12.08.2025 tarihinde sembol BTC hakkında Teknik Swissquote analizi

The bitcoin price continues to set new all-time highs this August 2025, respecting its historical seasonality which has always seen a bullish August in the fourth year of the 4-year cycle, i.e. the year following the last halving, i.e. this year 2025. I invite you to reread our analysis from the beginning of August on this seasonal aspect of the bitcoin price by clicking on the table below. In this new analysis on the bitcoin price, I'm going to review different approaches to considering a theoretical price target for BTC for the beginning of September. I'm Vincent Ganne, feel free to follow the Swissquote account on TradingView where I offer here a daily market view with a technical and fundamental approach. 1) The bitcoin price has confirmed the bullish technical breakout of a trendline that joins the highs of the two previous cycles The month of August of the last year of the 4-year cycle therefore has an average bullish performance. This favourable statistic is confirmed this August 2025 by a strong chart signal. This is the bullish technical break of the trend line that joins the weekly closing price at the top of the two previous cycles. This technical signal is in line with seasonality and seems to indicate that the bitcoin price has entered its final bullish phase of the cycle, the cycle linked to the spring 2024 halving. 2) In terms of calendar repetition, the average of the three previous cycles gives a technical price target of $130K for the beginning of September This second chart below represents in black the curve of the average of the three previous cycles (the cycles linked to the halvings of the years 2012, 2016 and 2020). If the bitcoin price aligns with this average, then August should see a bullish performance, with a technical target of around 130,000 US dollars for the beginning of September. The source of this chart is shown at the top of the chart. 3) Chartist analysis of the bitcoin price reveals a theoretical price target of between US$127,000 and US$135,000 for early September The third chart in this analysis highlights the configuration that has been acting as the dominant technical factor in the bitcoin price since July. This is a bullish flag formation, with a perfect pullback to $112K at the end of July. The theoretical bullish targets are the same as those I've been describing for several weeks, i.e. an area between $127,000 and $135,000. 4) The Bitcoin rainbow price chart indicator reveals a theoretical technical target around $135,000 for the beginning of September To conclude this analysis, I'd like to present you with the Bitcoin rainbow price chart indicator, whose current oscillation band reveals a high around $135,000 for the end of August. The combination of these 4 approaches makes a target of 130,000 US dollars this August credible, with a technical threshold of invalidation below support at 112,000 US dollars. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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