khaledabdrabo

After we saw the long correction we were waiting for same as I mentioned in my previous chart, it's time to go back to test the resistance at 0.01997 I expect that we will break through this second time, and we will be going to the red line Fibonacci 0.0248and of course will be a correction from that point down to 0.020then I will be posting a new chart analysis.thank you all

As a daily chart, we almost breaking out from the trend line, but we are not confirmed the break through yet unless we breakout that resistance at 0.018if that breakout happen, we then confirmed we going to see a very nice bull run until December 2025, expected price to reach 0.03I hope the it make sense, thanks for following me and supporting my charts, every time I see people boost my chart and comments, that motivate me to do more analysis, so if you would like me to keep posting, keep supporting my analysis.Thanks againKhaled Abdrabo

we may see Big correction same as old scenario, simple chart for 1h chart RSI over bought, and we may see a long correction, unless we have a strong support that keep us moving upwards

I think you need to imagine the monthly chart, however it is all time high trend, but I think the BTC will need to go crash again to the $69K, since the RSI is over bought, and the Vwap is far from the actual price, the price needs to go touch the Vwap sooner or later, just remember that.then we will see $140K

if you look to the VWAP indicator (white line), it is around $37K, that is the average of the price shouold be at, While the price right now at 88K, we can't go above any further, the price much go down to meet with the VWAP line, we are ahead of another crash before we see BTC going to the $150Kso be aware of the coming crash, very soon.

I can tell from the trend line that we are still in a down trend, once we pass thorugh the trend line, we can see a nice bullrun

📊 Fibonacci Levels:100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance — price is reacting to it.127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones — likely targets if the uptrend continues.161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5).These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls.🔁 Elliott Wave Count (Speculative):The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels.A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly 65K–$68K area).Followed by a final Wave (5) rally — possibly targeting $103K to $117K.This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top.📐 Trend Channel:The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well.Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel — potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K.📉 Support Zones:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%–100% Fib and mid-channel).$47K: 61.8% Fib — solid structural support if there's a deeper correction.🔺 Bearish Warning:The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93K–$103K area.Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction.🧠 Summary – End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart:Scenario A (Bullish):📈 Target: $103K – $117KTiming: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak)Conditions: BTC holds 65K–$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path.Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):🔻 Pullback to 65K or even $47KPotential double top or failed breakout

Dollar Weakness: Tariffs could undermine the U.S. dollar’s global dominance as trading partners seek alternatives. Analysts like Zach Pandl from Grayscale argue this creates “space for competitors like Bitcoin,” potentially driving its adoption as a hedge against a weakening dollar. If inflation spikes and the Fed pivots to looser policy (e.g., rate cuts), BTC could rally, as seen in past cycles.Digital Gold Narrative: While BTC hasn’t fully proven itself as a safe haven (sliding alongside stocks recently), some, like Columbia’s Omid Malekan, note its “digital gold” appeal could grow if traditional systems falter. Gold has soared amid tariff news, and BTC might follow if investors shift perception.Crypto-Friendly Policy: Trump’s pro-crypto stance—evidenced by his meme coin and regulatory reform promises—could offset tariff downsides. If his administration pushes a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve or eases regulations, institutional inflows (e.g., via ETFs) might propel BTC past its $109,000 peak from January.Projections vary wildly. Bitwise’s Jeff Park sees BTC hitting $150,000 if tariffs spark a trade war and inflation surge. Others, like Arthur Hayes, predict $250,000 by year-end if the Fed resorts to quantitative easing. However, a bearish scenario could see BTC crash below $20,000 if tariffs trigger a recession mirroring 2008 or 2020, though this seems less likely given current resilience.What to Expect in April 2025For the rest of this month, BTC’s trajectory hinges on how markets digest the latest tariff fallout:Bearish Case: If global trade fractures deepen (e.g., EU retaliates with $23 billion in tariffs, as reported), BTC could dip toward $74,000-$80,000, reflecting a broader sell-off in risk assets.Bullish Case: If Trump softens the tariff stance (he’s hinted at pauses, like with Mexico), or if “Liberation Day” fears prove overblown, BTC might rebound to $87,000-$92,000 resistance levels, as suggested by technical analyses on TradingView.Most Likely: Sideways movement around $80,000-$85,000 as investors recalibrate. The crypto market’s $2.75 trillion valuation suggests stability unless a major catalyst—positive or negative—emerges.Ultimately, Trump’s tariffs introduce a mixed bag for BTC: short-term pain from volatility and risk aversion, but potential long-term gains if they destabilize traditional finance. Keep an eye on macroeconomic signals (inflation data, Fed moves) and Trump’s next policy steps—they’ll dictate whether BTC pumps or dumps this month. What’s your take—do you see tariffs as a net positive or negative for BTC?

If we break through the 76K, we will test the support at 70k - 73K however we reach to the 70K, we still on the mid up trend line, and over the main up trend line. so, in the long term we are bullish anyway.I have nothing else to say for now.I hope my chart is easy for you to understand it.

Hello all traders, I know this is not a professional analysis, but it's just my simple chart with Fib tool and trend line.since year 2020 we are on the up trend til 2025, since then we never break through the main trend line, and I don't think we will see the price going under that main up trend line.crypto curruncies since started and it is over the main up trendI draw a divergence lines on the low points in the chart and RSI, this divergence indicate a bullish is coming, we can say it is just started.by end of 2025, ETH will reach $6000I hope you understand my humble english, and my humble analysis.thanks for taking time reading :) good luck all.