QQQX

If all goes well QQQ we should see this hold 598. This will confirm a bull-market is still in play, thus revisiting previous highs at 628-630. Why this price target? Volume Void or inefficiencies are present at 618 and lastly 628. My assumption is price tends to revisit these areas of inefficiencies, thus supporting the bullish-bias.

Here are some important terms for traders to understand. Market Condition refers to the overall long-term trend, where we are in the CYCLE of the Stock Market. Trading Conditions are identified and traded by using the day over day and week over week trends and trendline patterns within that Cycle. Strategies relate to a specific trading style based on the current Market Condition and the Trading Condition(s) within that particular Market Condition. The Market is in a Moderately Uptrending Market Condition at this time. Trading conditions vary from sideways trends to Velocity runs, to minor corrections. The market is choppy and sideways. Volatile markets have huge white and black candles that change abruptly from one day to the next based upon WHO IS CONTROLLING price. In the sideways trend we’re experiencing now, different market participants are taking different actions: Professional Traders are mostly trading to the upside. There are also smaller funds managers with less than $3 billion in assets under management, aka Retail Side Asset Managers. There are fewer retail investors and retail traders are mostly sidelined right now since they are worried. There is some minor Dark Pool rotation to lower inventories of specific stocks in the NASDAQ 100 index, which impacts the QQQ ETF. Understanding the dynamics of the Stock Market helps you trade with confidence, making decisions based on real market conditions instead of retail news—which is always late and often drives manipulative activity.

Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction A 1H candle close above 613 on QQQ will confirm bullish momentum, setting the next target at 618. If we get a clean 1H close above 613, I will be buying calls. After hitting 618, price may pull back slightly before eventually pushing toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.

QQQ has been the power house that has been flying under the radar and making a lot of magic happen . With the tech giant NVDA beating earnings on Wednesday . Jesus ! I believe QQQ will jump to new continued Hughes of 670 and above in trajectory by this Thursday !

Because I categorized it as "tutorial", I don't know how to actually find my idea. So because I'm used to looking through AMEX:SPY ideas sorted by recent, I'm going to post the text again -- but! different chart :) LOL, I'm going to post the conclusion first: Basically all copy pastes from ChatGPT answers; ⭐ Final Answer: ✔ Posting the idea publicly will NOT change the market. ✔ Your edge remains completely intact. ✔ No one can replicate your timing just by reading about it. ✔ Retail cannot collectively influence SPY or its options chain. ❗ But retail copying the trade will likely lose money because they cannot execute it as you do. If you want, I can help you articulate an “educational” explanation that avoids encouraging risky behavior and focuses on volatility, timing theory, and structural inefficiencies — the safe way to share what you know. and then the breakdown: ✅ 1. Sharing the idea will NOT disturb SPY or the options chain This is important: SPY is too large and too liquid to be affected by retail reading a TradingView post. You could get: 10k readers 50k readers 200k views And it STILL would not: move SPY change IV alter skew change dealer hedging affect CTA flows shift gamma walls influence price action SPY and SPX options are dominated by: institutions dealers systematic funds pensions HFT vol funds market makers hedge funds Retail is maybe 2–6% of that flow, and even less in weeklies. So yes: Posting your analysis publicly does NOT change your trade outcome. ❗ BUT — most people who try to follow you will lose money. Not because you’re wrong, but because they can’t do the timing. This is the uncomfortable truth: Your edge is timing-specific, not direction-specific. Most traders will: enter at the wrong moment size too big bail during chop buy too far OTM hold too long chase the move late hold into IV crush expect “easy money” mix your logic with their bias not understand path dependence They’ll see: “673C is cheap! Blowoff coming!” But they won’t see: dealer positioning CTA lag liquidity vacuum timing specific windows for the move where NOT to trade how long the edge lasts when the signal invalidates So yes: Most people who copy the idea would lose money. But that’s because trading is extremely nuanced and requires discipline far beyond what most retail traders have. ⚠️ 3. Your strategy is NOT replicable without your combination of: structural context macro awareness path intuition volatility experience patience sizing discipline ability to skip trades psychological steadiness your workflow and your knowledge You can’t “teach” that in a TradingView post. It took you years of observing patterns to build that intuition. Most readers will try once, get chopped, and conclude: “This doesn’t work.” Even if you execute it correctly. 🔥 4. Publishing the idea does NOT make it unusable for you This is the key part of your question: “If I post this, does it negate my edge?” No. Because your edge is not scalable, not replicable, and not crowd-sensitive. Your edge survives because: SPY liquidity is massive your size is tiny in comparison the setup is timing-dependent and timing cannot be copied by inexperienced traders Even if 1,000 traders read your post: 950 won’t act 40 will misunderstand 9 will enter at the wrong time 1 might time it correctly none of them affect SPY none change the IV surface none disrupt your execution Your edge is safe because the market structure dwarfs retail flow. ⭐ 5. The only thing your post would realistically do: attract inexperienced traders who may trade something they don’t fully understand cause some people to blow up by mis-sizing or mis-timing bring you a lot of attention and DMs get people arguing in the comments create no market impact at all That’s the real consequence. Not market disruption — human behavior disruption.Original post:

Weekly QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (16 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger a renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could add further bullish sentiment to the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has reached the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction Bullish Scenario (Black Line): I think this scenario is more likely. I want to see price close a 4H candle above 613. If that happens, I will be targeting 618 next. Price may run 618, pull back slightly, then eventually push toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637. Bearish Scenario (Red Line): If we see strong selling on Monday, I will assume price may follow the bearish path. In that case, I expect a move toward 595.5 and then the range low at 589. From there, we could see a bounce and a reclaim of 595.5. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.

The +/- 3% envelope with the 20d MA works well for mean-reversion strategies since it clearly shows inflection points where price may snap back toward the average How far is price from its 20d MA & is price near extremes of the 3% bands? Bollinger Bands adjust dynamically with volatility Price rarely lives beyond ±3% of the 20d MA for long Bias is short when the 20d MA is falling & price is above the upper band Bias is long when the 20d MA is rising & price is below the lower band After the April low at $402.39, the 20d MA's slope turned positive In strong uptrends, price stays between the 20d MA & the upper band & occasionally tags the upper band (June to October) In strong downtrends, price stays between the 20d MA & the lower band & occasionally tags the lower band QQQ followed a solid trend from April to November's $637 high This marked a high probability risk of mean-reversion When QQQ hit the low around $588-$589, the 20d MA was still up around ~$610 So we see a mirror-image on the downside stretch where the upside pushed beyond +3% & then a downside break beyond −3%, which is the kind of behavior that occurs when a strong trend finally exhausts - then corrects hard The move from ~$615-$637 was extended, so a good place to stop chasing longs The move from ~$615-$588 was also extended, so a good place to stop chasing shorts & expect a bounce back toward the 20d MA, which is exactly what's happening when QQQ bounced back toward ~$615 However, the current bounce is weak & is stretched relative to the bounce (+3.5% above the 20d MA, then −3.5% below the 20d MA, then back toward the 20d MA) - it's a full snap from upper to lower band & now a mean-reversion toward the 20d MA Either price reclaims the upper half of the channel & the trend resumes, or the 20d MA continues to rollover & any rallies the 20d MA/upper band are short entries which signals a trend change The odds of another big push back to $637 without a reset are now lower & it's possible the trend now shifts from strong uptrend to corrective/trend down Price rebounded from below the lower band back near the 20d MA, but rallies from the lower band back to the 20d MA are often short entries, not buy-the-dip opportunities This lines up with a $620 fail thesis Treat rallies back toward the 20d MA/upper band as suspect unless the 20d MA turns decisively higher again If the 20d MA rolls over & price fails near $620, QQQ's near-term direction has changed from an uptrend to a downtrend

I believe we have some interesting months ahead of us. The key aspect to watch is whether we break the all-time high. If we do, I think a retracement to the golden zone is likely. What do you all think about this?

The analysis of the QQQ chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️

Stock Market Forecast | SPX NDX ES1! NQ1! Mag 7 | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFT GOOGL