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As we head on to close the week, which the bears had their party with the metal, i will closely be monitoring the upcoming CPI data release, with the ongoing US government shutdown and geopolitical tensions, the speculation about further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) also underpins the yellow metal. What am I monitoring the most as my key Gold signals are the US02Y (2-year U.S. Treasury Yield): which is hovering around the (~ 3.46%).& the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): ~ 98.50-98.90 range. With the US02Y yield slipping near 3.46% and the DXY hovering below 99, both are flashing a “risk-on” bias — investors are quietly shifting away from dollar strength and into assets like gold and equities ahead of the Fed’s anticipated rate cuts Keep an eye on 4,253 and 4,345 (your liquidity zones). If the next FOMC minutes or PCE data confirm the dovish tilt, those higher targets could be reached faster than expected — possibly within the next couple of weeks. buy zone extreme discount zone 4,100 1st Tp 4,200, trail you profit 2nd tp 4,250 trail your profit Extreme TP if the CPI data shows softening 4,345 zone good luck

Powell acknowledged a firmer economic footing than earlier, but explicitly flagged weakness in the labour market (low hiring, low firing) as a concern. The fact that Powell is leaning more towards softening employment policies than inflation gives the market room to lean into gold’s narrative. Bullish approach: Buy on dips toward your liquidity base 4 ,145–4,150 after confirmation (bullish wick, reversal candle) Stop-Loss: Below 4,135 (below the extreme discount block Target 1: 4,200 zone Target 2: 4,230–4,250 if DXY weakens further post-Fed Summary Powell’s speech has given the bulls oxygen; the gold structure confirms it. As long as 4,140 holds, the path of least resistance is north. First TP is nearly in sight — the market may even overshoot it on volatility.1st Target done trailing my Profit to 4230 handle, hopefully, end of the month, we can hit the 4,300

Gold’s structure is bullish. The market has front-run Powell’s softness., Investors are awaiting the Fed speech today. which will make the Unmitigated Liquidity @ $3,980: which is a key demand zone. If Powell’s tone remains dovish — reaffirming the rate-cut trajectory or even hinting at future easing — the market likely respects this zone as a springboard for the next leg up. Target: 1st TP at $4,193 will be my next liquidity pool. That’s likely where major profit-taking will happen; it's a magnet for short-term buyers. 1. My bullish sentiment theory is that if Powell hints inflation is “under control” or that the Fed will “stay accommodative,” gold likely surges past 4,100, testing that 4,193 zone. After that, expect a corrective pullback — maybe back toward 4,020–4,050. 2 . Bearish sentiment also theory is that Bearish, which is very (less likely): If Powell unexpectedly leans hawkish — emphasising “data dependence” and not committing to further cuts — we could see a retrace into the 3,980 liquidity zone before the next climb. As long as 3,980 holds, momentum remains intact, and 4,193+ is on the radar. 📈 Expected Price Path: Gold defends 3,980 (unmitigated liquidity zone). Quick impulse to 4,100 — momentum-driven breakout. Touches your 1st TP 4,193 zone (liquidity grab). Potential overshoot toward 4,250–4,280, then cooling back toward 4,150 as profit-taking hits. Trade Strategy Buy dips above 3,980. Trail stop below 3,950. Partial TP 4,150, full TP 4,193+. This is the “don’t fight the Fed” setup — textbook gold rally on easing rhetoric.

With retail sales coming in a bit hotter than expected, I guess that the Fed chair will stick to a quarter-point, or 25 basis point, reduction from the current target range of 4.25%-4.5%. will see a more hawkish than Dovish Fed as they think inflation is still sticky. Fed Angle: If Powell goes with a 25bps cut, then gold will likely rally for a bit, then likely consolidate, possibly with a small pullback, since some of it is already priced in. So while the rate decision is pretty much in the bag, what happens from there is anybody’s guess. So my setup will be simple Bearish Scenario (Fed only cuts 25bps or stays hawkish) will see a fake buy @3 ,720, then gold will drop after the dust settles to this zone Entry: After Gold breaks below 3,680. Targets: TP1: 3,650 unmitigated liquidity Stop-Loss: 3,800 (above breakout fakeout zone). Bullish Scenario (Fed goes 50bps cut, as a more dovish tone ) Entry: Buy above 3,700–3,710 (after confirmation candle closes). Targets: TP1: 3,770 TP2: 3,850 TP3: 3,900 Stop-Loss: 3,680Entry: After Gold breaks below 3,680. Targets: TP1: 3,650 unmitigated liquidity after the projected 25 bps cut. I was expecting a retreat at the unmitigated zoneThis was expected after the 25bps Fed cut because the rally had already been priced in. Now gold has grabbed Liquidity That spike into 3,720 acted as a liquidity sweep → Gold cleared stop orders above resistance before reversing. Now it’s looking back to test demand zones (like your 3,650 retrace box). Setup: Gold defends the 3,650 Strong demand Bounce off 3,650 → retest 3,700–3,720. Break above 3,720 = extension to 3,780–3,800. Bulls to come in now and drive the Gold up after the dust has settled Above 3,650 look for longs targeting 3,720 → 3,780.

Today's reading on the CPI didn't move the Market as expected, as the reading came in neutral. I am waiting for next week's Tuesday Retail Sales Data This will be my spark plug. If Retail Sales come in hotter than the last reading of 0.5 % yields and the gold will have to mitigate the 3,600–3,565 zone. But if the reading comes in coller than the previous reading of 0.5 %, then bulls will take over the bullion and drive it all the way to our 3,660–3,680. handle Bulls setup will be (if price holds above 3,620 and breaks 3,642) Trigger: 4H close above 3,642 (RTO zone). Buy pullback into 3,635–3,642. Targets: TP1 → 3,660 TP2 → 3,675–3,680 (liquidity zone) Stop: Below 3,620 (fair value gap invalidation). But if the reading on Tuesday comes in Hotter than the previous reading of retail sales This will be my bearish setup (if price rejects 3,642 and breaks 3,620) Trigger: Strong rejection from 3,642 OR 4H close below 3,620. Entry: Sell pullback into 3,620–3,630. Targets: TP1 → 3,603 (discount zone retest) TP2 → 3,565 (unmitigated liquidity zone) Stop: Above 3,642. Note will still be waiting for the Fed cut on the 17th. That said, if Gold does what it does and mitigates the liquidity, I think on the 17th, we will have enough fuel to rocket to the Moon

As we head into a New week, why am a bull on this one is that investors are eyeing the Rate-Cut Fever: Traders are pricing in a September Fed cut (~90% probability), which weakens the dollar and boosts gold demand Tariff Turbulence & Safe-Haven Flow: U.S. tariff policies—especially recent drama and subsequent exemptions—have kept gold in investors’ crosshairs Strong Fundamentals: Central banks are still shopping for gold, and ETF inflows are climbing despite elevated prices. My Tactical Summary is that Buy dip at Retest Zone (~$3,340) or deeper near $3,300–$3,280. Stop below $3,280; Target $3,415 first, then $3,500 if macro holds Cautious WatchIf CPI or risk-off sentiment hits, expect rejection near $3,380–$3,400. Only go long with a clean move above $3,400 confirmed by macro My theory is that if the If CPI comes in cooler than expected (lower inflation): Fed rate-cut expectations will jump from “likely” to “almost certain.” USD will weaken, yields will drop → Gold likely will have a bull run on that Retest Zone 1 (~$3,340) could trigger a clean bounce toward $3,400+ almost immediately after the release. The mitigation of the $3,500 handle will have to take effect if the market smells an extended rate-cut cycle. But on the dovish side now is that If CPI comes in hotter than expected (higher inflation) Fed cut odds fade, USD strengthens, yields rise → Gold could drop hard. The Extreme Discount Zone (~$3,300–$3,280) will become the make-or-break demand area. If that fails, we could see a quick trip to $3,245 or lower. My final take If CPI is bullish for gold → buy retests of $3,340 or $3,400 breakout. If CPI bearish → short failed $3,340 retest or breakdown of $3,300.First Wave: Expect a knee-jerk spike toward $3,380–$3,400. Wait for the Pullback: If the price dips back to Retest Zone 1 (~$3,340) and holds, buy on the bounce. Target 1: $3,400–$3,415 liquidity pocket. Target 2: Full push to $3,500 if momentum stays strong and macro tailwinds continue. Stop Loss: Below $3,320 to avoid fake-out traps. If CPI is much lower than expected, skip the pullback hunt and go straight for breakout buying above $3,400.Resumption of bullish tone: With rate-cut expectations intact and geopolitics still tense, gold looks primed for a rally back to $3,400+, eyeing $3,500+ in the coming days. Headline inflation’s softness reassures that the Fed sees downward pressure. Core CPI’s firmness adds complexity—but doesn’t derail the easing narrative. September cuts are baked in: market odds surged to ~96% chance Enter long: On a clean 4H close above $3,340–$3,350, confirming rejection of the dip. Initial Target: $3,400, followed by the strong resistance zone near $3,500. Stop: Sub-$3,320 to protect against another fakeout. If price pokes below $3,334 and holds, that could be a second-chance zone — but fading that would be pushing against the macro wind.1st Initial Target: $3,400, done. Patient is key in this game, I am still bullish till I mitigate the 3500 zone, please start trailing the profittarget reached as expected, since the Gold just reached a high resistance zone. I am expecting some pullback and will have to analyse this pair once we are done with this week's JOLTS Job Openings, Non-Farm Employment Change. After that, I can determine the direction the Gold will be heading.

The Bulls have started taking a breather on the precious metal XAU/USD and will retreat to its first support by early Next week, which would be the $3,000 mark. Once surpassed, the next stop would be the February 20 daily high at $2,954, followed by the $2,900 mark. Conversely, Gold rising above $3,050 would pave the way to challenge $3,100. hoping that my analysis is correct I will place a sell order and My 1st Tp @ 3,000 zone 2nd aggressive trailing tp would be @ 2,950 zoneOur 1st Tp was triggered early on today awaiting the retest my Extreme premium zone if the Bulls don't break it then it will be bear time to eat and drive the pair down to our unmitigated zone @2900 2nd aggressive tp early on next week @2 ,950Prices will always be attracted back to the areas of unmitigated liquidity, as the gold has shown today. Now the Gold after mitigating that area will have enough fuel for the Bulls to take over

This week, we have witnessed Gold Choch to the upside due to escalating geopolitical risks.Sentiment turned sour following Putin's nuclear doctrine approval and mixed signals from Russian officials. Market players seeking safety flock to the golden metal, which has risen above $2,600 after dipping to a two-month low of $2,536. Thus, I am anticipating once again that the Bulls will step in and drive the metal. @around @2680zone before retracing and testing that area and once again the bulls will dominate and drive the metal to my @2730 handle but the aggressive traders can trail the metal to my unmitigated liquidity zone @2770 @1st tp 2680 2nd Tp 2730 3rd aggressive move tp @2770 that's my theory for the remaining few days of November1st Tp Hit @2680 waiting for the 2nd Tp @2730

we have been seeing gold gain positive traction for the fourth successive day from the past week or so and climbing beyond the $2,700 mark, hitting a fresh record high during the Asian session on Friday. Major central banks have been cutting interest rates and are expected to ease monetary policy further. This, along with persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the uncertainty surrounding the US Presidential election, turn out to be key factors driving flows towards the precious metal. thus said here are my predictions for the next few days Trading Implications: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 2,714 resistance level, it could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend, and new highs could be tested. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above 2,714 and reverses downward, a pullback to the 2,691 or 2,677 support zones is likely, where bulls might regroup for another attempt upward.my take profit for the few coming days will be @2763 so for now am with the bulls as banks seeks to cut interest ratesas I had early analysed the Gold hit our target @2763

Fundamental Influence of Fed Rate Cut: Impact on Gold: Bullish target for the week @2 ,700 mark When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, especially by a significant margin like 50 bps, it generally weakens the U.S. dollar. Being priced in dollars, gold often benefits from a weaker dollar as it becomes cheaper for foreign investors, leading to increased demand. Additionally, lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making gold more attractive as a safe-haven asset. that being said, there is bullish momentum for gold, which aligns well with the broader macroeconomic impact of the Fed’s interest rate cut. Key levels like 2,541 and 2,530 should be monitored for reversals or pullbacks, with further upside possible if gold maintains its momentum. The rate cut enhances the attractiveness of gold, and we could see continued upside movement in the near term. Current Market Action: The price appears to be trending higher, breaking through several resistance zones. The "Ask" price around 2,613.57 shows that the market is trading relatively high, with the recent price action suggesting bullish momentum. my long target for this week and the coming end of the month will be targeting the 2,700 mark as my 1st Tp before we can see another pullback but for now am with the bulls on this oneI have been holding on with the bulls with the hopes that the Gold will break the 2680 handle A sustained break above the all-time high of $2,686 will trigger a fresh advance to the $2,700 round. Further up, buyers could challenge the $2,750 but my 1st take profit is set at @2 ,700 as I had previously analysed on Sept 20th