moving averages, specifically the 9-day and 20-day, reinforcing its bearish momentum. **Expert Analysis:** The consensus among professional traders from the analyzed data strongly suggests bearish price action for QQQ in the coming week. Resistance areas at $613 and $617 are expected to create significant selling pressure, while the bearish formation of lower highs and lower lows further confirms the likelihood of continued downside movement. Many technical analysts specifically highlight concerns about QQQ’s recent failure to recover key support levels and challenge higher price zones such as $620. Bearish patterns like hammer candlesticks and weekly broadening ranges have been observed, with sentiment indicating that these technical formations are more likely to precede price breakdowns than reversals. Traders agree that short-term momentum favors downside, especially if $602 fails to hold as support. **News Impact:** Persistent macroeconomic challenges and sector-specific weaknesses lend additional credence to traders’ bearish expectations this week. Concerns over valuation in the technology sector have intensified, driven by underperformance among major Nasdaq 100 components such as Tesla and Nvidia, which failed to impress in their recent earnings reports. Additionally, while temporary relief may come from easing Fed rate expectations in the short term, ongoing geopolitical tension and weaker-than-expected economic data could overwhelm any bullish catalysts. Traders continue to focus on broader macro risks, including rate hike trajectories and slower fiscal stimulus, which pose meaningful headwinds to QQQ and other growth-heavy ETFs. **Trading Recommendation:** Based on the strong bearish sentiment among professional traders and technical rejection at resistance levels, I recommend initiating a short position in Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 this week. Enter near the current price of $609.74, setting T1 at $602.50 for an initial profit target and T2 at $591.00 for extended downside potential. The recommended stop-loss levels are S1 at $613.00 and S2 at $617.00 to help manage risk effectively. This setup presents an attractive short-term risk-to-reward ratio, with a well-documented rejection scenario at $617 from professional traders’ collective analysis. A breakdown below $602 will likely accelerate bearish movement toward the $591 support region, which is consistent across multiple analyses. Exercise caution and ensure stops are tightly managed if QQQ shows signs of unexpected reversal. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free daily update in your language!