PHANT0M

Proof of Strength: An Analysis of Ethereum's Dominance and Year-End Trajectory Date of Analysis: August 09, 2025 Executive Summary Ethereum has not just recovered; it has entered a powerful breakout phase. The explosive move past the psychological $4,000 barrier this week, confirmed by a surging market dominance, signals a significant shift in market dynamics. This indicates a strong bullish continuation for the remainder of the year. While the current momentum is formidable, extremely overbought conditions on key indicators suggest that strategic entry and risk management will be paramount. Part 1: Analysis of the Last 7 Days (August 2 - August 9, 2025) The past week has been nothing short of spectacular for Ethereum, culminating in a major technical and psychological breakout. Price Action & Key Levels: Parabolic Breakout: The narrative has evolved from a simple recovery to a full-fledged breakout. After establishing support around $3,600, ETH has surged aggressively, shattering the $4,000 resistance level to trade at $4,022. This move demonstrates immense buying pressure and market conviction. New Support Established: The previous resistance zone around $3,850 - $3,900 is now the immediate support level to watch. A successful defense of this zone on any pullback would be a powerful confirmation of the trend's strength. The $4,000 level itself is now a critical psychological floor. Dominance as a Leading Indicator: The rise in ETH Dominance (ETH.D) to 12.65% was a precursor to this move. The fact that dominance climbed before and during this price explosion confirms that Ethereum is the clear market leader, attracting a disproportionate amount of capital. Key Indicator Insights: Relative Strength Index (RSI): With the price now above $4,000, the daily RSI has pushed further into overbought territory, likely approaching the 80 level. In a strong bull market, an asset can remain "overbought" for an extended period. However, this reading serves as a critical warning that the trend is becoming overheated and is susceptible to sharp, albeit potentially brief, pullbacks. Moving Averages: The price is now extending significantly above its short-term moving averages (like the 20-day EMA). While bullish, this creates a "gap" that will likely need to be closed by either a period of sideways consolidation or a price correction back towards the moving average. Trading Strategy Application: The breakout strategy has now been validated. The aggressive move through $3,900 and $4,000 was the signal for trend-following traders to enter. At current levels, initiating a new long position is high-risk. The prudent strategy now is to: Manage existing longs: Consider taking partial profits and moving stop-losses up to just below the new support area around $3,850. Wait for the next setup: A new entry opportunity would present itself on a successful retest and hold of the $4,000 level, confirming it as the new support base. Part 2: Outlook for Remainder of the Year (Until December 31, 2025) The explosive price action this week has significantly improved the outlook for Ethereum, suggesting an accelerated timeline for reaching new highs. Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Projection: Path to New Highs To project more ambitious targets, we can apply Elliott Wave theory. The recent price action strongly suggests we are in the midst of a powerful Wave 3 impulse, which is typically the longest and most aggressive phase of a bull market trend. Wave 1: The initial impulse from the October 2024 lows ($2,200) to the late November high ($3,400). Wave 2: The shallow correction down to around $3,100 in early 2025. Wave 3 (Current Wave): The powerful wave that began from the ~$3,100 low and has now broken $4,000. Using Fibonacci extensions, we can project the potential termination point for this Wave 3: Primary Target (1.618 Extension): ~$5,050. This is the most common and technically sound target for a Wave 3. It is calculated by taking 1.618 times the length of Wave 1 and adding it to the bottom of Wave 2. Achieving this target would represent a significant new all-time high and is a realistic goal for the coming months. Aggressive Bull Case (2.618 Extension): ~$6,250. In crypto markets, which are prone to extreme momentum and speculative fervor, third waves often extend. The 2.618 extension represents a "blue-sky" scenario. Reaching this level would likely require continued strength in ETH Dominance and a favorable macro environment. Potential Scenarios & Strategy: Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario): The path of least resistance is upwards towards the $5,050 primary target. The strategy remains to buy on dips. A retest of the $4,000 level would be the first opportunity. A deeper, but still healthy, correction could find strong support at the $3,850 breakout point. Wave 4 Consolidation: It's important to note that after this powerful Wave 3 completes (whether at $5,050 or higher), a corrective Wave 4 is expected. This would likely manifest as a multi-week period of sideways consolidation or a significant pullback, which would set the stage for the final Wave 5 rally into 2026. Conclusion The recent breakout above $4,000 is a game-changer, confirming Ethereum's market leadership and initiating what appears to be a powerful Wave 3 advance. While the immediate path higher may see some volatility due to overbought conditions, the underlying trend is strong. The primary technical target for this move is now set at $5,050, with a more aggressive bull case pointing towards the $6,250 region by year-end. The key is to view any pullbacks not as a reversal, but as an opportunity to join the prevailing bullish trend.

الوضع الحالی کان Ethereum فی رحلة فی عام 2025. بعد التسلق بشکل مطرد منذ ینایر ووصل إلى ما یقرب من 4000 دولار فی یولیو ، نشهد الآن تراجعًا بأسعار بحوالی 3400 دولار. هذا لیس غیر عادی - حتى فی الصعود القویة ، لا تتحرک الأسعار فی خطوط مستقیمة. ما یخبرنا Data النظر فی أنماط الأسعار والمؤشرات التقنیة: لا تزال الصورة الکبیرة إیجابیة: على الرغم من الانخفاضات الأخیرة ، لا یزال Ethereum فی اتجاه صعودی عند النظر إلى الإطار الزمنی الأطول. نحن أعلى بکثیر مما بدأنا العام. نحن فی نقطة قرار: السعر یجلس حالیًا على مستوى مهم حیث أظهر المشترین والبائعون سابقًا اهتمامًا قویًا. مناطق الدعم والمقاومة واضحة: کانت هناک مستویات متسقة فی الأسعار حیث تمیل Ethereum إلى الارتداد (الدعم) أو الکفاح من أجل اختراق (المقاومة). ثلاثة مسارات ممکنة إلى الأمام المسار 1: استئناف التسلق (احتمال 45 ٪) إذا استعاد المشترون السیطرة ، فقد نرى Ethereum دفع مرة أخرى فوق 3500 دولار ، ثم تحدی المرتفعات الأخیرة بالقرب من 3900 دولار. یمکن أن یفتح کسر هذا المستوى الباب أمام علامة 4000 دولار ذات أهمیة نفسیة وربما خارجها. المسار 2: مزید من التراجع (احتمال 40 ٪) إذا استمر ضغط البیع ، فقد ینخفض Ethereum نحو 3200 دولار أولاً ، مع دعم أقوى حوالی 3000 دولار. فی سیناریو تصحیح أعمق ، یمکننا اختبار مساحة 2800 دولار حیث تدخل العدید من المشترین خلال الانخفاضات السابقة. المسار 3: حرکة جانبیة (احتمال 15 ٪) فی بعض الأحیان تحتاج الأسواق إلى وقت لهضم المکاسب. یمکن أن یقضی Ethereum عدة أسابیع فی التداول الجانبی بین حوالی 3300 دولار و 3600 دولار قبل القیام بخطوته المهمة التالیة. ماذا تراقب إشارات الاختراق: خطوة قویة فوق 3550 دولارًا مع زیادة حجم التداول من شأنها أن تشیر إلى استئناف الاتجاه الصعودی. إشارات الانهیار: یمکن أن یشیر انخفاض أقل من 3،350 دولار مع الإدانة إلى مزید من الجانب السلبی. أنماط الحجم: حجم أعلى فی أیام الصعود مقابل أیام أسفل من شأنه أن یشیر إلى اهتمام المشتری الأقوى. یعتمد هذا التحلیل بحتة على أنماط الأسعار والمؤشرات الفنیة ، حیث یبحث فی ما قام به السوق بالفعل بدلاً من التنبؤات بناءً على الأخبار أو الشعور.

یتم تداول LINK بحوالی 19.26 دولار. أظهر السعر تقلبًا کبیرًا وزخمًا تصاعدیًا على مدار الأشهر القلیلة الماضیة ، حیث انتقل من حوالی 10-11 دولار فی أوائل عام 2025 إلى المستویات الحالیة بالقرب من 19 دولارًا ، مما یمثل زیادة رائعة بنسبة 80-90 ٪. تحلیل المؤشر الفنی RSI (مؤشر القوة النسبیة) RSI الیومیة حالیًا فی 61.60 ، وهو فی منطقة صعودیة ولکن لیس بعد شوهده بعد یظهر مؤشر القوة النسبیة لمدة 4 ساعات قوة مماثلة فی 61.60 یشیر هذا إلى زخم قوی دون الوصول إلى مستویات متطرفة من شأنها أن تؤدی إلى تحقیق أرباح فوریة یمکن أن تحافظ على قراءات RSI التاریخیة LINK التاریخیة فی نطاق 60-70 أثناء الصعود القوی أنماط عمل الأسعار شکلت LINK سلسلة من الارتفاعات العلیا والانخفاضات العلیا منذ مایو 2025 یتم توحید السعر مؤخرًا فی نطاق 17-19 دولارًا قبل إظهار علامات الاستمرار کان هناک زیادة کبیرة فی الأسعار من 13-14 دولار إلى أعلى من 19 دولارًا فی منتصف یولیو ، مما یشیر إلى ضغط شراء قوی توحید بعد المکاسب السریعة یشیر إلى سلوک السوق الصحی بدلاً من الإرهاق تحلیل الحجم یزداد الحجم خلال حرکات الأسعار التصاعدیة حدثت مسامیر ذات حجم ملحوظ خلال الاختراق من 15 دولارًا إلى 17 دولارًا ومرة أخرى خلال هذه الخطوة فوق 19 دولارًا هذا یشیر إلى اهتمام الشراء الأصلی بدلاً من مضخة منخفضة الحجم یستمر متوسط سعر المرجح فی الحجم (VWAP) فی الانحدار إلى الأعلى ، مما یؤکد قوة الاتجاه مستویات الدعم والمقاومة تم تشکیل دعم قوی حوالی 17.50-18.00 دولار یتم الآن اختبار المقاومة السابقة حوالی 19.00 دولارًا کدعم یبدو أن المقاومة major التالیة فی نطاق 20-21 دولارًا بناءً على إجراء السعر السابق بعد ذلک ، هناک مقاومة تاریخیة قلیلة نسبیًا حتى مستوى 25 دولارًا توقعات فیبوناتشی باستخدام انخفاض التأرجح الأخیر البالغ حوالی 11.45 دولار (مایو 2025) إلى أعلى مستوى آخر قدره 19.66 دولار: مشاریع التمدید بنسبة 161.8 ٪ هدف یبلغ حوالی 24.70 دولار یوحی امتداد 200 ٪ بالتحرک نحو 28.00 دولارًا غالبًا ما تکون مستویات فیبوناتشی بمثابة مغناطیس للسعر خلال حرکات الاتجاه القویة LINK إسقاط السعر بناءً على المؤشرات التقنیة التی تم تحلیلها: على المدى القصیر (أغسطس-سبتمبر 2025): LINK یبدو على وشک اختراق الحاجز النفسی البالغ 20 دولارًا الهدف الأولی حوالی 22-23 دولار کمستوى المقاومة التالی یجب أن یحمل الدعم حوالی 17.50-18.00 دولار على أی انسحاب إن الاستراحة النظیفة أعلى من المقاومة السابقة عند 18.50-19.00 تشیر إلى أن الزخم لا یزال قویًا متوسطة الأجل (أکتوبر-نوفمبر 2025): إذا ظل بنیة الاتجاه الحالیة سلیمة یمکن أن یستهدف LINK نطاق 24-25 دولارًا ، حیث یتماشى مع امتداد Fibonacci 161.8 ٪ یمکن أن تلعب أعلى مستویاتها السابقة على الإطلاق بالقرب من 30 دولارًا بحلول نهایة العام یشیر نمط مسیرات الدرج الثابتة التی تلیها التوحید إلى أن هذه الخطوة ستکون مستدامة العوامل الرئیسیة لمشاهدة: حجم على هروبات فوق 20 دولارًا و 25 دولارًا قراءات RSI للحصول على علامات الإرهاق أو استمرار القوة تحدیثات التطویر وأخبار التبنی الخاصة بالسلسلة الحفاظ على نمط المنخفضة الأعلى على أی انسحاب خاتمة تظهر الصورة الفنیة لـ LINK صعودیة ، مع وجود مؤشرات متعددة تشیر إلى استمرار الزخم الصعودی. لقد أنشأ السعر اتجاهاً قویاً مع فترات توحید صحیة. یظهر الإجراء الأخیر للأسعار التراکم بدلاً من التوزیع ، مع تشکیل انخفاض أعلى خلال مراحل التوحید. یشیر السیناریو الأکثر ترجیحًا على أساس data إلى أن LINK یمکن أن یصل إلى نطاق 24-25 دولارًا فی الأشهر 2-3 التالیة ، مع إمکانیة الحرکة نحو 28-30 دولارًا بحلول نهایة عام 2025 ، مما یمثل زیادة بنسبة 30-55 ٪ عن المستویات الحالیة. ومع ذلک ، یجب على المستثمرین مراقبة مستویات الدعم الرئیسیة حوالی 17.50 إلى 18.00 دولارًا لأی علامات على عکس الاتجاه. تشیر بنیة الرسم البیانی النظیفة ، والملف تعریف حجم ثابت ، وقراءات RSI المقاسة ، إلى استمرار فی الاتجاه الصعودی الحالی ، مما یجعل التوقعات الفنیة لـ Link إیجابیة تمامًا خلال الفترة المتبقیة من عام 2025.

Polkadot (DOT) is currently trading at approximately $4.08 (as of July 25, 2025), having experienced significant volatility in recent months. After reaching a local high of $7.64 in mid-April 2025, DOT has undergone a substantial correction, losing approximately 46% of its value. This analysis examines DOT's technical position and potential trajectory for the remainder of 2025. Price Structure Analysis The daily chart reveals DOT has been in a defined downtrend since April 2025, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. Most recently, price has established a trading range between $3.90-$4.30, suggesting potential stabilization after the steep decline. This consolidation zone represents a critical juncture for DOT's next directional move. Key observations from the price structure: Descending Channel Formation: DOT has been trading within a descending channel since April, with the upper boundary currently around $4.50 and lower boundary near $3.80. Support Cluster: Multiple support tests in the $3.90-$4.00 region have held thus far, potentially forming a base for a recovery attempt. Volume Profile: Trading volume has been notably higher during recent consolidation compared to previous months, suggesting increased interest at these price levels. RSI Analysis: Signs of Potential Reversal The Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides compelling evidence for a potential trend shift: Bullish Divergence: While price made lower lows in late June and early July, the RSI formed higher lows, creating a bullish divergence pattern that often precedes reversals. Oversold Recovery: The RSI reached oversold territory (below 30) in mid-June and has since recovered to the 40-45 range, indicating diminishing selling pressure. RSI-based MA Crossover: The RSI has recently crossed above its moving average, a signal that has historically preceded price recoveries for DOT. The 4-hour chart shows the RSI establishing a series of higher lows while price consolidates, suggesting building momentum beneath the surface despite sideways price action. Support/Resistance Level Analysis Critical price levels that will influence DOT's next directional move: Support Zones: Primary: $3.90-$4.00 (current consolidation floor) Secondary: $3.60-$3.70 (previous support from May) Tertiary: $3.30-$3.40 (major support from early 2025) Resistance Zones: Immediate: $4.30-$4.50 (upper boundary of current consolidation) Major: $4.80-$5.00 (previous support turned resistance) Structural: $5.70-$6.00 (descending trendline from April high) Volume Analysis Volume patterns provide additional context for DOT's current position: Declining Sell Volume: Selling volume has progressively decreased during the recent consolidation phase, suggesting exhaustion of selling pressure. Volume Spikes on Bounces: Recent upward price movements have been accompanied by above-average volume, indicating potential accumulation. Volume Contraction: The overall contraction in trading volume during the recent range-bound price action typically precedes significant moves. Market Structure Analysis Examining DOT's market structure reveals several important patterns: Potential Inverse Head & Shoulders: The recent price action is forming what could develop into an inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline around $4.50. Completion of this pattern would project a move toward $5.20-$5.40. Wyckoff Accumulation: The price action since mid-June displays characteristics consistent with Wyckoff accumulation, including: Spring phase (drop to $3.59 in late June) Test phase (retest of lows in early July) Sign of strength (move toward $4.20 on increased volume) Compression Pattern: Price volatility has been decreasing, forming a compression pattern that typically resolves in a strong directional move. Moving Average Analysis Moving averages confirm DOT's bearish positioning but show early signs of potential trend change: Below Key MAs: DOT remains below all major moving averages (50, 100, and 200-day), confirming the bearish trend. MA Compression: The gap between shorter and longer-term moving averages is narrowing, often a precursor to trend shifts. RSI-based MA Crossover: While price MAs remain bearish, the RSI-based moving average has turned upward, often an early indicator of trend reversal. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis Using the move from the April high ($7.64) to the June low ($3.59): 23.6% Retracement: $4.54 (immediate target on breakout) 38.2% Retracement: $5.13 (medium-term target) 50% Retracement: $5.62 (significant resistance level) 61.8% Retracement: $6.10 (major resistance level) The current price action suggests DOT is attempting to establish a base before potentially targeting these retracement levels. Scenario Analysis Bullish Scenario If DOT can decisively break above the $4.50 resistance level with increased volume: Initial Target: $4.80-$5.00 (previous support turned resistance) Secondary Target: $5.50-$5.70 (50% retracement level) Extended Target: $6.00-$6.30 (61.8% retracement and structural resistance) Catalysts: Successful parachain upgrades, increased developer activity, or broader crypto market recovery could drive this scenario. Bearish Scenario If DOT breaks below the $3.90 support level: Initial Target: $3.60-$3.70 (previous support) Secondary Target: $3.30-$3.40 (major support level) Extended Target: $3.00 (psychological support) Catalysts: Continued weakness in the broader crypto market, technical issues with the Polkadot network, or regulatory concerns could trigger this scenario. Most Probable Scenario Based on the weight of technical evidence, the most probable scenario appears to be: Continued consolidation between $3.90-$4.50 for the next 1-2 weeks Eventual breakout above $4.50 targeting the $5.00 level Establishment of a new trading range between $4.50-$5.50 through August-September This scenario is supported by the bullish divergences, decreasing selling volume, and early signs of accumulation. Trading Strategy Recommendations For Long-Term Investors Accumulation Strategy: Consider dollar-cost averaging in the current $3.90-$4.20 range Position Sizing: Maintain appropriate position sizing given DOT's high volatility Key Levels: Use the $3.60 level as a stop-loss for new positions For Active Traders Range-Bound Strategy: Trade the current range between $3.90-$4.30 until a breakout occurs Breakout Strategy: Enter on confirmation of breakout above $4.50 with targets at $4.80, $5.20, and $5.70 Risk Management: Maintain tight stops below $4.30 on breakout trades to protect against false breakouts For Risk-Averse Investors Confirmation Approach: Wait for confirmation of trend reversal (price above $4.80 and 50-day MA) Partial Position: Consider establishing partial positions at current levels with defined risk parameters Technical Triggers: Look for RSI moves above 60 as confirmation of momentum shift Conclusion: Cautious Optimism for DOT The technical picture for Polkadot suggests we may be approaching an inflection point after the substantial correction from April highs. Multiple technical indicators point to diminishing selling pressure and early signs of accumulation, creating the conditions for a potential recovery. While DOT remains in a technical downtrend, the convergence of bullish divergences, volume patterns, and market structure suggests the potential for a trend reversal in the coming weeks. The $4.50 level represents the key technical hurdle that must be overcome to confirm this shift. For investors and traders, a balanced approach is warranted—acknowledging the current bearish trend while positioning for a potential reversal. The risk-reward profile appears increasingly favorable for cautious accumulation at current levels, with clearly defined risk parameters. The most probable path forward appears to be continued consolidation followed by a gradual recovery toward the $5.00-$5.50 range by late Q3 2025, contingent upon broader market conditions and continued development progress within the Polkadot ecosystem.

Cardano's Ascent: A Technical Outlook for Q3-Q4 2025 Breaking Through Resistance: Cardano's Path to $1.00 and Beyond Following a period of extended consolidation, Cardano (ADA) has demonstrated a significant shift in character, breaking out decisively from a key resistance zone. Currently trading near $0.82 as of July 18, 2025, ADA has entered a new phase of bullish momentum. This analysis will dissect the technical landscape to project its potential trajectory through the end of the year, identifying critical price levels and probable targets. Current Market Context After consolidating in a range between $0.70 and $0.77 for several weeks, ADA has executed a powerful breakout, surging over 15% in the last few days to establish a multi-month high at $0.825. This move signals a clear victory for buyers and a potential end to the preceding sideways market structure. The immediate challenge for bulls is to defend this breakout level and convert prior resistance into firm support, setting the stage for the next major leg higher. RSI Analysis: Emerging Strength with Room to Run The recent price surge has propelled the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory, currently reading above 70. While this often signals a short-term exhaustion and suggests a minor pullback or consolidation is likely, the underlying momentum on higher timeframes remains constructive. The weekly RSI is trending sharply upwards from the neutral 50-level but remains well below the extreme overbought readings (80+) that have historically marked major cycle tops for ADA. This divergence between short-term overbought conditions and long-term momentum capacity is a classic sign of a healthy, strengthening trend. It indicates that while a brief pause is probable, the primary path of least resistance remains upward for the coming months. Price Action & Volume Analysis: The Anatomy of a Breakout The price action leading up to this point exhibits classic signs of accumulation followed by a markup phase: Accumulation Phase: The trading range between $0.70 and $0.77 showed contracting volatility and was likely a period of "cause-building," where informed market participants accumulated positions. Sign of Strength (SOS): The recent impulsive move from $0.77 to over $0.82 represents a clear SOS. This breakout was likely accompanied by a significant increase in volume, confirming the market's conviction and overwhelming sellers who were active at the resistance level. A successful retest of the breakout zone at $0.75 - $0.77 on diminishing volume would be the strongest possible confirmation of a new, sustainable uptrend. Supply and Demand Zone Analysis: Charting the Path Forward The recent breakout has fundamentally altered the market structure, turning a key supply zone into a new floor of demand. Major Demand Zone (New Support): A critical demand zone has now been established between $0.75 - $0.77. This area, formerly resistance, is now the most important level for bulls to defend to maintain the bullish structure. Secondary Support Cluster: Should the primary zone fail, the next significant support lies at $0.68 - $0.70, the floor of the previous accumulation range. Overhead Supply Zones: Unlike an asset at all-time highs, ADA faces historical resistance. The next major supply zones are located near $0.95 and, more significantly, the psychological and technical barrier at $1.10 - $1.15. Fibonacci Extension Framework: Projecting Bullish Targets Using the recent swing low of the accumulation phase (approx. $0.70) and the recent swing high ($0.825), we can project logical price targets for the current impulse wave: The 127.2% extension projects a target of approximately $0.88. The 161.8% extension, a common target for strong trends, points toward $0.92. A more extended move to the 200% extension suggests a potential test of $0.97, aligning closely with the psychological $1.00 level. These Fibonacci-derived targets provide a clear roadmap for the potential upside if the current bullish momentum is sustained. Price Projection Timeline Late July - August 2025: Expect a period of consolidation or a healthy pullback. The overbought daily RSI suggests the market needs to pause. A retest of the $0.77 support level would be a prime opportunity for trend-continuation entries. A successful defence of this zone is critical. September - October 2025: Following the consolidation, the trend is expected to resume, targeting the Fibonacci extension levels of $0.88 - $0.92. This move would represent the confirmation of the new uptrend and would likely attract a second wave of buyers. November - December 2025: Should the Q4 market environment remain favourable, a push toward the major psychological and technical resistance at $1.00 - $1.15 is highly probable. This would represent a significant milestone and could trigger a more substantial corrective phase as long-term holders take profits. Support Zones: Primary: $0.75 - $0.77 (The breakout point; must hold) Secondary: $0.68 - $0.70 (Floor of the previous range) Resistance & Target Zones: Immediate: $0.825 (Recent high) Target 1: $0.88 - $0.92 (Fibonacci cluster) Target 2: $0.97 - $1.00 (Fibonacci & psychological level) Major Resistance: $1.10 - $1.15 (Historical supply zone) Conclusion: The Road to One Dollar The technical evidence strongly suggests that Cardano has initiated a new bullish impulse wave. The breakout from its multi-week consolidation range is a significant technical event that has shifted the market bias firmly in favour of the bulls. While a short-term pullback to retest the breakout level around $0.77 is a high probability, this would likely serve as a healthy reset before the next major advance. Based on the confluence of price action, momentum analysis, and Fibonacci projections, a move toward the $0.95 - $1.15 range is a realistic objective for Cardano by the end of 2025.

Bitcoin's Technical Trajectory: Analysis for Q3-Q4 2025 Breaking New Records: Bitcoin's Path Beyond the July Peak With Bitcoin currently trading near historical highs after reaching its all-time high of $123,218 in July 2025, we find ourselves in unprecedented territory. This comprehensive technical analysis examines Bitcoin's potential trajectory through the remainder of 2025, leveraging multiple analytical frameworks to identify probable price targets and key levels. Current Market Context Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable ascent in 2025, climbing from around $85,000 in January to establish a new all-time high of $123,218 in July. After this peak, we've seen a period of consolidation with price action forming a potential bull flag pattern between $117,000-$120,000. This consolidation phase represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin's next directional move. The most recent data shows Bitcoin trading around $118,200 in late July, representing a modest pullback of approximately 4% from the all-time high. This shallow retracement suggests underlying strength rather than exhaustion in the primary trend. RSI Analysis: Healthy Momentum Reset Despite Bitcoin's extraordinary rise to $123,218 in July, the daily RSI has demonstrated remarkable resilience. After reaching overbought territory (70+) during the July peak, the indicator has now cooled to approximately 42-46, indicating a healthy reset of momentum conditions without surrendering the broader uptrend. The weekly RSI reading of 46.4 is particularly significant—showing that despite the recent consolidation, Bitcoin maintains substantial momentum capacity before reaching the extreme readings (80+) that typically signal major cycle tops. This technical positioning creates an ideal scenario where momentum has reset while price structure remains intact. Most notably, the absence of bearish divergences between price and RSI on higher timeframes suggests the current consolidation is likely a pause rather than a reversal in the primary trend. Wyckoff Analysis: Re-accumulation Before Continuation The price action following the $123,218 July peak displays classic characteristics of Wyckoff re-accumulation rather than distribution: The initial decline from the peak represents a "Preliminary Support" (PS) phase The subsequent trading range between $117,000-$120,000 shows tight price action with decreasing volatility Volume characteristics show diminishing selling pressure rather than distribution Recent price action suggests we're approaching the "Spring" phase that typically precedes markup According to the data, Bitcoin's price action in late July shows decreasing volatility with narrowing price ranges, consistent with the "Cause Building" phase in Wyckoff methodology. This structure indicates institutional accumulation is still occurring at these elevated levels—a powerful sign that smart money anticipates further upside potential. The completion of this re-accumulation pattern projects a move toward the $135,000-$145,000 range in the coming months. Supply/Demand Zone Analysis: Key Levels Identified Supply and demand zone analysis reveals critical price levels that will influence Bitcoin's next directional move: Major demand zone established between $115,000-$117,000 (recent consolidation floor) Secondary support cluster at $108,000-$110,000 (previous resistance turned support) Primary resistance at $123,200-$125,000 (all-time high region) Limited historical supply overhead above $123,218 suggests minimal resistance once this level is breached The formation of fresh demand zones during the recent consolidation indicates strategic accumulation before the anticipated upward expansion. The neutralization of previous supply zones during the advance to all-time highs has effectively cleared the technical pathway for Bitcoin's next significant move higher. Volume Analysis: Confirming the Bullish Case Examination of trading volume during the recent consolidation provides crucial validation for our bullish thesis: Declining volume during pullbacks indicates diminishing selling pressure Volume spikes on upward moves suggest accumulation on strength The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) maintains a positive slope, confirming the underlying strength of the trend The high-volume node has migrated upward in recent weeks, signalling comfort with accumulation at these unprecedented price levels—a powerful indication of market confidence in Bitcoin's valuation. The buying/selling volume differential maintains a positive bias, confirming underlying accumulation despite price consolidation. Fibonacci Extension Framework: Projecting Targets With Bitcoin having established a new all-time high at $123,218 in July, we can project potential targets using Fibonacci extensions from the most recent significant swing points: The 127.2% extension from the June-July rally projects to approximately $132,000 The 161.8% extension suggests potential movement toward $145,000 The 200% extension indicates a possible target of $160,000 These projections align with psychological thresholds that could serve as natural targets in this new price discovery phase. Elliott Wave Analysis: Extended Fifth Wave Scenario The current price action suggests we're likely in an extended fifth wave scenario within a larger degree bull cycle: Primary waves I through III appear complete with the move to $123,218 in July The current consolidation represents wave IV Wave V is projected to reach the $140,000-$160,000 range This wave count suggests potential for continued appreciation toward the $145,000-$160,000 range before a more significant corrective phase begins. The internal structure of the current consolidation displays textbook proportional relationships, further validating our analysis. Price Projection Timeline August-September 2025: Completion of the current consolidation phase with a potential final retest of support in the $115,000-$117,000 range. This would represent the "Last Point of Support" in Wyckoff terminology and provide a final opportunity for institutional accumulation before the next leg up. A decisive break above $125,000 would confirm the end of the consolidation phase. October 2025: Renewed momentum pushing Bitcoin toward the $132,000-$140,000 range, potentially coinciding with seasonal strength typically observed in Q4. This phase could see increased institutional participation as year-end positioning begins, with volume expansion confirming the strength of the move. November-December 2025: Final wave extension potentially reaching the $145,000-$160,000 range, representing a 20-30% appreciation from current all-time high levels. This phase may exhibit increased volatility and could be followed by a more substantial correction as the extended fifth wave completes. Key Levels to Monitor Support Zones: Primary: $115,000-$117,000 (must hold for bullish scenario) Secondary: $108,000-$110,000 (previous resistance turned support) Tertiary: $100,000-$102,000 (psychological and technical support) Resistance Zones: Immediate: $123,200-$125,000 (all-time high region) Target 1: $132,000-$135,000 (127.2% Fibonacci extension) Target 2: $145,000-$150,000 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) Target 3: $160,000+ (200% Fibonacci extension) The Technical Case for New Highs Despite Bitcoin already achieving unprecedented price levels in July, multiple technical frameworks suggest the potential for continued appreciation: Historical Precedent: Previous bull cycles have shown Bitcoin capable of extending significantly beyond initial all-time highs before cycle completion Institutional Adoption: On-chain metrics indicate continued accumulation by large holders despite elevated prices, with exchange outflows remaining positive Technical Structure: The current consolidation pattern resembles re-accumulation rather than distribution, suggesting the market is preparing for another leg higher Momentum Characteristics: Current momentum readings have reset from overbought conditions without breaking the underlying trend structure Strategic Considerations With Bitcoin having already achieved a new all-time high at $123,218 in July, strategic approaches might include: Maintaining core positions while implementing trailing stop strategies Adding to positions during retests of key support levels ($115,000-$117,000) Considering partial profit-taking at key Fibonacci extension levels Remaining vigilant for signs of distribution patterns that may emerge at higher levels Conclusion: The Path to $160,000 The weight of technical evidence suggests Bitcoin has entered a new paradigm of price discovery following its break to all-time highs in July 2025. While the path may include periods of consolidation and volatility, the underlying trend remains firmly bullish with multiple technical frameworks projecting targets in the $145,000-$160,000 range by year-end 2025. The current consolidation phase represents a healthy reset of momentum conditions rather than a trend reversal, creating an ideal technical foundation for Bitcoin's next major advance. With institutional adoption continuing to grow and technical indicators suggesting ample room for further appreciation, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to achieve new record highs in the coming months.

The Perfect Storm: Multiple Technical Indicators Align for ETH's Next Leg Up With Ethereum currently trading at $3,429, a comprehensive multi-faceted technical analysis reveals compelling evidence for continued bullish momentum through the remainder of 2025. Let's dive into the convergence of powerful technical signals pointing to ETH's next major move. RSI: Hidden Strength Behind the Momentum While Ethereum's daily RSI hovers around 72-73, typically considered overbought territory, this actually represents strength rather than exhaustion in a powerful bull trend. Historical analysis shows that during Ethereum's strongest rallies, RSI can maintain readings above 70 for extended periods, often reaching 80-85 before meaningful corrections. The weekly RSI at 66 is particularly telling—showing robust momentum without reaching extreme levels. This creates the perfect scenario: strong enough to maintain upward pressure, yet not overheated enough to trigger immediate profit-taking. This "Goldilocks zone" for RSI often precedes the most explosive phases of bull markets. Wyckoff Accumulation: The Smart Money Footprint The recent price action perfectly aligns with Wyckoff's "Re-accumulation After Spring" pattern: The May 2025 low represented a classic "Spring" that flushed out weak hands The subsequent rally formed a textbook "Sign of Strength" (SOS) We've completed the "Backup" phase with higher lows Current price action suggests we're at the "Last Point of Support" (LPS) According to Wyckoff methodology, this LPS typically precedes the most powerful "Mark-Up" phase—where institutional accumulation transitions to public participation and price discovery accelerates dramatically. The completion of this pattern projects a move to the $4,500-$5,000 range within the forecast period. Order Blocks: Institutional Footprints Reveal the Path Forward Order block analysis reveals significant institutional buying between $3,000-$3,200, creating a formidable support zone. More importantly, there's a notable absence of major selling order blocks above current levels until approximately $3,800-$4,000. This "clean air" above current prices suggests minimal resistance and the potential for rapid price appreciation once momentum builds. The most significant buy-side order blocks have been forming during recent consolidations, indicating smart money accumulation before the next leg up. Volume Profile: The Silent Confirmation Volume analysis provides the confirmation needed to validate our bullish thesis: Rising prices accompanied by increasing volume (particularly on up-days) Volume Profile shows thin areas above $3,500, suggesting potential for rapid price discovery The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) continues to slope upward, confirming the strength of the trend The Volume Point of Control (VPOC) has shifted higher in recent weeks, indicating accumulation at higher prices—a classic sign of institutional confidence. Fibonacci Projections: Mathematical Roadmap to Higher Targets Using the recent swing low of $2,150 (May 2025) to the current level as our base measurement: The 161.8% extension projects a target of approximately $4,200 The 200% extension suggests a move toward $4,700 The 261.8% extension (often reached in strong bull markets) points to $5,400+ What's particularly bullish is that these Fibonacci extensions align perfectly with key psychological price levels and unfilled liquidity pools above the market. Elliott Wave Structure: The Roadmap to $5,000 The current Elliott Wave count suggests we're in the early stages of a powerful Wave 3 of 5 from the May lows: Wave 1: $2,150 to $2,800 Wave 2: Pullback to $2,450 Wave 3: Currently underway, targeting $4,200-$4,500 (typical Wave 3 = 1.618 × Wave 1) Wave 4: Future consolidation likely in the $3,800-$4,000 range Wave 5: Final push potentially reaching $4,800-$5,200 Wave 3 is typically the longest and most powerful in the Elliott sequence, suggesting we're entering the most explosive phase of this bull cycle. Price Projection Timeline July-August 2025: Initial push through the $3,600 resistance level, followed by accelerating momentum toward $3,800-$4,000. Any pullbacks will find strong support at $3,200, creating ideal entry opportunities for those who missed the initial breakout. September 2025: Breakthrough of the psychological $4,000 barrier, triggering increased media attention and retail participation. This phase could see rapid price discovery to $4,200-$4,400 as volume expands dramatically. October-November 2025: Final wave extension pushing ETH toward the $4,800-$5,200 range, potentially culminating in a blow-off top characteristic of Wave 5 completions. This represents a 40-50% appreciation from current levels. The Confluence That Cannot Be Ignored What makes this analysis particularly compelling is the rare confluence of multiple technical frameworks all pointing to the same conclusion. When Wyckoff accumulation patterns, Elliott Wave projections, Fibonacci extensions, RSI momentum, and order block analysis all align, the probability of the projected outcome increases exponentially. Smart money is positioning for this move now, as evidenced by the order block formation and volume patterns. For the strategic investor, the current price level—despite being near recent highs—represents an attractive entry point before the next major leg up in Ethereum's journey. The technical roadmap is clear: Ethereum is poised for a significant appreciation through the remainder of 2025, with multiple technical frameworks projecting targets in the $4,500-$5,200 range by year-end.