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Tarihsel kalıpların yetkin analizi çok önemlidir; Geçmişten içgörü toplamadaki başarısızlık sıklıkla tekrarlanan hatalara yol açar. Bu aksiyom yalnızca ticaret alanında geçerli değildir, aynı zamanda yaşamın daha geniş yönlerine de uzanır. Hikaye, alçalan trend çizgisinin kırılmasıyla ortaya çıkıyor, ardından yükselen bir üçgen oluşuyor ve ardından yeni bir trend hareketi geliyor. Yükselen üçgenden çıktıktan sonra küresel khai'ye geçiyoruz, stopları biriktiriyoruz (konsolidasyon), yukarıda konsolidasyon yapıyoruz ve trendi takip ediyoruz

It is apparent that your interest in trading stems from a desire to transcend the conventional 9 to 6 work regimen or to establish an additional revenue stream for enhanced financial stability. Regardless of the impetus, trading imbues one with a sense of hope—a hope for attaining financial autonomy and catering to the exigencies of one's familial responsibilities.Nevertheless, hope unaccompanied by acumen proves inadequate in the realm of trading.Are you prepared to delve into the intricacies of trading in its entirety?Can you harness the mechanisms of trading to your advantage and prosper therein?Trading is a means of slow enrichmentFor many, the following assertion may not be warmly received, yet it warrants acknowledgment: Trading serves as a gradual enrichment scheme.While anecdotes exist of traders who commenced with modest capital and ascended to seven-figure balances, such instances are rare. The reality is stark: the odds of such success are exceedingly slim. The allure of amassing substantial wealth swiftly is tempting, but it often necessitates assuming excessive risk. Only those blessed with exceptional luck may realize significant gains in short order.Conversely, the vast majority—99.99%—who pursue this path find themselves depleting their initial investment. Merely a fortunate minority attain even modest profits, and their success is often attributed more to chance than skill.Consider the perspective of Warren Buffett, whose wealth is renowned:"My wealth is a product of American residency, fortuitous genetics, and the power of compound interest."The crux lies in compound interest—the gradual accumulation of profits over time. Buffett's ascent to becoming the world's wealthiest investor spanned decades, not mere weeks or months.Hence, if one views trading as a shortcut to affluence, disillusionment is inevitable.You need money to make money from tradingOne of the most pervasive trading fallacies is the belief that possessing a profitable trading strategy guarantees the potential to amass millions in the market—a notion that has ensnared many traders.While it is feasible to develop a lucrative strategy, its profitability alone does not guarantee the attainment of vast wealth. Why? Because the magnitude of your initial deposit plays a pivotal role.Consider this scenario: Suppose you possess a trading strategy yielding a 20% annual return.With an account balance of $1,000, your potential earnings amount to $200 per year.With $10,000, your potential earnings escalate to $2,000 annually.Scaling up further, with a $1 million account, potential earnings soar to $200,000 per year.This illustrates that while a trading strategy is undeniably significant, it represents only one facet of the equation. Equally crucial is the size of your trading account.This elucidates why hedge funds attract vast sums—often in the millions, if not billions of dollars—since substantial capital is indispensable for maximizing returns from trading endeavors.Trading is one of the worst ways to earn a regular incomeTrading is often sought out by individuals seeking an alternative income stream, aiming to liberate themselves from the confines of a conventional 9 to 6 job in pursuit of pursuing their passions. However, it is crucial to confront a sobering reality: trading stands as one of the least reliable avenues for securing a consistent income.Why? The dynamics of financial markets are inherently mercurial. A strategy that yields profits one week may falter the next. This isn't to suggest that such strategies become entirely obsolete, but rather that market conditions necessitate adaptability. Realigning a strategy to suit evolving market dynamics demands time—a commodity not readily available in the fast-paced world of trading. This adjustment period could extend over several weeks or even months.Consequently, anticipating profits on a daily, weekly, or even monthly basis proves unrealistic. Success in trading hinges upon one's ability to capitalize on market opportunities as they arise, accepting the yields bestowed by the market, and refraining from unrealistic expectations of consistent returns.You're always studying the marketsContinuous learning is indispensable for success in trading. Reflecting on my own journey, I initially gravitated towards indicators and price action trading, convinced that these tools alone would suffice for profitability. However, this mindset hindered my progress, as I neglected broader market perspectives.Recognizing the limitations of my approach, I embarked on a journey of exploration. I delved into the practices of accomplished traders, discovering diverse strategies such as trend trading, system trading, and mean reversion trading.Today, my repertoire encompasses multiple trading strategies across various markets. This diversified approach has engendered a more consistent capital curve, enhancing my overall returns.The pivotal lesson gleaned from this experience is clear: achieving profitability in trading does not signify the culmination of one's learning curve. On the contrary, ongoing education and exploration of the markets remain imperative for sustained success.How do you become a successful trader when all the odds are against you?Embrace Existing Solutions:Attempting to forge your own path in trading can prove both time-consuming and costly. Instead, seek out established trading algorithms equipped with tested and proven trading rules. Consider investing in algorithms like mine, which come backed by historical testing results.Maintain Financial Stability:Relying solely on trading for income places undue psychological pressure on yourself. The imperative to generate monthly income often leads to hasty and ill-advised trading decisions. Many seasoned traders, therefore, diversify their income streams. For instance, some engage in mentorship or operate hedge funds that levy management fees irrespective of market performance. By securing a stable income through alternate means, you can focus on trading without financial anxiety.Harness the Power of Compound Growth:Albert Einstein hailed compound interest as the eighth wonder of the world. Yet, I propose introducing you to the ninth wonder: the regular infusion of funds to augment profits. Consider this scenario: with an initial $5,000 investment earning an average annual return of 20%, you would amass $191,688 over 20 years. However, by adding an additional $5,000 to your account annually and compounding profits, your total would skyrocket to $1,311,816 over the same period. Witness the transformative potential of consistent contributions and compounding gains.Define Clear Goals and Plans: Set specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART) trading goals. Develop a well-defined trading plan that outlines your strategies, entry and exit criteria, risk management rules, and contingencies for various market scenarios.

Herkese selam, bir analiz sunmak istiyorum VETUSDT Şu anda 0,037 ila 0,039 aralığında strong destek bölgesinin üzerinde işlem görüyoruz. Üstelik 0,015 civarından başlayan bir yükseliş trendi belirledik. İlk hedefimiz (x)'teki likiditeyi kaldırmak ve ardından 0,060 ile 0,068 arasındaki direnç bölgesini test etmek. Yeniden test sırasında destek bölgesinin stabilitesini dikkatle izlemeniz gerekir. Varlık için yukarı yönlü bir fiyat hareketine eğilimliyim.

Herkese selamlar! DOT (Polkadot) analizini sizlerle paylaşmak istiyorum. Yükselen yapıya geçişi gösteren alçalan yapıdan başarıyla çıktık. Ancak bu durum bizi haklı nedenlerle kısa vadeli düzeltici işlemlere başvurmaktan alıkoymuyor. Şu anda 11.14 – 14.18 aralığında aylık dengesizliğin dolduğunu görüyoruz. Bu aralıkta 11.81'den 13.03'e uzanan haftalık bir dengesizlik bölgesi var. Olumlu bir risk-ödül oranıyla bu bölgeden çıkan kurulumları değerlendirebiliriz. Amacımız iki saatlik zaman diliminde (FVG) verimsiz fiyatlandırmayı ortadan kaldırmak olabilir.

XAUUSD Herkese merhaba. Kısa analiz: Altın kanalın üst sınırına ulaştı ve 2180-2250 bölgesinde dirençle karşılaştı. Büyük ihtimalle 2080-2030 bölgesinde küresel destekte bir düzeltme göreceğiz. Çok hızlı hareket, direnç yok, sıfırlamaya ihtiyaç var...

What is a level breakout?A breakout is the price's consolidation above a certain level followed by further movement in the direction of the breakout. But the immediate question that should arise in your mind is about the consolidation of price, as it might be difficult for inexperienced individuals to understand. However, there is nothing overly complex about it either; consolidation refers to the candle closing above the levelA breakdown can occur at a horizontal or inclined level.Bullish breakout:We observe a trending market encountering resistance at a horizontal level. After two unsuccessful attempts, the price breaks through the level.Bearish breakout:Why do level breakouts work?Imagine a scenario: a strong resistance level on the chart is heavily defended by bears, preventing the price from breaking through. Despite several attempts, the bears hold their ground until the bulls come to the rescue. They overpower the bears, but their strategy doesn't end there. Instead of retreating, they press forward, driving the opposition towards the next resistance level, where the cycle repeats.Breakouts occur when the price breaches a significant level. Observing price movements on a chart reveals that prices often consolidate and encounter specific levels.When the price reaches a level and swiftly reverses, it indicates the strength of that level. Upon a price retest of this level, careful monitoring is essential to anticipate a potential breakout.Repeated tests of the same level signify its strength, yet eventually, the price will break through any level. This is when traders should be prepared to initiate a breakout trade.Breakouts offer lucrative trading opportunities because they often mark the inception of new price movements and trends. By entering trades at the onset of emerging trends, traders position themselves for potential profits.Moreover, reliable breakouts typically occur during periods of robust price momentum when traders seek to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations.Breakouts occur at important price levels. It can be:Support or resistance levels.PatternsMarket highs or lows.Trend lines.Price channels.Moving averages.Fibonacci levels.One reason breakouts can lead to rapid price movements is due to the attention they attract from market participants monitoring key levels. When one group of traders capitalizes on a breakout, another group is compelled to swiftly exit their losing positions, resulting in sharp price fluctuations post-breakout.There exist various types of breakouts, and as traders, our objective is to identify high-probability breakout opportunities and initiate trades. However, this task is not always straightforward. Consequently, levels marked at potential breakout points should be regarded as zones rather than rigid lines.Identifying Psychologically Important Levels:Repeated testing of a specific zone by the price often signifies its significance. Having reached a certain level, the price enters a sideways movement, forming a consolidation. Using a rectangle, we outline the area encompassing the lower wicks of the candles, delineating our support/resistance area. When trading breakouts, it is wise to wait until the candle closes outside the support or resistance area to confirm the breakout.Triangles are chart patterns indicating price compression, often culminating in a breakout. The direction of the breakout is typically uncertain.Within the circle, you can observe the precise location of a potential breakout. Notably, there is a robust breakout momentum evidenced by several full-bodied candles. Subsequent to breaching the upper level of the triangle, the price retraces to test the previously breached resistance, now acting as a support area. This pullback serves as a crucial confirmation signal.Breakouts and false breakouts:Typically, candlestick shadow breakouts are not considered true breakouts. A true breakout occurs only when the price finally closes outside the level. This approach provides a more secure entry point, making it easier to open positions in the appropriate direction.The upper rectangle constantly holds down the price, with the exception of some candles, characterized as a pin bar. This represents an initial false breakout as only one candle breaks the resistance area but fails to close, leaving its body above that area. Therefore, we classify this signal as false.However, the subsequent pin bar pushes the price higher, causing the candle to close above the resistance area. This is a genuine breakout signal, especially enhanced by the presence of a strong, saturated breakout candle.Trading Breakouts:Trading market breakouts carries inherent risks due to the prevalence of false breakouts, which are statistically more common. Therefore, it is extremely important to understand the market structure and monitor the movement of prices to the appropriate level.Markets operate in cycles, moving between trending phases and periods of consolidation. The duration of market consolidation correlates with the strength of subsequent breakouts and subsequent trends.Prolonged consolidation periods are not only observed by you, but by traders worldwide. Among them, some opt for trading bounces from levels, while others prefer trading breakouts. Extended consolidation behind a resistance level can trigger stop-loss orders for many bears and prompt numerous bulls to initiate new buying positions. Consequently, after prolonged periods of flat movement, prices frequently surge explosively following a breakout, ushering in a robust trend.The breakout trading strategy offers multiple entry approaches, allowing traders to select the one that aligns best with their preferences and objectives.Entering the breakout after the price has consolidated beyond the zone:One strategy assumes that the breakout occurred when the candle closed outside the level. While this pattern can be effective, I personally find it risky due to the many nuances associated with this strategy. Instead I prefer a different approach...Breakout entry with retest:This tactic is a bit more challenging as it requires patience and discipline.What particularly appeals to me in this strategy is that I rely on additional data during a potential retest (with a 60-70% likelihood after the zone is breached).Breakout of the symmetrical triangle pattern:As the market tightens its consolidation, it eventually breaches the support of the triangle, followed by a retest of this level as new resistance.For the stop-loss placement, it's advisable to position it inside the triangle above the breakout candle.Regarding take profit, we target the nearest level, ensuring the risk-to-reward ratio remains acceptable.Best Breakout Trading Method:Accumulation of positions/liquidations - consolidation.When a tight consolidation occurs near a resistance level, it tells us that buying pressure remains high for a long period of time and sellers do not have enough strength to reverse the price from the level.When the price breaks through a resistance level, traders with short positions cut their losses. At the same time, the pressure from buying traders who will open breakout transactions is increasing. All these factors cause the price to rapidly move up without significant pullbacks.__________________________________________________________________________________I have only covered a portion of the basics. Of course, trading involves various elements such as price action, indicators (divergences), but that would make this post too long ;) If you enjoy my educational articles, please leave comments, and I'll continue writing them.A good, global example with the most liquid assetsThere are only 2 tools - a trend line and support, which were given to us by many setupsJust like in the bookWho seeks will always find ;)A precisely defined support or resistance zone presents lucrative trading opportunities.A striking example of consolidation before breaking through resistance, accumulation of liquidity on top and subsequent withdrawalWhat kind of denouement awaits us?We approached the resistance zone several times and each time left a large share of new liquidations on topIt seems that the zone is working, more and more people are placing stops for it, what happened next - you can see for yourself

Support and resistance levels, the bedrock of technical analysis, are fundamental elements. They serve as critical points that delineate potential price movements and are pivotal in decision-making processes for traders and investors alikeThe basis:There are several fundamental concepts in trading that remain the same over a long period of time. Among them, the concepts of support and resistance levels stand out. When used correctly, support and resistance levels improve trading efficiency in financial markets.Today we will delve deeper into these concepts.Price behavior:The fundamental principle of price behavior lies in the concept of supply and demand, governing the existence and operation of any market.When demand outweighs supply, it prompts an upward push in prices, while in reverse circumstances, a decrease is observed. By identifying levels of supply and demand, traders significantly enhance their success rate.A support level indicates a price range where strong buying positions are concentrated, typically defined by two minimum price points.A resistance level, conversely, denotes a price range around which strong selling positions are clustered, often marked by two maximum price points.It's important to note that support and resistance levels should not be viewed as precise lines. Prices may not necessarily adhere to these levels point by point; often, they may not even touch the level directly, sometimes piercing through it. This variability is normal, so these levels should be perceived more as zones of support and resistance. The width of these zones can vary, with the magnitude of dispersion dependent on the timeframe in which trading occurs. The higher the timeframe, the potentially broader the range of support and resistance levels.Once again for strengthening:Support and resistance levels represent specific price ranges on a chart (often represented by rectangles in my analysis) where the direction of price movement has historically changed. These ranges attract traders' attention because they provide clear points for setting stop losses and entering trades. In addition, these levels usually attract large buyers or sellers whose limit orders contribute to market dynamics.Essentially, the level denotes the price area in the market where traders perceive the price to be either overpriced or underpriced, depending on the prevailing market conditions. Therefore, it is extremely important to closely monitor key levels where the role of support and resistance has changed or where significant price reversals have occurred.Blending levels signify pivotal points on a price chart where price action can prompt a reversal in the opposite direction. In the presence of a robust trend, price movements may penetrate through these supply and demand levels, leading to potential shifts in direction. Such occurrences typically coincide with heightened transaction volumes. The interplay of price adjustments, heightened market activity, and trading volumes collectively influence market direction.When resistance is breached and the price retraces to its previous level, there's a likelihood that bulls will once again push it upwards. Conversely, if the price retraces to the breached level after breaking through support, bears are likely to actively drive it downwards. Support and resistance levels can be identified as areas in the market where traders are more inclined to buy or sell, depending on current market conditions. This creates a zone of collision between buyers and sellers, often prompting the market to change its direction.Retest:A retest of a level refers to a brief return of the price to the breached support or resistance line for testing purposes. Following the retest, the price typically continues its movement in the direction of the breakout.On higher time frames, support and resistance levels become more powerful:It is important to observe the price action around levels:If the price swiftly reverses from a level into the opposite trend, it indicates significant importance of that level.If the price tests a specific area multiple times with minor retracements, it's likely that the level will eventually be breached.Swing zones refer to areas where the price retraces to the previous pullback in either a downtrend or uptrend. In less robust trends, the price tends to return to the boundary of the previous correction before continuing its movement.Of course, support and resistance are dynamic concepts that require constant attention and analysis as their meaning changes depending on prevailing market conditions. Moreover, it is critical to consider multiple confirmations such as volume analysis and breakouts to confirm the strength of these levels.Thank you for your attention!A good example:Additionally, let's not overlook the liquidity aspect of the asset. In cases where an asset lacks liquidity, it becomes susceptible to manipulation. Conversely, high liquidity makes each support level more resistant to manipulation.Another one:Also, a support zone can have the appearance of a trend zone, albeit with some differences.I will talk about them in more detail later!Also another great example of trend supportIn addition, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that after another test of support, we are going to take local liquidity from the high, while not going below 1 bounce.This is also considered another trading method, I will tell you about it sometime! ;)A prime example indeed.Let's focus solely on the zones themselves.We observe a strong zone - the price approached it four times and then reversed.On the fifth attempt there was a false breakout. We briefly consolidated and returned under the zone.Twice more the strength of the zone proved to be sustained when the price broke through it again. We continued to trade within the zone for an extended period of time before price moved back below it.What is the conclusion? Zones are a powerful tool, but context is key! A zone is not a panaceaHere's an example not from history, but in real timeYou can watch how the price will behave in the global resistance zone, a great place for a short-term trade.I have a big new article coming out about trendlines - look forward to seeing you there! ;)Example with breakdown and retestOf course, support may not always be prettyYou should always consider the context and other reasons for a bounce or breakdownA good combination of 2 support combinationsThe more examples of support zone performance we see, the clearer the concept becomes, helping us identify suitable trading opportunities.A prime example is when we encountered a downtrend, which we subsequently broke and bounced off of nearby support. No need to come up with complicated scenariosOnly 2 tools can give us complete confidence in our tradingA properly identified support zone provides an accurate depiction of the market, empowering you to formulate your subsequent strategy based on this information.For nowIt’s very useful to analyze how support reacts in real time; for beginners, I advise you to add a picture and follow itThe main basis of trading itself is built around the zones:Example with a symmetrical triangle, clamping from 2 sides, when approaching the upper border - consolidation appeared, followed by a breakout upwardGood example of 2 main analysis tools:A great example with a fill-in

Grafiği analiz ederek, fiyatın 44'ten 56'ya yayılan küresel direnç bölgesi içinde işlem gördüğü açıktır. Bu bağlamda, bu aşamada oldukça makul oldukları için çekici kısa vadeli kurulumlar aramak akıllıcadır. İlk hedef, 27.24'te üçüncü (x) arkasındaki likiditeyi (x) 23.24'te geri çekilebilir. 18.90 (x) 'de likidite ve daha sonra bir haftalık bir süre boyunca önemli bir dengesizliği (FVG) hedefleme. Aşağı harekette iyi kurulumlar aramaya başlayabiliriz, onayımızı bekliyoruz! Bu tür bir direnişe bir kez kırabileceğimize inanmıyorum.

در معاملات Ethereum (ETH)، ما به نقطه "OB" جهانی در تایم فریم ماهانه رسیده‌ایم و آن را به عنوان منطقه مورد توجه اصلی (POI) خود برای شروع تحلیل و شکل‌گیری استراتژی مشخص می‌کنیم. علاوه بر این، تجمع قابل توجهی از نقدینگی از سطوح پایین‌تر وجود داشته است که نشان‌دهنده احتمال کاهش به FVG (شکاف ارزش منصفانه) یک ساعته و به دنبال آن توسعه جهت‌دار است. در چنین سناریوهایی، بسیار مهم است که قبل از تصمیم‌گیری‌های معاملاتی، به دنبال تایید باشید. ATH (بالاترین قیمت تاریخ) فعلی بیت‌کوین می‌تواند منجر به دوره‌ای از تثبیت شود که احتمالاً به دنبال آن یک رالی در آلت‌کوین‌ها رخ دهد. ما همچنان بازار را از نزدیک زیر نظر داریم و منتظر کاهش‌های احتمالی هستیم و هدفمان دستیابی به اهداف اولیه خود است. ETH از بیت‌کوین پیروی کرده است، در حالی که ما نظاره‌گر هستیم. لازم به ذکر است که قیمت در حال حاضر فشار صعودی را تجربه می‌کند، که نشان‌دهنده نیاز به یک اصلاح احتمالی است. در هر لحظه امکان یک حرکت شدید نزولی وجود دارد. لطفاً این نکته را هنگام شروع تحلیل خود در نظر داشته باشید.

Bir ay içinde başlaması planlanan 2024'teki yarılanma etkinliğine yaklaşırken, bunun potansiyel sonuçlarına ilişkin spekülasyonlar ortaya çıkıyor. Tarihsel data tekrarlanan kalıplara dair içgörüler sağlıyor ancak geçmiş senaryoların bir kez daha ortaya çıkıp çıkmayacağına ilişkin belirsizlik ortaya çıkıyor. İçgörülerinizi davet ediyoruz: Büyüme mi yoksa geleneksel eğilimlerden düşüşe doğru bir sapma mı öngörüyorsunuz? Bakış açılarınız memnuniyetle karşılanıyor ve değer veriliyor.Yorum: Yarılanmanın Bitcoin üzerindeki etkisi: Nisan 2024'teki dördüncü halvinge yaklaşık bir ay kala, ticaret için mevcut Bitcoin arzı tarihsel olarak düşük seviyelere geriledi ve dijital varlık fiyatlarının dinamiklerini önemli ölçüde yeniden şekillendirdi. Uzun vadeli yatırım için tutulan bitcoinlerin hacmi, yeni arzı %341'in üzerinde aşıyor; bu da yatırımcılar arasında anında tasfiye yerine birikim eğiliminin olduğunu gösteriyor. Bitcoin ETF'lerin kullanıma sunulması, kurumsal yatırımcıların talebini artırarak mevcut arzı daha da kısıtladı. Eş zamanlı olarak, yatırımcıların Bitcoin'leri uzun vadeli depolamaya taşımasında gözlemlenebilir bir eğilim var ve bu da borsalarda alım satım için mevcut aktif arzı azaltıyor. Desen ve Döngülerin Analizi: Geçmişteki yarılanma olaylarının ardından, sonraki yarılanma beklentisine kadar genellikle 350-360 gün süren tutarlı bir büyüme eğilimi gözlemlendi. Ancak Kasım 2021'den 22 Aralık 2022'ye kadar kayda değer bir sapma meydana geldi; %70'in üzerinde önemli bir fiyat düşüşü yaşandı ve Bitcoin 15.479 $'a düştü. Ardından, fiyatların sürekli değer kazanmasıyla karakterize edilen bir Dolar Maliyet Ortalaması (DCA) dönemi başladı.Yorum: Yarılanmanın Etkisini Anlamak: Arz Açığı: Yarıya indirme mekanizması, yeni Bitcoin ihraç oranını azaltarak yeni madeni para arzının azalmasına yol açar. Bu kıtlık, bitcoinlerin ticaret için kullanılabilirliğini etkileyebilir. Piyasa Döngüleri: Tarihsel data, yarılanma olaylarının genellikle boğa piyasalarından önce gerçekleştiğini öne sürüyor ve olay sonrasında potansiyel fiyat artışına işaret ediyor. Artan Talep: Bitcoin ETF'lerin ortaya çıkışı, kurumsal yatırımcıların talebini artırdı ve potansiyel olarak yarılanmanın piyasa etkisini artırdı. Kârlılık: Yarılanma olayı, Bitcoin madencilik faaliyetlerinin kârlılığını doğrudan etkiler ve bu da ilgili şirketlerin mali görünümünü ve hisselerinin değerlemesini etkiler.Yorum: Desen ve Döngülerin Analizi: Geçmişteki yarılanma olaylarının ardından, sonraki yarılanma beklentisine kadar genellikle 350-360 gün süren tutarlı bir büyüme eğilimi gözlemlendi. Ancak Kasım 2021'den 22 Aralık 2022'ye kadar kayda değer bir sapma meydana geldi; %70'in üzerinde önemli bir fiyat düşüşü yaşandı ve Bitcoin 15.479 $'a düştü. Ardından, fiyatların sürekli değer kazanmasıyla karakterize edilen bir Dolar Maliyet Ortalaması (DCA) dönemi başladı.