winner-2008

Altın, geçen haftaki ABD enflasyonu ve diğer verilerin piyasa beklentilerinden daha güçlü olması ve piyasanın Fed'in Haziran ayında faiz indirimine ilişkin beklentilerinin daha da soğuması nedeniyle ons başına 2.145,99 dolar ile bir buçuk haftanın en düşük seviyesine geriledi. ABD doları ve ABD tahvil getirileri toparlanmayı sürdürdü. Analist Eren Sengezer, altının ons fiyatının 2.150 doların altında kalması halinde altının fiyatının düzeltme eğilimini sürdürebileceğine dikkat çekti; Federal Rezerv'in bu haftaki politika açıklaması ve revize edilmiş ekonomik tahmin özeti (SEP), piyasanın altın fiyatlarının rekor seviyeye ulaşıp ulaşmayacağını belirlemesine yardımcı olabilir. Tüm zamanların en yüksek seviyesi aşağı yönlü düzeltmeyi sürdürecek. Bir saatlik grafiğe bakıldığında altın fiyatlarının mevcut en yüksek noktası trend çizgisi boyunca düşüyor, yani fiyat düşüş eğiliminde. Ancak fiyatın 2.172 dolar direnç seviyesinin üzerine çıkması durumunda düşüş eğiliminin bozulabileceğini ve fiyatın yükselmeye devam edebileceğini de unutmamak gerekiyor. Ticaret stratejisi, düşüş trend çizgisinin yakınında kısa bir pozisyon oluşturmaktır ve kar alma fiyatı 2.146 $ yakınına ayarlanabilir. Fiyat 2.146 doların altına düşerse bir sonraki destek seviyesi 2.135 dolara yakın olacak. Fiyat 2.172 doları aştığında kısa siparişlerin zamanında durdurulması gerekiyor.

Gold once hit a one-and-a-half-week low of $2,145.99 per ounce, as last week's U.S. inflation and other data were stronger than market expectations, and the market's expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June further cooled, and the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields continued to rebound. Analyst Eren Sengezer pointed out that if the price of gold remains below $2,150 per ounce, the price of gold may continue its correction trend; the Federal Reserve’s policy statement and revised summary of economic forecasts (SEP) this week may help the market determine whether gold prices will hit a record The all-time high will still continue the downward correction. Looking at the one-hour chart, the current high point of gold prices is falling along the trend line, so the price is in a downward trend. However, it should be noted that once the price breaks above the $2,172 resistance level, the downward trend may be destroyed and the price will continue to rise. The trading strategy is to establish a short position near the downward trend line, and the take-profit price can be set near $2,146. If the price falls below $2,146, the next support level is near $2,135. Once the price breaks through $2,172, short orders need to be stopped in time.

Gold will fluctuate and rise U.S. retail sales grew less than expected in February, according to data released by the U.S. Commerce Department on Thursday, highlighting concerns about the durability of consumer spending after a sharp decline at the beginning of the first quarter. U.S. retail sales increased by 0.6% monthly in February. Core retail sales, excluding auto sales, rose 0.3% on a monthly basis. The number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States last week was 209,000, still at a historically low level. A strong labor market and stubborn inflation will be cited as reasons for the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive time next week. Today's U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) is the final inflation report before the Federal Reserve decides on interest rates next week. Policymakers are expected to keep interest rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting, but analysts will be looking for clues on when the central bank will start lowering borrowing costs. On the current market, gold is caught in a tug of war between long and short, with strong support at 2153 and strong pressure at 2176! In the short term, it will fluctuate within this range! The daily direction of the large cycle is still bullish, but the short-term one-hour pattern has not yet bottomed out, with large and small cycles diverging and long and short interweaving. Judging from the current 1-hour chart, gold is in a contraction form. The specific trading strategy is to establish a long position at the support level above $2,152. If it breaks through the resistance level near $2,172 above, it will continue to rise.

Gold will fall towards $2148 Today's PPI data exceeded expectations, indicating that the road ahead for Fed policymakers seeking to make greater progress in fighting inflation will not be smooth. Previously released U.S. CPI data showed that the overall inflation rate exceeded expectations for the second consecutive month, once again confirming the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will not be in a hurry to cut interest rates. Several categories in the PPI report are also used to measure the PCE data favored by the Fed, which will be released later this month. Among them, the cost of service industry increased by 0.3%, and the investment portfolio management fee, which is a key component of PCE, increased by 0.2%, falling sharply from the previous month. Hospital outpatient expenses increased by 0.5%. Prices paid to producers for goods rose 1.2%, the first increase in five months. Judging from the 60-minute chart, the price did not break through 2,180 US dollars yesterday. Today, it fell directly below 2,168 US dollars after the PPI data was released. It has entered a short trend in the short term, so it is not recommended to open long orders now. Trading advice: You can wait for the price to rebound to the $2165-2168 range to establish a short position. If the price rises above $2,168, short orders need to be stopped.

Spot gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday as a strong U.S. inflation report dampened expectations for an imminent rate cut from the Federal Reserve. According to a report released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Tuesday, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 3.2% year-on-year in February, higher than market expectations of 3.1%. At the same time, core CPI increased by 3.8% year-on-year, also exceeding expectations of 3.7%. However, the decline has not reached our expected price of $2,148. Therefore, while the general trend is still rising, the long force is still very strong, which makes it difficult for gold prices to continue to fall. Judging from the 60-minute chart, the current MACD indicator has a golden cross below the 0 axis, which means that the current price rebound will continue for some time. If the price breaks through the upper resistance level of $2,168, it will continue to rise. Even the 20-day moving average and the 50-day moving average may re-form a rising golden cross pattern. If the price breaks below $2,148, the decline will continue in the short term. So currently we are focusing on the $2148 support and $2168 resistance. However, the probability of gold price rising is still very high at present, and it is not recommended to open a short position.

Yesterday I said in my prediction that if the price of gold falls below $2,170, it will continue to fall. Today, the price fell below $2,170 after repeated fluctuations, with the lowest point reaching around $2,156. Judging from the 60-minute chart, the 20-day moving average and the 50-day moving average are about to form a death cross, and the MACD value has entered below the 0 axis. These two indicators indicate that a short-term downward trend has been formed. The trading strategy going forward is to go short near the resistance level. Focus on the resistance level of 2168-2171 US dollars. If the price rebounds to this range and does not break through 2171 US dollars, a short position can be established. The expected take-profit price below is in the range of 2148-2150 US dollars.

Judging from the 60-minute chart, the current 20-day moving average and the 50-day moving average are still parallel and upward, and the bullish trend is still intact. Gold prices are still bullish for the time being and short selling is not recommended. Prices rose to $2,195 on Friday before quickly falling back, but did not break directly above $2,200. This indicates hesitation in the current bullish positioning range of $2,190-2,200. It is not recommended to blindly chase highs and go long. You can look for long opportunities after the price pulls back. Basic conditions driving gold prices higher: The combination of expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year and a weak U.S. dollar will continue to provide support for gold prices. The price currently encounters resistance in the $2176-2178 range. Radicals can go long in this range and pay attention to the support level of $2170 below. The price will continue to rise if it breaks above $2,200. If the price falls below $2,170, you will need to be cautious.

Gold is heading towards $2,200 Yesterday, I predicted that gold would rise to around US$2,170. After trading sideways, gold finally rose to US$2,170, but it did not continue to break upward. It was not until the US non-farm payrolls data was released that the price surged again, with the highest point reaching around US$2,185. The latest non-agricultural data has been released. Judging from the latest published value VS the previous value, there are 20 bullish indicators for gold, 17 negative indicators, and 5 neutral indicators. Overall, it is good for the rise In addition, from a technical perspective, the one-hour candle chart shows that the 20-day moving average and the 50-day moving average are still stretching upward in parallel, and the bullish pattern is still intact, so gold will continue to be bullish. The specific trading strategy is to wait for the price to fall back to the support level to go long, focusing on the resistance range of 2163-2170 US dollars. When the price falls back to this range, long positions can be established.

Gold continues to be bullish Today, the price of gold broke through yesterday's high of $2,152 and reached its highest point of $2,161, constantly setting new highs. Looking at the one-hour chart, the 20-day moving average and the 50-day moving average are parallel and upward, which is a perfect rising pattern. Barring major news, gold will continue to hit new highs. So the next trading strategy is to establish a long position when the price falls back to the support level. Today we will focus on the $2150-2154 range. If the price falls back to this resistance range, you can open long orders. The expected profit-taking price above is around $2170.

Gold awaits support levels to open long orders Last Friday, gold broke through the resistance level of 2065 and reached a new high. It did not stop rising until it reached the resistance level of $2088. Today, the price of gold encountered resistance near 2088. In addition, many long profit orders will sell one after another when seeing the price drop, so the price will fall back next. The price is expected to fall back to the $2065-2070 range and continue the upward trend. Suggestion: If the price falls back to the 2060-265 range, you can open a long position, the take-profit price can be set at $2085, and the stop-loss price can be set at $2050.