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Proficient analysis of historical patterns is paramount; failure to glean insights from the past often leads to repeated errors. This axiom holds true not only within the realm of trading but extends to broader facets of life.The narrative unfolds with the breakdown of the descending trend line, after which an ascending triangle is formed followed by a new trend movementAfter exiting the ascending triangle, we move to the global khai, accumulate stops (consolidation), consolidate above and follow the trendWaiting for the denouementWhat do you think?

It is apparent that your interest in trading stems from a desire to transcend the conventional 9 to 6 work regimen or to establish an additional revenue stream for enhanced financial stability. Regardless of the impetus, trading imbues one with a sense of hope—a hope for attaining financial autonomy and catering to the exigencies of one's familial responsibilities.Nevertheless, hope unaccompanied by acumen proves inadequate in the realm of trading.Are you prepared to delve into the intricacies of trading in its entirety?Can you harness the mechanisms of trading to your advantage and prosper therein?Trading is a means of slow enrichmentFor many, the following assertion may not be warmly received, yet it warrants acknowledgment: Trading serves as a gradual enrichment scheme.While anecdotes exist of traders who commenced with modest capital and ascended to seven-figure balances, such instances are rare. The reality is stark: the odds of such success are exceedingly slim. The allure of amassing substantial wealth swiftly is tempting, but it often necessitates assuming excessive risk. Only those blessed with exceptional luck may realize significant gains in short order.Conversely, the vast majority—99.99%—who pursue this path find themselves depleting their initial investment. Merely a fortunate minority attain even modest profits, and their success is often attributed more to chance than skill.Consider the perspective of Warren Buffett, whose wealth is renowned:"My wealth is a product of American residency, fortuitous genetics, and the power of compound interest."The crux lies in compound interest—the gradual accumulation of profits over time. Buffett's ascent to becoming the world's wealthiest investor spanned decades, not mere weeks or months.Hence, if one views trading as a shortcut to affluence, disillusionment is inevitable.You need money to make money from tradingOne of the most pervasive trading fallacies is the belief that possessing a profitable trading strategy guarantees the potential to amass millions in the market—a notion that has ensnared many traders.While it is feasible to develop a lucrative strategy, its profitability alone does not guarantee the attainment of vast wealth. Why? Because the magnitude of your initial deposit plays a pivotal role.Consider this scenario: Suppose you possess a trading strategy yielding a 20% annual return.With an account balance of $1,000, your potential earnings amount to $200 per year.With $10,000, your potential earnings escalate to $2,000 annually.Scaling up further, with a $1 million account, potential earnings soar to $200,000 per year.This illustrates that while a trading strategy is undeniably significant, it represents only one facet of the equation. Equally crucial is the size of your trading account.This elucidates why hedge funds attract vast sums—often in the millions, if not billions of dollars—since substantial capital is indispensable for maximizing returns from trading endeavors.Trading is one of the worst ways to earn a regular incomeTrading is often sought out by individuals seeking an alternative income stream, aiming to liberate themselves from the confines of a conventional 9 to 6 job in pursuit of pursuing their passions. However, it is crucial to confront a sobering reality: trading stands as one of the least reliable avenues for securing a consistent income.Why? The dynamics of financial markets are inherently mercurial. A strategy that yields profits one week may falter the next. This isn't to suggest that such strategies become entirely obsolete, but rather that market conditions necessitate adaptability. Realigning a strategy to suit evolving market dynamics demands time—a commodity not readily available in the fast-paced world of trading. This adjustment period could extend over several weeks or even months.Consequently, anticipating profits on a daily, weekly, or even monthly basis proves unrealistic. Success in trading hinges upon one's ability to capitalize on market opportunities as they arise, accepting the yields bestowed by the market, and refraining from unrealistic expectations of consistent returns.You're always studying the marketsContinuous learning is indispensable for success in trading. Reflecting on my own journey, I initially gravitated towards indicators and price action trading, convinced that these tools alone would suffice for profitability. However, this mindset hindered my progress, as I neglected broader market perspectives.Recognizing the limitations of my approach, I embarked on a journey of exploration. I delved into the practices of accomplished traders, discovering diverse strategies such as trend trading, system trading, and mean reversion trading.Today, my repertoire encompasses multiple trading strategies across various markets. This diversified approach has engendered a more consistent capital curve, enhancing my overall returns.The pivotal lesson gleaned from this experience is clear: achieving profitability in trading does not signify the culmination of one's learning curve. On the contrary, ongoing education and exploration of the markets remain imperative for sustained success.How do you become a successful trader when all the odds are against you?Embrace Existing Solutions:Attempting to forge your own path in trading can prove both time-consuming and costly. Instead, seek out established trading algorithms equipped with tested and proven trading rules. Consider investing in algorithms like mine, which come backed by historical testing results.Maintain Financial Stability:Relying solely on trading for income places undue psychological pressure on yourself. The imperative to generate monthly income often leads to hasty and ill-advised trading decisions. Many seasoned traders, therefore, diversify their income streams. For instance, some engage in mentorship or operate hedge funds that levy management fees irrespective of market performance. By securing a stable income through alternate means, you can focus on trading without financial anxiety.Harness the Power of Compound Growth:Albert Einstein hailed compound interest as the eighth wonder of the world. Yet, I propose introducing you to the ninth wonder: the regular infusion of funds to augment profits. Consider this scenario: with an initial $5,000 investment earning an average annual return of 20%, you would amass $191,688 over 20 years. However, by adding an additional $5,000 to your account annually and compounding profits, your total would skyrocket to $1,311,816 over the same period. Witness the transformative potential of consistent contributions and compounding gains.Define Clear Goals and Plans: Set specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART) trading goals. Develop a well-defined trading plan that outlines your strategies, entry and exit criteria, risk management rules, and contingencies for various market scenarios.

Hi all,I would like to provide an analysis of VETUSDT We are currently trading above a strong support zone in the range of 0.037 to 0.039. Moreover, we have established an uptrend starting around 0.015.Our initial goal is to remove liquidity from (x) and then test the resistance zone located between 0.060 and 0.068.You need to carefully monitor the stability of the support zone during retesting.I'm inclined towards an upward price movement for the asset.

Greetings everyone!I would like to share with you the analysis of DOT (Polkadot).We have successfully exited the descending structure, which indicates a transition to the ascending structure. However, this does not prevent us from looking for short-term corrective trades with good reasons.We are currently seeing the filling of the monthly imbalance in the 11.14 - 14.18 range. Within this range, there is a weekly imbalance zone extending from 11.81 to 13.03. With a favorable risk-reward ratio, we may consider setups coming out of this zone.Our goal may be to eliminate inefficient pricing on the two-hour timeframe (FVG).So far so good.

XAUUSD Hello everyone. Brief analysis: Gold has reached the upper boundary of the channel and met resistance in the 2180-2250 zone. Most likely, we will see a correction to global support in the 2080-2030 zone Too fast movement, no resistance, need to reset...

What is a level breakout?A breakout is the price's consolidation above a certain level followed by further movement in the direction of the breakout. But the immediate question that should arise in your mind is about the consolidation of price, as it might be difficult for inexperienced individuals to understand. However, there is nothing overly complex about it either; consolidation refers to the candle closing above the levelA breakdown can occur at a horizontal or inclined level.Bullish breakout:We observe a trending market encountering resistance at a horizontal level. After two unsuccessful attempts, the price breaks through the level.Bearish breakout:Why do level breakouts work?Imagine a scenario: a strong resistance level on the chart is heavily defended by bears, preventing the price from breaking through. Despite several attempts, the bears hold their ground until the bulls come to the rescue. They overpower the bears, but their strategy doesn't end there. Instead of retreating, they press forward, driving the opposition towards the next resistance level, where the cycle repeats.Breakouts occur when the price breaches a significant level. Observing price movements on a chart reveals that prices often consolidate and encounter specific levels.When the price reaches a level and swiftly reverses, it indicates the strength of that level. Upon a price retest of this level, careful monitoring is essential to anticipate a potential breakout.Repeated tests of the same level signify its strength, yet eventually, the price will break through any level. This is when traders should be prepared to initiate a breakout trade.Breakouts offer lucrative trading opportunities because they often mark the inception of new price movements and trends. By entering trades at the onset of emerging trends, traders position themselves for potential profits.Moreover, reliable breakouts typically occur during periods of robust price momentum when traders seek to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations.Breakouts occur at important price levels. It can be:Support or resistance levels.PatternsMarket highs or lows.Trend lines.Price channels.Moving averages.Fibonacci levels.One reason breakouts can lead to rapid price movements is due to the attention they attract from market participants monitoring key levels. When one group of traders capitalizes on a breakout, another group is compelled to swiftly exit their losing positions, resulting in sharp price fluctuations post-breakout.There exist various types of breakouts, and as traders, our objective is to identify high-probability breakout opportunities and initiate trades. However, this task is not always straightforward. Consequently, levels marked at potential breakout points should be regarded as zones rather than rigid lines.Identifying Psychologically Important Levels:Repeated testing of a specific zone by the price often signifies its significance. Having reached a certain level, the price enters a sideways movement, forming a consolidation. Using a rectangle, we outline the area encompassing the lower wicks of the candles, delineating our support/resistance area. When trading breakouts, it is wise to wait until the candle closes outside the support or resistance area to confirm the breakout.Triangles are chart patterns indicating price compression, often culminating in a breakout. The direction of the breakout is typically uncertain.Within the circle, you can observe the precise location of a potential breakout. Notably, there is a robust breakout momentum evidenced by several full-bodied candles. Subsequent to breaching the upper level of the triangle, the price retraces to test the previously breached resistance, now acting as a support area. This pullback serves as a crucial confirmation signal.Breakouts and false breakouts:Typically, candlestick shadow breakouts are not considered true breakouts. A true breakout occurs only when the price finally closes outside the level. This approach provides a more secure entry point, making it easier to open positions in the appropriate direction.The upper rectangle constantly holds down the price, with the exception of some candles, characterized as a pin bar. This represents an initial false breakout as only one candle breaks the resistance area but fails to close, leaving its body above that area. Therefore, we classify this signal as false.However, the subsequent pin bar pushes the price higher, causing the candle to close above the resistance area. This is a genuine breakout signal, especially enhanced by the presence of a strong, saturated breakout candle.Trading Breakouts:Trading market breakouts carries inherent risks due to the prevalence of false breakouts, which are statistically more common. Therefore, it is extremely important to understand the market structure and monitor the movement of prices to the appropriate level.Markets operate in cycles, moving between trending phases and periods of consolidation. The duration of market consolidation correlates with the strength of subsequent breakouts and subsequent trends.Prolonged consolidation periods are not only observed by you, but by traders worldwide. Among them, some opt for trading bounces from levels, while others prefer trading breakouts. Extended consolidation behind a resistance level can trigger stop-loss orders for many bears and prompt numerous bulls to initiate new buying positions. Consequently, after prolonged periods of flat movement, prices frequently surge explosively following a breakout, ushering in a robust trend.The breakout trading strategy offers multiple entry approaches, allowing traders to select the one that aligns best with their preferences and objectives.Entering the breakout after the price has consolidated beyond the zone:One strategy assumes that the breakout occurred when the candle closed outside the level. While this pattern can be effective, I personally find it risky due to the many nuances associated with this strategy. Instead I prefer a different approach...Breakout entry with retest:This tactic is a bit more challenging as it requires patience and discipline.What particularly appeals to me in this strategy is that I rely on additional data during a potential retest (with a 60-70% likelihood after the zone is breached).Breakout of the symmetrical triangle pattern:As the market tightens its consolidation, it eventually breaches the support of the triangle, followed by a retest of this level as new resistance.For the stop-loss placement, it's advisable to position it inside the triangle above the breakout candle.Regarding take profit, we target the nearest level, ensuring the risk-to-reward ratio remains acceptable.Best Breakout Trading Method:Accumulation of positions/liquidations - consolidation.When a tight consolidation occurs near a resistance level, it tells us that buying pressure remains high for a long period of time and sellers do not have enough strength to reverse the price from the level.When the price breaks through a resistance level, traders with short positions cut their losses. At the same time, the pressure from buying traders who will open breakout transactions is increasing. All these factors cause the price to rapidly move up without significant pullbacks.__________________________________________________________________________________I have only covered a portion of the basics. Of course, trading involves various elements such as price action, indicators (divergences), but that would make this post too long ;) If you enjoy my educational articles, please leave comments, and I'll continue writing them.A good, global example with the most liquid assetsThere are only 2 tools - a trend line and support, which were given to us by many setupsJust like in the bookWho seeks will always find ;)A precisely defined support or resistance zone presents lucrative trading opportunities.A striking example of consolidation before breaking through resistance, accumulation of liquidity on top and subsequent withdrawalWhat kind of denouement awaits us?We approached the resistance zone several times and each time left a large share of new liquidations on topIt seems that the zone is working, more and more people are placing stops for it, what happened next - you can see for yourself

Support and resistance levels, the bedrock of technical analysis, are fundamental elements. They serve as critical points that delineate potential price movements and are pivotal in decision-making processes for traders and investors alikeThe basis:There are several fundamental concepts in trading that remain the same over a long period of time. Among them, the concepts of support and resistance levels stand out. When used correctly, support and resistance levels improve trading efficiency in financial markets.Today we will delve deeper into these concepts.Price behavior:The fundamental principle of price behavior lies in the concept of supply and demand, governing the existence and operation of any market.When demand outweighs supply, it prompts an upward push in prices, while in reverse circumstances, a decrease is observed. By identifying levels of supply and demand, traders significantly enhance their success rate.A support level indicates a price range where strong buying positions are concentrated, typically defined by two minimum price points.A resistance level, conversely, denotes a price range around which strong selling positions are clustered, often marked by two maximum price points.It's important to note that support and resistance levels should not be viewed as precise lines. Prices may not necessarily adhere to these levels point by point; often, they may not even touch the level directly, sometimes piercing through it. This variability is normal, so these levels should be perceived more as zones of support and resistance. The width of these zones can vary, with the magnitude of dispersion dependent on the timeframe in which trading occurs. The higher the timeframe, the potentially broader the range of support and resistance levels.Once again for strengthening:Support and resistance levels represent specific price ranges on a chart (often represented by rectangles in my analysis) where the direction of price movement has historically changed. These ranges attract traders' attention because they provide clear points for setting stop losses and entering trades. In addition, these levels usually attract large buyers or sellers whose limit orders contribute to market dynamics.Essentially, the level denotes the price area in the market where traders perceive the price to be either overpriced or underpriced, depending on the prevailing market conditions. Therefore, it is extremely important to closely monitor key levels where the role of support and resistance has changed or where significant price reversals have occurred.Blending levels signify pivotal points on a price chart where price action can prompt a reversal in the opposite direction. In the presence of a robust trend, price movements may penetrate through these supply and demand levels, leading to potential shifts in direction. Such occurrences typically coincide with heightened transaction volumes. The interplay of price adjustments, heightened market activity, and trading volumes collectively influence market direction.When resistance is breached and the price retraces to its previous level, there's a likelihood that bulls will once again push it upwards. Conversely, if the price retraces to the breached level after breaking through support, bears are likely to actively drive it downwards. Support and resistance levels can be identified as areas in the market where traders are more inclined to buy or sell, depending on current market conditions. This creates a zone of collision between buyers and sellers, often prompting the market to change its direction.Retest:A retest of a level refers to a brief return of the price to the breached support or resistance line for testing purposes. Following the retest, the price typically continues its movement in the direction of the breakout.On higher time frames, support and resistance levels become more powerful:It is important to observe the price action around levels:If the price swiftly reverses from a level into the opposite trend, it indicates significant importance of that level.If the price tests a specific area multiple times with minor retracements, it's likely that the level will eventually be breached.Swing zones refer to areas where the price retraces to the previous pullback in either a downtrend or uptrend. In less robust trends, the price tends to return to the boundary of the previous correction before continuing its movement.Of course, support and resistance are dynamic concepts that require constant attention and analysis as their meaning changes depending on prevailing market conditions. Moreover, it is critical to consider multiple confirmations such as volume analysis and breakouts to confirm the strength of these levels.Thank you for your attention!A good example:Additionally, let's not overlook the liquidity aspect of the asset. In cases where an asset lacks liquidity, it becomes susceptible to manipulation. Conversely, high liquidity makes each support level more resistant to manipulation.Another one:Also, a support zone can have the appearance of a trend zone, albeit with some differences.I will talk about them in more detail later!Also another great example of trend supportIn addition, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that after another test of support, we are going to take local liquidity from the high, while not going below 1 bounce.This is also considered another trading method, I will tell you about it sometime! ;)A prime example indeed.Let's focus solely on the zones themselves.We observe a strong zone - the price approached it four times and then reversed.On the fifth attempt there was a false breakout. We briefly consolidated and returned under the zone.Twice more the strength of the zone proved to be sustained when the price broke through it again. We continued to trade within the zone for an extended period of time before price moved back below it.What is the conclusion? Zones are a powerful tool, but context is key! A zone is not a panaceaHere's an example not from history, but in real timeYou can watch how the price will behave in the global resistance zone, a great place for a short-term trade.I have a big new article coming out about trendlines - look forward to seeing you there! ;)Example with breakdown and retestOf course, support may not always be prettyYou should always consider the context and other reasons for a bounce or breakdownA good combination of 2 support combinationsThe more examples of support zone performance we see, the clearer the concept becomes, helping us identify suitable trading opportunities.A prime example is when we encountered a downtrend, which we subsequently broke and bounced off of nearby support. No need to come up with complicated scenariosOnly 2 tools can give us complete confidence in our tradingA properly identified support zone provides an accurate depiction of the market, empowering you to formulate your subsequent strategy based on this information.For nowIt’s very useful to analyze how support reacts in real time; for beginners, I advise you to add a picture and follow itThe main basis of trading itself is built around the zones:Example with a symmetrical triangle, clamping from 2 sides, when approaching the upper border - consolidation appeared, followed by a breakout upwardGood example of 2 main analysis tools:A great example with a fill-in

Analyzing the chart, it becomes obvious that the price is trading within the global resistance zone spanning from 44 to 56.Given this context, it is wise to look for attractive short-term setups, as they are quite reasonable at this stage.The initial target could be to remove liquidity behind the wick (x) at 27.24, and further targets could be to fill the imbalance on the daily timeframe (FVG) around 23.70.The third target involves withdrawing liquidity at 18.90(x) and then targeting a significant imbalance (FVG) over a one-week period.Here we can already start looking for good setups in the downward movement, we are waiting for our confirmation!I don't believe we can break through that kind of resistance one time.We are approaching the first zone, from where I will close a short position

In Ethereum (ETH) trading, we have reached the global "OB" point on the monthly timeframe, marking it as our primary area of interest (POI) to begin analysis and strategy formation.In addition, there has been a noticeable accumulation of liquidity from lower levels, indicating a potential decline to the 1-hour FVG (fair value gap) followed by directional development.In such scenarios, it is extremely important to seek confirmation before making trading decisions.Bitcoin's current ATH (all-time high) could lead to a period of consolidation, possibly followed by a rally in altcoins.We continue to closely monitor the market, anticipating potential declines and aiming to achieve our initial targets.ETH has followed Bitcoin, while we sit and watchI must caution that the price is currently experiencing upward pressure, indicating a potential correction is needed. At any moment there is a possibility of a sharp downward movement.Please keep this in mind when you begin your analysis.

As we approach the impending halving event in 2024, slated to commence in a month, speculation arises regarding its potential outcomes. Historical data provides insights into recurring patterns, yet uncertainty looms regarding whether past scenarios will manifest once again. We invite your insights: Do you foresee growth or a departure from traditional trends towards decline? Your perspectives are welcomed and valued.Impact of the Halving on Bitcoin:With approximately a month remaining until the fourth halving in April 2024, the available supply of bitcoins for trading has dwindled to historically low levels, significantly reshaping the dynamics of digital asset prices.The volume of bitcoins held for long-term investment surpasses new supply by over 341%, indicating a trend of accumulation among investors rather than immediate liquidation.The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs has added to the demand from institutional investors, further constraining the available supply.Concurrently, there's an observable trend of investors moving bitcoins into long-term storage, reducing the active supply available for trading on exchanges.Analysis of Patterns and Cycles:In the aftermath of past halving events, a consistent growth trend has been observed, typically spanning around 350–360 days until the anticipation of the subsequent halving. However, a notable deviation occurred from November 2021 to December 22, 2022, marked by a significant price decline of over 70%, with Bitcoin hitting a low of $15,479. Subsequently, a period of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) ensued, characterized by sustained price appreciation.Understanding the Halving's Impact:Supply Deficit: The halving mechanism slashes the rate of new Bitcoin issuance, leading to a diminished supply of new coins. This scarcity may affect the availability of bitcoins for trading.Market Cycles: Historical data suggests that halving events often precede bull markets, hinting at potential price appreciation post-event.Increased Demand: The advent of Bitcoin ETFs has bolstered demand from institutional investors, potentially amplifying the market impact of the halving.Profitability: The halving event directly impacts the profitability of Bitcoin mining operations, which in turn influences the financial outlook of related companies and the valuation of their stocks.Analysis of Patterns and Cycles:In the aftermath of past halving events, a consistent growth trend has been observed, typically spanning around 350–360 days until the anticipation of the subsequent halving. However, a notable deviation occurred from November 2021 to December 22, 2022, marked by a significant price decline of over 70%, with Bitcoin hitting a low of $15,479. Subsequently, a period of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) ensued, characterized by sustained price appreciation.Wrongly published again Analysis of Patterns and Cycles..Preparedness Alert:With only about 1 month left until the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event, anticipation is growing among traders and investors. This event is one of the turning points in the digital asset space that could significantly impact the supply dynamics and valuation of Bitcoin.Every time we make a new ATH, there is continuous growthWhat to expect at this point?hmm...Blackrock Adds Citi, Goldman, UBS, Citadel as Bitcoin ETF's Authorized Participants — IBIT Holdings Near 260K BTCBlackrock, the world’s largest asset manager, now has nine authorized participants for its spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), the Ishares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). They include JPMorgan Securities, ABN Amro, UBS Securities, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Citadel Securities.Do we believe it?Do we close or do we know and wait?