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Second chance to accumulate KAS at below 10 cents after its correction down to 5 cents from its 20 cents ATH is coming to an end? Previously, technicals looked great for KAS (and other ALTs too) with a breakout from a cup-&-handle pattern in July/Aug2024, but market says otherwise with gloomy economic report. >> For the small portion of capital assigned to trading crypto: I got stopped out from my (manually adjusted) trailing stoploss, with an approx. 6.8%avg loss from my BTC and ETH DCA spot injections into KAS from 10 cents all the way to 20 cents ATH. For my long-term investment hold, I had bought from 2 cents all the way to almost ATH (at ~15 cents) and still holding and adding to it now as long as KAS is below. 10 cents. Had started accumulating aggressively again within the green zone, and probably gonna stop soon once KAS leaves the orange zone. Last cycle, my main Altcoin investment focus was in ADA (POS and UTXO based chain based on academic research and peer-reviewed design), eventually selling most of other ALTs into ADA. This cycle, my personal investment focus is in Kaspa — and probably holding 15%(?) through the bear market correction after blow-off-top into the next cycle together with BTC and some ETH as well. Fingers crossed with regards to price; although the technology, decentralization ethos, and general fundamentals behind it is IMO extremely sound, and has a high probability (though not certain) to eventually establish itself to become one of the (if not THE) top L1s into the future. ——————————————— My reply re. the past YTD price performance of KAS , which I feel might be worth sharing here. "For Kaspa, on the YTD timeframe, it has corrected ~50% down, after a ~10x rise from about 2 cents (when I first got in, in 2023) all the way to 20 cents. It is still an early tech about 3 years old and still not widely know; hence as an investment, it is definitely risky and high volatility is to be expected (not listed in high liquidity Tier1 exchanges yet), just like BTC in 2017 where I first bought at ~3kUSD, and a lot more significantly at 5k, and all the way to its ATH at 20kUSD, and stupidly held when it dropped all the way to 3kUSD, and kept on buying with a long-term view. I view Kaspa in the same light as BTC (different from other cryptos), the only two that I will probably still hold a small but significant portion of, after the blow off top of this cycle due to its fundamentals that I am personally drawn towards -- e.g. POW but 6000x faster than BTC in bps, and ultimately will be 60000x faster once the DAGKnight protocol is implemented in 2026 (trilemma solved); protocol are based on peer-reviewed published research; fair-launched with no-VCs pre-allocation nor pre-mine; no central controlling figure; no DAG/Chain bloating due to implementation of pruning and where 0% TX-archival nodes are needed to maintain the security of mining, and are only necessary for explorers and institutions that intends to track TXs; (soon to come in Q4) Two Layer 2 implementations that will eventually be "Based-Zkrollups" (something that Ethereum planned to implement but was not feasible due to speed and cost issues, even after its POS-fork) -- where L2 TXs are instantly settled onto L1 without security compromising batching of TXs and delayed settlement that Eth-L2s currently does, and more. But KAS is just a crypto project that I am personally interest in; and I am certainly not recommending anyone to buy as an investment, well unless they see something interesting in it too as I do. ;)"

According to my old LVDT indicator, BTC should reach $300k or even higher at ATH this cycle. The real parabolic (banana zone) run will only start when BTC touches the thick red line again. Time to gradually DCA sell every time BTC pierces significantly above the thick red line (signaling a potential point of Blow-off-Top). I plan to be updating this tread from time to time as the chart progresses until the absolute "Sell" signal is triggered.Weekly chart view, with price ranges from the breakout from the thick-red-line on the Daily Chart to the subsequent ATH marked, as well as an estimated/speculated range for this cycle (at ~US$350). The actual real time evolution of the BTCUSD price along this channel will be monitored and the speculated ATH price target will be updated accordingly.

Bullish confirmation today on both the daily and 4hrly. 4hrly Chart:Caught the dip?

Successful retest of breakout level.Next target at 12 cents.10 BPS incoming.IGRA smart contract layer incoming.

FG-Histogram turned green and into the positive zone, as well as Bullish Divergence established on the daily.Previously, a bearish divergence with the FG-Histogram subsequently turning orange marked the start of the dump in September 2024.Have been slowly DCAing more into KAS from ETH within the golden pocket again, while setting stop limit below the 65% retrace level.Stopped out below 65% Fib retracement level, out below the golden pocket range. More pain ahead. Will wait for even more favorable buy opportunities.

Back into the green zone. Stepping up DCA-accumulation into a more aggressive mode soon, expecting KAS to fall to as low as ~5.4 cents.FG oscillator is still orange (bearish) on the weekly.10 bps upgrade and activation incoming. 4 smart contract layers being developed. Tier1 exchange listings to look forward to. KII (Kaspa industrial initiative), and so on.

Breakout above 18 cents (blue line) from the inverse head-and-shoulder, with a measured move target at 32 cents. Presently establishing support. Need to successfully hold above the blue 18 cents line and close on the daily above to confirm.Setting stoploss sufficiently below blue line, accounting for volatility (not exposing where I place my stops).This chart follows on from my previous analysis:The crypto market historically tends to move in cycles/phases, with BTC first pumping followed by higher market cap OG tokens, before the capital flows to the midcaps (i.e. KAS) and eventually the microcaps and meme coins (which then marks the time to sell). Just need to be patient and remind yourself of the fundamentals of Kaspa, being the only properly (POW) decentralized crypto that is truly scalable.Stopped out at 16.98 cents.

2nd bullish divergence marker on the 4 hourly timeframe had appeared. Is Kaspa on the verge of breaking out above the short term green trendline?If Kaspa successfully breaks out and then manages to retest ATH at ca. 20 cents, finding support above the orange long-term trendline, then it would have a chance to make its way towards above $1.See the previously published full long-term trend lines here below.Breakout on the hourly:Successful retest on the hourly: Loading up more on KAS again at this level.Update on the hourly..Support established..

Measured move and Fib Extension Lvls (estimated) target for this cycle is at 199k-275k USD, from my current simple analysis; following Trump POTUS win, probaby peaking in ~Q3 2025 following trend in past 3 4-year cycles; then followed by another bear market to revisit previous ATH at ~65k USD or as low as 45k USD if the trend continues to rhyme with history.Might need to readjust target as chart evolves, with institutions entering, ETF, Trump win and his pro-crypto policies/advisors, and even CCP (who controls the 2nd largest economy) now going to allow its citizens to buy and own cryptos.Just my personal view atm to share, subjected to change.Will also be referring to my LVDT script (optimized for BTC) to help inform if it is time to start DCA sell BTC again this cycle.An adjusted Fib extension lvl for better confluence with prev support/resistance lvls: Adjusted Fib Extn ATH Target is now at ~338k USD instead. In the more immediate time, BTC is about to interact with the 61.8 Fib Extn lvl, something to be observed to guide followup analysis from here.

Accumulation of KAS from BTC and ETH completed.Presently seeing a bull flag setup on the hourly timeframe.Expecting KAS to perhaps retest the golden pocket ~61.8-65% Fib retrace lvl, before breaking above the blue resistance line..Short timeframe hourly chart. Bull flag, waiting for potential breakout from golden pocket fib retracement range. Set stoploss below 65% fib retrace lvl, accounting for volatility. Hardly a crash, just a healthy retrace so far. Also, look at the series of bullish divergences that have formed again at the current level of correction. Note: Adjusted lower the base (100%) of the Fib retracement level drawn.LOL!Breakout, buy order fulfilled.Seeing the amount of extremely strong emotional negative posts everywhere (probably by those who had sold the bottom) -- with the hope that KAS would continue on a downward trend so as to minimize any sense of "regret" -- KAS pumping hard instead would be extremely painful and a "hated pump"; which is usually the perfect catalyst for an impending pump coming up.Furthermore it would be extremely unwise to short a chart with bullish divergence(s) showing up consecutively everytime its price heads slightly lower.