phaneth2014

BTCUSDT BTC I said on Oct 17, 2025 last month will dump to $7600, now new month in November 2025, look like follow my structure

🧭 Overall Structure The chart shows a potential bearish setup. I have drawn a descending pattern (A-B-C-D) with rejection from an Order Block (OB) around $4,013–$4,020. The white arrow projects a downward move toward 3,885. 🔍 Key Technical Elements 1. Order Blocks (OB) Upper OB (~4,150–4,120): Higher timeframe supply zone; strong resistance if price rallies. Current OB (~4,013–4,040): Recently rejected here — price reacted and failed to make a new higher high → confirms seller pressure. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) A previous BOS occurred to the downside, suggesting bearish momentum took control after a temporary bullish leg. 3. Trend Lines (Yellow Dashed) The upper TL connects lower highs → consistent downtrend. The lower TL (support) was recently tested and might break soon — signaling bearish continuation. 4. Pattern A–B–C–D harmonic-like pattern completed near the order block, often signaling a sell opportunity when it aligns with rejection zones. Price formed a lower high (LH) at point C and another at D → confirms trend weakness. 5. Candlestick Rejection “Rejected” and “Hammer” labels near point D and OB zone show failed bullish attempts → adds confluence for short. 🎯 Bearish Targets TP1: 3,950 (nearest support) TP2: 3,930 (previous low) TP3 (Major): 3,885 (strong historical support zone) ⚠️ Invalidation If price closes above 4,040–4,060 (OB zone), bearish setup invalidates. That would mean liquidity grab and possible push toward 4,100–4,150 OB. 🧩 Summary BiasEntry ZoneConfirmationTargetsInvalidation Bearish4,010–4,020 OB zoneRejection + lower high3,950 → 3,930 → 3,885Close above 4,060

🧭 Chart Analysis (XAUUSD – 1H with structure context) Market Structure That means momentum continues downward as long as price stays below 4030–4050. 🔑 Key Levels LevelTypeExpectation 4050Resistance / SL zoneIf broken, bears invalidated 4000Minor resistanceRetest zone after rejection 3920Target 1Previous swing low liquidity 3880–3850Target 2Measured move of the channel / full extension 3820ExtremeFinal downside sweep before reversal possible 📉 Projection If price closes below 3920 (cleanly on 4H or D1), next leg likely extends to 3850 — the lower boundary of your yellow trend channel. That level aligns with: Previous liquidity grab zone from October 22 low. Channel bottom support. Fibonacci extension 1.272 from the 4050 swing high. ⚙️ Trading Setup Idea Bias: Short (continue existing sell bias) Sell zone: 4000–4020 (retests possible) SL: 4060 TP1: 3920 TP2: 3886 TP3: 3850 TP4: 3820 (extended) Risk–Reward ≈ 1:3.8 ✅ Structure = Bearish ✅ Rejection = Confirmed ✅ Target = 3850 realistic if 3920 breaks

🧭 Current Market Context (XAUUSD around 4111): Price is below EMA 9 and failed to break above 4200–4250. The structure shows lower highs → bearish continuation still dominant. Momentum is weak, and buying pressure hasn’t confirmed reversal yet. 📉 Primary Plan (Bearish Bias – More Likely) Entry: Wait for a 4H close below 4070–4050. Enter short/sell once confirmed. Targets: TP1 = 3950 TP2 = 3600 TP3 = 3500 TP4 (long-term) = 3100 Stop Loss: Above 4250 (or above last swing high). ✅ Reason: Trend still bearish. EMA and structure show resistance above price. Strong downside targets available. ✅ Reason: That breakout would invalidate bearish structure and shift momentum up. ⚠️ Key Tips Don’t trade inside 4050–4250 (range zone, no clear direction). Follow 4H or Daily candle confirmations — avoid early entries. Risk only 1–2% of account per trade. If shorting, take partial profit near 3600 and trail stops.

Gold pullback on last Friday, the price can be still downtrend on the next Monday - Tueday to target $4100, if the day closed below $4200, so the price still downtrend more to $4000 for other days

ETH 1 month timeframe is under downtrend the price can be pullback to between $1800 ~ $2100

BTC monthly timeframe view under downtrend the target can be pullback to the 76000 ~ 80000

Gold created other structure it looks like a bullish racgtangle will be uptrend more

I see gold created structure working flow like falling wedge

The Gold 1H timeframe looks like a rectangle pattern structure for Aug 2028, looks at the key point ABCD direction plan