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CAKE Bottom Is In
There has been an incredible dump of CAKE over the past month, and I believe the bottom is in after printing an ATL at $1.77. There have been eight consecutive candles near the ATL along with massive burns of the token since the dump started.
I've marked fib channels showing the way back up, but I don't think the red .236 line will present much of a challenge. With trading bottoming out around $1.80, I'm thinking the Bollinger Bands will form a brief period of consolidation in the near future, followed by a move up to challenge the orange .382 fib line.
From personal experience, trading into large gaps on the daily 200MA has been profitable. The candles always return to the mean whether you're long or short into the trade. This dump is like taking a mirror to the pump of 2021 only in reverse. Currently there is a huge distance between the candles and 200MA, which on a daily chart it takes quite some time for it to sink.
Short term trades could exit at the .382 / $3.11. But if we consider that CAKE has previously traded over $40 and it is a yield bearing asset, there is an opportunity to ride this trade up for much longer than a quick 68% return.
Fundamentally, people who have either won or lost on meme coins will look to pivot towards utility based tokens. CAKE is the native token of pancakeswap which is a top 5 DAPP across all chains in terms of unique active wallets, with billions in TVL. It will be attractive to this cycle's noobs who came in for PEPE or WOJAK...for more reasons than one.
Good luck, NFA
ب.ظ 11:13 1402/02/25

PEPE short on hourly chart
Yes I'm one of those crypto boomers who faded PEPE but the time to shine for shorting is here.
From a TA perspective, we have seven consecutive wicks above the upper boll bands. The bands themselves are very wide, fanned outward with the lower band running near the 200MA. This would indicate a 75% drop is possible. Not saying that's going to happen, but the token has gone from being expensive to trade in ETH to now having liquidity on major exchanges, with trading in Binance's "innovation zone" opening in an hour.
From past experience, dookie coins that get listed on Binance tend to bleed out quickly after they debut. Most don't recover.
My short opened at .000004198, which I'll look to exit at .000002, unless the DeFi LPs are rugged then I'll ride it straight to zero. Everything about this coin is a disaster from a non-technical perspective. Anon team, insider trades early on, unlicensed use of copyright (Pepe via Matt Furie), and its been shielded in the ETH ecosystem where only whales could afford to trade it due to the expensive cost ($50-$100 in fees per transaction). Even if I get stopped out here (at .000005) I'll keep shorting it at selective points while I wait for the inevitable rug pull.
Good luck, NFA
ب.ظ 05:16 1402/02/15

$POLY primed to fly
$POLY primed to fly Polygon has been trading in this channel since June of last year. It's near the bottom of the trend line, which happens to coincide with the 200MA on the daily chart. With all the bullish sentiment around Polygon, and large projects moving their ecosystems onto the chain, I'd expect to see a nice bounce towards the middle of the trading channel; followed by an opportunity to exit with a ~40% gain from current prices in the highlighted box.
$POLY primed to fly Polygon has been trading in this channel since June of last year. It's near the bottom of the trend line, which happens to coincide with the 200MA on the daily chart. With all the bullish sentiment around Polygon, and large projects moving their ecosystems onto the chain, I'd expect to see a nice bounce towards the middle of the trading channel; followed by an opportunity to exit with a ~40% gain from current prices in the highlighted box.
$POLY primed to fly Polygon has been trading in this channel since June of last year. It's near the bottom of the trend line, which happens to coincide with the 200MA on the daily chart. With all the bullish sentiment around Polygon, and large projects moving their ecosystems onto the chain, I'd expect to see a nice bounce towards the middle of the trading channel; followed by an opportunity to exit with a ~40% gain from current prices in the highlighted box.
Out at or above $1.50 sometime in April, ez gg - NFA.Trade closed: stop reached:
$POLY primed to fly Polygon has been trading in this channel since June of last year. It's near the bottom of the trend line, which happens to coincide with the 200MA on the daily chart. With all the bullish sentiment around Polygon, and large projects moving their ecosystems onto the chain, I'd expect to see a nice bounce towards the middle of the trading channel; followed by an opportunity to exit with a ~40% gain from current prices in the highlighted box.
Out at or above $1.50 sometime in April, ez gg - NFA.Trade closed: stop reached:
$POLY primed to fly Polygon has been trading in this channel since June of last year. It's near the bottom of the trend line, which happens to coincide with the 200MA on the daily chart. With all the bullish sentiment around Polygon, and large projects moving their ecosystems onto the chain, I'd expect to see a nice bounce towards the middle of the trading channel; followed by an opportunity to exit with a ~40% gain from current prices in the highlighted box.
Out at or above $1.50 sometime in April, ez gg - NFA.Trade closed: stop reached: Fallout from trading channel seems legit, original target not going to happen
ب.ظ 04:38 1402/02/09

NEARing a breakout
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
$1.85 has historical value for the coin and is also reflected as the .236FIB in this chart. I'm expecting a quick trend down towards there, then we'll get our seventh attempt at cracking the 200MA thereafter. I believe that NEAR will recapture the 200, whether its the seventh or eleventh attempt I can't say. But I know that when it does finally flip the 200, we'll be moving back up towards $2.70 quite quickly.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
$1.85 has historical value for the coin and is also reflected as the .236FIB in this chart. I'm expecting a quick trend down towards there, then we'll get our seventh attempt at cracking the 200MA thereafter. I believe that NEAR will recapture the 200, whether its the seventh or eleventh attempt I can't say. But I know that when it does finally flip the 200, we'll be moving back up towards $2.70 quite quickly.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
$1.85 has historical value for the coin and is also reflected as the .236FIB in this chart. I'm expecting a quick trend down towards there, then we'll get our seventh attempt at cracking the 200MA thereafter. I believe that NEAR will recapture the 200, whether its the seventh or eleventh attempt I can't say. But I know that when it does finally flip the 200, we'll be moving back up towards $2.70 quite quickly.
Short term play would be to enter at bounce near $1.85, then exit around $2.70 (strongest resistance after flipping 200). Long term play would be to DCA now then use NEAR within their DeFi ecosystem during the bull market. ATH is $20 and that was during its first market cycle. Most major cryptos print higher than their previous ATH in subsequent runs, unless the coin is plagued by inflation.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
$1.85 has historical value for the coin and is also reflected as the .236FIB in this chart. I'm expecting a quick trend down towards there, then we'll get our seventh attempt at cracking the 200MA thereafter. I believe that NEAR will recapture the 200, whether its the seventh or eleventh attempt I can't say. But I know that when it does finally flip the 200, we'll be moving back up towards $2.70 quite quickly.
Short term play would be to enter at bounce near $1.85, then exit around $2.70 (strongest resistance after flipping 200). Long term play would be to DCA now then use NEAR within their DeFi ecosystem during the bull market. ATH is $20 and that was during its first market cycle. Most major cryptos print higher than their previous ATH in subsequent runs, unless the coin is plagued by inflation.
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
$1.85 has historical value for the coin and is also reflected as the .236FIB in this chart. I'm expecting a quick trend down towards there, then we'll get our seventh attempt at cracking the 200MA thereafter. I believe that NEAR will recapture the 200, whether its the seventh or eleventh attempt I can't say. But I know that when it does finally flip the 200, we'll be moving back up towards $2.70 quite quickly.
Short term play would be to enter at bounce near $1.85, then exit around $2.70 (strongest resistance after flipping 200). Long term play would be to DCA now then use NEAR within their DeFi ecosystem during the bull market. ATH is $20 and that was during its first market cycle. Most major cryptos print higher than their previous ATH in subsequent runs, unless the coin is plagued by inflation.
Either way I'm confident it's just a matter of time before NEAR breaks out from under 200MA and moves up. NFATrade closed: target reached:
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
$1.85 has historical value for the coin and is also reflected as the .236FIB in this chart. I'm expecting a quick trend down towards there, then we'll get our seventh attempt at cracking the 200MA thereafter. I believe that NEAR will recapture the 200, whether its the seventh or eleventh attempt I can't say. But I know that when it does finally flip the 200, we'll be moving back up towards $2.70 quite quickly.
Short term play would be to enter at bounce near $1.85, then exit around $2.70 (strongest resistance after flipping 200). Long term play would be to DCA now then use NEAR within their DeFi ecosystem during the bull market. ATH is $20 and that was during its first market cycle. Most major cryptos print higher than their previous ATH in subsequent runs, unless the coin is plagued by inflation.
Either way I'm confident it's just a matter of time before NEAR breaks out from under 200MA and moves up. NFATrade closed: target reached:
NEARing a breakout Looking at NEAR/USDT 4H chart going back to late Feb 2023.
We see six(!) firm rejections at recapturing the 200MA highlighted in the circles. I would generally consider this bearish as the token doesn't have enough buyer support to flip the MA from resistance to support. But what I've noticed in years of crypto charts is those six rejections will dramatically help cement the 200MA as support when it finally does flip it.
Bollinger Bands are the black lines, and we see the upper band trending above the 200MA. While the retracement from the recent rejection happens, its continues to consolidate between the .5FIB & .236FIB. This is akin to coiling and building up strength for the push back up.
$1.85 has historical value for the coin and is also reflected as the .236FIB in this chart. I'm expecting a quick trend down towards there, then we'll get our seventh attempt at cracking the 200MA thereafter. I believe that NEAR will recapture the 200, whether its the seventh or eleventh attempt I can't say. But I know that when it does finally flip the 200, we'll be moving back up towards $2.70 quite quickly.
Short term play would be to enter at bounce near $1.85, then exit around $2.70 (strongest resistance after flipping 200). Long term play would be to DCA now then use NEAR within their DeFi ecosystem during the bull market. ATH is $20 and that was during its first market cycle. Most major cryptos print higher than their previous ATH in subsequent runs, unless the coin is plagued by inflation.
Either way I'm confident it's just a matter of time before NEAR breaks out from under 200MA and moves up. NFATrade closed: target reached: Breakout complete
ب.ظ 04:37 1402/02/09
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