jacesabr_real

1-4 : higher high and higher lows , upward structure according to dow theory 2 : entrance of sellers to test #1, very strong sellers with little to no resistance, the uniformity and similarity of these bars is suspicious and hints at external intervention, to induce people to the downside. 3: out buyers enter, with the 2-3 downtrend I could see most retailers not thinking any of this structure is meaningful, on top of that probably having a stop above 2 4: we are pushed to the upside with strength, even creating a gap, the stop orders above 2 got liquidated (ouch!) , one detail to note is that the buyers at #3 are now in control of the market, they defeated the sellers at #2 by taking out their orders and creating a new high, therefore the genesis of these buyers is considered 'solid', it is proven. 4-6 : a deceptive move as it seems to be a higher high which , woudl maybe make people think 5 is a solid low and stronger than the sellers at 4, but if you draw a horizontal line, it simply is not the case. 7 : a return to the solid structure at 3, high volitlity which is good as a confluence to the upside, because after high volitlity we normally have a nice flow establish in the opposing direction * what do I think will happen ? * the candle at #7 is an attempt to scare off entrance to where major players are entering, this is a great entry with a stop loss below #3 , likely this is where major market movers have their stop loss and they will defend this area unless I am wrong. * accumulation/distribution is giving us a hidden divergence , nothing from mfi and rsi except oversold, which I do not trust in high volitlity / strong moves. * over the past 2,500 candles , price has reached the next orange zone if it closes out on one side of the zone , you can manually verify by reducing the lookback period and counting, only realtime tradeable bars / zones are counted in stats. * in conclusion we want a buy order. * we will expect the next leg up here, so reach for a tp at the zone above 6, breaking even at the 6 high in case it's just a pullback.

preface : - I can see just as anyone else that we are angled upward , as per both LRC's here. regardless there are some points to note 1. smooth flow with a transition of power without much imbalance, favoring the buyers 2. gap down, then all the way back up to 2 3. a lack of structure to 4, apposed to the smooth flow from 1-2, could this simply be profit taking by the sellers at two, offloading their orders to anyone and everyone causing massive spikes back to 4? 4. almost 3 touches of the resistance , wary buyers as per the analysis of earning caused a dump, unless something changed? what do I think will happen ? * between 3-4 we have an unusually strong volitile one sided move, normally these are followed by a smooth trend the opposing direction, I could envision price coming back down to 3, or maybe at least 3-4 midpoint. it is taking too much libery to even hint at a turnaround , a pullback on the other hand.... possible, especially with this volitlity. * RSI , MFI and Accumulation distribution all have hidden divergence, as well as all being oversold, I dont care much about oversold, during high volitility movements the overbought and sold are pretty much useless, * over the past 2,500 bars, if price closes below a zone, we have a 67% chance it follows through to the other end , you can manually verify by reducing the lookback period. these are great odds!

*I've marked out 4 points of interest which will help us create a narrative , founded on logic and reasoning. 1. genesis of buyers, highly volitile and without any structure, very one sided, as expected with highly volitile moves, we typically have slower structured movement from the opposing side, UNLESS its a profit take (1.1) . in this case it was, once profit was taken we get to 2 2. a shelf of support created, pushing us up to the sellers in that micro structure around the left of 3 4. a push below this structure with strength , the buyer volume creating that support has become seller volume * what do I think will happen ? * I think for sure the market is curious about what is left at 1 , or perhaps under 1 , we could also have the market beind induced to the downside now and 1 might be the next profit take * according to chaos theory we have a 51% chance that price will reach the next orange zone below, according to stats over the pas 2,500 candles, not the greatest odds, but .... better than a coin toss? * regardless, the logical move is down and a 1:1 RR is appropriate with a stop order.

1-4 : sellers and buyers are equal in strength, a sideways movement then ensues, an identification of this is very valuable, as it allows us to have a a stop entry above the former support for 2.1 2.1 : support provided, it was tested and seemed to provide some resistance if we are indeed moving sideways, we want to break this resistance and head to 3 ** a support line at the troughs from rsi and mfi from which we had the previous push up points to this being another potential move up at well. This is a not well known technique. * over the past 2,500 bars, we have had price follow through to the next zone above 'breakout' 66% of the time, if price closes above a zone, this is great odds * a stop order is then the logical next move

1. entry of sellers after strong uptrend 2. buyers gain intrest and push back to challange #1 sellers 3-4. establishment of a consolidation channel 5. buyers strong attempt to push up, the failure of this and the candles after in which the genesis of the #5 candle is broken down, shows me that buyers do not have strength right now * i believe control might be given back to the sellers here. * two zone based entries using chaos theory targets which currently have a 64% follow through rate.

Tesla (TSLA) is displaying strong bullish market structure with clear higher highs and higher lows on the 4-hour timeframe. **Key Technical Observations:** 📈 **Trend Structure**: Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend is intact. 💪 **Key Support Level**: Proven buyers established at $308.20. 🔄 **Resistance Break & Retest**: TSLA has broken through resistance and is now retesting it from above - a classic bullish signal. **Potential Scenarios:** 1️⃣ **Retrace to Support**: The logical next step is to retrace to the proven buyers at $308.20 (bearish target at $308.30) before another leg higher. This would offer a lower-risk entry point. 2️⃣ **Direct Move Higher**: We could also just head up to $343.50 from here, either to break up higher or just retest the resistance there. **Trading Approach:** Currently retesting broken resistance. Be prepared for either scenario - a retrace to $308.30 or continuation to $343.50. Both paths remain valid within the current bullish structure. *Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.*